********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 581 CALLS 3088 TOTAL EDM= .48E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 10.465 5.4984 .30865E-03 -1.5643 2 Prefactor 96.400 47.132 .10283E-03 -1.5512 3 Prefactor 30.671 31.756 .17982E-03 -1.5597 4 norm 1.5025 3.6879 .88171E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 100.94 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.6966 1.1624 .80745E-03 -1.5682 7 norm .0000 2.2879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 21.414 13.502 .21636E-03 -1.5615 9 Prefactor 7.8149 26.244 .35693E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor 75.822 39.688 .11670E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.523 .90179E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8818 .88981E-03 -1.5684 15 Prefactor 15.850 13.208 .25194E-03 -1.5628 16 norm 11.654 11.768 .29446E-03 -1.5640 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.437 .27282E-03 -1.5635 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 89.793 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5548 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 1.4335 .99711 .90208E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .0000 3.3997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .0000 1.4089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.359 .25393E-03 -1.5629 27 Normalizat .81509 .16034 .43845E-01 -.99511 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .18423 .41919E-01 -.91950 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.80248e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.4984 2 47.1324 3 31.7566 4 3.68789 5 0.0262156 6 1.16243 7 2.57064e-06 8 13.5016 9 26.2443 10 39.6876 11 6.78044e-06 12 3.77648e-05 13 4.88858e-05 14 1.88177 15 13.2079 16 11.7677 17 19.4369 18 0.076122 19 9.70195e-05 20 8.88923e-05 21 0.997109 22 9.9523e-06 23 8.23352e-06 24 1.68772e-06 25 2.77609e-06 26 10.3588 27 0.160431 28 0.184347 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 7.51 user 6.90 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 59.76 user 55.60 sys 3.31 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/cmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.18627698 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.780e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.843e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.604e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.40009608869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328454923683 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543453/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18696543 delta logL = -0.000688448767505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6539.94643447 delta logL = 0.23984251163 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .59525E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.8112 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .78055 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0515 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 67 CALLS 618 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .82676 .67612 -.12510E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -.33593E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 .39936E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.826758 Normalizat = 0.815095 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 627 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03 -7.8540 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.7022 1.7477 -.12510E-04 -24921. 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -14.713 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 -7.2027 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.48864e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.09892e-06 2 0.683103 3 1.17899 4 1.20698 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18627698 delta logL = -1.85536919162e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 8.268e-01 6.831e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.207e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.179e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39543453/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.28e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-09-30 12:46:12.885166', job_id='39543453', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.82', EG='0.82', time_epoch_completed='1790797572.89', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.86e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 12:46:13 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 27.14 user 24.73 sys 1.56 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39543520/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39543520/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.43480086 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.19060347 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 10.521 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 94.592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 30.936 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.4807 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .97014E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.6968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16216E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 21.374 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 7.8813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 73.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .68260E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .27412E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .40531E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 1.4610 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 15.770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 11.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 13.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24601E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .95497E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .61780E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .14211E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .29104E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .66223E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .73058E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 15.525 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .81799 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0223 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2507 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 10.465 5.3235 -.11233E-06 -.54230E-03 2 Prefactor 96.400 24.523 .51016E-06 -.61701E-01 3 Prefactor 30.671 23.309 .13008E-05 .22155E-01 4 norm 1.5025 3.6547 -.25275E-06 -.94122E-03 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 60.065 .13729E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.6966 1.1591 -.79044E-07 -.73435E-03 7 norm .0000 2.2927 -.82083E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 21.414 1.6194 .24105E-07 .20247E-02 9 Prefactor 7.8149 11.792 .14122E-05 .18600E-01 10 Prefactor 75.822 34.426 -.55914E-06 -.64784E-01 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4712 .17670E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.648 -.56413E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3129 -.49572E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8342 .53905E-07 -.13001E-03 15 Prefactor 15.850 2.9903 .43424E-06 .34150E-01 16 norm 11.654 11.271 .23490E-05 .48377E-02 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.182 .60317E-06 .22728E-02 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 41.349 .44614E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5382 .56756E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0213 -.74379E-07** at limit ** 21 norm 1.4335 1.0017 .52246E-07 .17300E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7911 -.12793E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0738 .28812E-08** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .0000 3.4018 .11524E-06** at limit ** 25 norm .0000 1.4092 -.25185E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.321 .40279E-06 .38045E-02 27 Normalizat .81509 .18373 -.31406E-05 -.53328E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .21467 .12914E-06 -.36896E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 10.4653 Prefactor = 96.4004 Prefactor = 30.6711 norm = 1.5025 Prefactor = 1.70208e-06 norm = 1.69656 norm = 0 norm = 21.4143 Prefactor = 7.81487 Prefactor = 75.8218 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.46777 Prefactor = 15.8495 norm = 11.6537 Prefactor = 13.1324 Prefactor = 1.61327e-05 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.43349 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 15.7611 Normalizat = 0.815092 Prefactor = 1.0235 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 19.57 user 18.14 sys 0.74 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39543581/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.43480086 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.19060347 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 10.521 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 94.592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 30.936 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.4807 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .97014E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.6968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16216E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 21.374 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 7.8813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 73.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .68260E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .27412E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .40531E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 1.4610 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 15.770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 11.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 13.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24601E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .95497E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .61780E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .14211E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .29104E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .66223E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .73058E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 15.525 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .81799 1.0000 .100 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 581 CALLS 3088 TOTAL EDM= .48E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 10.465 5.4984 .30865E-03 -1.5643 2 Prefactor 96.400 47.132 .10283E-03 -1.5512 3 Prefactor 30.671 31.756 .17982E-03 -1.5597 4 norm 1.5025 3.6879 .88171E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 100.94 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.6966 1.1624 .80745E-03 -1.5682 7 norm .0000 2.2879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 21.414 13.502 .21636E-03 -1.5615 9 Prefactor 7.8149 26.244 .35693E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor 75.822 39.688 .11670E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.523 .90179E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8818 .88981E-03 -1.5684 15 Prefactor 15.850 13.208 .25194E-03 -1.5628 16 norm 11.654 11.768 .29446E-03 -1.5640 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.437 .27282E-03 -1.5635 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 89.793 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5548 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 1.4335 .99711 .90208E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .0000 3.3997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .0000 1.4089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.359 .25393E-03 -1.5629 27 Normalizat .81509 .16034 .43845E-01 -.99511 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .18423 .41919E-01 -.91950 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.80248e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.4984 2 47.1324 3 31.7566 4 3.68789 5 0.0262156 6 1.16243 7 2.57064e-06 8 13.5016 9 26.2443 10 39.6876 11 6.78044e-06 12 3.77648e-05 13 4.88858e-05 14 1.88177 15 13.2079 16 11.7677 17 19.4369 18 0.076122 19 9.70195e-05 20 8.88923e-05 21 0.997109 22 9.9523e-06 23 8.23352e-06 24 1.68772e-06 25 2.77609e-06 26 10.3588 27 0.160431 28 0.184347 00E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0223 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2507 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 10.465 5.3235 -.11233E-06 -.54230E-03 2 Prefactor 96.400 24.523 .51016E-06 -.61701E-01 3 Prefactor 30.671 23.309 .13008E-05 .22155E-01 4 norm 1.5025 3.6547 -.25275E-06 -.94122E-03 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 60.065 .13729E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.6966 1.1591 -.79044E-07 -.73435E-03 7 norm .0000 2.2927 -.82083E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 21.414 1.6194 .24105E-07 .20247E-02 9 Prefactor 7.8149 11.792 .14122E-05 .18600E-01 10 Prefactor 75.822 34.426 -.55914E-06 -.64784E-01 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4712 .17670E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.648 -.56413E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3129 -.49572E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8342 .53905E-07 -.13001E-03 15 Prefactor 15.850 2.9903 .43424E-06 .34150E-01 16 norm 11.654 11.271 .23490E-05 .48377E-02 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.182 .60317E-06 .22728E-02 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 41.349 .44614E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5382 .56756E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0213 -.74379E-07** at limit ** 21 norm 1.4335 1.0017 .52246E-07 .17300E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7911 -.12793E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0738 .28812E-08** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .0000 3.4018 .11524E-06** at limit ** 25 norm .0000 1.4092 -.25185E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.321 .40279E-06 .38045E-02 27 Normalizat .81509 .18373 -.31406E-05 -.53328E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .21467 .12914E-06 -.36896E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 10.4653 Prefactor = 96.4004 Prefactor = 30.6711 norm = 1.5025 Prefactor = 1.70208e-06 norm = 1.69656 norm = 0 norm = 21.4143 Prefactor = 7.81487 Prefactor = 75.8218 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.46777 Prefactor = 15.8495 norm = 11.6537 Prefactor = 13.1324 Prefactor = 1.61327e-05 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.43349 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 15.7611 Normalizat = 0.815092 Prefactor = 1.0235 number of points = 7666 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 812160001, tmax = 812419201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39543733', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-30 12:45:28.855639', time_epoch_executed='1790797528.86' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2210' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=812160001.0 tmax=812419201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.04 user 2.22 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.81 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 601 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ounumber of points = 7666 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 812160001, tmax = 812419201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39543737', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-30 