********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). .0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .63770E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.4863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20547E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.4910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.3812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 2.1858 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .86566 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1269 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.012 -.57179E-07 .10587E-02 2 Prefactor .18600 185.93 -.22289E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .39573E-04 471.96 -.60020E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 19.550 32.603 .12502E-06 -.72184E-01 5 norm .86464 .81119 -.28509E-07 -.32124E-03 6 Prefactor 24.237 15.548 .96581E-07 .15261E-01 7 norm .0000 3.3602 -.23690E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.671 .61970E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .83267E-09 17.023 -.29154E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8275 -.18979E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 2.5902 -.41679E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7352 -.41553E-07 -.43392E-03 13 norm .61062E-09 13.670 -.41051E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 2.5443 6.2823 -.86848E-07 -.14871E-03 15 norm 1.3809 1.3374 -.11846E-07 .10628E-02 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .40808 .59983E-05 .11489E-03 17 Prefactor .86539 .55845E-01 -.48698E-06 .42088E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.66821 Prefactor = 0.186005 norm = 3.95733e-05 norm = 19.5496 norm = 0.86464 Prefactor = 24.237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 norm = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.52765 norm = 6.10623e-10 norm = 2.54432 norm = 1.38087 Normalizat = 2.18772 Prefactor = 0.865392 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits .....................! real 9.62 user 8.99 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits .....................! real 75.62 user 70.61 sys 4.15 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source FHES J1626.9-2431 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source HESS J1614-518 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1616-508 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1631.6-4756 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1633.0-4746 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source G337.0-0.1 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1652.2-4633 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1655.5-4737 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source RX J1713.7-3946 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/RXJ1713_2016_250GeV.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 368 point sources and 9 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1553.5-3118 @ 238.392 -31.3113 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/cmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=238.392 yref=-31.3113 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=238.392 yref=-31.3113 axisrot=0.0 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40909889/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40909889/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:22:45.152953', job_id='40909889', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792095765.15', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:22:45 PDT 2026 number of points = 7411 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215 RA = 238.392, Dec = -31.3113 tmin = 813456001, tmax = 813715201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40910554', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-15 13:21:48.319469', time_epoch_executed='1792095708.32' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2215' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=813456001.0 && nMetStart<813715201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=813456001.0 && nMetStart<813715201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=813456001.0 && nMetStart<813715201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits ra=238.392 dec=-31.3113 rad=12.0 tmin=813456001.0 tmax=813715201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.85 user 1.38 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.54 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1538 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910103/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910103/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:23:42.805376', job_id='40910103', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792095822.81', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:23:43 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits .....................! real 7.55 user 7.07 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits .....................! real 59.63 user 55.66 sys 3.46 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source FHES J1626.9-2431 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source HESS J1614-518 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1616-508 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1631.6-4756 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1633.0-4746 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source G337.0-0.1 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1652.2-4633 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1655.5-4737 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source RX J1713.7-3946 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/RXJ1713_2016_250GeV.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 368 point sources and 9 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1553.5-3118 @ 238.392 -31.3113 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/cmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=238.392 yref=-31.3113 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.51 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=238.392 yref=-31.3113 axisrot=0.0 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910144/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910144/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:24:33.329285', job_id='40910144', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792095873.33', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:24:33 PDT 2026 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FGES J1652.2-4633 adding source FGES J1655.5-4737 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1614-518 adding source HESS J1616-508 adding source RX J1713.7-3946 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits.....................! real 148.37 user 146.49 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40910325/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1553.5-3118' 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.560e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1835486 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1534816 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.6817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .55740E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 19.262 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .86282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 24.