/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1616-508 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits....................! real 61.58 user 58.91 sys 0.62 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31163076/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1513.4-3231' 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 2.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0751769 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0241116 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.9801 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 25.160 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 141.56 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .77467E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 12.377 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40734E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 6.8378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.9903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .23690E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.3985 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .27970E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.7982 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 12.306 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .98788 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .96699 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1463 TOTAL EDM= .30E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0003 3.0625 .53389E-06 .88715E-03 2 Prefactor 10.715 4.5770 -.23269E-05 .64516E-02 3 Prefactor 1.4060 36.690 -.20528E-04 .13653E-01 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.652 .81869E-06 -.37592E-03 5 norm 25.038 12.292 -.22886E-06 -.19858E-02 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.99 .10788E-05 -.38633E-03 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.572 .81652E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 12.505 7.2564 .21715E-05 .56225E-01 9 norm .0000 .82008 -.51218E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 6.2977 12.721 .26930E-05 .16452E-01 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2048 -.22604E-06 -.40835E-03 12 norm .0000 3.7796 .29464E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .55511E-10 27.819 -.11017E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.3984 .82979 .29690E-07 .44924E-02 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.336 .23466E-05** at limit ** 16 norm 3.7785 3.8794 .42612E-06 .93212E-04 17 norm 12.286 10.811 .50770E-05 .23060E-01 18 Normalizat .98777 .30933 .35373E-05 -.52754E-04 19 Prefactor .96718 .70895E-01 -.45379E-05 -.61366E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.00034 Prefactor = 10.7149 Prefactor = 1.40595 Prefactor = 9.6697 norm = 25.0376 Prefactor = 147.625 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 12.5053 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.29767 Prefactor = 6.0173 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.39838 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.77848 norm = 12.2859 Normalizat = 0.987766 Prefactor = 0.967181 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1616-508 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits....................! real 61.79 user 60.01 sys 0.68 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31162891/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1513.4-3231' 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 2.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0751769 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0241116 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.9801 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 25.160 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 141.56 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .77467E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 12.377 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40734E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 6.8378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.9903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .23690E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.3985 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .27970E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.7982 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 12.306 1.0000 . ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 320 CALLS 1783 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0003 3.2375 .73188E-03 -1.5680 2 Prefactor 10.715 24.323 .30603E-03 -1.5642 3 Prefactor 1.4060 90.775 .90207E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.972 .31694E-03 -1.5646 5 norm 25.038 12.311 .19940E-03 -1.5608 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.56 .84055E-04 -1.5465 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.566 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 12.505 14.708 .28448E-03 -1.5637 9 norm .0000 .39970 .24945E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 6.2977 14.090 .38345E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2164 .41002E-03 -1.5659 12 norm .0000 3.7733 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .55511E-10 27.382 .16805E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.3984 .83471 .66092E-03 -1.5677 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.159 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.7785 3.8990 .51770E-03 -1.5669 17 norm 12.286 17.570 .28530E-03 -1.5638 18 Normalizat .98777 .28992 .13394 -.93441 19 Prefactor .96718 .65229E-01 .31995E-01 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.23746 2 24.3229 3 22.5946 4 14.9722 5 12.3109 6 122.563 7 0.000311955 8 14.7076 9 4.05754e-06 10 14.0896 11 8.2164 12 5.43545e-06 13 9.15935e-05 14 0.834714 15 5.56834e-05 16 3.89902 17 17.57 18 0.290382 19 0.065234 0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .98788 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .96699 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1463 TOTAL EDM= .30E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0003 3.0625 .53389E-06 .88715E-03 2 Prefactor 10.715 4.5770 -.23269E-05 .64516E-02 3 Prefactor 1.4060 36.690 -.20528E-04 .13653E-01 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.652 .81869E-06 -.37592E-03 5 norm 25.038 12.292 -.22886E-06 -.19858E-02 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.99 .10788E-05 -.38633E-03 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.572 .81652E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 12.505 7.2564 .21715E-05 .56225E-01 9 norm .0000 .82008 -.51218E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 6.2977 12.721 .26930E-05 .16452E-01 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2048 -.22604E-06 -.40835E-03 12 norm .0000 3.7796 .29464E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .55511E-10 27.819 -.11017E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.3984 .82979 .29690E-07 .44924E-02 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.336 .23466E-05** at limit ** 16 norm 3.7785 3.8794 .42612E-06 .93212E-04 17 norm 12.286 10.811 .50770E-05 .23060E-01 18 Normalizat .98777 .30933 .35373E-05 -.52754E-04 19 Prefactor .96718 .70895E-01 -.45379E-05 -.61366E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.00034 Prefactor = 10.7149 Prefactor = 1.40595 Prefactor = 9.6697 norm = 25.0376 Prefactor = 147.625 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 12.5053 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.29767 Prefactor = 6.0173 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.39838 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.77848 norm = 12.2859 Normalizat = 0.987766 Prefactor = 0.967181 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 320 CALLS 1783 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0003 3.2375 .73188E-03 -1.5680 2 Prefactor 10.715 24.323 .30603E-03 -1.5642 3 Prefactor 1.4060 90.775 .90207E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.972 .31694E-03 -1.5646 5 norm 25.038 12.311 .19940E-03 -1.5608 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.56 .84055E-04 -1.5465 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.566 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 12.505 14.708 .28448E-03 -1.5637 9 norm .0000 .39970 .24945E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 6.2977 14.090 .38345E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2164 .41002E-03 -1.5659 12 norm .0000 3.7733 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .55511E-10 27.382 .16805E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.3984 .83471 .66092E-03 -1.5677 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.159 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.7785 3.8990 .51770E-03 -1.5669 17 norm 12.286 17.570 .28530E-03 -1.5638 18 Normalizat .98777 .28992 .13394 -.93441 19 Prefactor .96718 .65229E-01 .31995E-01 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.23746 2 24.3229 3 22.5946 4 14.9722 5 12.3109 6 122.563 7 0.000311955 8 14.7076 9 4.05754e-06 10 14.0896 11 8.2164 12 5.43545e-06 13 9.15935e-05 14 0.834714 15 5.56834e-05 16 3.89902 17 17.57 18 0.290382 19 0.065234 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0214409 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 5.435e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 6.523e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 2.904e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.82469234326e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0218971 delta logL = -0.000456195462903 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214412 delta logL = -2.92007825919e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .78437E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.2115 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98758 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96723 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.7645 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 .25652E-03 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.11642E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 3.76449 Normalizat = 0.987775 Prefactor = 0.967179 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.5508 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .53030 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 -.93441 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.70637e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.144e-06 2 1.12234 3 1.36584 4 1.35539 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214409 delta logL = -3.78349795938e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 2.144e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 3.764e+00 1.122e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 1.355e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 1.366e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31163076/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.82e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 17:50:56.677552', job_id='31163076', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.99', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783644656.68', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='-3.78e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1513.4-3231' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 17:50:56 PDT 2026 number of points = 17485 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932 RA = 228.369, Dec = -32.5265 tmin = 802656001, tmax = 803260801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31163511', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 17:47:58.463055', time_epoch_executed='1783644478.46' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1513.4-3231' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='932' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits ra=228.369 dec=-32.5265 rad=12.0 tmin=802656001.0 tmax=803260801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.94 user 4.24 sys 0.31 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.80 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1300 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0214409 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 5.435e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 6.523e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 2.904e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.82469234326e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0218971 delta logL = -0.000456195462903 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214412 delta logL = -2.92007825919e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .78437E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.2115 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98758 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96723 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.7645 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 .25652E-03 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.11642E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 3.76449 Normalizat = 0.987775 Prefactor = 0.967179 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.5508 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .53030 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 -.93441 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.70637e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.144e-06 2 1.12234 3 1.36584 4 1.35539 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214409 delta logL = -3.78349795938e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 2.144e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 3.764e+00 1.122e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 1.355e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 1.366e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31162891/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.82e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 17:51:43.169525', job_id='31162891', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.99', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783644703.17', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='-3.78e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1513.4-3231' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 17:51:43 PDT 2026 A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 19.99 user 18.94 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 72.59 user 67.45 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HESS J1616-508 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J1626.9-2431 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FGES J1631.6-4756 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1633.0-4746 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source G337.0-0.1 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 269 point sources and 5 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1513.4-3231 @ 228.369 -32.5265 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.369 yref=-32.5265 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.74 user 0.25 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.369 yref=-32.5265 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1631.6-4756 adding source FGES J1633.0-4746 adding source FHES J1626.9-2431 adding source G337.0-0.1 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1616-508 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits....................! real 58.95 user 57.16 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31163511/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1513.4-3231' 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 2.