/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 17.22 user 16.29 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 60.08 user 55.69 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/cmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6879033 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.363e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 8.650e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 9.369e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.33369573329e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00101542696341 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34173177/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 29175.7621267 delta logL = -0.0742233325182 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879043 delta logL = -9.26411303226e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11899E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .41742 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3753 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90409 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 227 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3922 1.7782 .18969E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 .20920E-04 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.37222E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.39215 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904005 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2855 2.2243 .18969E-04 -.32739 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 -.81344 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.52396e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.58084e-07 2 1.82287 3 1.08361 4 1.29203 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879033 delta logL = 2.98314262182e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.581e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 3.392e+00 1.823e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 1.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 1.084e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34173177/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.33e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 13:10:32.218124', job_id='34173177', GAL2='0.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1785874232.22', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.90', dlogl='2.98e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 13:10:33 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 20.25 user 19.30 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 73.31 user 68.12 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/cmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.03 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 16.82 user 15.92 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 59.80 user 55.68 sys 3.24 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/cmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits.....................! real 61.82 user 60.11 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34173612/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.7183361 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6890804 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 43.275 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17383E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 23.643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .30312E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .15875E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 65.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.5576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .98607E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.4452 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.0724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .94369E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .14533E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .54829E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10341E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.7228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.5674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12954E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 11.219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .25908 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .19706E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.6768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .23315E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.3765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .90354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 2122 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 43.281 7.2751 -.86407E-06 .20173E-01 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7021 -.31488E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 23.613 3.5299 -.45667E-07 -.20628E-01 4 norm .11102E-09 3.1854 .14918E-05** at limit ** 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4670 .10843E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.450 .12332E-05 .17124E-02 7 norm 3.5585 2.5134 .13468E-06 .31234E-02 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.735 .15255E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9721 -.19750E-06 -.63418E-02 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4540 .75534E-07 -.43015E-03 11 norm .0000 .12540 -.61128E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 .22931 -.44850E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1292 -.32673E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4411 -.15716E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 4.6906 .24773E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5627 .41237E-07 .23002E-02 17 norm 1.5679 .46620 -.30298E-07 .76680E-02 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91623 .10085E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 11.220 1.1053 .16174E-06 -.13270E-03 20 norm .25477 6.9496 .25927E-05 -.50262E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 .24540 .71649E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2706 .51237E-06 -.61322E-02 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33115 .17324E-06** at limit ** 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .11244 .61622E-05 -.98865E-03 25 Prefactor .90400 .10297 -.85085E-05 -.12965E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 43.2806 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 23.6128 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 66.4688 norm = 3.55846 Prefactor = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 1.44592 Prefactor = 5.07828 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.77337 norm = 1.56785 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 11.2196 norm = 0.254772 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.67598 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904003 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits.....................! real 61.24 user 59.48 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34173672/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.7183361 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6890804 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 43.275 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17383E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 23.643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .30312E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .15875E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 65.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.5576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .98607E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.4452 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.0724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .94369E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .14533E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .54829E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10341E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.7228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.5674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12954E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 11.219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .25908 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .19706E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.6768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .23315E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.3765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .90354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 2122 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 43.281 7.2751 -.86407E-06 .20173E-01 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7021 -.31488E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 23.613 3.5299 -.45667E-07 -.20628E-01 4 norm .11102E-09 3.1854 .14918E-05** at limit ** 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4670 .10843E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.450 .12332E-05 .17124E-02 7 norm 3.5585 2.5134 .13468E-06 .31234E-02 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.735 .15255E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9721 -.19750E-06 -.63418E-02 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4540 .75534E-07 -.43015E-03 11 norm .0000 .12540 -.61128E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 .22931 -.44850E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1292 -.32673E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4411 -.15716E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 4.6906 .24773E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5627 .41237E-07 .23002E-02 17 norm 1.5679 .46620 -.30298E-07 .76680E-02 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91623 .10085E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 11.220 1.1053 .16174E-06 -.13270E-03 20 norm .25477 6.9496 .25927E-05 -.50262E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 .24540 .71649E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2706 .51237E-06 -.61322E-02 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33115 .17324E-06** at limit ** 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .11244 .61622E-05 -.98865E-03 25 Prefactor .90400 .10297 -.85085E-05 -.12965E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 43.2806 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 23.6128 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 66.4688 norm = 3.55846 Prefactor = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 1.44592 Prefactor = 5.07828 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.77337 norm = 1.56785 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 11.2196 norm = 0.254772 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.67598 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904003 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits.....................! real 75.79 user 73.39 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34173616/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.7183361 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6890804 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 43.275 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17383E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 23.643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .30312E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .15875E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 65.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.5576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .98607E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.4452 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.0724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .94369E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .14533E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .54829E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10341E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.7228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.5674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12954E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 11.219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .25908 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .19706E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.6768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .23315E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.3765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .90354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 481 CALLS 2603 TOTAL EDM= .23E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 43.281 7.7327 .15203E-03 -1.5576 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7714 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 23.613 9.0428 .20571E-03 -1.5611 4 norm .11102E-09 3.3532 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4648 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.126 .12351E-03 -1.5545 7 norm 3.5585 2.5125 .53560E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.269 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9950 .89647E-03 -1.5684 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4549 .44621E-03 -1.5663 11 norm .0000 .12489 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 .22929 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1273 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.7455 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5563 .41964E-03 -1.5660 17 norm 1.5679 .46973 .84904E-03 -1.5683 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91309 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 11.220 8.9992 .29886E-03 -1.5641 20 norm .25477 1.3693 .77640E-02 -1.5698 21 Prefactor .0000 .24481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2818 .62259E-03 -1.5675 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33118 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .93675E-01 .54771E-01 -.81344 25 Prefactor .90400 .86488E-01 .45050E-01 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.28509e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.73266 2 6.83919e-05 3 9.0428 4 3.48173e-05 5 3.37577e-05 6 27.1259 7 2.5125 8 0.000210115 9 1.99501 10 2.45493 11 4.5385e-07 12 3.31246e-06 13 1.23858e-05 14 3.36271e-05 15 2.85743e-06 16 4.55633 17 0.469729 18 1.37746e-05 19 8.99917 20 1.18128 21 6.57167e-07 22 6.28177 23 7.05912e-06 24 0.0936863 25 0.0865015 ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 2122 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 43.281 7.2751 -.86407E-06 .20173E-01 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7021 -.31488E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 23.613 3.5299 -.45667E-07 -.20628E-01 4 norm .11102E-09 3.1854 .14918E-05** at limit ** 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4670 .10843E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.450 .12332E-05 .17124E-02 7 norm 3.5585 2.5134 .13468E-06 .31234E-02 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.735 .15255E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9721 -.19750E-06 -.63418E-02 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4540 .75534E-07 -.43015E-03 11 norm .0000 .12540 -.61128E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 .22931 -.44850E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1292 -.32673E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4411 -.15716E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 4.6906 .24773E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5627 .41237E-07 .23002E-02 17 norm 1.5679 .46620 -.30298E-07 .76680E-02 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91623 .10085E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 11.220 1.1053 .16174E-06 -.13270E-03 20 norm .25477 6.9496 .25927E-05 -.50262E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 .24540 .71649E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2706 .51237E-06 -.61322E-02 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33115 .17324E-06** at limit ** 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .11244 .61622E-05 -.98865E-03 25 Prefactor .90400 .10297 -.85085E-05 -.12965E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 43.2806 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 23.6128 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 66.4688 norm = 3.55846 Prefactor = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 1.44592 Prefactor = 5.07828 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.77337 norm = 1.56785 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 11.2196 norm = 0.254772 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.67598 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904003 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 481 CALLS 2603 TOTAL EDM= .23E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 43.281 7.7327 .15203E-03 -1.5576 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7714 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 23.613 9.0428 .20571E-03 -1.5611 4 norm .11102E-09 3.3532 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4648 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.126 .12351E-03 -1.5545 7 norm 3.5585 2.5125 .53560E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.269 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9950 .89647E-03 -1.5684 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4549 .44621E-03 -1.5663 11 norm .0000 .12489 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 .22929 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1273 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.7455 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5563 .41964E-03 -1.5660 17 norm 1.5679 .46973 .84904E-03 -1.5683 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91309 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 11.220 8.9992 .29886E-03 -1.5641 20 norm .25477 1.3693 .77640E-02 -1.5698 21 Prefactor .0000 .24481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2818 .62259E-03 -1.5675 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33118 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .93675E-01 .54771E-01 -.81344 25 Prefactor .90400 .86488E-01 .45050E-01 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.28509e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.73266 2 6.83919e-05 3 9.0428 4 3.48173e-05 5 3.37577e-05 6 27.1259 7 2.5125 8 0.000210115 9 1.99501 10 2.45493 11 4.5385e-07 12 3.31246e-06 13 1.23858e-05 14 3.36271e-05 15 2.85743e-06 16 4.55633 17 0.469729 18 1.37746e-05 19 8.99917 20 1.18128 21 6.57167e-07 22 6.28177 23 7.05912e-06 24 0.0936863 25 0.0865015 number of points = 17478 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939 RA = 229.222, Dec = 36.8505 tmin = 806889601, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34174313', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 13:09:57.185242', time_epoch_executed='1785874197.19' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='939' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits ra=229.222 dec=36.8505 rad=12.0 tmin=806889601.