12:45:36.255014', time_epoch_executed='1790797536.26' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2210' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=812160001.0 tmax=812419201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.88 user 2.19 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.32 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 601 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 581 CALLS 3088 TOTAL EDM= .48E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 10.465 5.4984 .30865E-03 -1.5643 2 Prefactor 96.400 47.132 .10283E-03 -1.5512 3 Prefactor 30.671 31.756 .17982E-03 -1.5597 4 norm 1.5025 3.6879 .88171E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 100.94 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.6966 1.1624 .80745E-03 -1.5682 7 norm .0000 2.2879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 21.414 13.502 .21636E-03 -1.5615 9 Prefactor 7.8149 26.244 .35693E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor 75.822 39.688 .11670E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.523 .90179E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8818 .88981E-03 -1.5684 15 Prefactor 15.850 13.208 .25194E-03 -1.5628 16 norm 11.654 11.768 .29446E-03 -1.5640 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.437 .27282E-03 -1.5635 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 89.793 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5548 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 1.4335 .99711 .90208E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .0000 3.3997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .0000 1.4089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.359 .25393E-03 -1.5629 27 Normalizat .81509 .16034 .43845E-01 -.99511 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .18423 .41919E-01 -.91950 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.80248e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.4984 2 47.1324 3 31.7566 4 3.68789 5 0.0262156 6 1.16243 7 2.57064e-06 8 13.5016 9 26.2443 10 39.6876 11 6.78044e-06 12 3.77648e-05 13 4.88858e-05 14 1.88177 15 13.2079 16 11.7677 17 19.4369 18 0.076122 19 9.70195e-05 20 8.88923e-05 21 0.997109 22 9.9523e-06 23 8.23352e-06 24 1.68772e-06 25 2.77609e-06 26 10.3588 27 0.160431 28 0.184347 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.18627698 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.780e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.843e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.604e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.40009608869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328454923683 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18696543 delta logL = -0.000688448767505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6539.94643447 delta logL = 0.23984251163 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .59525E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.8112 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .78055 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0515 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 67 CALLS 618 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .82676 .67612 -.12510E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -.33593E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 .39936E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.826758 Normalizat = 0.815095 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 627 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03 -7.8540 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.7022 1.7477 -.12510E-04 -24921. 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -14.713 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 -7.2027 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.48864e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.09892e-06 2 0.683103 3 1.17899 4 1.20698 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18627698 delta logL = -1.85536919162e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 8.268e-01 6.831e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.207e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.179e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39543520/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.28e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-09-30 12:48:54.297296', job_id='39543520', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.82', EG='0.82', time_epoch_completed='1790797734.3', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.86e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 12:48:54 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.18627698 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.780e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.843e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.604e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.40009608869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328454923683 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18696543 delta logL = -0.000688448767505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6539.94643447 delta logL = 0.23984251163 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .59525E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.8112 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .78055 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0515 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 67 CALLS 618 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .82676 .67612 -.12510E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -.33593E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 .39936E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.826758 Normalizat = 0.815095 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 627 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03 -7.8540 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.7022 1.7477 -.12510E-04 -24921. 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -14.713 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 -7.2027 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.48864e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.09892e-06 2 0.683103 3 1.17899 4 1.20698 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18627698 delta logL = -1.85536919162e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 8.268e-01 6.831e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.207e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.179e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39543581/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.28e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-09-30 12:49:02.411492', job_id='39543581', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.82', EG='0.82', time_epoch_completed='1790797742.41', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.86e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 12:49:02 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 9.30 user 8.58 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 72.96 user 67.86 sys 4.28 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/cmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 9.18 user 8.36 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 72.85 user 67.72 sys 4.18 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/cmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 23.43 user 22.19 sys 0.66 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39543733/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.43480086 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.19060347 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 10.521 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 94.592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 30.936 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.4807 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .97014E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.6968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16216E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 21.374 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 7.8813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 73.