********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 394 CALLS 2199 TOTAL EDM= .45E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.2657 4.4998 .98965E-03 -1.5685 2 norm .27756E-09 1.6062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 27.951 15.829 .18917E-03 -1.5602 4 Prefactor .99920E-08 16.878 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 405.10 18.240 .49694E-04 -1.5305 6 norm .88818E-09 6.9521 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.3004 2.1478 .67631E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .55511E-10 2.8059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.7505 6.9558 .80089E-03 -1.5682 10 norm .76508 5.1571 .58177E-03 -1.5690 11 Prefactor .19692E-05 13.484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 11.793 10.110 .29147E-03 -1.5639 13 Prefactor .13645E-05 12.587 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .0000 3.4296 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7420 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16537 .84300 .31009E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 56.181 73.825 .13202E-03 -1.5558 18 norm 3.4196 1.9824 .54681E-03 -1.5671 19 Prefactor 17.726 14.368 .23765E-03 -1.5624 20 Prefactor .13323E-08 23.039 .17384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat .68428 .20413 .98972E-01 -1.0452 22 Prefactor 1.2861 .17947 .69015E-01 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.53478e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.49982 2 4.06588e-05 3 15.8294 4 0.000822026 5 18.2403 6 0.000158594 7 2.14779 8 2.32696e-05 9 6.95586 10 3.97269 11 0.0103059 12 10.11 13 0.00828868 14 1.69064e-06 15 2.9041e-05 16 0.746742 17 73.8265 18 1.98238 19 14.368 20 0.000347379 21 0.204352 22 0.179551 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 7.82 user 7.30 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 61.29 user 57.00 sys 3.59 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 165 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1446.3+3111 @ 221.591 31.1955 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/cmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=221.591 yref=31.1955 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=221.591 yref=31.1955 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2751192 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 1.969e-06 1.031e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.796e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 2.044e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.85584370976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00457067539797 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481437/likelihoodResults_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.3107382 delta logL = -0.0356190085895 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751244 delta logL = -5.25401264895e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .56699E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .68401 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2860 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 84 CALLS 283 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .31770E-01 .17070 -.26869E-02 .0000 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 .56585E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 .98421E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.0317697 Normalizat = 0.684276 Prefactor = 1.28612 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 292 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38928 .18681 -.26869E-02 -1.4580 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 -1.0452 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.30639e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.52025e-06 2 0.147945 3 1.05455 4 1.09998 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751191 delta logL = 7.25649442757e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.520e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 3.177e-02 1.479e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.100e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 1.055e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31481437/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.57e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 17:26:55.213667', job_id='31481437', GAL2='1.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1783902415.21', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.29', dlogl='7.26e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.56' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J1446.3+3111' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 17:26:55 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2751192 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 1.969e-06 1.031e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.796e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 2.044e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.85584370976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00457067539797 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481405/likelihoodResults_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.3107382 delta logL = -0.0356190085895 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751244 delta logL = -5.25401264895e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .56699E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .68401 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2860 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 84 CALLS 283 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .31770E-01 .17070 -.26869E-02 .0000 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 .56585E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 .98421E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.0317697 Normalizat = 0.684276 Prefactor = 1.28612 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 292 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38928 .18681 -.26869E-02 -1.4580 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 -1.0452 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.30639e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.52025e-06 2 0.147945 3 1.05455 4 1.09998 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751191 delta logL = 7.25649442757e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.520e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 3.177e-02 1.479e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.100e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 1.055e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31481405/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.57e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 17:27:12.941143', job_id='31481405', GAL2='1.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1783902432.94', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.29', dlogl='7.26e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.56' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J1446.3+3111' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 17:27:13 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits.....................! real 30.36 user 28.67 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31481674/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1446.3+3111' 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 5.