/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6515.329 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 518 CALLS 2781 TOTAL EDM= .80E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .55511E-10 2.7563 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 21.201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13858E-05 56.339 .12567E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 61.033 47.012 .12871E-03 -1.5552 5 Prefactor 5.9103 6.8156 .41187E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor .0000 1.4140 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11657E-08 9.9836 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .84626E-04 41.858 .16384E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .36082E-08 8.6272 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 11.535 .82220E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24980E-08 7.3655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.8166 1.3681 .77479E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .0000 2.7483 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.9465 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 10.654 9.0324 .30672E-03 -1.5643 16 Prefactor 25.282 28.965 .19795E-03 -1.5607 17 norm 3.3367 2.0966 .55353E-03 -1.5671 18 Prefactor 66.021 62.426 .12392E-03 -1.5545 19 Prefactor .61875 34.026 .68405E-03 -1.5692 20 norm 7.4785 8.2741 .36652E-03 -1.5653 21 Prefactor .35417E-05 117.26 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .85176E-05 387.74 .66872E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.4903 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 3.3220 11.156 .55752E-03 -1.5672 25 Normalizat 1.3622 .16808 .31768E-01 -.81728 26 Prefactor .58219 .17095 .69743E-01 -1.0834 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.04311e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.11247e-05 2 0.000166218 3 0.0176722 4 47.0121 5 6.81557 6 5.53433e-06 7 0.000213803 8 0.119035 9 0.000353305 10 0.000137873 11 0.00027121 12 1.36806 13 7.68557e-06 14 9.58967e-05 15 9.03241 16 28.9655 17 2.09664 18 62.427 19 9.17686 20 8.27412 21 0.0407581 22 0.114945 23 3.15767e-05 24 11.1557 25 0.168147 26 0.171099 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.32883879 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.065e+01 9.032e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.822e-01 1.711e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.362e+00 1.681e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.88 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 5.31e-08 +/- 4.49e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.13e-05 +/- 9.56e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.38202561201e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0109892516401 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40038539/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6514.29218952 delta logL = 1.03664927372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26977023 delta logL = 1.05906855968 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.1003 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.6166 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3170 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .62041 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6514.270 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 252 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 19.852 .71183E-03 .53727E-02 2 Index 4.6204 3.5408 .14862 .12188E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .49457E-01 .32507E-01 -.34322E-06 4 Prefactor .62045 .53068E-01 .67773E-01 .28834E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.09074 Index = 4.6204 Normalizat = 1.31698 Prefactor = 0.620446 number of points = 7529 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6514.270 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 285 TOTAL EDM= .35E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 36.005 .65093E-05 -1.5679 2 Index 4.6204 7.2114 .57698E-02 -.75994E-01 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .17525 .20007E-03 -.83061 4 Prefactor .62045 .18120 .29992E-03 -1.0673 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.51234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 17.3526 2 6.04644 3 0.175332 4 0.181371 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212 RA = 227.542, Dec = 57.0398 tmin = 812678401, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40039065', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 12:32:43.379900', time_epoch_executed='1791315163.38' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2212' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits ra=227.542 dec=57.0398 rad=12.0 tmin=812678401.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.75 user 3.23 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 606 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oushell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26976757 delta logL = 1.05907122372 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 2.091e+00 1.735e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 4.620e+00 6.046e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 6.204e-01 1.814e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.317e+00 1.753e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.99 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.62 +/- 6.05 Photon Flux (Free Index): 8.40e-08 +/- 6.08e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.16e-05 +/- 1.40e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40038539/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.10e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='5.31e-08', energy_flux2='1.16e-05', photon_flux_error='4.49e-08', dlogl='1.06e+00', energy_flux='1.13e-05', photon_flux2='8.40e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:33:22.106465', photon_index_error2='6.05', photon_index2='4.62', ts='1.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.58', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.38e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.40e-05', EG='1.36', time_epoch_completed='1791315202.11', return_code='0', job_id='40038539', GAL2='0.62', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='9.56e-06', photon_flux_error2='6.08e-08', ts2='3.99', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:33:22 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits.....................! real 26.44 user 24.81 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40038748/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40038748/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.1+5702' 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.34732507 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.33321257 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .59151E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52484E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .15849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 60.