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .68260E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .27412E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .40531E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 1.4610 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 15.770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 11.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 13.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24601E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .95497E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .61780E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .14211E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .29104E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .66223E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .73058E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 15.525 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .81799 1.0000 .100_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 23.99 user 21.87 sys 1.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39543737/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.43480086 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.19060347 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 10.521 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 94.592 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 30.936 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.4807 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .97014E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.6968 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16216E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 21.374 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 7.8813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 73.440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .68260E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .27412E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .40531E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 1.4610 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 15.770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 11.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 13.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24601E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .95497E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .61780E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 1.4323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .14211E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .29104E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .66223E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .73058E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 15.525 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .81799 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0223 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2507 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 10.465 5.3235 -.11233E-06 -.54230E-03 2 Prefactor 96.400 24.523 .51016E-06 -.61701E-01 3 Prefactor 30.671 23.309 .13008E-05 .22155E-01 4 norm 1.5025 3.6547 -.25275E-06 -.94122E-03 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 60.065 .13729E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.6966 1.1591 -.79044E-07 -.73435E-03 7 norm .0000 2.2927 -.82083E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 21.414 1.6194 .24105E-07 .20247E-02 9 Prefactor 7.8149 11.792 .14122E-05 .18600E-01 10 Prefactor 75.822 34.426 -.55914E-06 -.64784E-01 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4712 .17670E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.648 -.56413E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3129 -.49572E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8342 .53905E-07 -.13001E-03 15 Prefactor 15.850 2.9903 .43424E-06 .34150E-01 16 norm 11.654 11.271 .23490E-05 .48377E-02 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.182 .60317E-06 .22728E-02 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 41.349 .44614E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5382 .56756E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0213 -.74379E-07** at limit ** 21 norm 1.4335 1.0017 .52246E-07 .17300E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7911 -.12793E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0738 .28812E-08** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .0000 3.4018 .11524E-06** at limit ** 25 norm .0000 1.4092 -.25185E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.321 .40279E-06 .38045E-02 27 Normalizat .81509 .18373 -.31406E-05 -.53328E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .21467 .12914E-06 -.36896E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 10.4653 Prefactor = 96.4004 Prefactor = 30.6711 norm = 1.5025 Prefactor = 1.70208e-06 norm = 1.69656 norm = 0 norm = 21.4143 Prefactor = 7.81487 Prefactor = 75.8218 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.46777 Prefactor = 15.8495 norm = 11.6537 Prefactor = 13.1324 Prefactor = 1.61327e-05 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.43349 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 15.7611 Normalizat = 0.815092 Prefactor = 1.0235 00E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0223 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2507 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 10.465 5.3235 -.11233E-06 -.54230E-03 2 Prefactor 96.400 24.523 .51016E-06 -.61701E-01 3 Prefactor 30.671 23.309 .13008E-05 .22155E-01 4 norm 1.5025 3.6547 -.25275E-06 -.94122E-03 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 60.065 .13729E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.6966 1.1591 -.79044E-07 -.73435E-03 7 norm .0000 2.2927 -.82083E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 21.414 1.6194 .24105E-07 .20247E-02 9 Prefactor 7.8149 11.792 .14122E-05 .18600E-01 10 Prefactor 75.822 34.426 -.55914E-06 -.64784E-01 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4712 .17670E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.648 -.56413E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3129 -.49572E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8342 .53905E-07 -.13001E-03 15 Prefactor 15.850 2.9903 .43424E-06 .34150E-01 16 norm 11.654 11.271 .23490E-05 .48377E-02 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.182 .60317E-06 .22728E-02 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 41.349 .44614E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5382 .56756E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0213 -.74379E-07** at limit ** 21 norm 1.4335 1.0017 .52246E-07 .17300E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7911 -.12793E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0738 .28812E-08** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .0000 3.4018 .11524E-06** at limit ** 25 norm .0000 1.4092 -.25185E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.321 .40279E-06 .38045E-02 27 Normalizat .81509 .18373 -.31406E-05 -.53328E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .21467 .12914E-06 -.36896E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 10.4653 Prefactor = 96.4004 Prefactor = 30.6711 norm = 1.5025 Prefactor = 1.70208e-06 norm = 1.69656 norm = 0 norm = 21.4143 Prefactor = 7.81487 Prefactor = 75.8218 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.46777 Prefactor = 15.8495 norm = 11.6537 Prefactor = 13.1324 Prefactor = 1.61327e-05 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.43349 