/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 22.20 user 20.42 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212485/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212485/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 22.59 user 21.21 sys 0.65 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212480/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212480/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 number of points = 7582 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199 RA = 228.719, Dec = 44.8105 tmin = 809308801, tmax = 809568001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36212867', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-28 11:55:14.353235', time_epoch_executed='1787943314.35' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2199' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits ra=228.719 dec=44.8105 rad=12.0 tmin=809308801.0 tmax=809568001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.82 user 2.90 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.90 user 0.20 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 571 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212419/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212419/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:55:52.038676', job_id='36212419', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943352.04', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:55:52 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 number of points = 7582 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199 RA = 228.719, Dec = 44.8105 tmin = 809308801, tmax = 809568001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36212924', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-28 11:55:24.693534', time_epoch_executed='1787943324.69' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2199' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809568001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits ra=228.719 dec=44.8105 rad=12.0 tmin=809308801.0 tmax=809568001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.84 user 3.03 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.66 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 571 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 8.96 user 8.37 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 74.93 user 69.85 sys 4.26 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 198 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1514.8+4448 @ 228.719 44.8105 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/cmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212485/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:56:32.254152', job_id='36212485', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943392.25', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:56:32 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 23.29 user 21.25 sys 1.21 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212575/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212575/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 23.52 user 21.08 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212574/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212574/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212480/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:56:40.409346', job_id='36212480', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943400.41', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:56:40 PDT 2026 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 8.68 user 8.00 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 71.25 user 66.12 sys 4.09 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 198 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1514.8+4448 @ 228.719 44.8105 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/cmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.07 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212575/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:57:43.464739', job_id='36212575', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943463.46', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:57:43 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212574/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:57:46.063030', job_id='36212574', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943466.06', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:57:46 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 9.53 user 8.37 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits .....................! real 75.68 user 69.82 sys 4.36 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 198 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1514.8+4448 @ 228.719 44.8105 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/cmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.719 yref=44.8105 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 22.80 user 21.38 sys 0.65 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212783/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 21.81 user 20.01 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212867/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212783/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 11:59:29.024867', job_id='36212783', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943569.02', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 11:59:29 PDT 2026 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits.....................! real 23.12 user 21.43 sys 0.80 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36212924/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1514.8+4448' 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.475e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ft2_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/expmap_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/ltcube_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/Model_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.84874008 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82860278 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11405E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .29853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 42.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 47.328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 29.019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .13416E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 13.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 15.965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .26830E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .28311E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11524E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19160E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25464E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .81869E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .56771E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.389 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .67781E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 5.8069 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 14.092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 42.950 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .24235E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .51196E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.3022 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .71121 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 191 CALLS 2427 TOTAL EDM= .83E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 56.031 -.51585E-05 .18150E-01 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 7.8202 -.10797E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 45.374 .31709E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 42.719 21.124 .15593E-05 -.41860E-01 5 Prefactor 47.207 18.808 .29465E-07 .61445E-01 6 Prefactor 29.063 6.8642 .53074E-06 -.34269E-01 7 norm .67557E-07 5.5232 -.90639E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 13.443 9.5424 -.11714E-05 -.28746E-01 9 norm 15.957 4.8984 .60996E-06 .63258E-01 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 529.98 .43676E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.5269 .11293E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 18.825 .57583E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0029 -.36503E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3839 .41440E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .73875 .16500E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 2.6681 -.88905E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0200 -.10373E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 26.484 5.2563 -.45193E-06 .12553E-01 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 48.242 -.43121E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 3.9865 .11815E-05** at limit ** 21 norm 5.7861 9.8717 .18172E-06 .58018E-02 22 Prefactor 14.095 1.2601 .37978E-07 .35778E-02 23 Prefactor 42.694 7.4932 .11367E-06 -.33705E-02 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.305 -.20668E-05** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.261 .68266E-07** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .19233 -.97893E-05 -.83483E-04 27 Prefactor .71145 .20135 .27604E-05 -.31708E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.46979 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 1.52807e-05 Prefactor = 42.7188 Prefactor = 47.2073 Prefactor = 29.0627 norm = 6.75571e-08 Prefactor = 13.4431 norm = 15.9569 Prefactor = 3.87645e-06 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.04115e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 26.4842 Prefactor = 3.34732e-07 Prefactor = 2.68674e-08 norm = 5.78606 Prefactor = 14.0945 Prefactor = 42.6936 Prefactor = 1.57208e-07 Prefactor = 3.13638e-08 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 556 CALLS 2983 TOTAL EDM= .38E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4698 76.664 .37640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .72164E-09 8.4382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15281E-04 11.999 .10233E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 42.719 27.545 .15338E-03 -1.5577 5 Prefactor 47.207 35.468 .14537E-03 -1.5571 6 Prefactor 29.063 30.872 .18566E-03 -1.5600 7 norm .67557E-07 7.3407 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 13.443 11.444 .27296E-03 -1.5635 9 norm 15.957 10.232 .25040E-03 -1.5628 10 Prefactor .38765E-05 22.777 .75300E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.4774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .20411E-06 19.360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.0131 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.3813 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .73984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 2.6399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.0355 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 26.484 47.594 .19470E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .33473E-06 11.591 .12245E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .26867E-07 7.4444 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 5.7861 10.104 .41654E-03 -1.5660 22 Prefactor 14.095 14.705 .26656E-03 -1.5633 23 Prefactor 42.694 59.595 .15260E-03 -1.5577 24 Prefactor .15721E-06 12.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .31364E-07 10.475 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.3026 .16787 .47837E-01 -.83489 27 Prefactor .71145 .17137 .65622E-01 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83393e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 47.8615 2 0.00015687 3 0.0270822 4 27.5454 5 35.4681 6 30.8717 7 0.00140829 8 11.4436 9 10.2317 10 0.018793 11 7.02952e-06 12 0.00397575 13 7.32428e-05 14 2.24195e-05 15 4.22688e-06 16 4.21265e-06 17 8.05727e-05 18 47.595 19 0.00393935 20 0.000894755 21 10.104 22 14.7053 23 59.5962 24 0.00283008 25 0.00114673 26 0.167941 27 0.171499 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212867/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 12:00:28.582274', job_id='36212867', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943628.58', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 12:00:28 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6215.82403462 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 0.000e+00 4.213e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 2.210e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.679e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.39663363809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/likelihoodResults_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82495699 delta logL = -0.000922367346902 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6215.8240359 delta logL = -1.27775365399e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62111E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .76788 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3024 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71168 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6360E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6215.824 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16653E-09 25.744 .19343E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.4867 2.7722 .50000 .36380E-10 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .30021E-01 .47837E-01 .28908E-04 4 Prefactor .71145 .30631E-01 .65622E-01 .47025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.66533e-10 alpha = 3.48667 Normalizat = 1.30258 Prefactor = 0.711446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6215.824 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 306 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16653E-09 1.2992 .11997E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 3.4867 3.6955 .50000 .40571 3 Normalizat 1.3026 .19008 .21147E-03 -.83489 4 Prefactor .71145 .19962 .29033E-03 -1.0308 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.22402e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.8608e-05 2 2.302 3 0.190179 4 0.199823 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6215.82403462 delta logL = -6.09361450188e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1514.8+4448 Spectrum: LogParabola 286 norm: 1.665e-10 2.861e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 287 alpha: 3.487e+00 2.302e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 288 beta: 1.666e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 289 Eb: 8.626e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 633 Prefactor: 7.114e-01 1.998e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 634 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 635 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 632 Normalization: 1.303e+00 1.902e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.719 44.810 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36212924/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809568001_4FGL_J1514.8+4448_daily_bin2199.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-08-28 12:00:56.310423', job_id='36212924', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1787943656.31', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='-6.09e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='2199' AND source_name='4FGL J1514.8+4448' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Aug 28 12:00:56 PDT 2026