/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17701 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882 RA = 229.222, Dec = 36.8505 tmin = 772416001, tmax = 773020801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='7238752', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-07-01 11:59:08.827989', time_epoch_executed='1751396348.83' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='882' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=772416001.0 && nMetStart<773020801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=772416001.0 && nMetStart<773020801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=772416001.0 && nMetStart<773020801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits ra=229.222 dec=36.8505 rad=12.0 tmin=772416001.0 tmax=773020801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 11.29 user 7.04 sys 0.60 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 3.25 user 0.26 sys 0.18 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1084 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ltcube_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits .....................! real 23.61 user 20.95 sys 0.42 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ltcube_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/expmap_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ltcube_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits .....................! real 80.37 user 71.19 sys 4.49 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/cmap_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 2.85 user 0.30 sys 0.17 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/cmap_HighResolution_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 2.77 user 0.31 sys 0.16 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits.....................! real 41.01 user 36.57 sys 1.29 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/expmap_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ltcube_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/7238752/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/expmap_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/ltcube_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11995.2461723 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11995.242037 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 5.3912 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .83864E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 21.510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.8314 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .15172E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 25.020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .91549E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 4.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.3499 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .90153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .36326E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .23223E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 16.562 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10484E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .97788E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 2.3581 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .55503 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .13048E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.4157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .13856E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .89676E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .30018 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.2337 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .81674 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11995.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 2196 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 5.3666 4.7865 -.22397E-06 -.55051E-03 2 Prefactor .59674E-07 6.2949 .42251E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 21.505 8.9973 -.98052E-06 -.28962E-03 4 norm 4.9470 7.8583 .43672E-06 .62373E-04 5 norm .49960E-09 8.3120 .12918E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 24.574 30.901 .22820E-05 -.10080E-02 7 norm .0000 3.0717 .40637E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 7.9555 9.6801 -.99498E-07 -.76904E-03 9 Prefactor 4.3893 3.9525 .29649E-06 -.21528E-02 10 Prefactor 3.3548 3.2690 -.16061E-06 .15156E-02 11 norm .89849 .82254 -.14576E-06 -.10633E-02 12 norm .0000 .94477 -.48097E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .11657E-08 37.104 .19810E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 16.569 2.3325 -.19216E-06 -.41543E-02 15 Prefactor .50238E-07 7.4313 -.21287E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 112.81 -.63034E-05** at limit ** 17 norm 2.3575 .99582 .17414E-06 -.37912E-03 18 Prefactor .55863 11.813 -.43609E-05 -.66807E-02 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 15.206 -.57933E-07** at limit ** 20 norm 2.3713 6.7037 -.19427E-06 .68806E-04 21 Prefactor .0000 .98319 -.17402E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .0000 3.0612 -.11948E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .29714 4.0413 .98425E-07 .11047E-02 24 Normalizat 1.2340 .15421 .70115E-05 .13721E-03 25 Prefactor .81675 .14053 -.60393E-05 .70715E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 5.36664 Prefactor = 5.96745e-08 Prefactor = 21.505 norm = 4.94702 norm = 4.996e-10 Prefactor = 24.5739 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.95554 Prefactor = 4.38934 Prefactor = 3.35483 norm = 0.898485 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 16.5689 Prefactor = 5.02376e-08 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 2.35746 Prefactor = 0.558633 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 norm = 2.37131 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.297137 Normalizat = 1.23403 Prefactor = 0.816745 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11995.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 499 CALLS 2695 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 5.3666 4.8198 .43256E-03 -1.5662 2 Prefactor .59674E-07 11.113 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 21.505 14.492 .21567E-03 -1.5615 4 norm 4.9470 8.1077 .45743E-03 -1.5663 5 norm .49960E-09 8.3808 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 24.574 30.938 .19996E-03 -1.5609 7 norm .0000 3.0742 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 7.9555 9.7266 .35741E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 4.3893 3.9709 .48237E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor 3.3548 3.2792 .55270E-03 -1.5671 11 norm .89849 .83314 .45654E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .0000 .94533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11657E-08 2.3625 .10808E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 16.569 34.070 .24584E-03 -1.5627 15 Prefactor .50238E-07 11.396 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 8.6266 .63758E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.3575 1.1768 .66714E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .55863 31.006 .73357E-03 -1.5693 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 15.312 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 2.3713 6.7179 .65833E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .0000 .97417 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .0000 3.0703 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .29714 1.5790 .42009E-02 -1.5697 24 Normalizat 1.2340 .13248 .51346E-01 -.85558 25 Prefactor .81675 .11860 .43935E-01 -.99114 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02798e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.81983 2 0.00162847 3 14.4918 4 8.10772 5 0.00013133 6 30.9378 7 7.21554e-06 8 9.7266 9 3.97086 10 3.27924 11 0.833135 12 3.96711e-06 13 0.000104261 14 34.07 15 0.00151295 16 0.000153269 17 1.1768 18 8.32379 19 0.000161072 20 6.71791 21 3.51068e-06 22 1.82739e-05 23 1.36992 24 0.132512 25 0.11864 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11995.2412325 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 1.657e+01 3.407e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 8.167e-01 1.186e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.234e+00 1.325e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.30 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.34593337587e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00330883410725 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/likelihoodResults_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11995.1695343 delta logL = 0.0716981459063 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11995.1413095 delta logL = 0.099922961972 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 26.595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8151 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2370 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81410 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11995.14 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 84 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 26.592 45.323 .77578E-05 .31126E-02 2 Index 1.8151 .77218 .14647E-01 .17192E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2370 .14588 .22677E-03 -.14860E-03 4 Prefactor .81409 .13929 .25947E-03 -.28007E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 26.5915 Index = 1.81513 Normalizat = 1.23704 Prefactor = 0.814086 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11995.14 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 278 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 26.592 44.767 .15516E-05 -1.5605 2 Index 1.8151 .76341 .58587E-03 -.69057 3 Normalizat 1.2370 .14601 .90707E-05 -.85466 4 Prefactor .81409 .13942 .10379E-04 -.99211 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.695e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 44.7678 2 0.768492 3 0.146058 4 0.139482 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11995.1413095 delta logL = 0.0999229815588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 2.659e+01 4.477e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 1.815e+00 7.685e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 8.141e-01 1.395e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 1.237e+00 1.461e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.30 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/7238752/cmap_HighResolution_772416001_773020801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin882.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.31e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2025-07-01 12:31:20.219945', job_id='7238752', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.24', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1751398280.22', return_code2='0', ts='0.30', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.82', dlogl='9.99e-02', ts2='0.50', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='882' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 1 12:31:22 PDT 2025