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2803025 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2758104 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.2659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .80719E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .13172E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 405.11 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .28137E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.3007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .21719E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.7194 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .73162 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14556E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 11.792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .21368E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .17865E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .71641E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .16227 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 57.381 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.4193 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 17.720 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .15084E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' .68380 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2865 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 167 CALLS 1805 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.2657 4.4760 .46929E-06 -.56713E-02 2 norm .27756E-09 1.6080 .22580E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 27.951 13.776 .10558E-06 .96526E-01 4 Prefactor .99920E-08 16.942 .14914E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 405.10 1.6329 -.45701E-08 .21428E-01 6 norm .88818E-09 6.9627 -.14185E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 2.3004 2.1434 .90123E-07 -.49449E-02 8 norm .55511E-10 2.8264 -.15701E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 1.7505 6.8974 -.19805E-05 -.37822E-02 10 norm .76508 5.1642 -.26744E-05 -.33599E-02 11 Prefactor .19692E-05 7.8473 -.17371E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 11.793 9.8918 .38606E-05 .40720E-01 13 Prefactor .13645E-05 8.8241 .17640E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .0000 3.4333 -.94616E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7445 .11622E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .16537 1.7384 -.39627E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 56.181 72.407 -.21539E-05 .18088E-02 18 norm 3.4196 1.5010 -.16023E-06 .37685E-02 19 Prefactor 17.726 1.5314 .22563E-06 -.18853E-01 20 Prefactor .13323E-08 23.186 .10007E-05** at limit ** 21 Normalizat .68428 .24155 -.15761E-04 -.80490E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2861 .21920 .16613E-04 -.12813E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.26568 norm = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 27.9511 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 Prefactor = 405.1 norm = 8.88178e-10 norm = 2.30037 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.75046 norm = 0.765078 Prefactor = 1.9692e-06 norm = 11.7931 Prefactor = 1.36452e-06 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.165369 Prefactor = 56.1811 norm = 3.41957 Prefactor = 17.7264 Prefactor = 1.33227e-09 Normalizat = 0.684277 Prefactor = 1.28612 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 394 CALLS 2199 TOTAL EDM= .45E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.2657 4.4998 .98965E-03 -1.5685 2 norm .27756E-09 1.6062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 27.951 15.829 .18917E-03 -1.5602 4 Prefactor .99920E-08 16.878 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 405.10 18.240 .49694E-04 -1.5305 6 norm .88818E-09 6.9521 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.3004 2.1478 .67631E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .55511E-10 2.8059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.7505 6.9558 .80089E-03 -1.5682 10 norm .76508 5.1571 .58177E-03 -1.5690 11 Prefactor .19692E-05 13.484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 11.793 10.110 .29147E-03 -1.5639 13 Prefactor .13645E-05 12.587 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .0000 3.4296 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7420 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16537 .84300 .31009E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 56.181 73.825 .13202E-03 -1.5558 18 norm 3.4196 1.9824 .54681E-03 -1.5671 19 Prefactor 17.726 14.368 .23765E-03 -1.5624 20 Prefactor .13323E-08 23.039 .17384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat .68428 .20413 .98972E-01 -1.0452 22 Prefactor 1.2861 .17947 .69015E-01 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.53478e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.49982 2 4.06588e-05 3 15.8294 4 0.000822026 5 18.2403 6 0.000158594 7 2.14779 8 2.32696e-05 9 6.95586 10 3.97269 11 0.0103059 12 10.11 13 0.00828868 14 1.69064e-06 15 2.9041e-05 16 0.746742 17 73.8265 18 1.98238 19 14.368 20 0.000347379 21 0.204352 22 0.179551 number of points = 7570 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2751192 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 1.969e-06 1.031e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.796e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 2.044e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.85584370976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00457067539797 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/likelihoodResults_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.3107382 delta logL = -0.0356190085895 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751244 delta logL = -5.25401264895e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .56699E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .68401 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2860 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 84 CALLS 283 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .31770E-01 .17070 -.26869E-02 .0000 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 .56585E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 .98421E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.0317697 Normalizat = 0.684276 Prefactor = 1.28612 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183 RA = 221.591, Dec = 31.1955 tmin = 805161601, tmax = 805420801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31481994', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 17:26:38.583660', time_epoch_executed='1783902398.58' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1446.3+3111' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2183' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits ra=221.591 dec=31.1955 rad=12.0 tmin=805161601.0 tmax=805420801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.61 user 1.99 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.85 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1157 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" o ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 292 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38928 .18681 -.26869E-02 -1.4580 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 -1.0452 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.30639e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.52025e-06 2 0.147945 3 1.05455 4 1.09998 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751191 delta logL = 7.25649442757e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.520e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 3.177e-02 1.479e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.100e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 1.055e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31481674/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.57e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 17:29:33.178199', job_id='31481674', GAL2='1.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1783902573.18', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.29', dlogl='7.26e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.56' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J1446.3+3111' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 17:29:33 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 8.39 user 7.66 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 65.57 user 61.10 sys 3.80 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 165 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1446.3+3111 @ 221.591 31.1955 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/cmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=221.591 yref=31.1955 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=221.591 yref=31.1955 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits.....................! real 31.99 user 30.20 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31481994/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1446.3+3111' 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 5.