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 5.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .90611E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .80389E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .27423E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23820E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .62979E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.8159 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .20568E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .60404E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.654 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 25.530 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 3.3403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 65.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .60924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 7.4775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .59592E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .62667 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .55460E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 3.2949 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.3627 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .58171 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6515.329 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2263 TOTAL EDM= .76E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .55511E-10 2.7662 .18093E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 21.168 .14085E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13858E-05 54.775 .13612E-04** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 61.033 10.499 -.40987E-06 -.29891E-01 5 Prefactor 5.9103 6.6152 .24272E-06 -.11722E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 1.4226 -.32127E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11657E-08 9.9751 -.51980E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .84626E-04 282.53 .39845E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .36082E-08 8.6066 .11949E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 38.355 -.84133E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .24980E-08 7.3564 -.49497E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 1.8166 1.3585 -.19226E-06 -.30969E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 2.7450 -.10268E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.9641 .22443E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 10.654 9.0937 -.24391E-07 -.18182E-02 16 Prefactor 25.282 17.973 .51626E-06 -.12695 17 norm 3.3367 2.0811 -.85129E-08 -.64106E-03 18 Prefactor 66.021 28.454 .14055E-05 -.41114E-01 19 Prefactor .61875 1.6647 -.13234E-05 .10250E-01 20 norm 7.4785 6.0895 .27410E-06 -.49713E-02 21 Prefactor .35417E-05 109.60 .44573E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .85176E-05 281.97 -.11643E-04** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.5242 -.69334E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 3.3220 11.110 -.16247E-05 -.62906E-02 25 Normalizat 1.3622 .19017 .30356E-05 .29615E-03 26 Prefactor .58219 .19357 -.78117E-05 .16734E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 1.38584e-06 Prefactor = 61.0325 Prefactor = 5.9103 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 8.46258e-05 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 2.498e-09 norm = 1.81659 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 10.6544 Prefactor = 25.2823 norm = 3.33673 Prefactor = 66.0207 Prefactor = 0.618752 norm = 7.47851 Prefactor = 3.54167e-06 Prefactor = 8.51763e-06 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.32198 Normalizat = 1.36222 Prefactor = 0.582186 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 9.63 user 9.05 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 80.23 user 75.11 sys 4.58 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.1+5702 @ 227.542 57.0398 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/cmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6515.329 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 518 CALLS 2781 TOTAL EDM= .80E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .55511E-10 2.7563 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 21.201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13858E-05 56.339 .12567E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 61.033 47.012 .12871E-03 -1.5552 5 Prefactor 5.9103 6.8156 .41187E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor .0000 1.4140 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11657E-08 9.9836 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .84626E-04 41.858 .16384E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .36082E-08 8.6272 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 11.535 .82220E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24980E-08 7.3655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.8166 1.3681 .77479E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .0000 2.7483 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.9465 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 10.654 9.0324 .30672E-03 -1.5643 16 Prefactor 25.282 28.965 .19795E-03 -1.5607 17 norm 3.3367 2.0966 .55353E-03 -1.5671 18 Prefactor 66.021 62.426 .12392E-03 -1.5545 19 Prefactor .61875 34.026 .68405E-03 -1.5692 20 norm 7.4785 8.2741 .36652E-03 -1.5653 21 Prefactor .35417E-05 117.26 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .85176E-05 387.74 .66872E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.4903 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 3.3220 11.156 .55752E-03 -1.5672 25 Normalizat 1.3622 .16808 .31768E-01 -.81728 26 Prefactor .58219 .17095 .69743E-01 -1.0834 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.04311e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.11247e-05 2 0.000166218 3 0.0176722 4 47.0121 5 6.81557 6 5.53433e-06 7 0.000213803 8 0.119035 9 0.000353305 10 0.000137873 11 0.00027121 12 1.36806 13 7.68557e-06 14 9.58967e-05 15 9.03241 16 28.9655 17 2.09664 18 62.427 19 9.17686 20 8.27412 21 0.0407581 22 0.114945 23 3.15767e-05 24 11.1557 25 0.168147 26 0.171099 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.32883879 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.065e+01 9.032e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.822e-01 