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.27 user 3.17 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.01 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2746 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 481 CALLS 2603 TOTAL EDM= .23E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 43.281 7.7327 .15203E-03 -1.5576 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7714 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 23.613 9.0428 .20571E-03 -1.5611 4 norm .11102E-09 3.3532 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4648 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.126 .12351E-03 -1.5545 7 norm 3.5585 2.5125 .53560E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.269 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9950 .89647E-03 -1.5684 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4549 .44621E-03 -1.5663 11 norm .0000 .12489 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 .22929 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1273 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.7455 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5563 .41964E-03 -1.5660 17 norm 1.5679 .46973 .84904E-03 -1.5683 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91309 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 11.220 8.9992 .29886E-03 -1.5641 20 norm .25477 1.3693 .77640E-02 -1.5698 21 Prefactor .0000 .24481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2818 .62259E-03 -1.5675 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33118 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .93675E-01 .54771E-01 -.81344 25 Prefactor .90400 .86488E-01 .45050E-01 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.28509e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.73266 2 6.83919e-05 3 9.0428 4 3.48173e-05 5 3.37577e-05 6 27.1259 7 2.5125 8 0.000210115 9 1.99501 10 2.45493 11 4.5385e-07 12 3.31246e-06 13 1.23858e-05 14 3.36271e-05 15 2.85743e-06 16 4.55633 17 0.469729 18 1.37746e-05 19 8.99917 20 1.18128 21 6.57167e-07 22 6.28177 23 7.05912e-06 24 0.0936863 25 0.0865015 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6879033 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.363e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 8.650e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 9.369e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.33369573329e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00101542696341 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 29175.7621267 delta logL = -0.0742233325182 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879043 delta logL = -9.26411303226e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11899E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .41742 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3753 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90409 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 227 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3922 1.7782 .18969E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 .20920E-04 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.37222E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.39215 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904005 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2855 2.2243 .18969E-04 -.32739 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 -.81344 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.52396e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.58084e-07 2 1.82287 3 1.08361 4 1.29203 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879033 delta logL = 2.98314262182e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.581e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 3.392e+00 1.823e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 1.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 1.084e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34173612/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.33e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 13:19:18.919072', job_id='34173612', GAL2='0.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1785874758.92', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.90', dlogl='2.98e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 13:19:19 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6879033 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.363e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 8.650e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 9.369e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.33369573329e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00101542696341 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 29175.7621267 delta logL = -0.0742233325182 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879043 delta logL = -9.26411303226e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11899E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .41742 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3753 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90409 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 227 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3922 1.7782 .18969E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 .20920E-04 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.37222E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.39215 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904005 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2855 2.2243 .18969E-04 -.32739 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 -.81344 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.52396e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.58084e-07 2 1.82287 3 1.08361 4 1.29203 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879033 delta logL = 2.98314262182e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.581e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 3.392e+00 1.823e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 1.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 1.084e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34173672/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.33e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 13:20:12.500783', job_id='34173672', GAL2='0.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1785874812.5', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.90', dlogl='2.98e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 13:20:13 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6879033 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.363e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 8.650e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 9.369e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.33369573329e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00101542696341 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 29175.7621267 delta logL = -0.0742233325182 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879043 delta logL = -9.26411303226e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11899E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .41742 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3753 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90409 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 227 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3922 1.7782 .18969E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 .20920E-04 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.37222E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.39215 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904005 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2855 2.2243 .18969E-04 -.32739 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 -.81344 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.52396e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.58084e-07 2 1.82287 3 1.08361 4 1.29203 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879033 delta logL = 2.98314262182e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.581e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 3.392e+00 1.823e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 1.