********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10826.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 286 CALLS 1322 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 121.59 .15412E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 24.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 5.2434 11.963 .45120E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9885 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .99936 .20117 .43742E-03 -1.5688 6 norm 2.4933 1.7929 .64709E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .0000 2.4208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4617 4.2251 .47677E-03 -1.5666 9 norm 4.0320 2.6522 .50198E-03 -1.5668 10 norm .47364E-01 .86362E-01 .64935E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.9346 .29041E-03 -1.5639 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4751 .35936E-03 -1.5652 13 Prefactor 19.428 18.063 .22675E-03 -1.5620 14 Prefactor .0000 16.000 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.9607 2.6839 .50669E-03 -1.5668 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .19251 .75233E-01 -.80234 18 Prefactor .87905 .86320E-01 .44736E-01 -.96877 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.32549e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0266726 2 6.07423e-06 3 11.9627 4 7.22896e-05 5 0.201167 6 1.79287 7 9.00992e-06 8 4.22515 9 2.65216 10 0.0863617 11 9.93466 12 4.47512 13 18.0629 14 4.08833e-05 15 1.35936e-06 16 2.68388 17 0.192611 18 0.0863335 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ing on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 30.07 user 28.38 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573336/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573336/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1512.2+0202' 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.359e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.6386052 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5783446 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .53286E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .16130E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 4.9630 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .42867E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .99935 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.4929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .47151E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 4.4561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.0316 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .47018E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 11.878 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.7760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 19.463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .15460E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .62172E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.9592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.4142 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .87897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 10826.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1036 TOTAL EDM= .37E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 1.1890 -.11253E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 24.297 -.42914E-06** at limit ** 3 norm 5.2434 11.969 .32253E-06 .69971E-03 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9357 -.24389E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .99936 .20179 -.42587E-07 -.40591E-02 6 norm 2.4933 1.7913 .35040E-06 -.18773E-04 7 norm .0000 2.4251 -.62135E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 4.4617 4.1898 -.21658E-06 .33343E-03 9 norm 4.0320 2.6523 .29976E-07 .44400E-03 10 norm .47364E-01 .72138E-01 -.21198E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.2302 -.45352E-08 -.12679E-03 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4732 -.33795E-07 .91733E-04 13 Prefactor 19.428 1.0098 -.42115E-08 -.35886E-03 14 Prefactor .0000 16.058 -.33564E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1208 -.34092E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.9607 2.6727 -.19252E-06 .69746E-03 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .22424 .82416E-05 -.18731E-04 18 Prefactor .87905 .10047 -.45103E-05 .15372E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.46266e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.24336 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0.999361 norm = 2.49334 norm = 0 norm = 4.46175 norm = 4.03197 norm = 0.0473641 Prefactor = 11.7967 Prefactor = 7.78128 Prefactor = 19.4281 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 3.96067 Normalizat = 1.41366 Prefactor = 0.879049 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5777286 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 4.032e+00 2.652e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.790e-01 8.633e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.414e+00 1.926e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.71 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.97 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.79e-08 +/- 1.83e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.74e-05 +/- 1.15e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.9544821 delta logL = 1.62324654613 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646028983 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90357 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4265 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87861 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 10824.77 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3324 1.6443 .67119E-03 -.15636E-01 2 alpha .90351 .37714 .43142 -.46439E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .18576 .74959E-01 .13474E-03 4 Prefactor .87860 .85627E-01 .44732E-01 .25583E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.33243 alpha = 0.903508 Normalizat = 1.42648 Prefactor = 0.878603 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10824.77 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3324 2.2922 .10398E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .90351 .52130 .19061E-02 -.69267 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .21568 .33171E-03 -.79866 4 Prefactor .87860 .99556E-01 .18813E-03 -.96893 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.66287e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.29223 2 0.527899 3 0.21582 4 0.0995765 ing on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 34.11 user 31.88 sys 1.50 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573294/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573294/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1512.2+0202' 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.359e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.6386052 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5783446 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .53286E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .16130E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 4.9630 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .42867E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .99935 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.4929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .47151E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 4.4561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.0316 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .47018E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 11.878 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.7760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 19.463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .15460E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .62172E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.9592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.4142 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .87897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 10826.