/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 = 0 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 61371e-07 10 0.000146342 7071 11 9.50964e-08 3227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278284/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278284/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:30:41.105101', job_id='39278284', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537441.11', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:30:42 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278332/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278332/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:30:51.629098', job_id='39278332', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537451.63', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:30:52 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 7.58 user 6.81 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 60.62 user 56.37 sys 3.38 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.14 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.22 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278350/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278348/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278350/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:31:11.698547', job_id='39278350', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537471.7', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:31:12 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278348/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:31:15.686831', job_id='39278348', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537475.69', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:31:16 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 7.56 user 6.77 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 61.20 user 55.53 sys 3.57 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.17 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.14 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 22.45 user 21.07 sys 0.63 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278396/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278396/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278275/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.50 user 7.67 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 68.96 user 64.10 sys 3.92 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.12 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALshell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278275/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:31:32.025106', job_id='39278275', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537492.03', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:31:32 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 9.17 user 8.41 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 75.56 user 69.78 sys 4.46 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.19 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.07 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 19.17 user 17.59 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278559/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278396/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:32:43.068064', job_id='39278396', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537563.07', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:32:43 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 19.34 user 17.54 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278455/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 21.62 user 19.78 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278435/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 number of points = 7660 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 23.39 user 21.32 sys 1.26 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278432/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 811900801, tmax = 812160001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39278842', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-27 12:29:54.684922', time_epoch_executed='1790537394.68' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2209' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=811900801.0 tmax=812160001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.36 user 2.66 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.86 user 0.17 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 600 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278559/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:33:41.200715', job_id='39278559', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537621.2', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:33:41 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 number of points = 7660 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 811900801, tmax = 812160001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39278944', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-27 12:30:39.385170', time_epoch_executed='1790537439.39' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2209' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=811900801.0 tmax=812160001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.49 user 2.80 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.96 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 600 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278455/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:34:12.826982', job_id='39278455', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537652.83', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:34:13 PDT 2026 number of points = 7660 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 811900801, tmax = 812160001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39278881', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-27 12:30:39.602827', time_epoch_executed='1790537439.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2209' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=811900801.0 tmax=812160001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.56 user 2.72 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.93 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 600 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278435/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:34:26.698608', job_id='39278435', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537666.7', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:34:27 PDT 2026 number of points = 7660 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 811900801, tmax = 812160001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39279020', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-27 12:31:00.697544', time_epoch_executed='1790537460.7' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2209' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=811900801.0 tmax=812160001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.81 user 2.96 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 600 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278432/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:34:43.381024', job_id='39278432', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537683.38', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:34:43 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.56 user 7.82 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 64.06 user 59.47 sys 3.65 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.83 user 7.82 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 70.20 user 65.41 sys 3.85 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.13 user 7.39 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 84.58 user 79.73 sys 3.94 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_file=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.98 user 8.06 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 73.87 user 68.42 sys 4.33 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL__V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 21.21 user 19.40 sys 1.22 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278842/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 21.59 user 20.37 sys 0.58 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278944/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278842/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:37:56.829951', job_id='39278842', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537876.83', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:37:56 PDT 2026 V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 21.79 user 19.99 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39278881/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits....................! real 23.49 user 21.61 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39279020/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.28414286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15893044 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.9309 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 11.693 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .46437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .50981E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 11.