Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2124778 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 7.330e-07 8.677e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.275e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29244315819e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00569654794915 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513469/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7187.24211865 delta logL = -0.0296408542499 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21248035 delta logL = -2.55449958786e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .51096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1135 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2025 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75030 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.626 -.14153E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3180 2.5343 -.25030E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2026 .18242 .26725E-04 .98717E-04 4 Prefactor .75033 .14573 -.20121E-04 .13695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.31805 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750334 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 224 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .59930 1.9012 -.25030E-04 -.56616 3 Normalizat 1.2026 1.1055 .26725E-04 -.86522 4 Prefactor .75033 1.0998 -.20121E-04 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.43152e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.67824e-05 2 1.56536 3 1.12821 4 1.13458 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21247778 delta logL = 1.40435076901e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.678e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.318e+00 1.565e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.135e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31513469/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.70e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-13 00:52:37.891270', job_id='31513469', GAL2='0.75', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1783929157.89', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.75', dlogl='1.40e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.57' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 00:52:38 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 22.87 user 21.41 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31513513/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31513513/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1527.3+3117' 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.294e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2152087 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.21685276 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .72744E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .18126E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 104.92 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .11269E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 33.284 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .53157E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53647E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 2.7050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20527E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17034 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86662 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .52786 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .66517E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 15.774 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 12.091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .22356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .62182E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.3201 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.5315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.2030 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .75029 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2508 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2903 -.35037E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .15643E-06 5.3396 .34196E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 105.43 38.642 .15953E-07 -.90906E-01 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8501 -.32560E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 33.188 6.2097 .54398E-08 .38029E-01 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.6243 .21668E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 44.000 -.64356E-08** at limit ** 8 norm 2.7080 1.4049 -.15370E-07 -.19052E-02 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 13.961 -.25829E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 37.965 .26387E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .86865 1.5640 -.39577E-07 .35689E-02 12 norm .52673 .72273 -.18099E-07 -.22413E-02 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 24.756 -.68850E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 16.543 28.438 -.16223E-06 .27357E-01 15 norm 12.096 8.4992 -.21029E-07 .15660 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6564 .14504E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 13.872 -.12917E-09** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6503 .96801E-07 .18423E-02 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5680 -.59087E-07 -.39177E-02 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .19687 .19179E-05 -.21757E-04 21 Prefactor .75033 .14970 -.20951E-05 -.64164E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.33067e-09 norm = 1.5643e-07 Prefactor = 105.43 norm = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 33.1879 Prefactor = 1.10745e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.70798 Prefactor = 8.24174e-07 Prefactor = 1.12998e-06 Prefactor = 0.868648 norm = 0.526729 Prefactor = 7.33025e-07 Prefactor = 16.5427 norm = 12.0962 Prefactor = 0.22249 Prefactor = 2.41751e-07 Prefactor = 4.39187 Prefactor = 4.5332 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750333 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2875 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .15643E-06 5.5551 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 105.43 42.722 .97634E-04 -1.5503 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 33.188 16.651 .17336E-03 -1.5593 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.8050 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.1176 .10319E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 2.7080 1.4117 .61908E-03 -1.5675 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 15.704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 39.867 .12329E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .86865 38.773 .48096E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .52673 .74305 .75955E-03 -1.5693 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 25.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 16.543 29.561 .25191E-03 -1.5627 15 norm 12.096 11.782 .28783E-03 -1.5638 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6410 .11371E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 14.728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6848 .48442E-03 -1.5666 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5672 .47269E-03 -1.5665 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .16825 .52900E-01 -.86522 21 Prefactor .75033 .12749 .43067E-01 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.50867e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000309281 2 0.00186432 3 42.7226 4 0.000158327 5 16.6511 6 0.00145886 7 3.91354e-05 8 1.41172 9 0.00719526 10 0.0134238 11 11.607 12 0.743051 13 0.00867694 14 29.5614 15 11.7823 16 1.20848 17 0.00377404 18 6.68479 19 2.56723 20 0.168329 21 0.127544 V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 21.79 user 20.29 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31513591/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31513591/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1527.3+3117' 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.294e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2152087 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.21685276 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .72744E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .18126E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 104.92 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .11269E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 33.284 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .53157E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53647E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 2.7050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20527E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17034 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86662 