1.711e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.362e+00 1.681e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.88 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 5.31e-08 +/- 4.49e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.13e-05 +/- 9.56e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.38202561201e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0109892516401 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6514.29218952 delta logL = 1.03664927372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26977023 delta logL = 1.05906855968 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.1003 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.6166 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3170 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .62041 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6514.270 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 252 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 19.852 .71183E-03 .53727E-02 2 Index 4.6204 3.5408 .14862 .12188E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .49457E-01 .32507E-01 -.34322E-06 4 Prefactor .62045 .53068E-01 .67773E-01 .28834E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.09074 Index = 4.6204 Normalizat = 1.31698 Prefactor = 0.620446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6514.270 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 285 TOTAL EDM= .35E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 36.005 .65093E-05 -1.5679 2 Index 4.6204 7.2114 .57698E-02 -.75994E-01 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .17525 .20007E-03 -.83061 4 Prefactor .62045 .18120 .29992E-03 -1.0673 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.51234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 17.3526 2 6.04644 3 0.175332 4 0.181371 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26976757 delta logL = 1.05907122372 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 2.091e+00 1.735e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 4.620e+00 6.046e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 6.204e-01 1.814e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.317e+00 1.753e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.99 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.62 +/- 6.05 Photon Flux (Free Index): 8.40e-08 +/- 6.08e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.16e-05 +/- 1.40e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40038748/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.10e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='5.31e-08', energy_flux2='1.16e-05', photon_flux_error='4.49e-08', dlogl='1.06e+00', energy_flux='1.13e-05', photon_flux2='8.40e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:36:10.065278', photon_index_error2='6.05', photon_index2='4.62', ts='1.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.58', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.38e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.40e-05', EG='1.36', time_epoch_completed='1791315370.07', return_code='0', job_id='40038748', GAL2='0.62', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='9.56e-06', photon_flux_error2='6.08e-08', ts2='3.99', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:36:10 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits.....................! real 27.31 user 25.70 sys 1.16 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40039065/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.1+5702' 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.34732507 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.33321257 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .59151E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52484E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .15849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 60.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 5.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .90611E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .80389E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .27423E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23820E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .62979E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.8159 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .20568E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .60404E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.654 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 25.530 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 3.3403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 65.132 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .60924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 7.4775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .59592E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .62667 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .55460E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 3.2949 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.3627 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .58171 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6515.329 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2263 TOTAL EDM= .76E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .55511E-10 2.7662 .18093E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 21.168 .14085E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .13858E-05 54.775 .13612E-04** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 61.033 10.499 -.40987E-06 -.29891E-01 5 Prefactor 5.9103 6.6152 .24272E-06 -.11722E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 1.4226 -.32127E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .11657E-08 9.9751 -.51980E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .84626E-04 282.53 .39845E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .36082E-08 8.6066 .11949E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 38.355 -.84133E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .24980E-08 7.3564 -.49497E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 1.8166 1.3585 -.19226E-06 -.30969E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 2.7450 -.10268E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.9641 .22443E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 10.654 9.0937 -.24391E-07 -.18182E-02 16 Prefactor 25.282 17.973 .51626E-06 -.12695 17 norm 3.3367 2.0811 -.85129E-08 -.64106E-03 18 Prefactor 66.021 28.454 .14055E-05 -.41114E-01 19 Prefactor .61875 1.6647 -.13234E-05 .10250E-01 20 norm 7.4785 6.0895 .27410E-06 -.49713E-02 21 