********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6315.327 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 508 CALLS 2237 TOTAL EDM= .36E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .99098 3.1780 .43440E-03 -1.5688 2 Prefactor .33890E-06 13.687 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .83211E-07 21.492 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .93536E-07 14.603 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.1398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 5.7786 2.4175 .41748E-03 -1.5660 7 Prefactor .55117E-06 16.495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .73985E-06 58.003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 7.7073 21.735 .36132E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor .11102E-08 7.2717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10089E-01 7.9603 .11009E-01 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.9486 1.2017 .74300E-03 -1.5680 13 Prefactor .0000 5.9869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .0000 1.7724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.1024 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .58287E-08 9.1731 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 .81432 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .77105E-07 21.419 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .11313E-06 22.086 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 6.5749 6.6815 .39147E-03 -1.5657 21 Prefactor .52458E-07 26.913 .13616E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .16354E-06 22.727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 2.4880 6.0657 .64506E-03 -1.5676 24 Prefactor .24126 4.1881 .88734E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat 1.2028 .14482 .34838E-01 -.86517 26 Prefactor .54234 .15512 .64632E-01 -1.1007 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.64541e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.17805 2 0.00430741 3 0.00267432 4 0.00233742 5 1.57207e-05 6 2.41751 7 0.00603055 8 0.013102 9 21.7354 10 0.000178468 11 0.566794 12 1.20175 13 1.26804e-05 14 1.49197e-06 15 7.35934e-06 16 0.000463034 17 1.1781e-06 18 0.00257046 19 0.00316137 20 6.6815 21 0.0023758 22 0.00385566 23 6.06571 24 2.01038 25 0.144867 26 0.155245 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6315.32727103 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.359e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.423e-01 1.552e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.449e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.49596876213e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00437014938136 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/19059460/likelihoodResults_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6315.33165057 delta logL = -0.00437953267556 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6315.32727171 delta logL = -6.803065844e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17314E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.4949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2028 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .54239 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6315.327 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .33E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .79385 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2100 .68555 .80093E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2028 1.1053 .38451E-05 -.13292E-03 4 Prefactor .54234 .88742 -.12251E-04 -.51986E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.20995 Normalizat = 1.20276 Prefactor = 0.54234 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6315.327 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .33E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .79385 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .10021 1.1944 .80093E-04 -.86026 3 Normalizat 1.2028 1.1053 .38451E-05 -.86517 4 Prefactor .54234 .88742 -.12251E-04 -1.1007 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.25064e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.48822e-06 2 0.690701 3 1.128 4 0.911859 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6315.32727103 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.488e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 1.210e+00 6.907e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.423e-01 9.119e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/19059460/cmap_HighResolution_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.37e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.50e-08', time_completed='2023-07-12 00:41:43.979052', job_id='19059460', GAL2='0.54', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1689147703.98', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.54', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='1818' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 12 00:41:44 PDT 2023 number of points = 7475 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818 RA = 227.542, Dec = 57.0398 tmin = 710553601, tmax = 710812801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='19059880', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2023-07-12 00:41:13.280968', time_epoch_executed='1689147673.28' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='1818' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=710553601.0 && nMetStart<710812801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=710553601.0 && nMetStart<710812801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=710553601.0 && nMetStart<710812801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits ra=227.542 dec=57.0398 rad=12.0 tmin=710553601.0 tmax=710812801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.03 user 1.72 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.44 user 0.17 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 584 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ltcube_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits .....................! real 7.47 user 7.12 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ltcube_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/expmap_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ltcube_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits .....................! real 61.56 user 57.70 sys 3.49 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1510.1+5702 @ 227.542 57.0398 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/cmap_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.35 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/cmap_HighResolution_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=227.542 yref=57.0398 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.34 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits.....................! real 18.60 user 17.88 sys 0.60 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/expmap_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ltcube_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/19059880/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1510.1+5702' 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ft2_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/expmap_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/ltcube_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/Model_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6315.39974559 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6315.32849372 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .99080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .65070E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11885E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .60148E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .32743E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 5.7812 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .54017E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11105E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 7.6924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30095E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24597 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.9494 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .64710E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .28033E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .36380E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .12300E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .53257E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .28092E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .65409E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 