********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5201.109 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 479 CALLS 2720 TOTAL EDM= .17E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43299E-07 34.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .72164E-09 4.7351 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 9.9203 14.711 .32084E-03 -1.5645 4 Prefactor .11102E-09 28.776 .14540E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .17575E-06 6.3591 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .55511E-10 9.2606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .44409E-09 3.1784 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14433E-08 4.3259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 115.11 57.842 .94557E-04 -1.5493 10 norm .55511E-10 6.7099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .77716E-09 10.840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .99920E-09 3.7234 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .96534E-07 1.6169 .31859E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .22987E-06 7.7980 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16653E-09 13.859 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 196.78 99.848 .72449E-04 -1.5427 17 Prefactor .75495E-08 5.5901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 1.3950 8.9500 .93268E-03 -1.5684 19 norm .72164E-09 1.0622 .22113E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 20.213 14.590 .22289E-03 -1.5618 21 Prefactor 1.2233 245.41 .91542E-03 -1.5686 22 norm .10270E-07 10.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.074 24.562 .21273E-03 -1.5614 24 Normalizat 1.1472 .19337 .36177E-01 -.88250 25 Prefactor .73876 .17396 .42888E-01 -1.0203 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68317e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00246173 2 0.000117339 3 14.7113 4 9.92368e-05 5 0.00211443 6 3.5017e-05 7 7.72722e-05 8 0.000158018 9 57.8425 10 4.63381e-05 11 0.000185063 12 0.00012156 13 0.000790088 14 0.00267766 15 9.48248e-05 16 99.8491 17 0.000411614 18 7.06691 19 5.49565e-05 20 14.5904 21 34.6544 22 0.000663062 23 24.5624 24 0.193495 25 0.174087 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.10912378 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 1.851e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 7.388e-01 1.741e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 1.147e+00 1.935e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.1546113216e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0062856250642 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037421/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5201.15385969 delta logL = -0.0447359171449 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552825 delta logL = 3.15384127811 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10497E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.6532 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .93611 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87590 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5197.955 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 207 CALLS 473 TOTAL EDM= .35E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92768E-02 -.22663E-07** at limit ** 2 Index 7.6631 2.4422 -.73544E-04 .83052E-04 3 Normalizat .93571 .22051 .68323E-05 .17405E-03 4 Prefactor .87600 .20772 .56999E-05 -.17305E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.00102735 Index = 7.66315 Normalizat = 0.935706 Prefactor = 0.876 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5197.955 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 508 TOTAL EDM= .79E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92000E-03 .23539E-04 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 7.6631 .35900 .72007E-01 -104.23 3 Normalizat .93571 .21849 .45361E-01 -109.00 4 Prefactor .87600 .20490 .44697E-01 212.66 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.88528e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000919997 2 0.359436 3 0.2187 4 0.205075 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552676 delta logL = 3.15385617495 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.027e-03 9.200e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 7.663e+00 3.594e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 8.760e-01 2.051e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 9.357e-01 2.187e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 7.14 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Index (Free Index): 7.66 +/- 0.36 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.91e-07 +/- 3.09e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.23e-05 +/- 3.61e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40037421/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.29e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.23e-05', dlogl='3.15e+00', photon_flux2='1.91e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:20:44.781651', photon_index_error2='0.36', photon_index2='7.66', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.15e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.61e-05', EG='1.15', time_epoch_completed='1791314444.78', return_code='0', job_id='40037421', GAL2='0.88', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.09e-07', ts2='7.14', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1453.5+3505' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:20:44 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.10912378 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 1.851e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 7.388e-01 1.741e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 1.147e+00 1.935e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.1546113216e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0062856250642 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037683/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5201.15385969 delta logL = -0.0447359171449 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552825 delta logL = 3.15384127811 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10497E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.6532 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .93611 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87590 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5197.955 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 207 CALLS 473 TOTAL EDM= .35E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92768E-02 -.22663E-07** at limit ** 2 Index 7.6631 2.4422 -.73544E-04 .83052E-04 3 Normalizat .93571 .22051 .68323E-05 .17405E-03 4 Prefactor .87600 .20772 .56999E-05 -.17305E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.00102735 Index = 7.66315 Normalizat = 0.935706 Prefactor = 0.876 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5197.955 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 508 TOTAL EDM= .79E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92000E-03 .23539E-04 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 7.6631 .35900 .72007E-01 -104.23 3 Normalizat .93571 .21849 .45361E-01 -109.00 4 Prefactor .87600 .20490 .44697E-01 212.66 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.88528e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000919997 2 0.359436 3 0.2187 4 0.205075 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552676 delta logL = 3.15385617495 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.027e-03 9.200e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 7.663e+00 3.594e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 8.760e-01 2.051e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 9.357e-01 2.187e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 7.14 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Index (Free Index): 7.66 +/- 0.36 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.91e-07 +/- 3.09e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.23e-05 +/- 3.61e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40037683/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.29e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.23e-05', dlogl='3.15e+00', photon_flux2='1.91e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:21:17.552279', photon_index_error2='0.36', photon_index2='7.66', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.15e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.61e-05', EG='1.15', time_epoch_completed='1791314477.55', return_code='0', job_id='40037683', GAL2='0.88', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.09e-07', ts2='7.14', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1453.5+3505' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:21:17 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 9.65 user 9.09 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 78.17 user 73.03 sys 4.