/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 74089 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219 RA = 227.542, Dec = 57.0398 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 807235201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33926166', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-01 18:34:35.451678', time_epoch_executed='1785634475.45' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='219' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits ra=227.542 dec=57.0398 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=807235201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 21.72 user 19.58 sys 0.53 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.83 user 0.35 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 6679 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctnumber of points = 74089 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219 RA = 227.542, Dec = 57.0398 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 807235201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33926157', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-01 18:34:34.222154', time_epoch_executed='1785634474.22' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='219' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits ra=227.542 dec=57.0398 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=807235201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 17.87 user 16.34 sys 0.57 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.42 user 0.30 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 6679 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits .....................! real 65.68 user 63.94 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits .....................! real 61.17 user 56.02 sys 3.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.1+5702 @ 227.542 57.0398 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/cmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.41 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.25 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). addable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits .....................! real 81.22 user 76.85 sys 0.37 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits .....................! real 75.01 user 67.16 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.1+5702 @ 227.542 57.0398 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/cmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.64 user 0.34 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.36 user 0.34 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits.....................! real 152.77 user 149.79 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33926157/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.1+5702' 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.9090501 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.877966 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .66447E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.970 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .76532E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 10.283 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.4621 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 11.996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 16.716 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.6322 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.0091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73001E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.2240 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .76398 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .90817E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 7.1388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 4.6956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 37.173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 3.0500 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.8743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 8.5126 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .11606E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .34525E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 8.0084 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.0567 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .85584 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 72328.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1801 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .17288 -.24149E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.977 1.1515 .84527E-08 -.49786E-01 3 Prefactor .39413E-08 82.024 -.35097E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 10.319 9.0945 -.21105E-06 -.74760E-03 5 Prefactor 1.1466 .78961 .43160E-08 -.53665E-04 6 Prefactor 2.4640 .71566 .82589E-07 .46865E-02 7 Prefactor 11.996 5.6218 -.92408E-07 -.42443E-01 8 Prefactor 16.695 1.3028 .23598E-08 .16441 9 Prefactor 1.6413 3.2516 .13536E-06 -.22997E-03 10 Prefactor 2.0086 1.9003 .42497E-08 -.85324E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9506 -.46871E-07** at limit ** 12 norm 1.2240 .30770 .66645E-08 -.11097E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .84002 -.50497E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .76129 1.0840 .18327E-07 -.40275E-03 15 Prefactor .0000 .98519 -.59887E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 7.1308 5.4069 .96031E-07 .55625E-03 17 norm 4.6914 .78458 -.13475E-07 .12114E-03 18 Prefactor 37.826 18.967 -.18614E-06 .70964E-02 19 Prefactor 3.0520 1.6566 .16486E-07 -.53165E-03 20 norm 1.8743 1.3461 -.10683E-07 -.87227E-03 21 Prefactor 8.5077 2.7043 -.64324E-07 .43418E-01 22 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.5235 .16560E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7802 .15075E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 8.0151 2.3235 .27860E-07 -.10694E-02 25 Normalizat 1.0565 .53856E-01 .80615E-06 -.29860E-04 26 Prefactor .85587 .59177E-01 .74775E-06 -.64294E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 12.9766 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 10.3194 Prefactor = 1.14664 Prefactor = 2.46403 Prefactor = 11.9959 Prefactor = 16.6949 Prefactor = 1.64135 Prefactor = 2.00857 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.22398 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.761294 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.13085 norm = 4.69136 Prefactor = 37.8263 Prefactor = 3.05201 norm = 1.87429 Prefactor = 8.50765 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.01507 Normalizat = 1.05648 Prefactor = 0.855869 ing source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits.....................! real 186.92 user 179.23 sys 1.34 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33926166/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.1+5702' 