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1036 TOTAL EDM= .37E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 1.1890 -.11253E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 24.297 -.42914E-06** at limit ** 3 norm 5.2434 11.969 .32253E-06 .69971E-03 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9357 -.24389E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .99936 .20179 -.42587E-07 -.40591E-02 6 norm 2.4933 1.7913 .35040E-06 -.18773E-04 7 norm .0000 2.4251 -.62135E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 4.4617 4.1898 -.21658E-06 .33343E-03 9 norm 4.0320 2.6523 .29976E-07 .44400E-03 10 norm .47364E-01 .72138E-01 -.21198E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.2302 -.45352E-08 -.12679E-03 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4732 -.33795E-07 .91733E-04 13 Prefactor 19.428 1.0098 -.42115E-08 -.35886E-03 14 Prefactor .0000 16.058 -.33564E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1208 -.34092E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.9607 2.6727 -.19252E-06 .69746E-03 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .22424 .82416E-05 -.18731E-04 18 Prefactor .87905 .10047 -.45103E-05 .15372E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.46266e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.24336 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0.999361 norm = 2.49334 norm = 0 norm = 4.46175 norm = 4.03197 norm = 0.0473641 Prefactor = 11.7967 Prefactor = 7.78128 Prefactor = 19.4281 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 3.96067 Normalizat = 1.41366 Prefactor = 0.879049 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646035601 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.332e+00 2.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 9.035e-01 5.279e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.786e-01 9.958e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.426e+00 2.158e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.33 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.53 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.01e-08 +/- 8.10e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.46e-05 +/- 5.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573304/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.79e-08', energy_flux2='5.46e-05', photon_flux_error='1.83e-08', dlogl='1.81e+00', energy_flux='1.74e-05', photon_flux2='1.01e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:23:10.499149', photon_index_error2='0.53', photon_index2='0.90', ts='8.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.88', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='5.29e-05', EG='1.41', time_epoch_completed='1785356590.5', return_code='0', job_id='33573304', GAL2='0.88', EG2='1.43', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.15e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.10e-09', ts2='12.33', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:23:10 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10826.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 286 CALLS 1322 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 121.59 .15412E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 24.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 5.2434 11.963 .45120E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9885 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .99936 .20117 .43742E-03 -1.5688 6 norm 2.4933 1.7929 .64709E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .0000 2.4208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4617 4.2251 .47677E-03 -1.5666 9 norm 4.0320 2.6522 .50198E-03 -1.5668 10 norm .47364E-01 .86362E-01 .64935E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.9346 .29041E-03 -1.5639 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4751 .35936E-03 -1.5652 13 Prefactor 19.428 18.063 .22675E-03 -1.5620 14 Prefactor .0000 16.000 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.9607 2.6839 .50669E-03 -1.5668 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .19251 .75233E-01 -.80234 18 Prefactor .87905 .86320E-01 .44736E-01 -.96877 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.32549e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0266726 2 6.07423e-06 3 11.9627 4 7.22896e-05 5 0.201167 6 1.79287 7 9.00992e-06 8 4.22515 9 2.65216 10 0.0863617 11 9.93466 12 4.47512 13 18.0629 14 4.08833e-05 15 1.35936e-06 16 2.68388 17 0.192611 18 0.0863335 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10826.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 286 CALLS 1322 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 121.59 .15412E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 24.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 5.2434 11.963 .45120E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9885 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .99936 .20117 .43742E-03 -1.5688 6 norm 2.4933 1.7929 .64709E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .0000 2.4208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4617 4.2251 .47677E-03 -1.5666 9 norm 4.0320 2.6522 .50198E-03 -1.5668 10 norm .47364E-01 .86362E-01 .64935E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.9346 .29041E-03 -1.5639 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4751 .35936E-03 -1.5652 13 Prefactor 19.428 18.063 .22675E-03 -1.5620 14 Prefactor .0000 16.000 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.9607 2.6839 .50669E-03 -1.5668 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .19251 .75233E-01 -.80234 18 Prefactor .87905 .86320E-01 .44736E-01 -.96877 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.32549e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0266726 2 6.07423e-06 3 11.9627 4 7.22896e-05 5 0.201167 6 1.79287 7 9.00992e-06 8 4.22515 9 2.65216 10 0.0863617 11 9.93466 12 4.47512 13 18.0629 14 4.08833e-05 15 1.35936e-06 16 2.68388 17 0.192611 18 0.0863335 ing on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 36.98 user 34.71 sys 1.48 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573292/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573292/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1512.2+0202' 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.359e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.6386052 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5783446 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .53286E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .16130E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 4.9630 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .42867E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .99935 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.4929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .47151E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 4.4561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.0316 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .47018E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 11.878 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.7760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 19.463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .15460E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .62172E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.9592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.4142 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .87897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 10826.