Prefactor .35417E-05 109.60 .44573E-05** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .85176E-05 281.97 -.11643E-04** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.5242 -.69334E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 3.3220 11.110 -.16247E-05 -.62906E-02 25 Normalizat 1.3622 .19017 .30356E-05 .29615E-03 26 Prefactor .58219 .19357 -.78117E-05 .16734E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 1.38584e-06 Prefactor = 61.0325 Prefactor = 5.9103 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 8.46258e-05 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 2.498e-09 norm = 1.81659 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 10.6544 Prefactor = 25.2823 norm = 3.33673 Prefactor = 66.0207 Prefactor = 0.618752 norm = 7.47851 Prefactor = 3.54167e-06 Prefactor = 8.51763e-06 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.32198 Normalizat = 1.36222 Prefactor = 0.582186 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6515.329 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 518 CALLS 2781 TOTAL EDM= .80E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .55511E-10 2.7563 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 21.201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .13858E-05 56.339 .12567E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 61.033 47.012 .12871E-03 -1.5552 5 Prefactor 5.9103 6.8156 .41187E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor .0000 1.4140 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .11657E-08 9.9836 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .84626E-04 41.858 .16384E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .36082E-08 8.6272 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 11.535 .82220E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24980E-08 7.3655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.8166 1.3681 .77479E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .0000 2.7483 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.9465 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 10.654 9.0324 .30672E-03 -1.5643 16 Prefactor 25.282 28.965 .19795E-03 -1.5607 17 norm 3.3367 2.0966 .55353E-03 -1.5671 18 Prefactor 66.021 62.426 .12392E-03 -1.5545 19 Prefactor .61875 34.026 .68405E-03 -1.5692 20 norm 7.4785 8.2741 .36652E-03 -1.5653 21 Prefactor .35417E-05 117.26 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .85176E-05 387.74 .66872E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.4903 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 3.3220 11.156 .55752E-03 -1.5672 25 Normalizat 1.3622 .16808 .31768E-01 -.81728 26 Prefactor .58219 .17095 .69743E-01 -1.0834 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.04311e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.11247e-05 2 0.000166218 3 0.0176722 4 47.0121 5 6.81557 6 5.53433e-06 7 0.000213803 8 0.119035 9 0.000353305 10 0.000137873 11 0.00027121 12 1.36806 13 7.68557e-06 14 9.58967e-05 15 9.03241 16 28.9655 17 2.09664 18 62.427 19 9.17686 20 8.27412 21 0.0407581 22 0.114945 23 3.15767e-05 24 11.1557 25 0.168147 26 0.171099 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6515.32883879 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.065e+01 9.032e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.822e-01 1.711e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.362e+00 1.681e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.88 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 5.31e-08 +/- 4.49e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.13e-05 +/- 9.56e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 1.71 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.38202561201e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0109892516401 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6514.29218952 delta logL = 1.03664927372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26977023 delta logL = 1.05906855968 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.1003 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.6166 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3170 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .62041 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6514.270 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 252 TOTAL EDM= .24E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 19.852 .71183E-03 .53727E-02 2 Index 4.6204 3.5408 .14862 .12188E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .49457E-01 .32507E-01 -.34322E-06 4 Prefactor .62045 .53068E-01 .67773E-01 .28834E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.09074 Index = 4.6204 Normalizat = 1.31698 Prefactor = 0.620446 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6514.270 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 285 TOTAL EDM= .35E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0907 36.005 .65093E-05 -1.5679 2 Index 4.6204 7.2114 .57698E-02 -.75994E-01 3 Normalizat 1.3170 .17525 .20007E-03 -.83061 4 Prefactor .62045 .18120 .29992E-03 -1.0673 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.51234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 17.3526 2 6.04644 3 0.175332 4 0.181371 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6514.26976757 delta logL = 1.05907122372 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 2.091e+00 1.735e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 4.620e+00 6.046e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 6.204e-01 1.814e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.317e+00 1.753e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.99 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.62 +/- 6.05 Photon Flux (Free Index): 8.40e-08 +/- 6.08e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.16e-05 +/- 1.40e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40039065/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.10e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='5.31e-08', energy_flux2='1.16e-05', photon_flux_error='4.49e-08', dlogl='1.06e+00', energy_flux='1.13e-05', photon_flux2='8.40e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:39:05.883530', photon_index_error2='6.05', photon_index2='4.62', ts='1.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.58', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.38e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.40e-05', EG='1.36', time_epoch_completed='1791315545.88', return_code='0', job_id='40039065', GAL2='0.62', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='9.56e-06', photon_flux_error2='6.08e-08', ts2='3.99', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:39:06 PDT 2026