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/expmap_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/ltcube_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.9090501 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.877966 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .66447E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.970 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .76532E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 10.283 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.4621 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 11.996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 16.716 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.6322 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.0091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73001E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.2240 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16082E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .76398 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .90817E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 7.1388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 4.6956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 37.173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 3.0500 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.8743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 8.5126 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .11606E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .34525E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 8.0084 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.0567 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .85584 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ******* ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 72328.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2333 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .17289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.977 7.7233 .27788E-03 -1.5636 3 Prefactor .39413E-08 3.3964 .12425E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 10.319 9.1944 .31222E-03 -1.5644 5 Prefactor 1.1466 .78360 .10822E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor 2.4640 .73799 .65151E-03 -1.5677 7 Prefactor 11.996 6.1664 .28898E-03 -1.5639 8 Prefactor 16.695 10.837 .24470E-03 -1.5626 9 Prefactor 1.6413 3.2965 .82729E-03 -1.5682 10 Prefactor 2.0086 1.9174 .73014E-03 -1.5680 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9109 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.2240 .30883 .10180E-02 -1.5686 13 Prefactor .0000 .83749 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .76129 1.0968 .55659E-03 -1.5691 15 Prefactor .0000 .97961 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 7.1308 5.4195 .37520E-03 -1.5655 17 norm 4.6914 .78542 .46415E-03 -1.5665 18 Prefactor 37.826 19.005 .16403E-03 -1.5585 19 Prefactor 3.0520 1.6768 .58068E-03 -1.5673 20 norm 1.8743 1.3707 .76033E-03 -1.5681 21 Prefactor 8.5077 6.2538 .34334E-03 -1.5650 22 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.5484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .29007 .54964E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 8.0151 2.3339 .35406E-03 -1.5651 25 Normalizat 1.0565 .45834E-01 .40130E-01 -.91161 26 Prefactor .85587 .50359E-01 .44440E-01 -.97701 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.83936e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.19154e-07 2 7.72332 3 0.000230682 4 9.1944 5 0.783603 6 0.737994 7 6.16636 8 10.837 9 3.29651 10 1.91744 11 2.23588e-05 12 0.308832 13 3.5e-06 14 1.09678 15 4.20431e-06 16 5.41947 17 0.78542 18 19.0048 19 1.67684 20 1.37066 21 6.25383 22 8.10077e-05 23 5.69435e-06 24 2.33386 25 0.0458358 26 0.0503613 *** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 72328.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1801 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .17288 -.24149E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.977 1.1515 .84527E-08 -.49786E-01 3 Prefactor .39413E-08 82.024 -.35097E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 10.319 9.0945 -.21105E-06 -.74760E-03 5 Prefactor 1.1466 .78961 .43160E-08 -.53665E-04 6 Prefactor 2.4640 .71566 .82589E-07 .46865E-02 7 Prefactor 11.996 5.6218 -.92408E-07 -.42443E-01 8 Prefactor 16.695 1.3028 .23598E-08 .16441 9 Prefactor 1.6413 3.2516 .13536E-06 -.22997E-03 10 Prefactor 2.0086 1.9003 .42497E-08 -.85324E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9506 -.46871E-07** at limit ** 12 norm 1.2240 .30770 .66645E-08 -.11097E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .84002 -.50497E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .76129 1.0840 .18327E-07 -.40275E-03 15 Prefactor .0000 .98519 -.59887E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 7.1308 5.4069 .96031E-07 .55625E-03 17 norm 4.6914 .78458 -.13475E-07 .12114E-03 18 Prefactor 37.826 18.967 -.18614E-06 .70964E-02 19 Prefactor 3.0520 1.6566 .16486E-07 -.53165E-03 20 norm 1.8743 1.3461 -.10683E-07 -.87227E-03 21 Prefactor 8.5077 2.7043 -.64324E-07 .43418E-01 22 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.5235 .16560E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7802 .15075E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 8.0151 2.3235 .27860E-07 -.10694E-02 25 Normalizat 1.0565 .53856E-01 .80615E-06 -.29860E-04 26 Prefactor .85587 .59177E-01 .74775E-06 -.64294E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 12.9766 Prefactor = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 10.3194 Prefactor = 1.14664 Prefactor = 2.46403 Prefactor = 11.9959 Prefactor = 16.6949 Prefactor = 1.64135 Prefactor = 2.00857 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.22398 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.761294 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.13085 norm = 4.69136 Prefactor = 37.8263 Prefactor = 3.05201 norm = 1.87429 Prefactor = 8.50765 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.01507 Normalizat = 1.05648 Prefactor = 0.855869 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 72328.