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .51082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11117E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40969E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .12957E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .63770E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.4863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20547E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.4910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.3812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 2.1858 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .86566 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1269 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.012 -.57179E-07 .10587E-02 2 Prefactor .18600 185.93 -.22289E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .39573E-04 471.96 -.60020E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 19.550 32.603 .12502E-06 -.72184E-01 5 norm .86464 .81119 -.28509E-07 -.32124E-03 6 Prefactor 24.237 15.548 .96581E-07 .15261E-01 7 norm .0000 3.3602 -.23690E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.671 .61970E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .83267E-09 17.023 -.29154E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8275 -.18979E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 2.5902 -.41679E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7352 -.41553E-07 -.43392E-03 13 norm .61062E-09 13.670 -.41051E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 2.5443 6.2823 -.86848E-07 -.14871E-03 15 norm 1.3809 1.3374 -.11846E-07 .10628E-02 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .40808 .59983E-05 .11489E-03 17 Prefactor .86539 .55845E-01 -.48698E-06 .42088E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.66821 Prefactor = 0.186005 norm = 3.95733e-05 norm = 19.5496 norm = 0.86464 Prefactor = 24.237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 norm = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.52765 norm = 6.10623e-10 norm = 2.54432 norm = 1.38087 Normalizat = 2.18772 Prefactor = 0.865392 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.42 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FGES J1652.2-4633 adding source FGES J1655.5-4737 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1614-518 adding source HESS J1616-508 adding source RX J1713.7-3946 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits.....................! real 124.26 user 122.45 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40910416/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1553.5-3118' 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.560e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1835486 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1534816 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.6817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .55740E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 19.262 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .86282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 24.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .51082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11117E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40969E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .12957E-05 1 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 .0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .63770E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.4863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20547E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.4910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.3812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 2.1858 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .86566 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1269 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.012 -.57179E-07 .10587E-02 2 Prefactor .18600 185.93 -.22289E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .39573E-04 471.96 -.60020E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 19.550 32.603 .12502E-06 -.72184E-01 5 norm .86464 .81119 -.28509E-07 -.32124E-03 6 Prefactor 24.237 15.548 .96581E-07 .15261E-01 7 norm .0000 3.3602 -.23690E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.671 .61970E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .83267E-09 17.023 -.29154E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8275 -.18979E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 2.5902 -.41679E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7352 -.41553E-07 -.43392E-03 13 norm .61062E-09 13.670 -.41051E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 2.5443 6.2823 -.86848E-07 -.14871E-03 15 norm 1.3809 1.3374 -.11846E-07 .10628E-02 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .40808 .59983E-05 .11489E-03 17 Prefactor .86539 .55845E-01 -.48698E-06 .42088E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.66821 Prefactor = 0.186005 norm = 3.95733e-05 norm = 19.5496 norm = 0.86464 Prefactor = 24.237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 norm = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.52765 norm = 6.10623e-10 norm = 2.54432 norm = 1.38087 Normalizat = 2.18772 Prefactor = 0.865392 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910325/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:29:12.236229', job_id='40910325', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792096152.24', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:29:12 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FGES J1652.2-4633 adding source FGES J1655.5-4737 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1614-518 adding source HESS J1616-508 adding source RX J1713.7-3946 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits.....................! real 158.17 user 155.13 sys 1.20 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40910475/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1553.5-3118' 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.560e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1835486 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1534816 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.6817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .55740E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 19.262 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .86282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 24.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .51082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11117E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40969E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .12957E-05 1 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910416/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:29:38.665583', job_id='40910416', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792096178.67', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:29:38 PDT 2026 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FGES J1652.2-4633 adding source FGES J1655.5-4737 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1614-518 adding source HESS J1616-508 adding source RX J1713.7-3946 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits.....................! real 124.61 user 122.78 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40910554/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1553.5-3118' 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.560e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ft2_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/expmap_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/ltcube_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/Model_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1835486 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.1534816 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.6817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .55740E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 19.262 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .86282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 24.