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 1.084e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34173616/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.33e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 13:20:52.592640', job_id='34173616', GAL2='0.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1785874852.59', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.90', dlogl='2.98e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 13:20:53 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 17.37 user 16.50 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 62.55 user 58.15 sys 3.69 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/cmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits.....................! real 63.37 user 61.61 sys 0.90 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34174313/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.7183361 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6890804 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 43.275 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17383E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 23.643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .30312E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .15875E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 65.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.5576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .98607E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.4452 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.0724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .94369E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .14533E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .54829E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10341E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.7228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.5674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12954E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 11.219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .25908 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .19706E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.6768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .23315E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.3765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .90354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 2122 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 43.281 7.2751 -.86407E-06 .20173E-01 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7021 -.31488E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 23.613 3.5299 -.45667E-07 -.20628E-01 4 norm .11102E-09 3.1854 .14918E-05** at limit ** 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4670 .10843E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.450 .12332E-05 .17124E-02 7 norm 3.5585 2.5134 .13468E-06 .31234E-02 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.735 .15255E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9721 -.19750E-06 -.63418E-02 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4540 .75534E-07 -.43015E-03 11 norm .0000 .12540 -.61128E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 .22931 -.44850E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1292 -.32673E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4411 -.15716E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 4.6906 .24773E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5627 .41237E-07 .23002E-02 17 norm 1.5679 .46620 -.30298E-07 .76680E-02 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91623 .10085E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 11.220 1.1053 .16174E-06 -.13270E-03 20 norm .25477 6.9496 .25927E-05 -.50262E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 .24540 .71649E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2706 .51237E-06 -.61322E-02 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33115 .17324E-06** at limit ** 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .11244 .61622E-05 -.98865E-03 25 Prefactor .90400 .10297 -.85085E-05 -.12965E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 43.2806 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 23.6128 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 66.4688 norm = 3.55846 Prefactor = 8.32667e-10 Prefactor = 1.44592 Prefactor = 5.07828 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.77337 norm = 1.56785 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 11.2196 norm = 0.254772 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.67598 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904003 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 481 CALLS 2603 TOTAL EDM= .23E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 43.281 7.7327 .15203E-03 -1.5576 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7714 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 23.613 9.0428 .20571E-03 -1.5611 4 norm .11102E-09 3.3532 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .22204E-09 1.4648 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 66.469 27.126 .12351E-03 -1.5545 7 norm 3.5585 2.5125 .53560E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .83267E-09 13.269 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.4459 1.9950 .89647E-03 -1.5684 10 Prefactor 5.0783 2.4549 .44621E-03 -1.5663 11 norm .0000 .12489 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 .22929 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.1273 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 6.4447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.7455 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7734 4.5563 .41964E-03 -1.5660 17 norm 1.5679 .46973 .84904E-03 -1.5683 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .91309 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 11.220 8.9992 .29886E-03 -1.5641 20 norm .25477 1.3693 .77640E-02 -1.5698 21 Prefactor .0000 .24481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 2.6760 6.2818 .62259E-03 -1.5675 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33118 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Normalizat 1.3754 .93675E-01 .54771E-01 -.81344 25 Prefactor .90400 .86488E-01 .45050E-01 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.28509e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.73266 2 6.83919e-05 3 9.0428 4 3.48173e-05 5 3.37577e-05 6 27.1259 7 2.5125 8 0.000210115 9 1.99501 10 2.45493 11 4.5385e-07 12 3.31246e-06 13 1.23858e-05 14 3.36271e-05 15 2.85743e-06 16 4.55633 17 0.469729 18 1.37746e-05 19 8.99917 20 1.18128 21 6.57167e-07 22 6.28177 23 7.05912e-06 24 0.0936863 25 0.0865015 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 29175.6879033 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.363e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 8.650e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 9.369e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.33369573329e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00101542696341 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 29175.7621267 delta logL = -0.0742233325182 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879043 delta logL = -9.26411303226e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11899E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .41742 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3753 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90409 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 227 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3922 1.7782 .18969E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 .20920E-04 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.37222E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.39215 Normalizat = 1.37536 Prefactor = 0.904005 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 29175.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .45E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .81606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2855 2.2243 .18969E-04 -.32739 3 Normalizat 1.3754 1.0657 -.36503E-06 -.81344 4 Prefactor .90400 1.2488 .36048E-06 -.96001 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.52396e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.58084e-07 2 1.82287 3 1.08361 4 1.29203 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 29175.6879033 delta logL = 2.98314262182e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.581e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 3.392e+00 1.823e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 9.040e-01 1.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.375e+00 1.084e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34174313/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.33e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 13:30:11.017389', job_id='34174313', GAL2='0.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1785875411.02', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.90', dlogl='2.98e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 13:30:11 PDT 2026