********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509188/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits.....................! real 34.04 user 32.03 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31509299/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31509299/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6443954 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6248914 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14777E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .55705E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .12648E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.5001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .60081E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 61.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.7245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.7378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .34431E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 1.9659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .58808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .22787E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .77143 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .36198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .29512E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 53.658 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .36351E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.3790 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .38239E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 24.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .90740E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .29317E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .92533 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 *********shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509188/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:15:03.222739', job_id='31509188', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923303.22', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:15:04 PDT 2026 * ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 192 CALLS 2297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4713 -.21934E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.579 .24637E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 11.125 -.50648E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 4.5340 3.1295 .26956E-06 .16355E-01 5 norm .15710E-07 4.4454 -.78794E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 61.180 4.4701 .17152E-07 .38089E-01 7 norm 7.7076 5.4745 -.31671E-06 -.23370E-03 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.2475 -.22407E-06 .27148E-03 9 norm .72253E-04 107.36 -.10335E-04** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .75310 1.0956 -.80001E-06 -.20202E-02 11 norm 1.9660 .92646 -.24790E-07 .15134E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2926 -.28181E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 .68517 -.23117E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .77204 .67019 -.28966E-08 -.86506E-03 15 norm .36127 1.4375 -.18735E-06 .89301E-03 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8418 .89006E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 53.396 17.144 -.55056E-06 -.74003E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 2.8966 -.23141E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.6569 -.16034E-06 .22836E-02 20 norm 2.3837 8.5169 .26600E-05 .86267E-02 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7153 .10113E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 24.312 16.288 -.11122E-05 .13650 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.0570 -.16958E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.293 .20260E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .92531 .14228 -.11701E-05 .16296E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .15361 .13045E-05 .68729E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.77944e-07 Prefactor = 1.34848e-06 Prefactor = 4.53398 norm = 1.57097e-08 Prefactor = 61.1802 norm = 7.70763 Prefactor = 1.73708 norm = 7.22533e-05 Prefactor = 0.753095 norm = 1.96596 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.772036 norm = 0.361274 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 53.3958 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 10.9675 norm = 2.38371 Prefactor = 4.44089e-09 Prefactor = 24.3124 Prefactor = 1.21014e-08 Prefactor = 3.60545e-07 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509192/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509192/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:15:38.101645', job_id='31509192', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923338.1', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:15:38 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits.....................! real 35.25 user 33.10 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31509338/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31509338/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6443954 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6248914 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14777E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .55705E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .12648E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.5001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .60081E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 61.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.7245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.7378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .34431E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 1.9659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .58808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .22787E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .77143 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .36198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .29512E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 53.658 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .36351E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.3790 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .38239E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 24.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .90740E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .29317E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .92533 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********* ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 * ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 192 CALLS 2297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4713 -.21934E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.579 .24637E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 11.125 -.50648E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 4.5340 3.1295 .26956E-06 .16355E-01 5 norm .15710E-07 4.4454 -.78794E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 61.180 4.4701 .17152E-07 .38089E-01 7 norm 7.7076 5.4745 -.31671E-06 -.23370E-03 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.2475 -.22407E-06 .27148E-03 9 norm .72253E-04 107.36 -.10335E-04** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .75310 1.0956 -.80001E-06 -.20202E-02 11 norm 1.9660 .92646 -.24790E-07 .15134E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2926 -.28181E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 .68517 -.23117E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .77204 .67019 -.28966E-08 -.86506E-03 15 norm .36127 1.4375 -.18735E-06 .89301E-03 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8418 .89006E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 53.396 17.144 -.55056E-06 -.74003E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 2.8966 -.23141E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.6569 -.16034E-06 .22836E-02 20 norm 2.3837 8.5169 .26600E-05 .86267E-02 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7153 .10113E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 24.312 16.288 -.11122E-05 .13650 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.0570 -.16958E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.293 .20260E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .92531 .14228 -.11701E-05 .16296E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .15361 .13045E-05 .68729E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.77944e-07 Prefactor = 1.34848e-06 Prefactor = 4.53398 norm = 1.57097e-08 Prefactor = 61.1802 norm = 7.70763 Prefactor = 1.73708 norm = 7.22533e-05 Prefactor = 0.753095 norm = 1.96596 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.772036 norm = 0.361274 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 53.3958 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 10.9675 norm = 2.38371 Prefactor = 4.44089e-09 Prefactor = 24.3124 Prefactor = 1.21014e-08 Prefactor = 3.60545e-07 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 AL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits.....................! real 35.46 user 33.29 sys 1.13 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31509362/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31509362/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6443954 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6248914 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14777E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .55705E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .12648E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.5001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .60081E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 61.