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2333 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .17289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.977 7.7233 .27788E-03 -1.5636 3 Prefactor .39413E-08 3.3964 .12425E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 10.319 9.1944 .31222E-03 -1.5644 5 Prefactor 1.1466 .78360 .10822E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor 2.4640 .73799 .65151E-03 -1.5677 7 Prefactor 11.996 6.1664 .28898E-03 -1.5639 8 Prefactor 16.695 10.837 .24470E-03 -1.5626 9 Prefactor 1.6413 3.2965 .82729E-03 -1.5682 10 Prefactor 2.0086 1.9174 .73014E-03 -1.5680 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9109 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.2240 .30883 .10180E-02 -1.5686 13 Prefactor .0000 .83749 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .76129 1.0968 .55659E-03 -1.5691 15 Prefactor .0000 .97961 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 7.1308 5.4195 .37520E-03 -1.5655 17 norm 4.6914 .78542 .46415E-03 -1.5665 18 Prefactor 37.826 19.005 .16403E-03 -1.5585 19 Prefactor 3.0520 1.6768 .58068E-03 -1.5673 20 norm 1.8743 1.3707 .76033E-03 -1.5681 21 Prefactor 8.5077 6.2538 .34334E-03 -1.5650 22 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.5484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 .29007 .54964E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 8.0151 2.3339 .35406E-03 -1.5651 25 Normalizat 1.0565 .45834E-01 .40130E-01 -.91161 26 Prefactor .85587 .50359E-01 .44440E-01 -.97701 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.83936e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.19154e-07 2 7.72332 3 0.000230682 4 9.1944 5 0.783603 6 0.737994 7 6.16636 8 10.837 9 3.29651 10 1.91744 11 2.23588e-05 12 0.308832 13 3.5e-06 14 1.09678 15 4.20431e-06 16 5.41947 17 0.78542 18 19.0048 19 1.67684 20 1.37066 21 6.25383 22 8.10077e-05 23 5.69435e-06 24 2.33386 25 0.0458358 26 0.0503613 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.8772089 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.204e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 8.559e-01 5.036e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.056e+00 4.584e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.3700209294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00108937957551 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/likelihoodResults_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.9026423 delta logL = -0.0254333414778 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.8772132 delta logL = -4.31705848314e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17679E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0565 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85586 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 72328.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 70 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .16378 .42118E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6594 3.8637 .51000 -.14267E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0565 .10150E-02 .40141E-01 -.26780E-03 4 Prefactor .85587 .11376E-02 .44440E-01 -.10721E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.65937 Normalizat = 1.05648 Prefactor = 0.855869 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 72328.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .39E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.1377 .22837E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6594 6.8289 .51000 -.27145 3 Normalizat 1.0565 .52596E-01 .20929E-03 -.91161 4 Prefactor .85587 .58853E-01 .25653E-03 -.97701 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.89885e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.1701e-05 2 6.13713 3 0.0525987 4 0.0588575 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.8772089 delta logL = -1.45519152284e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 2.170e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 3.659e+00 6.137e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 8.559e-01 5.886e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.056e+00 5.260e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33926157/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.09e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.37e-08', time_completed='2026-08-01 19:16:23.488133', job_id='33926157', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1785636983.49', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='-1.46e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='219' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Aug 1 19:16:23 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 72328.8772089 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.204e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 8.559e-01 5.036e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.056e+00 4.584e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.3700209294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00108937957551 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/likelihoodResults_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.9026423 delta logL = -0.0254333414778 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.8772132 delta logL = -4.31705848314e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17679E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0565 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85586 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 72328.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 70 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .16378 .42118E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6594 3.8637 .51000 -.14267E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0565 .10150E-02 .40141E-01 -.26780E-03 4 Prefactor .85587 .11376E-02 .44440E-01 -.10721E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.65937 Normalizat = 1.05648 Prefactor = 0.855869 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 72328.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .39E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.1377 .22837E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6594 6.8289 .51000 -.27145 3 Normalizat 1.0565 .52596E-01 .20929E-03 -.91161 4 Prefactor .85587 .58853E-01 .25653E-03 -.97701 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.89885e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.1701e-05 2 6.13713 3 0.0525987 4 0.0588575 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 72328.8772089 delta logL = -1.45519152284e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 2.170e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 3.659e+00 6.137e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 8.559e-01 5.886e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.056e+00 5.260e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33926166/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_807235201_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_monthly_bin219.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.09e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.37e-08', time_completed='2026-08-01 19:21:38.711415', job_id='33926166', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1785637298.71', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='-1.46e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='219' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Aug 1 19:21:38 PDT 2026