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ft2_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/Model_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0751769 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0241116 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.9801 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 25.160 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 141.56 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .77467E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 12.377 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .40734E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 6.8378 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.9903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .23690E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.3985 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .27970E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.7982 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 12.306 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .98788 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .96699 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1463 TOTAL EDM= .30E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0003 3.0625 .53389E-06 .88715E-03 2 Prefactor 10.715 4.5770 -.23269E-05 .64516E-02 3 Prefactor 1.4060 36.690 -.20528E-04 .13653E-01 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.652 .81869E-06 -.37592E-03 5 norm 25.038 12.292 -.22886E-06 -.19858E-02 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.99 .10788E-05 -.38633E-03 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.572 .81652E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 12.505 7.2564 .21715E-05 .56225E-01 9 norm .0000 .82008 -.51218E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 6.2977 12.721 .26930E-05 .16452E-01 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2048 -.22604E-06 -.40835E-03 12 norm .0000 3.7796 .29464E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .55511E-10 27.819 -.11017E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.3984 .82979 .29690E-07 .44924E-02 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.336 .23466E-05** at limit ** 16 norm 3.7785 3.8794 .42612E-06 .93212E-04 17 norm 12.286 10.811 .50770E-05 .23060E-01 18 Normalizat .98777 .30933 .35373E-05 -.52754E-04 19 Prefactor .96718 .70895E-01 -.45379E-05 -.61366E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.00034 Prefactor = 10.7149 Prefactor = 1.40595 Prefactor = 9.6697 norm = 25.0376 Prefactor = 147.625 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 12.5053 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.29767 Prefactor = 6.0173 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.39838 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.77848 norm = 12.2859 Normalizat = 0.987766 Prefactor = 0.967181 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 320 CALLS 1783 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0003 3.2375 .73188E-03 -1.5680 2 Prefactor 10.715 24.323 .30603E-03 -1.5642 3 Prefactor 1.4060 90.775 .90207E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 9.6697 14.972 .31694E-03 -1.5646 5 norm 25.038 12.311 .19940E-03 -1.5608 6 Prefactor 147.62 122.56 .84055E-04 -1.5465 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 36.566 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 12.505 14.708 .28448E-03 -1.5637 9 norm .0000 .39970 .24945E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 6.2977 14.090 .38345E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor 6.0173 8.2164 .41002E-03 -1.5659 12 norm .0000 3.7733 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .55511E-10 27.382 .16805E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.3984 .83471 .66092E-03 -1.5677 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 21.159 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.7785 3.8990 .51770E-03 -1.5669 17 norm 12.286 17.570 .28530E-03 -1.5638 18 Normalizat .98777 .28992 .13394 -.93441 19 Prefactor .96718 .65229E-01 .31995E-01 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.23746 2 24.3229 3 22.5946 4 14.9722 5 12.3109 6 122.563 7 0.000311955 8 14.7076 9 4.05754e-06 10 14.0896 11 8.2164 12 5.43545e-06 13 9.15935e-05 14 0.834714 15 5.56834e-05 16 3.89902 17 17.57 18 0.290382 19 0.065234 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13882.0214409 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 5.435e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 2.360e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 6.523e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 2.904e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.82469234326e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0218971 delta logL = -0.000456195462903 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214412 delta logL = -2.92007825919e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .78437E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.2115 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98758 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96723 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .9500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 3.7645 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 .25652E-03 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.11642E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 3.76449 Normalizat = 0.987775 Prefactor = 0.967179 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13882.02 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .57E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .77792 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.5508 1.0724 -.71153E-04 .53030 3 Normalizat .98778 1.3182 -.12486E-03 -.93441 4 Prefactor .96718 1.3084 .28214E-04 -.93832 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.70637e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.144e-06 2 1.12234 3 1.36584 4 1.35539 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13882.0214409 delta logL = -3.78349795938e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1513.4-3231 Spectrum: LogParabola 350 norm: 0.000e+00 2.144e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 351 alpha: 3.764e+00 1.122e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 352 beta: 1.374e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 353 Eb: 8.240e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 944 Prefactor: 9.672e-01 1.355e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 945 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 946 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 928 Normalization: 9.878e-01 1.366e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 228.369 -32.526 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31163511/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1513.4-3231_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.82e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 17:59:27.609692', job_id='31163511', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.99', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783645167.61', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='-3.78e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1513.4-3231' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 17:59:27 PDT 2026