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .51082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11117E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40969E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .12957E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .63770E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.4863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20547E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.4910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.3812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 2.1858 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .86566 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1269 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.012 -.57179E-07 .10587E-02 2 Prefactor .18600 185.93 -.22289E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .39573E-04 471.96 -.60020E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 19.550 32.603 .12502E-06 -.72184E-01 5 norm .86464 .81119 -.28509E-07 -.32124E-03 6 Prefactor 24.237 15.548 .96581E-07 .15261E-01 7 norm .0000 3.3602 -.23690E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.671 .61970E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .83267E-09 17.023 -.29154E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8275 -.18979E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 2.5902 -.41679E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7352 -.41553E-07 -.43392E-03 13 norm .61062E-09 13.670 -.41051E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 2.5443 6.2823 -.86848E-07 -.14871E-03 15 norm 1.3809 1.3374 -.11846E-07 .10628E-02 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .40808 .59983E-05 .11489E-03 17 Prefactor .86539 .55845E-01 -.48698E-06 .42088E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.66821 Prefactor = 0.186005 norm = 3.95733e-05 norm = 19.5496 norm = 0.86464 Prefactor = 24.237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 norm = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.52765 norm = 6.10623e-10 norm = 2.54432 norm = 1.38087 Normalizat = 2.18772 Prefactor = 0.865392 .0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .63770E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.4863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20547E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.4910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.3812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 2.1858 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .86566 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1269 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.012 -.57179E-07 .10587E-02 2 Prefactor .18600 185.93 -.22289E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .39573E-04 471.96 -.60020E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 19.550 32.603 .12502E-06 -.72184E-01 5 norm .86464 .81119 -.28509E-07 -.32124E-03 6 Prefactor 24.237 15.548 .96581E-07 .15261E-01 7 norm .0000 3.3602 -.23690E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.671 .61970E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .83267E-09 17.023 -.29154E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8275 -.18979E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 2.5902 -.41679E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7352 -.41553E-07 -.43392E-03 13 norm .61062E-09 13.670 -.41051E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 2.5443 6.2823 -.86848E-07 -.14871E-03 15 norm 1.3809 1.3374 -.11846E-07 .10628E-02 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .40808 .59983E-05 .11489E-03 17 Prefactor .86539 .55845E-01 -.48698E-06 .42088E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.66821 Prefactor = 0.186005 norm = 3.95733e-05 norm = 19.5496 norm = 0.86464 Prefactor = 24.237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 norm = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.52765 norm = 6.10623e-10 norm = 2.54432 norm = 1.38087 Normalizat = 2.18772 Prefactor = 0.865392 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 273 CALLS 1542 TOTAL EDM= .88E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.6682 12.188 .62197E-03 -1.5675 2 Prefactor .18600 14.372 .11775E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .39573E-04 4.1115 .80112E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 19.550 39.437 .22793E-03 -1.5620 5 norm .86464 .80907 .48365E-03 -1.5689 6 Prefactor 24.237 16.301 .20327E-03 -1.5610 7 norm .0000 3.3614 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .39413E-08 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .83267E-09 16.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .0000 1.8142 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 2.5857 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 7.5277 4.7301 .36630E-03 -1.5653 13 norm .61062E-09 13.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.5443 6.3093 .64736E-03 -1.5676 15 norm 1.3809 1.3570 .92569E-03 -1.5684 16 Normalizat 2.1877 .37357 .15088 -.59925 17 Prefactor .86539 .49999E-01 .30044E-01 -.97361 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.78789e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.4054 2 3.27 3 0.0255112 4 39.4376 5 0.809073 6 16.301 7 1.70573e-05 8 0.00044933 9 0.000237204 10 4.09134e-06 11 3.14568e-06 12 4.73012 13 0.00017959 14 6.30929 15 1.35696 16 0.37408 17 0.0500016 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910554/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:33:11.180025', job_id='40910554', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792096391.18', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:33:11 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15218.153201 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 8.327e-10 2.372e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 1.844e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.654e-01 5.000e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.188e+00 3.741e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.75974719349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.16347333089e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/likelihoodResults_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1533896 delta logL = -0.000188594209249 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.1493364 delta logL = 0.00386462369897 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .31712 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.8669 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 2.1815 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .86569 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1333E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15218.15 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 64 CALLS 290 TOTAL EDM= .62E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .30110 12.523 .58042E-02 .14840E-01 2 alpha 2.8873 3.8914 .41726 .91109E-04 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .25351E-01 .15104 .17413E-03 4 Prefactor .86570 .34238E-02 .30039E-01 .12784E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.301103 alpha = 2.88733 Normalizat = 2.18151 Prefactor = 0.865697 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15218.15 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 327 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .30110 232.31 .34691E-03 -1.5697 2 alpha 2.8873 2.6066 .50000 .15556 3 Normalizat 2.1815 .52465E-01 .67067E-03 -.60075 4 Prefactor .86570 .70827E-02 .13273E-03 -.97350 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.31226e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.7277 2 8.31549 3 0.0524667 4 0.0070827 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15218.149325 delta logL = 0.00387604559182 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1553.5-3118 Spectrum: LogParabola 370 norm: 3.011e-01 1.673e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 371 alpha: 2.887e+00 8.315e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 372 beta: 8.386e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 Eb: 1.988e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1319 Prefactor: 8.657e-01 7.083e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1320 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1321 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1297 Normalization: 2.182e+00 5.247e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 238.392 -31.311 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40910475/cmap_HighResolution_813456001_813715201_4FGL_J1553.5-3118_daily_bin2215.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.16e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.76e-08', time_completed='2026-10-15 13:33:35.361395', job_id='40910475', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='2.18', EG='2.19', time_epoch_completed='1792096415.36', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='3.88e-03', ts2='0.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.84' WHERE bin_id='2215' AND source_name='4FGL J1553.5-3118' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 15 13:33:35 PDT 2026