/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17422 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802 RA = 229.222, Dec = 36.8505 tmin = 724032001, tmax = 724636801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36606829', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2023-12-19 00:55:55.727364', time_epoch_executed='1702976155.73' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='802' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=724032001.0 && nMetStart<724636801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=724032001.0 && nMetStart<724636801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=724032001.0 && nMetStart<724636801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits ra=229.222 dec=36.8505 rad=12.0 tmin=724032001.0 tmax=724636801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.47 user 4.19 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.37 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1412 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ltcube_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits .....................! real 27.95 user 27.46 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ltcube_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/expmap_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ltcube_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits .....................! real 66.06 user 62.18 sys 3.61 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.8+3651 @ 229.222 36.8505 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/cmap_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.38 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/cmap_HighResolution_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.222 yref=36.8505 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.39 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits.....................! real 39.82 user 38.95 sys 0.68 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/expmap_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ltcube_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36606829/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.8+3651' 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 6.183e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ft2_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/expmap_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/ltcube_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/Model_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15510.3908191 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15510.3817583 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.2839 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .62613 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .14622E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 3.4161 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 15.728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .19007E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 2.3055 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .35830E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .12667E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18247E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .14225E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .42268E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 42.695 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.7255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .10182E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .74124 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .50174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .82146E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .95788E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28572 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .17872E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .62676 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' .91733 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' 1.0706 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15510.38 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 138 CALLS 2177 TOTAL EDM= .64E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.2843 2.3656 -.29166E-07 .16381E-02 2 Prefactor 15.924 9.7455 .12111E-05 .49478E-01 3 Prefactor .49916 39.940 -.34461E-05 .17979E-01 4 norm .27200E-08 6.8921 -.18517E-06** at limit ** 5 norm 3.3957 3.0064 -.14616E-06 -.13108E-02 6 Prefactor 15.728 5.7219 -.31892E-06 -.16627E-01 7 norm .0000 .91949 .24769E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 2.3076 7.2172 .39316E-07 .11501E-02 9 Prefactor .0000 1.1927 -.20388E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .21649E-07 1.4125 -.50914E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .22519 .36274E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .11102E-09 .75146 -.11591E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12712E-07 1.6020 .42834E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 42.694 1.3300 .45854E-07 -.66050E-02 15 Prefactor 9.6789 2.9552 -.39981E-06 .23698E-02 16 Prefactor .49960E-08 16.390 .16642E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .73910 .56947 .17878E-06 .35276E-02 18 Prefactor .53752 7.6195 -.25944E-05 .80654E-02 19 Prefactor .71089E-05 17.169 .74899E-07** at limit ** 20 norm .33307E-09 5.1081 .30336E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .28494 1.1797 .31875E-06 -.29891E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7664 .49356E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .63740 1.6543 .10770E-06 .33030E-03 24 Normalizat .91760 .12044 .83628E-05 .14324E-03 25 Prefactor 1.0705 .11958 -.46658E-05 .15699E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.28425 Prefactor = 15.9239 Prefactor = 0.49916 norm = 2.72005e-09 norm = 3.39566 Prefactor = 15.7276 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.30759 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.16493e-08 norm = 0 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.27121e-08 Prefactor = 42.6942 Prefactor = 9.67895 Prefactor = 4.996e-09 norm = 0.739095 Prefactor = 0.537517 Prefactor = 7.10892e-06 norm = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 0.284938 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.637398 Normalizat = 0.917603 Prefactor = 1.07045 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15510.38 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 489 CALLS 2666 TOTAL EDM= .90E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.2843 2.3848 .67906E-03 -1.5678 2 Prefactor 15.924 13.864 .25128E-03 -1.5628 3 Prefactor .49916 71.925 .66919E-03 -1.5694 4 norm .27200E-08 7.0620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 3.3957 3.0168 .54707E-03 -1.5671 6 Prefactor 15.728 19.457 .25228E-03 -1.5629 7 norm .0000 .92632 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 2.3076 7.3026 .67551E-03 -1.5678 9 Prefactor .0000 1.2062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .21649E-07 2.8011 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .22505 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .11102E-09 .88293 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12712E-07 2.8725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 42.694 33.538 .15306E-03 -1.5577 15 Prefactor 9.6789 9.3911 .32109E-03 -1.5646 16 Prefactor .49960E-08 16.336 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .73910 .62243 .57421E-03 -1.5691 18 Prefactor .53752 3.1322 .78534E-02 -1.5693 19 Prefactor .71089E-05 9.2489 .14436E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm .33307E-09 5.2846 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .28494 .86217 .33483E-02 -1.5697 22 Prefactor .0000 2.8636 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .63740 1.6804 .66865E-03 -1.5692 24 Normalizat .91760 .10788 .45123E-01 -.95844 25 Prefactor 1.0705 .10250 .38828E-01 -.90417 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.00196e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.38476 2 13.8636 3 11.9838 4 0.000277459 5 3.01679 6 19.4567 7 2.49006e-06 8 7.30264 9 2.4583e-06 10 0.000492809 11 2.44673e-06 12 1.8992e-05 13 0.000382506 14 33.5385 15 9.39109 16 0.00057286 17 0.622429 18 2.59507 19 0.0162173 20 8.60182e-05 21 0.862166 22 9.60419e-06 23 1.68042 24 0.107903 25 0.102521 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15510.3809355 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 4.269e+01 3.354e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.190e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 1.070e+00 1.025e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 9.176e-01 1.079e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.68 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.73e-08 +/- 1.36e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.90e-06 +/- 6.20e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 2.68 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.77538738873e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00363580462483 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/likelihoodResults_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15509.8955874 delta logL = 0.485348102449 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15509.8840486 delta logL = 0.496886932937 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 17.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.9361 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .89094 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0868 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 15509.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 93 CALLS 302 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 17.568 239.67 .95503E-05 -.87613E-03 2 Index 2.9361 3.3679 .65471E-02 .16096E-02 3 Normalizat .89104 .15962 .24189E-03 -.24290E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0866 .14342 .22126E-03 .42991E-03 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15509.88 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 93 CALLS 395 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 17.568 239.67 .25431E-04 -1.5624 2 Index 2.9361 3.3679 .66419E-03 -.42551 3 Normalizat .89104 .15962 .15077E-03 -.96776 4 Prefactor 1.0866 .14342 .11330E-03 -.89895 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15509.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 29 CALLS 424 TOTAL EDM= .50E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 17.569 29.884 .38201E-06 .22462E-03 2 Index 2.9360 .86628 .13094E-02 -.64422E-04 3 Normalizat .89105 .12296 .96754E-05 -.17625E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0866 .12058 .44253E-04 .34107E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 17.5688 Index = 2.93605 Normalizat = 0.891046 Prefactor = 1.08663 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15509.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 447 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 17.569 27.243 .37251E-06 -1.5624 2 Index 2.9360 .79008 .52377E-04 -.42552 3 Normalizat .89105 .12250 .19351E-05 -.96775 4 Prefactor 1.0866 .12029 .88505E-05 -.89895 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.92271e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2433 2 0.794093 3 0.122536 4 0.120322 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15509.8840463 delta logL = 0.496889166758 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.8+3651 Spectrum: PowerLaw 279 Prefactor: 1.757e+01 2.724e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 280 Index: 2.936e+00 7.941e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 281 Scale: 1.677e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 591 Prefactor: 1.087e+00 1.203e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 592 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 593 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 590 Normalization: 8.910e-01 1.225e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.73 Ra Dec: 229.222 36.850 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.94 +/- 0.79 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.58e-08 +/- 2.69e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.39e-06 +/- 4.64e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36606829/cmap_HighResolution_724032001_724636801_4FGL_J1516.8+3651_weekly_bin802.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.64e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.73e-08', energy_flux2='7.39e-06', photon_flux_error='1.36e-08', dlogl='4.97e-01', energy_flux='7.90e-06', photon_flux2='3.58e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2023-12-19 01:05:23.314421', photon_index_error2='0.79', photon_index2='2.94', ts='2.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.78e-08', energy_flux_error2='4.64e-06', EG='0.92', time_epoch_completed='1702976723.31', return_code='0', job_id='36606829', GAL2='1.09', EG2='0.89', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='6.20e-06', photon_flux_error2='2.69e-08', ts2='3.73', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='802' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.8+3651' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Dec 19 01:05:23 PST 2023