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1036 TOTAL EDM= .37E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 1.1890 -.11253E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 24.297 -.42914E-06** at limit ** 3 norm 5.2434 11.969 .32253E-06 .69971E-03 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9357 -.24389E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .99936 .20179 -.42587E-07 -.40591E-02 6 norm 2.4933 1.7913 .35040E-06 -.18773E-04 7 norm .0000 2.4251 -.62135E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 4.4617 4.1898 -.21658E-06 .33343E-03 9 norm 4.0320 2.6523 .29976E-07 .44400E-03 10 norm .47364E-01 .72138E-01 -.21198E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.2302 -.45352E-08 -.12679E-03 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4732 -.33795E-07 .91733E-04 13 Prefactor 19.428 1.0098 -.42115E-08 -.35886E-03 14 Prefactor .0000 16.058 -.33564E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1208 -.34092E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.9607 2.6727 -.19252E-06 .69746E-03 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .22424 .82416E-05 -.18731E-04 18 Prefactor .87905 .10047 -.45103E-05 .15372E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.46266e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.24336 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0.999361 norm = 2.49334 norm = 0 norm = 4.46175 norm = 4.03197 norm = 0.0473641 Prefactor = 11.7967 Prefactor = 7.78128 Prefactor = 19.4281 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 3.96067 Normalizat = 1.41366 Prefactor = 0.879049 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5777286 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 4.032e+00 2.652e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.790e-01 8.633e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.414e+00 1.926e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.71 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.97 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.79e-08 +/- 1.83e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.74e-05 +/- 1.15e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.9544821 delta logL = 1.62324654613 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646028983 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90357 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4265 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87861 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 10824.77 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3324 1.6443 .67119E-03 -.15636E-01 2 alpha .90351 .37714 .43142 -.46439E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .18576 .74959E-01 .13474E-03 4 Prefactor .87860 .85627E-01 .44732E-01 .25583E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.33243 alpha = 0.903508 Normalizat = 1.42648 Prefactor = 0.878603 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10824.77 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3324 2.2922 .10398E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .90351 .52130 .19061E-02 -.69267 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .21568 .33171E-03 -.79866 4 Prefactor .87860 .99556E-01 .18813E-03 -.96893 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.66287e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.29223 2 0.527899 3 0.21582 4 0.0995765 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646035601 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.332e+00 2.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 9.035e-01 5.279e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.786e-01 9.958e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.426e+00 2.158e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.33 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.53 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.01e-08 +/- 8.10e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.46e-05 +/- 5.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573336/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.79e-08', energy_flux2='5.46e-05', photon_flux_error='1.83e-08', dlogl='1.81e+00', energy_flux='1.74e-05', photon_flux2='1.01e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:23:29.639367', photon_index_error2='0.53', photon_index2='0.90', ts='8.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.88', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='5.29e-05', EG='1.41', time_epoch_completed='1785356609.64', return_code='0', job_id='33573336', GAL2='0.88', EG2='1.43', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.15e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.10e-09', ts2='12.33', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:23:29 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5777286 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 4.032e+00 2.652e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.790e-01 8.633e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.414e+00 1.926e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.71 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.97 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.79e-08 +/- 1.83e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.74e-05 +/- 1.15e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.9544821 delta logL = 1.62324654613 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646028983 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90357 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4265 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87861 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 10824.77 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3324 1.6443 .67119E-03 -.15636E-01 2 alpha .90351 .37714 .43142 -.46439E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .18576 .74959E-01 .13474E-03 4 Prefactor .87860 .85627E-01 .44732E-01 .25583E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.33243 alpha = 0.903508 Normalizat = 1.42648 Prefactor = 0.878603 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10824.77 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3324 2.2922 .10398E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .90351 .52130 .19061E-02 -.69267 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .21568 .33171E-03 -.79866 4 Prefactor .87860 .99556E-01 .18813E-03 -.96893 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.66287e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.29223 2 0.527899 3 0.21582 4 0.0995765 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646035601 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.332e+00 2.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 9.035e-01 5.279e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.786e-01 9.958e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.426e+00 2.158e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.33 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.53 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.01e-08 +/- 8.10e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.46e-05 +/- 5.