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .52786 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .66517E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 15.774 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 12.091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .22356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .62182E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.3201 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.5315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.2030 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .75029 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2508 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2903 -.35037E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .15643E-06 5.3396 .34196E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 105.43 38.642 .15953E-07 -.90906E-01 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8501 -.32560E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 33.188 6.2097 .54398E-08 .38029E-01 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.6243 .21668E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 44.000 -.64356E-08** at limit ** 8 norm 2.7080 1.4049 -.15370E-07 -.19052E-02 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 13.961 -.25829E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 37.965 .26387E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .86865 1.5640 -.39577E-07 .35689E-02 12 norm .52673 .72273 -.18099E-07 -.22413E-02 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 24.756 -.68850E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 16.543 28.438 -.16223E-06 .27357E-01 15 norm 12.096 8.4992 -.21029E-07 .15660 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6564 .14504E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 13.872 -.12917E-09** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6503 .96801E-07 .18423E-02 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5680 -.59087E-07 -.39177E-02 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .19687 .19179E-05 -.21757E-04 21 Prefactor .75033 .14970 -.20951E-05 -.64164E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.33067e-09 norm = 1.5643e-07 Prefactor = 105.43 norm = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 33.1879 Prefactor = 1.10745e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.70798 Prefactor = 8.24174e-07 Prefactor = 1.12998e-06 Prefactor = 0.868648 norm = 0.526729 Prefactor = 7.33025e-07 Prefactor = 16.5427 norm = 12.0962 Prefactor = 0.22249 Prefactor = 2.41751e-07 Prefactor = 4.39187 Prefactor = 4.5332 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750333 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2124778 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 7.330e-07 8.677e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.275e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29244315819e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00569654794915 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7187.24211865 delta logL = -0.0296408542499 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21248035 delta logL = -2.55449958786e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .51096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1135 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2025 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75030 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.626 -.14153E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3180 2.5343 -.25030E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2026 .18242 .26725E-04 .98717E-04 4 Prefactor .75033 .14573 -.20121E-04 .13695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.31805 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750334 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 224 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .59930 1.9012 -.25030E-04 -.56616 3 Normalizat 1.2026 1.1055 .26725E-04 -.86522 4 Prefactor .75033 1.0998 -.20121E-04 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.43152e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.67824e-05 2 1.56536 3 1.12821 4 1.13458 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21247778 delta logL = 1.40435076901e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.678e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.318e+00 1.565e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.135e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31513513/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.70e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-13 00:53:47.420692', job_id='31513513', GAL2='0.75', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1783929227.42', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.75', dlogl='1.40e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.57' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 00:53:47 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 9.05 user 8.35 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 72.56 user 67.33 sys 4.34 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 180 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1527.3+3117 @ 231.849 31.2989 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=231.849 yref=31.2989 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=231.849 yref=31.2989 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2875 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .15643E-06 5.5551 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 105.43 42.722 .97634E-04 -1.5503 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 33.188 16.651 .17336E-03 -1.5593 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.8050 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.1176 .10319E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 2.7080 1.4117 .61908E-03 -1.5675 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 15.704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 39.867 .12329E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .86865 38.773 .48096E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .52673 .74305 .75955E-03 -1.5693 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 25.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 16.543 29.561 .25191E-03 -1.5627 15 norm 12.096 11.782 .28783E-03 -1.5638 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6410 .11371E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 14.728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6848 .48442E-03 -1.5666 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5672 .47269E-03 -1.5665 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .16825 .52900E-01 -.86522 21 Prefactor .75033 .12749 .43067E-01 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.50867e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000309281 2 0.00186432 3 42.7226 4 0.000158327 5 16.6511 6 0.00145886 7 3.91354e-05 8 1.41172 9 0.00719526 10 0.0134238 11 11.607 12 0.743051 13 0.00867694 14 29.5614 15 11.7823 16 1.20848 17 0.00377404 18 6.68479 19 2.56723 20 0.168329 21 0.127544 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2124778 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 7.330e-07 8.677e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.275e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29244315819e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00569654794915 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7187.24211865 delta logL = -0.0296408542499 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21248035 delta logL = -2.55449958786e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .51096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1135 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2025 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75030 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.626 -.14153E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3180 2.5343 -.25030E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2026 .18242 .26725E-04 .98717E-04 4 Prefactor .75033 .14573 -.20121E-04 .13695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.31805 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750334 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 224 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .59930 1.9012 -.25030E-04 -.56616 3 Normalizat 1.2026 1.1055 .26725E-04 -.86522 4 Prefactor .75033 1.0998 -.20121E-04 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.43152e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.67824e-05 2 1.56536 3 1.12821 4 1.13458 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21247778 delta logL = 1.40435076901e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.678e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.318e+00 