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.7245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.7378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .34431E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 1.9659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .58808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .22787E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .77143 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .36198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .29512E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 53.658 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .36351E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.3790 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .38239E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 24.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .90740E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .29317E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .92533 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509299/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:17:05.575437', job_id='31509299', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923425.58', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:17:06 PDT 2026 ** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 192 CALLS 2297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4713 -.21934E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.579 .24637E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 11.125 -.50648E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 4.5340 3.1295 .26956E-06 .16355E-01 5 norm .15710E-07 4.4454 -.78794E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 61.180 4.4701 .17152E-07 .38089E-01 7 norm 7.7076 5.4745 -.31671E-06 -.23370E-03 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.2475 -.22407E-06 .27148E-03 9 norm .72253E-04 107.36 -.10335E-04** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .75310 1.0956 -.80001E-06 -.20202E-02 11 norm 1.9660 .92646 -.24790E-07 .15134E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2926 -.28181E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 .68517 -.23117E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .77204 .67019 -.28966E-08 -.86506E-03 15 norm .36127 1.4375 -.18735E-06 .89301E-03 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8418 .89006E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 53.396 17.144 -.55056E-06 -.74003E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 2.8966 -.23141E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.6569 -.16034E-06 .22836E-02 20 norm 2.3837 8.5169 .26600E-05 .86267E-02 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7153 .10113E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 24.312 16.288 -.11122E-05 .13650 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.0570 -.16958E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.293 .20260E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .92531 .14228 -.11701E-05 .16296E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .15361 .13045E-05 .68729E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.77944e-07 Prefactor = 1.34848e-06 Prefactor = 4.53398 norm = 1.57097e-08 Prefactor = 61.1802 norm = 7.70763 Prefactor = 1.73708 norm = 7.22533e-05 Prefactor = 0.753095 norm = 1.96596 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.772036 norm = 0.361274 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 53.3958 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 10.9675 norm = 2.38371 Prefactor = 4.44089e-09 Prefactor = 24.3124 Prefactor = 1.21014e-08 Prefactor = 3.60545e-07 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 number of points = 7626 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 803088001, tmax = 803347201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31509745', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 23:14:46.769280', time_epoch_executed='1783923286.77' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2175' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=803088001.0 tmax=803347201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.49 user 1.76 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.73 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1085 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" onumber of points = 7626 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175 RA = 229.049, Dec = 43.8527 tmin = 803088001, tmax = 803347201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31509756', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 23:14:46.877924', time_epoch_executed='1783923286.88' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2175' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803088001.0 && nMetStart<803347201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits ra=229.049 dec=43.8527 rad=12.0 tmin=803088001.0 tmax=803347201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.16 user 1.59 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.85 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1085 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509338/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:17:35.429326', job_id='31509338', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923455.43', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:17:35 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509362/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:18:55.731532', job_id='31509362', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923535.73', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:18:56 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits .....................! real 8.72 user 8.05 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits .....................! real 67.97 user 63.46 sys 3.73 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/cmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.20 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits .....................! real 9.78 user 8.98 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits .....................! real 75.68 user 70.47 sys 4.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 195 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1516.1+4351 @ 229.049 43.8527 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/cmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=229.049 yref=43.8527 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits.....................! real 32.36 user 30.37 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31509756/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6443954 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6248914 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14777E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .55705E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .12648E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.5001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .60081E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 61.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.7245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.7378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .34431E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 1.9659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .58808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .22787E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .77143 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .36198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .29512E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 53.658 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .36351E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.3790 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .38239E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 24.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .90740E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .29317E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .92533 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 192 CALLS 2297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4713 -.21934E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.579 .24637E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 11.125 -.50648E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 4.5340 3.1295 .26956E-06 .16355E-01 5 norm .15710E-07 4.4454 -.78794E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 61.180 4.4701 .17152E-07 .38089E-01 7 norm 7.7076 5.4745 -.31671E-06 -.23370E-03 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.2475 -.22407E-06 .27148E-03 9 norm .72253E-04 107.36 -.10335E-04** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .75310 1.0956 -.80001E-06 -.20202E-02 11 norm 1.9660 .92646 -.24790E-07 .15134E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2926 -.28181E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 .68517 -.23117E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .77204 .67019 -.28966E-08 -.86506E-03 15 norm .36127 1.4375 -.18735E-06 .89301E-03 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8418 .89006E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 53.396 17.144 -.55056E-06 -.74003E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 2.8966 -.23141E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.6569 -.16034E-06 .22836E-02 20 norm 2.3837 8.5169 .26600E-05 .86267E-02 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7153 .10113E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 24.312 16.288 -.11122E-05 .13650 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.0570 -.16958E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.293 .20260E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .92531 .14228 -.11701E-05 .16296E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .15361 .13045E-05 .68729E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.77944e-07 Prefactor = 1.34848e-06 Prefactor = 4.53398 norm = 1.57097e-08 Prefactor = 61.1802 norm = 7.70763 Prefactor = 1.73708 norm = 7.22533e-05 Prefactor = 0.753095 norm = 1.96596 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.772036 norm = 0.361274 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 53.3958 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 10.9675 norm = 2.38371 Prefactor = 4.44089e-09 Prefactor = 24.3124 Prefactor = 1.21014e-08 Prefactor = 3.60545e-07 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits.....................! real 35.77 user 33.92 sys 1.15 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31509745/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1516.1+4351' 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ft2_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/expmap_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/ltcube_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/Model_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6443954 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6248914 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14777E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .55705E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .12648E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.5001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .60081E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 61.