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573294/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.79e-08', energy_flux2='5.46e-05', photon_flux_error='1.83e-08', dlogl='1.81e+00', energy_flux='1.74e-05', photon_flux2='1.01e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:23:35.422581', photon_index_error2='0.53', photon_index2='0.90', ts='8.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.88', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='5.29e-05', EG='1.41', time_epoch_completed='1785356615.42', return_code='0', job_id='33573294', GAL2='0.88', EG2='1.43', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.15e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.10e-09', ts2='12.33', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:23:35 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10826.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 286 CALLS 1322 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 121.59 .15412E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 24.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 5.2434 11.963 .45120E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9885 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .99936 .20117 .43742E-03 -1.5688 6 norm 2.4933 1.7929 .64709E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .0000 2.4208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4617 4.2251 .47677E-03 -1.5666 9 norm 4.0320 2.6522 .50198E-03 -1.5668 10 norm .47364E-01 .86362E-01 .64935E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.9346 .29041E-03 -1.5639 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4751 .35936E-03 -1.5652 13 Prefactor 19.428 18.063 .22675E-03 -1.5620 14 Prefactor .0000 16.000 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.9607 2.6839 .50669E-03 -1.5668 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .19251 .75233E-01 -.80234 18 Prefactor .87905 .86320E-01 .44736E-01 -.96877 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.32549e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0266726 2 6.07423e-06 3 11.9627 4 7.22896e-05 5 0.201167 6 1.79287 7 9.00992e-06 8 4.22515 9 2.65216 10 0.0863617 11 9.93466 12 4.47512 13 18.0629 14 4.08833e-05 15 1.35936e-06 16 2.68388 17 0.192611 18 0.0863335 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5777286 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 4.032e+00 2.652e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.790e-01 8.633e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.414e+00 1.926e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.71 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.97 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.79e-08 +/- 1.83e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.74e-05 +/- 1.15e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.9544821 delta logL = 1.62324654613 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646028983 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90357 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4265 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87861 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 10824.77 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3324 1.6443 .67119E-03 -.15636E-01 2 alpha .90351 .37714 .43142 -.46439E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .18576 .74959E-01 .13474E-03 4 Prefactor .87860 .85627E-01 .44732E-01 .25583E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.33243 alpha = 0.903508 Normalizat = 1.42648 Prefactor = 0.878603 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10824.77 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3324 2.2922 .10398E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .90351 .52130 .19061E-02 -.69267 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .21568 .33171E-03 -.79866 4 Prefactor .87860 .99556E-01 .18813E-03 -.96893 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.66287e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.29223 2 0.527899 3 0.21582 4 0.0995765 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646035601 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.332e+00 2.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 9.035e-01 5.279e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.786e-01 9.958e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.426e+00 2.158e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.33 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.53 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.01e-08 +/- 8.10e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.46e-05 +/- 5.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573292/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.79e-08', energy_flux2='5.46e-05', photon_flux_error='1.83e-08', dlogl='1.81e+00', energy_flux='1.74e-05', photon_flux2='1.01e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:23:51.022700', photon_index_error2='0.53', photon_index2='0.90', ts='8.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.88', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='5.29e-05', EG='1.41', time_epoch_completed='1785356631.02', return_code='0', job_id='33573292', GAL2='0.88', EG2='1.43', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.15e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.10e-09', ts2='12.33', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:23:51 PDT 2026 number of points = 7422 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189 RA = 228.07, Dec = 2.0403 tmin = 806716801, tmax = 806976001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33573659', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-29 13:23:12.017447', time_epoch_executed='1785356592.02' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2189' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits ra=228.07 dec=2.0403 rad=12.0 tmin=806716801.0 tmax=806976001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.24 user 1.77 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.62 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1022 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 8.13 user 7.61 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 63.25 user 58.87 sys 3.70 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 152 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1512.2+0202 @ 228.07 2.0403 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/cmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.07 yref=2.0403 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=228.07 yref=2.0403 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 31.58 user 29.96 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573659/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1512.2+0202' 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.359e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ft2_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/Model_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.6386052 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5783446 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .53286E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .16130E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 4.9630 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .42867E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .99935 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.4929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .47151E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 4.4561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.0316 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .47018E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 11.878 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.7760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 19.463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .15460E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .62172E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.9592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.4142 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .87897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 10826.