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 180 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1453.5+3505 @ 223.392 35.0884 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/cmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=223.392 yref=35.0884 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=223.392 yref=35.0884 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_number of points = 7529 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212 RA = 223.392, Dec = 35.0884 tmin = 812678401, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40037910', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 12:20:46.654892', time_epoch_executed='1791314446.65' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1453.5+3505' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2212' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812678401.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits ra=223.392 dec=35.0884 rad=12.0 tmin=812678401.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.50 user 3.05 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.52 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 462 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouV02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits.....................! real 20.90 user 19.43 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40037831/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1453.5+3505' 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.970e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.28104126 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.11478935 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .26038E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39646E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 9.7402 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .78726E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45529E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .17014E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .53240E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38757E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 111.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .12399E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .20735E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .45542E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .24172E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .74191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .37767E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 190.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .85568E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 1.3670 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .30343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 20.141 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23549E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 22.109 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.1525 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .73676 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5201.109 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 225 CALLS 2241 TOTAL EDM= .96E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43299E-07 35.123 -.22135E-07** at limit ** 2 norm .72164E-09 4.7163 -.11626E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 9.9203 5.2260 .22620E-07 .22786E-01 4 Prefactor .11102E-09 28.920 -.11602E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .17575E-06 4.7772 .14429E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .55511E-10 9.2298 -.76109E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .44409E-09 3.1778 -.10211E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .14433E-08 4.3253 -.16389E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 115.11 58.257 .19698E-06 .56476E-02 10 norm .55511E-10 6.2737 .11093E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .77716E-09 8.4196 .11741E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .99920E-09 3.7171 -.11866E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .96534E-07 4.4325 .61755E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .22987E-06 2.3140 -.13859E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16653E-09 13.966 .18314E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 196.78 95.786 .15524E-06 -.52466E-02 17 Prefactor .75495E-08 5.4828 -.17285E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 1.3950 8.8853 .10823E-06 -.13005E-04 19 norm .72164E-09 2.7788 .80402E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 20.213 10.674 -.14632E-06 -.74807E-01 21 Prefactor 1.2233 213.13 .23435E-05 .44646E-02 22 norm .10270E-07 7.5021 -.13179E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 22.074 10.031 -.16007E-06 .13352 24 Normalizat 1.1472 .21539 -.75527E-06 .63656E-04 25 Prefactor .73876 .19751 .10848E-05 .72392E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.32987e-08 norm = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 9.92027 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.75748e-07 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 4.44089e-10 norm = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 115.111 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 7.77156e-10 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 9.65339e-08 norm = 2.29872e-07 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 196.784 Prefactor = 7.54952e-09 Prefactor = 1.395 norm = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 20.2126 Prefactor = 1.22329 norm = 1.02696e-08 Prefactor = 22.0736 Normalizat = 1.14722 Prefactor = 0.738756 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 9.07 user 8.62 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits .....................! real 75.43 user 70.45 sys 4.26 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 180 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1453.5+3505 @ 223.392 35.0884 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/cmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=223.392 yref=35.0884 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.51 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=223.392 yref=35.0884 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5201.109 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 479 CALLS 2720 TOTAL EDM= .17E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43299E-07 34.