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 7.7245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.7378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .34431E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 1.9659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .58808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .22787E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .77143 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .36198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .29512E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 53.658 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .36351E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.3790 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .38239E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 24.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .90740E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .29317E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .92533 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 192 CALLS 2297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4713 -.21934E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.579 .24637E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 11.125 -.50648E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 4.5340 3.1295 .26956E-06 .16355E-01 5 norm .15710E-07 4.4454 -.78794E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 61.180 4.4701 .17152E-07 .38089E-01 7 norm 7.7076 5.4745 -.31671E-06 -.23370E-03 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.2475 -.22407E-06 .27148E-03 9 norm .72253E-04 107.36 -.10335E-04** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .75310 1.0956 -.80001E-06 -.20202E-02 11 norm 1.9660 .92646 -.24790E-07 .15134E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2926 -.28181E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 .68517 -.23117E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .77204 .67019 -.28966E-08 -.86506E-03 15 norm .36127 1.4375 -.18735E-06 .89301E-03 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8418 .89006E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 53.396 17.144 -.55056E-06 -.74003E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 2.8966 -.23141E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.6569 -.16034E-06 .22836E-02 20 norm 2.3837 8.5169 .26600E-05 .86267E-02 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7153 .10113E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 24.312 16.288 -.11122E-05 .13650 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.0570 -.16958E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.293 .20260E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .92531 .14228 -.11701E-05 .16296E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .15361 .13045E-05 .68729E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.77944e-07 Prefactor = 1.34848e-06 Prefactor = 4.53398 norm = 1.57097e-08 Prefactor = 61.1802 norm = 7.70763 Prefactor = 1.73708 norm = 7.22533e-05 Prefactor = 0.753095 norm = 1.96596 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.772036 norm = 0.361274 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 53.3958 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 10.9675 norm = 2.38371 Prefactor = 4.44089e-09 Prefactor = 24.3124 Prefactor = 1.21014e-08 Prefactor = 3.60545e-07 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 512 CALLS 2809 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.4655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .27794E-06 10.741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13485E-05 12.235 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 4.5340 11.484 .47438E-03 -1.5665 5 norm .15710E-07 4.5534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 61.180 39.012 .12795E-03 -1.5552 7 norm 7.7076 5.5767 .36056E-03 -1.5652 8 Prefactor 1.7371 6.5228 .79567E-03 -1.5682 9 norm .72253E-04 2.1520 .64256E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .75310 24.246 .55932E-03 -1.5691 11 norm 1.9660 .92979 .73937E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .0000 1.2942 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 .68879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77204 .68033 .55089E-03 -1.5690 15 norm .36127 1.4710 .94031E-03 -1.5696 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.8485 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 53.396 41.625 .13653E-03 -1.5562 18 Prefactor .0000 2.9100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 10.968 7.7602 .30227E-03 -1.5642 20 norm 2.3837 8.5679 .66390E-03 -1.5677 21 Prefactor .44409E-08 4.7381 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 24.312 34.646 .20375E-03 -1.5609 23 Prefactor .12101E-07 7.1507 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .36054E-06 14.592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .92531 .12140 .45224E-01 -.95576 26 Prefactor 1.0146 .12924 .42722E-01 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.48465e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.65275e-05 2 0.00345575 3 0.00812372 4 11.4843 5 0.000534584 6 39.0122 7 5.57673 8 6.52287 9 0.0249389 10 8.54624 11 0.929794 12 4.04147e-06 13 2.83452e-06 14 0.680334 15 1.45799 16 2.7236e-05 17 41.6257 18 9.34928e-06 19 7.76023 20 8.56794 21 0.000290857 22 34.6461 23 0.000588983 24 0.00458752 25 0.121437 26 0.129279 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509756/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:24:04.263499', job_id='31509756', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923844.26', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:24:04 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11746.6245616 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.724e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.463e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.293e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.214e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24454325967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0025175496816 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/likelihoodResults_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6253439 delta logL = -0.000782279967098 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245618 delta logL = -1.72447471414e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .16687E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .96345 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .92532 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0147 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6270E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5308 1.9227 -.59112E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 .22918E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 .12465E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.53084 Normalizat = 0.925314 Prefactor = 1.01464 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11746.62 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .24E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.7240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .72256 2.0628 -.59112E-05 -.51649 3 Normalizat .92531 1.2594 -.19883E-04 -.95576 4 Prefactor 1.0146 1.2509 .16950E-04 -.92243 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.37903e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.56121e-07 2 1.99166 3 1.30338 4 1.28982 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11746.6245616 delta logL = 2.36468622461e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1516.1+4351 Spectrum: PowerLaw 296 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.561e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 297 Index: 2.531e+00 1.992e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 298 Scale: 1.335e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 624 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 1.290e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 625 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 626 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 623 Normalization: 9.253e-01 1.303e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 229.049 43.853 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31509745/cmap_HighResolution_803088001_803347201_4FGL_J1516.1+4351_daily_bin2175.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.24e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 23:24:34.859154', job_id='31509745', GAL2='1.01', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1783923874.86', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.01', dlogl='2.36e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.46' WHERE bin_id='2175' AND source_name='4FGL J1516.1+4351' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 23:24:35 PDT 2026