1.565e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.135e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31513591/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.70e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-13 00:54:21.692878', job_id='31513591', GAL2='0.75', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1783929261.69', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.75', dlogl='1.40e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.57' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 00:54:22 PDT 2026 number of points = 7429 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173 RA = 231.849, Dec = 31.2989 tmin = 802569601, tmax = 802828801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31513787', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-13 00:52:49.963312', time_epoch_executed='1783929169.96' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2173' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits ra=231.849 dec=31.2989 rad=12.0 tmin=802569601.0 tmax=802828801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.41 user 2.84 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.92 user 0.18 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 671 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 23.11 user 21.44 sys 1.13 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31513676/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1527.3+3117' 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.294e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2152087 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.21685276 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .72744E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .18126E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 104.92 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .11269E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 33.284 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .53157E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53647E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 2.7050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20527E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17034 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86662 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .52786 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .66517E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 15.774 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 12.091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .22356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .62182E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.3201 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.5315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.2030 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .75029 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2508 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2903 -.35037E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .15643E-06 5.3396 .34196E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 105.43 38.642 .15953E-07 -.90906E-01 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8501 -.32560E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 33.188 6.2097 .54398E-08 .38029E-01 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.6243 .21668E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 44.000 -.64356E-08** at limit ** 8 norm 2.7080 1.4049 -.15370E-07 -.19052E-02 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 13.961 -.25829E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 37.965 .26387E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .86865 1.5640 -.39577E-07 .35689E-02 12 norm .52673 .72273 -.18099E-07 -.22413E-02 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 24.756 -.68850E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 16.543 28.438 -.16223E-06 .27357E-01 15 norm 12.096 8.4992 -.21029E-07 .15660 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6564 .14504E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 13.872 -.12917E-09** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6503 .96801E-07 .18423E-02 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5680 -.59087E-07 -.39177E-02 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .19687 .19179E-05 -.21757E-04 21 Prefactor .75033 .14970 -.20951E-05 -.64164E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.33067e-09 norm = 1.5643e-07 Prefactor = 105.43 norm = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 33.1879 Prefactor = 1.10745e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.70798 Prefactor = 8.24174e-07 Prefactor = 1.12998e-06 Prefactor = 0.868648 norm = 0.526729 Prefactor = 7.33025e-07 Prefactor = 16.5427 norm = 12.0962 Prefactor = 0.22249 Prefactor = 2.41751e-07 Prefactor = 4.39187 Prefactor = 4.5332 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750333 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2875 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .15643E-06 5.5551 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 105.43 42.722 .97634E-04 -1.5503 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 33.188 16.651 .17336E-03 -1.5593 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.8050 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.1176 .10319E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 2.7080 1.4117 .61908E-03 -1.5675 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 15.704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 39.867 .12329E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .86865 38.773 .48096E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .52673 .74305 .75955E-03 -1.5693 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 25.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 16.543 29.561 .25191E-03 -1.5627 15 norm 12.096 11.782 .28783E-03 -1.5638 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6410 .11371E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 14.728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6848 .48442E-03 -1.5666 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5672 .47269E-03 -1.5665 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .16825 .52900E-01 -.86522 21 Prefactor .75033 .12749 .43067E-01 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.50867e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000309281 2 0.00186432 3 42.7226 4 0.000158327 5 16.6511 6 0.00145886 7 3.91354e-05 8 1.41172 9 0.00719526 10 0.0134238 11 11.607 12 0.743051 13 0.00867694 14 29.5614 15 11.7823 16 1.20848 17 0.00377404 18 6.68479 19 2.56723 20 0.168329 21 0.127544 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2124778 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 7.330e-07 8.677e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.275e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29244315819e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00569654794915 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7187.24211865 delta logL = -0.0296408542499 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21248035 delta logL = -2.55449958786e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .51096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1135 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2025 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75030 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.626 -.14153E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3180 2.5343 -.25030E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2026 .18242 .26725E-04 .98717E-04 4 Prefactor .75033 .14573 -.20121E-04 .13695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.31805 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750334 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 224 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .59930 1.9012 -.25030E-04 -.56616 3 Normalizat 1.2026 1.1055 .26725E-04 -.86522 4 Prefactor .75033 1.0998 -.20121E-04 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.43152e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.67824e-05 2 1.56536 3 1.12821 4 1.13458 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21247778 delta logL = 1.40435076901e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.678e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.318e+00 1.565e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.135e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31513676/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.70e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-13 00:56:35.646635', job_id='31513676', GAL2='0.75', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1783929395.65', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.75', dlogl='1.40e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.57' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 00:56:35 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 9.45 user 8.63 