********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33572807/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:21:34.544586', job_id='33572807', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356494.54', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:21:34 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). file=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 9.36 user 8.70 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 75.79 user 70.44 sys 4.42 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 197 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.8+7959 @ 227.705 79.991 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/cmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.705 yref=79.991 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.705 yref=79.991 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33572887/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33572887/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:22:05.508861', job_id='33572887', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356525.51', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:22:05 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 55.42 user 53.26 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573168/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573168/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 number of points = 7422 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189 RA = 227.705, Dec = 79.991 tmin = 806716801, tmax = 806976001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33573599', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-29 13:21:53.262524', time_epoch_executed='1785356513.26' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2189' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806716801.0 && nMetStart<806976001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits ra=227.705 dec=79.991 rad=12.0 tmin=806716801.0 tmax=806976001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.34 user 1.77 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1351 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" out Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 54.56 user 52.56 sys 1.31 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573177/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573177/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 66.07 user 64.01 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573134/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573134/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 56.02 user 54.11 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573201/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573201/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 59.52 user 57.58 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573199/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573199/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 54.08 user 51.98 sys 1.28 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573217/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573217/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573168/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:24:14.545180', job_id='33573168', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356654.55', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:24:14 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573177/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:24:47.589212', job_id='33573177', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356687.59', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:24:47 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573134/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:25:10.379108', job_id='33573134', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356710.38', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:25:10 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 7.92 user 7.26 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits .....................! real 60.41 user 56.17 sys 3.57 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 197 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.8+7959 @ 227.705 79.991 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/cmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.705 yref=79.991 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.705 yref=79.991 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573201/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:25:19.350081', job_id='33573201', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356719.35', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:25:19 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573217/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:25:43.173835', job_id='33573217', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356743.17', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:25:43 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 67.03 user 64.83 sys 1.15 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573256/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573199/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:25:47.243386', job_id='33573199', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356747.24', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:25:47 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573256/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:27:45.489809', job_id='33573256', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785356865.49', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:27:45 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits.....................! real 54.79 user 52.77 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33573599/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.8+7959' 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 6.990e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ft2_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/expmap_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/ltcube_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/Model_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.95324 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9405007 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .54291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.4462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .78096E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.6353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .62242E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 85.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.0547 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .43596E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.3775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .28281E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 24.905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.0601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .75974E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .68331E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .77808E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 4.6929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .15700E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 18.527 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .28668E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.9808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.0095 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0923 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 219 CALLS 2075 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .56441 2.2296 -.56560E-05 -.31740E-01 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7057 -.76516E-07 .17984E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2671 -.66679E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4130 .21731E-06 -.25453E-02 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.460 -.42379E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.201 -.63812E-05 .14999E-01 7 norm 1.0559 2.7272 -.21078E-07 -.65983E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7195 .17654E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.258 .13580E-07 -.31346E-02 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.214 .28977E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 30.849 .93156E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.349 .54153E-06 -.44335E-02 13 Prefactor 24.537 32.648 -.11821E-04 .19386E-01 14 Prefactor 7.0610 6.1012 -.31168E-05 -.46814E-01 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7447 -.16010E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.601 .63595E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .38938E-01 2.2187 .40872E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 10.903 320.01 -.79704E-05 .64479E-04 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5615 .12962E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.316 -.22644E-05 -.65854E-03 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.725 -.17000E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.9826 .71861 .10062E-07 -.16491E-01 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .14267 .17900E-04 -.55206E-03 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .95151E-01 -.20080E-05 -.30843E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.564411 Prefactor = 4.43725 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66749 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 85.9856 norm = 1.05589 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.45861 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 10.8173 Prefactor = 24.5365 Prefactor = 7.06105 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.28151e-08 norm = 0.038938 Prefactor = 10.9033 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 18.4293 Prefactor = 5.60663e-09 norm = 3.98258 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09215 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 459 CALLS 2534 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .56441 28.409 .74506E-03 -1.5693 2 Prefactor 4.4372 7.7655 .47731E-03 -1.5666 3 norm .0000 2.2670 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.6675 6.4666 .62786E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .10769E-07 23.462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 85.986 51.503 .10839E-03 -1.5523 7 norm 1.0559 2.7333 .11995E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor .0000 9.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 8.4586 10.287 .34612E-03 -1.5650 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 17.196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .36082E-08 6.5226 .11379E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 10.817 12.331 .30617E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor 24.537 33.919 .20042E-03 -1.5609 14 Prefactor 7.0610 20.430 .37731E-03 -1.5655 15 Prefactor .11102E-09 7.7305 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .22815E-07 37.344 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .38938E-01 5.4011 .10499E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 10.903 319.51 .46429E-03 -1.5642 19 Prefactor .0000 1.5392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 18.429 16.904 .23241E-03 -1.5622 21 Prefactor .56066E-08 14.719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.9826 .72024 .50527E-03 -1.5668 23 Normalizat 1.0087 .13176 .67107E-01 -.92739 24 Prefactor 1.0921 .86203E-01 .37885E-01 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.46353e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.00866 2 7.76547 3 4.32852e-06 4 6.46666 5 0.0010062 6 51.5029 7 2.73327 8 5.76243e-06 9 10.2868 10 0.000156586 11 0.000307431 12 12.3311 13 33.9194 14 20.43 15 5.65487e-05 16 0.00184579 17 0.917185 18 118.052 19 3.84764e-06 20 16.9038 21 0.000573987 22 0.720238 23 0.131799 24 0.0862138 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14141.9377596 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 2.282e-08 1.846e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 2.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 8.621e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.318e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.26027280828e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00248738496105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/likelihoodResults_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9509085 delta logL = -0.0131489366559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377598 delta logL = -2.17562046601e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .30566E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0367 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0088 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0921 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6290E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14141.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .77E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 64.099 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2176 5.5751 .40761 -.27891E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .67351E-02 .67107E-01 -.57183E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .46246E-02 .37894E-01 -.99023E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Index = 1.21762 Normalizat = 1.00872 Prefactor = 1.09214 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14141.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .38E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .16098E-08 19.223 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2176 7.1883 .50000 -.85791 3 Normalizat 1.0087 .36722E-02 .29683E-03 -.92739 4 Prefactor 1.0921 .25247E-02 .19581E-03 -.89718 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.79408e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000349703 2 63650.6 3 0.0036722 4 0.00252474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14141.9377596 delta logL = 2.80124368146e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.8+7959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 342 Prefactor: 1.610e-09 3.497e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 343 Index: 1.218e+00 6.365e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 344 Scale: 1.698e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 626 Prefactor: 1.092e+00 2.525e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 627 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 628 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 625 Normalization: 1.009e+00 3.672e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 227.705 79.991 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33573599/cmap_HighResolution_806716801_806976001_4FGL_J1510.8+7959_daily_bin2189.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-07-29 13:30:09.033683', job_id='33573599', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1785357009.03', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='2.80e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.22' WHERE bin_id='2189' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.8+7959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 29 13:30:09 PDT 2026