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .72164E-09 4.7351 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 9.9203 14.711 .32084E-03 -1.5645 4 Prefactor .11102E-09 28.776 .14540E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .17575E-06 6.3591 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .55511E-10 9.2606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .44409E-09 3.1784 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14433E-08 4.3259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 115.11 57.842 .94557E-04 -1.5493 10 norm .55511E-10 6.7099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .77716E-09 10.840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .99920E-09 3.7234 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .96534E-07 1.6169 .31859E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .22987E-06 7.7980 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16653E-09 13.859 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 196.78 99.848 .72449E-04 -1.5427 17 Prefactor .75495E-08 5.5901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 1.3950 8.9500 .93268E-03 -1.5684 19 norm .72164E-09 1.0622 .22113E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 20.213 14.590 .22289E-03 -1.5618 21 Prefactor 1.2233 245.41 .91542E-03 -1.5686 22 norm .10270E-07 10.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.074 24.562 .21273E-03 -1.5614 24 Normalizat 1.1472 .19337 .36177E-01 -.88250 25 Prefactor .73876 .17396 .42888E-01 -1.0203 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68317e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00246173 2 0.000117339 3 14.7113 4 9.92368e-05 5 0.00211443 6 3.5017e-05 7 7.72722e-05 8 0.000158018 9 57.8425 10 4.63381e-05 11 0.000185063 12 0.00012156 13 0.000790088 14 0.00267766 15 9.48248e-05 16 99.8491 17 0.000411614 18 7.06691 19 5.49565e-05 20 14.5904 21 34.6544 22 0.000663062 23 24.5624 24 0.193495 25 0.174087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.10912378 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 1.851e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 7.388e-01 1.741e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 1.147e+00 1.935e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.1546113216e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0062856250642 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5201.15385969 delta logL = -0.0447359171449 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552825 delta logL = 3.15384127811 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10497E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.6532 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .93611 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87590 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5197.955 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 207 CALLS 473 TOTAL EDM= .35E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92768E-02 -.22663E-07** at limit ** 2 Index 7.6631 2.4422 -.73544E-04 .83052E-04 3 Normalizat .93571 .22051 .68323E-05 .17405E-03 4 Prefactor .87600 .20772 .56999E-05 -.17305E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.00102735 Index = 7.66315 Normalizat = 0.935706 Prefactor = 0.876 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5197.955 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 508 TOTAL EDM= .79E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92000E-03 .23539E-04 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 7.6631 .35900 .72007E-01 -104.23 3 Normalizat .93571 .21849 .45361E-01 -109.00 4 Prefactor .87600 .20490 .44697E-01 212.66 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.88528e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000919997 2 0.359436 3 0.2187 4 0.205075 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552676 delta logL = 3.15385617495 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.027e-03 9.200e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 7.663e+00 3.594e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 8.760e-01 2.051e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 9.357e-01 2.187e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 7.14 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Index (Free Index): 7.66 +/- 0.36 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.91e-07 +/- 3.09e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.23e-05 +/- 3.61e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40037831/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.29e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.23e-05', dlogl='3.15e+00', photon_flux2='1.91e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:24:23.677576', photon_index_error2='0.36', photon_index2='7.66', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.15e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.61e-05', EG='1.15', time_epoch_completed='1791314663.68', return_code='0', job_id='40037831', GAL2='0.88', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.09e-07', ts2='7.14', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1453.5+3505' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:24:23 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits.....................! real 20.42 user 18.89 sys 1.15 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40037910/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1453.5+3505' 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.970e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ft2_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/expmap_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/ltcube_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/Model_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.28104126 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.11478935 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .26038E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39646E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 9.7402 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .78726E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45529E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .17014E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .53240E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38757E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 111.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .12399E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .20735E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .45542E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .24172E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .74191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .37767E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 190.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .85568E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 1.3670 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .30343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 20.141 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23549E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 22.109 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.1525 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .73676 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5201.109 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 225 CALLS 2241 TOTAL EDM= .96E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43299E-07 35.123 -.22135E-07** at limit ** 2 norm .72164E-09 4.7163 -.11626E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 9.9203 5.2260 .22620E-07 .22786E-01 4 Prefactor .11102E-09 28.920 -.11602E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .17575E-06 4.7772 .14429E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .55511E-10 9.2298 -.76109E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .44409E-09 3.1778 -.10211E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .14433E-08 4.3253 -.16389E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 