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 73.90 user 68.28 sys 4.44 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 180 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1527.3+3117 @ 231.849 31.2989 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=231.849 yref=31.2989 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=231.849 yref=31.2989 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 23.71 user 21.85 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31513787/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1527.3+3117' 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.294e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ft2_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/Model_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2152087 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.21685276 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .72744E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .18126E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 104.92 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .11269E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 33.284 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .53157E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53647E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 2.7050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20527E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17034 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86662 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .52786 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .66517E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 15.774 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 12.091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .22356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .62182E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.3201 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.5315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.2030 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .75029 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2508 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2903 -.35037E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .15643E-06 5.3396 .34196E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 105.43 38.642 .15953E-07 -.90906E-01 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8501 -.32560E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 33.188 6.2097 .54398E-08 .38029E-01 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.6243 .21668E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 44.000 -.64356E-08** at limit ** 8 norm 2.7080 1.4049 -.15370E-07 -.19052E-02 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 13.961 -.25829E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 37.965 .26387E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .86865 1.5640 -.39577E-07 .35689E-02 12 norm .52673 .72273 -.18099E-07 -.22413E-02 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 24.756 -.68850E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 16.543 28.438 -.16223E-06 .27357E-01 15 norm 12.096 8.4992 -.21029E-07 .15660 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6564 .14504E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 13.872 -.12917E-09** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6503 .96801E-07 .18423E-02 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5680 -.59087E-07 -.39177E-02 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .19687 .19179E-05 -.21757E-04 21 Prefactor .75033 .14970 -.20951E-05 -.64164E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.33067e-09 norm = 1.5643e-07 Prefactor = 105.43 norm = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 33.1879 Prefactor = 1.10745e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.70798 Prefactor = 8.24174e-07 Prefactor = 1.12998e-06 Prefactor = 0.868648 norm = 0.526729 Prefactor = 7.33025e-07 Prefactor = 16.5427 norm = 12.0962 Prefactor = 0.22249 Prefactor = 2.41751e-07 Prefactor = 4.39187 Prefactor = 4.5332 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750333 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2875 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33307E-08 7.2058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .15643E-06 5.5551 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 105.43 42.722 .97634E-04 -1.5503 4 norm .22204E-08 2.8533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 33.188 16.651 .17336E-03 -1.5593 6 Prefactor .11074E-06 4.8050 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.1176 .10319E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 2.7080 1.4117 .61908E-03 -1.5675 9 Prefactor .82417E-06 15.704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11300E-05 39.867 .12329E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .86865 38.773 .48096E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .52673 .74305 .75955E-03 -1.5693 13 Prefactor .73302E-06 25.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 16.543 29.561 .25191E-03 -1.5627 15 norm 12.096 11.782 .28783E-03 -1.5638 16 Prefactor .22249 1.6410 .11371E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .24175E-06 14.728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 4.3919 6.6848 .48442E-03 -1.5666 19 Prefactor 4.5332 2.5672 .47269E-03 -1.5665 20 Normalizat 1.2026 .16825 .52900E-01 -.86522 21 Prefactor .75033 .12749 .43067E-01 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.50867e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000309281 2 0.00186432 3 42.7226 4 0.000158327 5 16.6511 6 0.00145886 7 3.91354e-05 8 1.41172 9 0.00719526 10 0.0134238 11 11.607 12 0.743051 13 0.00867694 14 29.5614 15 11.7823 16 1.20848 17 0.00377404 18 6.68479 19 2.56723 20 0.168329 21 0.127544 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7187.2124778 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 7.330e-07 8.677e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.570e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.275e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29244315819e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00569654794915 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7187.24211865 delta logL = -0.0296408542499 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21248035 delta logL = -2.55449958786e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .51096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1135 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2025 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75030 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7187.212 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.626 -.14153E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3180 2.5343 -.25030E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2026 .18242 .26725E-04 .98717E-04 4 Prefactor .75033 .14573 -.20121E-04 .13695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.31805 Normalizat = 1.2026 Prefactor = 0.750334 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7187.212 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 224 TOTAL EDM= .84E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 25.266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .59930 1.9012 -.25030E-04 -.56616 3 Normalizat 1.2026 1.1055 .26725E-04 -.86522 4 Prefactor .75033 1.0998 -.20121E-04 -1.0159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.43152e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.67824e-05 2 1.56536 3 1.12821 4 1.13458 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7187.21247778 delta logL = 1.40435076901e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1527.3+3117 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.678e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 263 Index: 2.318e+00 1.565e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 1.325e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 579 Prefactor: 7.503e-01 1.135e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 580 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 581 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 578 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 231.849 31.299 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31513787/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1527.3+3117_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.70e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-13 00:59:40.040501', job_id='31513787', GAL2='0.75', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1783929580.04', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.75', dlogl='1.40e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.57' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1527.3+3117' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 00:59:40 PDT 2026