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ft2_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/Model_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2803025 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2758104 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.2659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .80719E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .13172E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 405.11 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .28137E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.3007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .21719E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.7194 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .73162 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14556E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 11.792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .21368E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .17865E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .71641E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .16227 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 57.381 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.4193 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 17.720 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .15084E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' .68380 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2865 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 167 CALLS 1805 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.2657 4.4760 .46929E-06 -.56713E-02 2 norm .27756E-09 1.6080 .22580E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 27.951 13.776 .10558E-06 .96526E-01 4 Prefactor .99920E-08 16.942 .14914E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 405.10 1.6329 -.45701E-08 .21428E-01 6 norm .88818E-09 6.9627 -.14185E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 2.3004 2.1434 .90123E-07 -.49449E-02 8 norm .55511E-10 2.8264 -.15701E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 1.7505 6.8974 -.19805E-05 -.37822E-02 10 norm .76508 5.1642 -.26744E-05 -.33599E-02 11 Prefactor .19692E-05 7.8473 -.17371E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 11.793 9.8918 .38606E-05 .40720E-01 13 Prefactor .13645E-05 8.8241 .17640E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .0000 3.4333 -.94616E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7445 .11622E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .16537 1.7384 -.39627E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 56.181 72.407 -.21539E-05 .18088E-02 18 norm 3.4196 1.5010 -.16023E-06 .37685E-02 19 Prefactor 17.726 1.5314 .22563E-06 -.18853E-01 20 Prefactor .13323E-08 23.186 .10007E-05** at limit ** 21 Normalizat .68428 .24155 -.15761E-04 -.80490E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2861 .21920 .16613E-04 -.12813E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.26568 norm = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 27.9511 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 Prefactor = 405.1 norm = 8.88178e-10 norm = 2.30037 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.75046 norm = 0.765078 Prefactor = 1.9692e-06 norm = 11.7931 Prefactor = 1.36452e-06 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.165369 Prefactor = 56.1811 norm = 3.41957 Prefactor = 17.7264 Prefactor = 1.33227e-09 Normalizat = 0.684277 Prefactor = 1.28612 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 394 CALLS 2199 TOTAL EDM= .45E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.2657 4.4998 .98965E-03 -1.5685 2 norm .27756E-09 1.6062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 27.951 15.829 .18917E-03 -1.5602 4 Prefactor .99920E-08 16.878 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 405.10 18.240 .49694E-04 -1.5305 6 norm .88818E-09 6.9521 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.3004 2.1478 .67631E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .55511E-10 2.8059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.7505 6.9558 .80089E-03 -1.5682 10 norm .76508 5.1571 .58177E-03 -1.5690 11 Prefactor .19692E-05 13.484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 11.793 10.110 .29147E-03 -1.5639 13 Prefactor .13645E-05 12.587 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .0000 3.4296 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7420 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16537 .84300 .31009E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 56.181 73.825 .13202E-03 -1.5558 18 norm 3.4196 1.9824 .54681E-03 -1.5671 19 Prefactor 17.726 14.368 .23765E-03 -1.5624 20 Prefactor .13323E-08 23.039 .17384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat .68428 .20413 .98972E-01 -1.0452 22 Prefactor 1.2861 .17947 .69015E-01 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.53478e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.49982 2 4.06588e-05 3 15.8294 4 0.000822026 5 18.2403 6 0.000158594 7 2.14779 8 2.32696e-05 9 6.95586 10 3.97269 11 0.0103059 12 10.11 13 0.00828868 14 1.69064e-06 15 2.9041e-05 16 0.746742 17 73.8265 18 1.98238 19 14.368 20 0.000347379 21 0.204352 22 0.179551 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11060.2751192 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 1.969e-06 1.031e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 2.556e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.796e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 2.044e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.85584370976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00457067539797 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/likelihoodResults_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.3107382 delta logL = -0.0356190085895 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751244 delta logL = -5.25401264895e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .56699E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .68401 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2860 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5300E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 84 CALLS 283 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .31770E-01 .17070 -.26869E-02 .0000 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 .56585E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 .98421E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.0317697 Normalizat = 0.684276 Prefactor = 1.28612 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 11060.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 292 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .16918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38928 .18681 -.26869E-02 -1.4580 3 Normalizat .68428 1.0237 -.27737E-04 -1.0452 4 Prefactor 1.2861 1.0803 .14825E-04 -.83721 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.30639e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.52025e-06 2 0.147945 3 1.05455 4 1.09998 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 11060.2751191 delta logL = 7.25649442757e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1446.3+3111 Spectrum: PowerLaw 268 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.520e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 269 Index: 3.177e-02 1.479e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 270 Scale: 7.435e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 527 Prefactor: 1.286e+00 1.100e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 528 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 529 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 526 Normalization: 6.843e-01 1.055e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 221.591 31.195 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31481994/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J1446.3+3111_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.57e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 17:35:10.605125', job_id='31481994', GAL2='1.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1783902910.61', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.29', dlogl='7.26e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.56' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J1446.3+3111' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 17:35:11 PDT 2026