6.5636 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .11205 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .19856E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 2.5073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .40653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.2022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .54224 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6315.327 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 153 CALLS 1729 TOTAL EDM= .56E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .99098 3.1696 -.22063E-06 -.23535E-02 2 Prefactor .33890E-06 9.7884 .91275E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .83211E-07 5.3454 .10018E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .93536E-07 5.3456 .73689E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 3.1397 .63771E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 5.7786 2.4164 -.15357E-07 -.21735E-02 7 Prefactor .55117E-06 12.008 .42396E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .73985E-06 57.883 -.15671E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 7.7073 1.0374 .10437E-08 -.32481E-03 10 Prefactor .11102E-08 7.2735 .16303E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10089E-01 21.800 -.14762E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 1.9486 1.1980 -.22630E-07 -.31398E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 6.0188 .45301E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .0000 1.7727 .19543E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 4.1171 .42128E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .58287E-08 9.1660 -.11441E-07** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 .81536 .96725E-08** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .77105E-07 5.6573 .10258E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .11313E-06 3.9098 .88446E-07** at limit ** 20 norm 6.5749 6.4774 -.58127E-07 -.12169E-02 21 Prefactor .52458E-07 1.6238 .31416E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .16354E-06 10.844 .14009E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 2.4880 6.0493 .22369E-07 .26470E-03 24 Prefactor .24126 1.1945 .16960E-07** at limit ** 25 Normalizat 1.2028 .16747 .80332E-06 -.33628E-04 26 Prefactor .54234 .17878 -.87100E-06 -.35866E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.99098 Prefactor = 3.38896e-07 Prefactor = 8.32112e-08 Prefactor = 9.35363e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.77865 Prefactor = 5.5117e-07 Prefactor = 7.39853e-07 Prefactor = 7.70734 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 0.0100893 norm = 1.9486 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.82867e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 7.7105e-08 Prefactor = 1.13132e-07 norm = 6.57485 Prefactor = 5.2458e-08 Prefactor = 1.63536e-07 Prefactor = 2.48805 Prefactor = 0.241255 Normalizat = 1.20276 Prefactor = 0.542339 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6315.327 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 508 CALLS 2237 TOTAL EDM= .36E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .99098 3.1780 .43440E-03 -1.5688 2 Prefactor .33890E-06 13.687 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .83211E-07 21.492 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .93536E-07 14.603 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.1398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 5.7786 2.4175 .41748E-03 -1.5660 7 Prefactor .55117E-06 16.495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .73985E-06 58.003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 7.7073 21.735 .36132E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor .11102E-08 7.2717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10089E-01 7.9603 .11009E-01 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 1.9486 1.2017 .74300E-03 -1.5680 13 Prefactor .0000 5.9869 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .0000 1.7724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 4.1024 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .58287E-08 9.1731 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 .81432 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .77105E-07 21.419 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .11313E-06 22.086 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 6.5749 6.6815 .39147E-03 -1.5657 21 Prefactor .52458E-07 26.913 .13616E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .16354E-06 22.727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 2.4880 6.0657 .64506E-03 -1.5676 24 Prefactor .24126 4.1881 .88734E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat 1.2028 .14482 .34838E-01 -.86517 26 Prefactor .54234 .15512 .64632E-01 -1.1007 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.64541e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.17805 2 0.00430741 3 0.00267432 4 0.00233742 5 1.57207e-05 6 2.41751 7 0.00603055 8 0.013102 9 21.7354 10 0.000178468 11 0.566794 12 1.20175 13 1.26804e-05 14 1.49197e-06 15 7.35934e-06 16 0.000463034 17 1.1781e-06 18 0.00257046 19 0.00316137 20 6.6815 21 0.0023758 22 0.00385566 23 6.06571 24 2.01038 25 0.144867 26 0.155245 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6315.32727103 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.359e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 2.882e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.423e-01 1.552e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.449e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.49596876213e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00437014938136 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/likelihoodResults_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6315.33165057 delta logL = -0.00437953267556 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6315.32727171 delta logL = -6.803065844e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17314E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.4949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2028 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .54239 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6315.327 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 241 TOTAL EDM= .33E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .79385 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.2100 .68555 .80093E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2028 1.1053 .38451E-05 -.13292E-03 4 Prefactor .54234 .88742 -.12251E-04 -.51986E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.20995 Normalizat = 1.20276 Prefactor = 0.54234 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6315.327 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .33E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .79385 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .10021 1.1944 .80093E-04 -.86026 3 Normalizat 1.2028 1.1053 .38451E-05 -.86517 4 Prefactor .54234 .88742 -.12251E-04 -1.1007 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.25064e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.48822e-06 2 0.690701 3 1.128 4 0.911859 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6315.32727103 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1510.1+5702 Spectrum: PowerLaw 344 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.488e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 345 Index: 1.210e+00 6.907e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 346 Scale: 4.831e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 691 Prefactor: 5.423e-01 9.119e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 692 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 693 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 690 Normalization: 1.203e+00 1.128e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 227.542 57.040 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/19059880/cmap_HighResolution_710553601_710812801_4FGL_J1510.1+5702_daily_bin1818.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.37e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.50e-08', time_completed='2023-07-12 00:46:05.994374', job_id='19059880', GAL2='0.54', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.20', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1689147965.99', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.54', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.88' WHERE bin_id='1818' AND source_name='4FGL J1510.1+5702' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 12 00:46:06 PDT 2023