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1036 TOTAL EDM= .37E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 1.1890 -.11253E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 24.297 -.42914E-06** at limit ** 3 norm 5.2434 11.969 .32253E-06 .69971E-03 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9357 -.24389E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .99936 .20179 -.42587E-07 -.40591E-02 6 norm 2.4933 1.7913 .35040E-06 -.18773E-04 7 norm .0000 2.4251 -.62135E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 4.4617 4.1898 -.21658E-06 .33343E-03 9 norm 4.0320 2.6523 .29976E-07 .44400E-03 10 norm .47364E-01 .72138E-01 -.21198E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.2302 -.45352E-08 -.12679E-03 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4732 -.33795E-07 .91733E-04 13 Prefactor 19.428 1.0098 -.42115E-08 -.35886E-03 14 Prefactor .0000 16.058 -.33564E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1208 -.34092E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.9607 2.6727 -.19252E-06 .69746E-03 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .22424 .82416E-05 -.18731E-04 18 Prefactor .87905 .10047 -.45103E-05 .15372E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.46266e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.24336 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0.999361 norm = 2.49334 norm = 0 norm = 4.46175 norm = 4.03197 norm = 0.0473641 Prefactor = 11.7967 Prefactor = 7.78128 Prefactor = 19.4281 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 3.96067 Normalizat = 1.41366 Prefactor = 0.879049 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10826.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 286 CALLS 1322 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14627E-05 121.59 .15412E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 24.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 5.2434 11.963 .45120E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.9885 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .99936 .20117 .43742E-03 -1.5688 6 norm 2.4933 1.7929 .64709E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .0000 2.4208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4617 4.2251 .47677E-03 -1.5666 9 norm 4.0320 2.6522 .50198E-03 -1.5668 10 norm .47364E-01 .86362E-01 .64935E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 11.797 9.9346 .29041E-03 -1.5639 12 Prefactor 7.7813 4.4751 .35936E-03 -1.5652 13 Prefactor 19.428 18.063 .22675E-03 -1.5620 14 Prefactor .0000 16.000 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 1.1196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.9607 2.6839 .50669E-03 -1.5668 17 Normalizat 1.4137 .19251 .75233E-01 -.80234 18 Prefactor .87905 .86320E-01 .44736E-01 -.96877 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.32549e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0266726 2 6.07423e-06 3 11.9627 4 7.22896e-05 5 0.201167 6 1.79287 7 9.00992e-06 8 4.22515 9 2.65216 10 0.0863617 11 9.93466 12 4.47512 13 18.0629 14 4.08833e-05 15 1.35936e-06 16 2.68388 17 0.192611 18 0.0863335 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 10826.5777286 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 4.032e+00 2.652e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.790e-01 8.633e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.414e+00 1.926e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.71 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.97 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.79e-08 +/- 1.83e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.74e-05 +/- 1.15e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.9544821 delta logL = 1.62324654613 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646028983 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90357 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4265 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87861 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5020E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 10824.77 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .49E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3324 1.6443 .67119E-03 -.15636E-01 2 alpha .90351 .37714 .43142 -.46439E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .18576 .74959E-01 .13474E-03 4 Prefactor .87860 .85627E-01 .44732E-01 .25583E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.33243 alpha = 0.903508 Normalizat = 1.42648 Prefactor = 0.878603 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 10824.77 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3324 2.2922 .10398E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .90351 .52130 .19061E-02 -.69267 3 Normalizat 1.4265 .21568 .33171E-03 -.79866 4 Prefactor .87860 .99556E-01 .18813E-03 -.96893 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.66287e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.29223 2 0.527899 3 0.21582 4 0.0995765 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 10824.7712683 delta logL = 1.80646035601 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1512.2+0202 Spectrum: LogParabola 231 norm: 2.332e+00 2.292e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 alpha: 9.035e-01 5.279e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 233 beta: 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 234 Eb: 1.032e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 499 Prefactor: 8.786e-01 9.958e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 500 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 501 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 498 Normalization: 1.426e+00 2.158e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.33 Ra Dec: 228.070 2.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.53 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.01e-08 +/- 8.10e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.46e-05 +/- 5.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573659/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1512.2+0202_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.79e-08', energy_flux2='5.46e-05', photon_flux_error='1.83e-08', dlogl='1.81e+00', energy_flux='1.74e-05', photon_flux2='1.01e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:27:50.468016', photon_index_error2='0.53', photon_index2='0.90', ts='8.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.88', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='5.29e-05', EG='1.41', time_epoch_completed='1785356870.47', return_code='0', job_id='33573659', GAL2='0.88', EG2='1.43', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.15e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.10e-09', ts2='12.33', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1512.2+0202' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:27:50 PDT 2026