115.11 58.257 .19698E-06 .56476E-02 10 norm .55511E-10 6.2737 .11093E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .77716E-09 8.4196 .11741E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .99920E-09 3.7171 -.11866E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .96534E-07 4.4325 .61755E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .22987E-06 2.3140 -.13859E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16653E-09 13.966 .18314E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 196.78 95.786 .15524E-06 -.52466E-02 17 Prefactor .75495E-08 5.4828 -.17285E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 1.3950 8.8853 .10823E-06 -.13005E-04 19 norm .72164E-09 2.7788 .80402E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 20.213 10.674 -.14632E-06 -.74807E-01 21 Prefactor 1.2233 213.13 .23435E-05 .44646E-02 22 norm .10270E-07 7.5021 -.13179E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 22.074 10.031 -.16007E-06 .13352 24 Normalizat 1.1472 .21539 -.75527E-06 .63656E-04 25 Prefactor .73876 .19751 .10848E-05 .72392E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.32987e-08 norm = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 9.92027 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.75748e-07 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 4.44089e-10 norm = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 115.111 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 7.77156e-10 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 norm = 9.65339e-08 norm = 2.29872e-07 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 196.784 Prefactor = 7.54952e-09 Prefactor = 1.395 norm = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 20.2126 Prefactor = 1.22329 norm = 1.02696e-08 Prefactor = 22.0736 Normalizat = 1.14722 Prefactor = 0.738756 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5201.109 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 479 CALLS 2720 TOTAL EDM= .17E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43299E-07 34.981 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .72164E-09 4.7351 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 9.9203 14.711 .32084E-03 -1.5645 4 Prefactor .11102E-09 28.776 .14540E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .17575E-06 6.3591 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .55511E-10 9.2606 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .44409E-09 3.1784 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14433E-08 4.3259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 115.11 57.842 .94557E-04 -1.5493 10 norm .55511E-10 6.7099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .77716E-09 10.840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .99920E-09 3.7234 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .96534E-07 1.6169 .31859E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .22987E-06 7.7980 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16653E-09 13.859 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 196.78 99.848 .72449E-04 -1.5427 17 Prefactor .75495E-08 5.5901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 1.3950 8.9500 .93268E-03 -1.5684 19 norm .72164E-09 1.0622 .22113E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 20.213 14.590 .22289E-03 -1.5618 21 Prefactor 1.2233 245.41 .91542E-03 -1.5686 22 norm .10270E-07 10.677 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.074 24.562 .21273E-03 -1.5614 24 Normalizat 1.1472 .19337 .36177E-01 -.88250 25 Prefactor .73876 .17396 .42888E-01 -1.0203 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.68317e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00246173 2 0.000117339 3 14.7113 4 9.92368e-05 5 0.00211443 6 3.5017e-05 7 7.72722e-05 8 0.000158018 9 57.8425 10 4.63381e-05 11 0.000185063 12 0.00012156 13 0.000790088 14 0.00267766 15 9.48248e-05 16 99.8491 17 0.000411614 18 7.06691 19 5.49565e-05 20 14.5904 21 34.6544 22 0.000663062 23 24.5624 24 0.193495 25 0.174087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5201.10912378 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 1.851e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 2.363e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 7.388e-01 1.741e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 1.147e+00 1.935e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.1546113216e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0062856250642 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/likelihoodResults_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5201.15385969 delta logL = -0.0447359171449 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552825 delta logL = 3.15384127811 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10497E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.6532 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .93611 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87590 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5780E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5197.955 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 207 CALLS 473 TOTAL EDM= .35E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92768E-02 -.22663E-07** at limit ** 2 Index 7.6631 2.4422 -.73544E-04 .83052E-04 3 Normalizat .93571 .22051 .68323E-05 .17405E-03 4 Prefactor .87600 .20772 .56999E-05 -.17305E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.00102735 Index = 7.66315 Normalizat = 0.935706 Prefactor = 0.876 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5197.955 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 508 TOTAL EDM= .79E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10274E-02 .92000E-03 .23539E-04 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 7.6631 .35900 .72007E-01 -104.23 3 Normalizat .93571 .21849 .45361E-01 -109.00 4 Prefactor .87600 .20490 .44697E-01 212.66 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.88528e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000919997 2 0.359436 3 0.2187 4 0.205075 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5197.9552676 delta logL = 3.15385617495 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1453.5+3505 Spectrum: PowerLaw 273 Prefactor: 1.027e-03 9.200e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 274 Index: 7.663e+00 3.594e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 275 Scale: 1.135e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 575 Prefactor: 8.760e-01 2.051e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 576 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 577 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 574 Normalization: 9.357e-01 2.187e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 7.14 Ra Dec: 223.392 35.088 Photon Index (Free Index): 7.66 +/- 0.36 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.91e-07 +/- 3.09e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.23e-05 +/- 3.61e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40037910/cmap_HighResolution_812678401_812937601_4FGL_J1453.5+3505_daily_bin2212.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.29e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.23e-05', dlogl='3.15e+00', photon_flux2='1.91e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:26:03.113950', photon_index_error2='0.36', photon_index2='7.66', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.15e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.61e-05', EG='1.15', time_epoch_completed='1791314763.11', return_code='0', job_id='40037910', GAL2='0.88', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.09e-07', ts2='7.14', photon_index='2.36' WHERE bin_id='2212' AND source_name='4FGL J1453.5+3505' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:26:03 PDT 2026