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13273E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.0848 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.8719 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .37699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23045E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .32474E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.2362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .79460E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .25574E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 1.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13812E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .98983E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .14420E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 9.8170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .94957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.425 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .43789E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .38136E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 35.887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .83660 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.1331 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 158 CALLS 2198 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4411 -.88681E-06 .45865E-03 2 Prefactor 11.826 1.1746 -.84505E-07 -.35700E-02 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 4.1995 -.38849E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 4.3680 -.60036E-05** at limit ** 5 norm 11.072 1.1200 -.18178E-07 -.73657E-02 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.685 -.16431E-04** at limit ** 7 norm 7.0485 6.8747 .10976E-05 -.67700E-03 8 Prefactor 8.8777 1.1448 -.30083E-07 -.44618E-03 9 norm .0000 2.9262 -.25992E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3028 .56832E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .50319 -.77702E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3922 .26487E-07 .99602E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4654 -.15073E-05** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .51171 -.17953E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 1.5300 2.8396 .15103E-05 -.17737E-02 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.3244 .19769E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.361 .27758E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 4.9181 .60986E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.8880 .32326E-06 -.24551E-02 20 norm .13323E-08 4.7099 .57727E-05** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 12.031 2.0262 .43744E-06 .16018E-01 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 27.188 .89506E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6938 .43823E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 36.789 6.0582 -.79371E-06 .32692E-01 25 Normalizat .83603 .18742 -.51334E-04 .35182E-04 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .20514 .86686E-05 -.75867E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.89585 Prefactor = 11.8257 Prefactor = 1.52811e-06 Prefactor = 1.19965e-06 norm = 11.0717 Prefactor = 4.77951e-08 norm = 7.04852 Prefactor = 8.87774 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.12291 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 1.53 Prefactor = 9.84213e-08 Prefactor = 5.62328e-08 Prefactor = 1.61371e-07 Prefactor = 9.87071 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 12.0307 Prefactor = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 36.7891 Normalizat = 0.836028 Prefactor = 1.1335 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278944/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:38:32.405623', job_id='39278944', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537912.41', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:38:32 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 504 CALLS 2702 TOTAL EDM= .43E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.8959 4.4869 .45270E-03 -1.5664 2 Prefactor 11.826 18.447 .29271E-03 -1.5639 3 Prefactor .15281E-05 8.2847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11997E-05 7.5299 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 11.072 11.259 .30078E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .47795E-07 62.757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 7.0485 6.9169 .37664E-03 -1.5655 8 Prefactor 8.8777 12.111 .33627E-03 -1.5648 9 norm .0000 2.9254 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.3115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .50016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.1229 6.3995 .32953E-03 -1.5648 13 Prefactor .0000 1.4664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .51002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 1.5300 2.8728 .86152E-03 -1.5683 16 Prefactor .98421E-07 6.5584 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .56233E-07 20.554 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .16137E-06 9.8800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.8707 8.9416 .31958E-03 -1.5645 20 norm .13323E-08 9.7921 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 12.031 23.555 .28392E-03 -1.5639 22 Prefactor .16931E-07 28.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.6869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 36.789 26.572 .16695E-03 -1.5587 25 Normalizat .83603 .16098 .44086E-01 -.98746 26 Prefactor 1.1335 .17282 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.33163e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.48694 2 18.4468 3 0.00711612 4 0.00601108 5 11.2594 6 0.00346441 7 6.9169 8 12.1112 9 2.09707e-06 10 0.000146342 11 9.50964e-08 12 6.39949 13 3.38172e-06 14 1.38491e-06 15 2.87277 16 0.00160673 17 0.00215002 18 0.00252526 19 8.94159 20 0.000228771 21 23.5553 22 0.00140024 23 2.32348e-05 24 26.5725 25 0.161074 26 0.172903 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39278881/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:39:22.648064', job_id='39278881', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537962.65', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:39:22 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6584.15773499 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 9.842e-08 1.607e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 1.729e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.611e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.10166254584e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00473448413847 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.23726253 delta logL = -0.0795275422097 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15777565 delta logL = -4.06657527492e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .75604E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8684 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .83690 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6584.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 405.66 -.45272E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 1.6771 1.9989 .22893E-07 -.66196E-09 3 Normalizat .83603 .18440 -.38626E-05 .96546E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20410 -.74080E-05 .14971E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.973e-08 Index = 1.67711 Normalizat = 0.836026 Prefactor = 1.13351 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6584.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 45 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .19E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .59730E-07 .30511E-01 .77849E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.6771 6.6964 .50000 -.72693 3 Normalizat .83603 .18941E-03 .44090E-01 -.98746 4 Prefactor 1.1335 .20934E-03 .53778E-01 -.88403 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.94949e-14 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.53806e-05 2 196.87 3 0.000189413 4 0.000209339 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6584.15773498 delta logL = 7.42511474527e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 5.973e-08 8.538e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 1.677e+00 1.969e+02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.134e+00 2.093e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 8.360e-01 1.894e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39279020/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.73e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.10e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 12:39:42.595969', job_id='39279020', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.84', EG='0.84', time_epoch_completed='1790537982.6', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='7.43e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 12:39:42 PDT 2026