********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16521.20 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 129 CALLS 931 TOTAL EDM= .22E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.3280 4.9940 .21435E-04 -1.5666 2 Prefactor .11713E-07 2514.9 .13514E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .27756E-09 21.990 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.7620 2.6401 .24495E-04 -1.5681 5 norm 6.0685 3.1602 .80093E-04 -1.5659 6 norm .13441 .59757E-01 .20065E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.3056 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 5.1295 4.4080 .88710E-04 -1.5663 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 49.539 .91038E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.608 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0950 .19940 .42606E-03 -.89912 12 Prefactor .98548 .69568E-01 .15655E-03 -.93215 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.20252e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.99403 2 0.0108508 3 0.000161198 4 2.64013 5 3.16023 6 0.0597574 7 7.09469e-06 8 4.40803 9 0.000238816 10 8.34307e-05 11 0.199539 12 0.0695741 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16521.197126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8-0949 Spectrum: PowerLaw 257 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.095e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 258 Index: 2.393e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 259 Scale: 1.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 537 Prefactor: 9.855e-01 6.957e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 538 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 539 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 536 Normalization: 1.095e+00 1.995e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.716 -9.817 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29265810633e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00563259857888 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31163533/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16521.2016087 delta logL = -0.00448273611255 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16521.1971278 delta logL = -1.86621400644e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .66420E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.3322 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98551 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16521.20 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6112 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1046 1.2850 .36007E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0950 1.1590 -.85000E-05 .74909E-04 4 Prefactor .98548 1.3255 -.16882E-05 .53447E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.10462 Normalizat = 1.09501 Prefactor = 0.985481 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16521.20 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 254 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6112 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .48308 1.7692 .36007E-04 -.61760 3 Normalizat 1.0950 1.1590 -.85000E-05 -.89912 4 Prefactor .98548 1.3255 -.16882E-05 -.93215 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.86878e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.90649e-06 2 1.30732 3 1.1877 4 1.37361 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 16521.197126 delta logL = -2.18278728426e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8-0949 Spectrum: PowerLaw 257 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.906e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 258 Index: 2.105e+00 1.307e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 259 Scale: 1.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 537 Prefactor: 9.855e-01 1.374e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 538 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 539 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 536 Normalization: 1.095e+00 1.188e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.716 -9.817 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31163533/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.63e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 17:55:09.778555', job_id='31163533', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.10', EG='1.10', time_epoch_completed='1783644909.78', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.99', dlogl='-2.18e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8-0949' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 17:55:09 PDT 2026 number of points = 17485 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932 RA = 228.716, Dec = -9.817 tmin = 802656001, tmax = 803260801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31164162', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 17:54:39.620772', time_epoch_executed='1783644879.62' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1514.8-0949' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='932' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits ra=228.716 dec=-9.817 rad=12.0 tmin=802656001.0 tmax=803260801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.88 user 4.41 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1448 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 20.93 user 20.14 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 75.97 user 70.89 sys 4.27 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 161 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1514.8-0949 @ 228.716 -9.817 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.716 yref=-9.817 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.716 yref=-9.817 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.27 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/Model_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits.....................! real 56.26 user 54.78 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31164162/Model_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8-0949' 4FGL J1514.8-0949 Spectrum: PowerLaw 257 Prefactor: 3.290e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 258 Index: 2.393e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 259 Scale: 1.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/Model_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 16522.4103044 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16521.2022059 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.5543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 8.7902 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11220E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.7640 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.0685 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .13446 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .48073E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 5.1322 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .80824E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .13482E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0944 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98558 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16521.20 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 277 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .12E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.3280 5.0583 .53587E-03 .26459E-01 2 Prefactor .11713E-07 2505.2 .33784E-03** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .27756E-09 21.982 .42118E-03** at limit ** 4 norm 1.7620 2.6669 .78846E-03 .20638E-01 5 norm 6.0685 3.1611 .40733E-03 .51068E-01 6 norm .13441 .61126E-01 .44858E-03** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.3026 .42118E-03** at limit ** 8 norm 5.1295 4.4053 .44355E-03 .19568E-01 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 13.308 .14476E-01** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.605 .42118E-03** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0950 .17741 .96166E-01 .12605E-03 12 Prefactor .98548 .61503E-01 .35428E-01 .39443E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.32796 Prefactor = 1.17129e-08 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 1.76197 norm = 6.06848 norm = 0.134408 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.12949 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Normalizat = 1.09501 Prefactor = 0.985481 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16521.20 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 129 CALLS 931 TOTAL EDM= .22E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.3280 4.9940 .21435E-04 -1.5666 2 Prefactor .11713E-07 2514.9 .13514E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .27756E-09 21.990 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.7620 2.6401 .24495E-04 -1.5681 5 norm 6.0685 3.1602 .80093E-04 -1.5659 6 norm .13441 .59757E-01 .20065E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.3056 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 5.1295 4.4080 .88710E-04 -1.5663 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 49.539 .91038E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.608 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0950 .19940 .42606E-03 -.89912 12 Prefactor .98548 .69568E-01 .15655E-03 -.93215 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.20252e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.99403 2 0.0108508 3 0.000161198 4 2.64013 5 3.16023 6 0.0597574 7 7.09469e-06 8 4.40803 9 0.000238816 10 8.34307e-05 11 0.199539 12 0.0695741 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16521.197126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8-0949 Spectrum: PowerLaw 257 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.095e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 258 Index: 2.393e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 259 Scale: 1.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 537 Prefactor: 9.855e-01 6.957e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 538 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 539 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 536 Normalization: 1.095e+00 1.995e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.716 -9.817 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.29265810633e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00563259857888 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16521.2016087 delta logL = -0.00448273611255 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16521.1971278 delta logL = -1.86621400644e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .66420E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.3322 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98551 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16521.20 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6112 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1046 1.2850 .36007E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0950 1.1590 -.85000E-05 .74909E-04 4 Prefactor .98548 1.3255 -.16882E-05 .53447E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.10462 Normalizat = 1.09501 Prefactor = 0.985481 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16521.20 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 254 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6112 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .48308 1.7692 .36007E-04 -.61760 3 Normalizat 1.0950 1.1590 -.85000E-05 -.89912 4 Prefactor .98548 1.3255 -.16882E-05 -.93215 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.86878e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.90649e-06 2 1.30732 3 1.1877 4 1.37361 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 16521.197126 delta logL = -2.18278728426e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8-0949 Spectrum: PowerLaw 257 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 8.906e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 258 Index: 2.105e+00 1.307e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 259 Scale: 1.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 537 Prefactor: 9.855e-01 1.374e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 538 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 539 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 536 Normalization: 1.095e+00 1.188e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.716 -9.817 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31164162/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1514.8-0949_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.63e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.29e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 18:00:43.006983', job_id='31164162', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.10', EG='1.10', time_epoch_completed='1783645243.01', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.99', dlogl='-2.18e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8-0949' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 18:00:43 PDT 2026