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 15.7611 Normalizat = 0.815092 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 581 CALLS 3088 TOTAL EDM= .48E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 10.465 5.4984 .30865E-03 -1.5643 2 Prefactor 96.400 47.132 .10283E-03 -1.5512 3 Prefactor 30.671 31.756 .17982E-03 -1.5597 4 norm 1.5025 3.6879 .88171E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 100.94 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.6966 1.1624 .80745E-03 -1.5682 7 norm .0000 2.2879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 21.414 13.502 .21636E-03 -1.5615 9 Prefactor 7.8149 26.244 .35693E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor 75.822 39.688 .11670E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.523 .90179E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8818 .88981E-03 -1.5684 15 Prefactor 15.850 13.208 .25194E-03 -1.5628 16 norm 11.654 11.768 .29446E-03 -1.5640 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.437 .27282E-03 -1.5635 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 89.793 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5548 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 1.4335 .99711 .90208E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .0000 3.3997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .0000 1.4089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.359 .25393E-03 -1.5629 27 Normalizat .81509 .16034 .43845E-01 -.99511 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .18423 .41919E-01 -.91950 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.80248e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.4984 2 47.1324 3 31.7566 4 3.68789 5 0.0262156 6 1.16243 7 2.57064e-06 8 13.5016 9 26.2443 10 39.6876 11 6.78044e-06 12 3.77648e-05 13 4.88858e-05 14 1.88177 15 13.2079 16 11.7677 17 19.4369 18 0.076122 19 9.70195e-05 20 8.88923e-05 21 0.997109 22 9.9523e-06 23 8.23352e-06 24 1.68772e-06 25 2.77609e-06 26 10.3588 27 0.160431 28 0.184347 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 581 CALLS 3088 TOTAL EDM= .48E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 10.465 5.4984 .30865E-03 -1.5643 2 Prefactor 96.400 47.132 .10283E-03 -1.5512 3 Prefactor 30.671 31.756 .17982E-03 -1.5597 4 norm 1.5025 3.6879 .88171E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .17021E-05 100.94 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.6966 1.1624 .80745E-03 -1.5682 7 norm .0000 2.2879 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 21.414 13.502 .21636E-03 -1.5615 9 Prefactor 7.8149 26.244 .35693E-03 -1.5652 10 Prefactor 75.822 39.688 .11670E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor .0000 3.4613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.523 .90179E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .11102E-09 6.3236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 1.4678 1.8818 .88981E-03 -1.5684 15 Prefactor 15.850 13.208 .25194E-03 -1.5628 16 norm 11.654 11.768 .29446E-03 -1.5640 17 Prefactor 13.132 19.437 .27282E-03 -1.5635 18 Prefactor .16133E-04 89.793 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .33307E-09 7.5548 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .22204E-09 9.0920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 1.4335 .99711 .90208E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor .0000 2.7899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .0000 3.0675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .0000 3.3997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .0000 1.4089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 15.761 10.359 .25393E-03 -1.5629 27 Normalizat .81509 .16034 .43845E-01 -.99511 28 Prefactor 1.0235 .18423 .41919E-01 -.91950 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.80248e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.4984 2 47.1324 3 31.7566 4 3.68789 5 0.0262156 6 1.16243 7 2.57064e-06 8 13.5016 9 26.2443 10 39.6876 11 6.78044e-06 12 3.77648e-05 13 4.88858e-05 14 1.88177 15 13.2079 16 11.7677 17 19.4369 18 0.076122 19 9.70195e-05 20 8.88923e-05 21 0.997109 22 9.9523e-06 23 8.23352e-06 24 1.68772e-06 25 2.77609e-06 26 10.3588 27 0.160431 28 0.184347 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.18627698 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.780e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.843e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.604e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.40009608869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328454923683 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18696543 delta logL = -0.000688448767505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6539.94643447 delta logL = 0.23984251163 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .59525E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.8112 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .78055 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0515 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 67 CALLS 618 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .82676 .67612 -.12510E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -.33593E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 .39936E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.826758 Normalizat = 0.815095 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 627 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03 -7.8540 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.7022 1.7477 -.12510E-04 -24921. 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -14.713 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 -7.2027 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.48864e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.09892e-06 2 0.683103 3 1.17899 4 1.20698 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18627698 delta logL = -1.85536919162e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 8.268e-01 6.831e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.207e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.179e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39543733/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.28e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-09-30 12:53:38.635683', job_id='39543733', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.82', EG='0.82', time_epoch_completed='1790798018.64', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.86e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 12:53:39 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6540.18627698 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.780e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.843e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.604e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.40009608869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328454923683 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18696543 delta logL = -0.000688448767505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6539.94643447 delta logL = 0.23984251163 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .59525E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 7.8112 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .78055 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0515 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 67 CALLS 618 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .82676 .67612 -.12510E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -.33593E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 .39936E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.826758 Normalizat = 0.815095 Prefactor = 1.0235 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6540.186 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 627 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .93595 .42118E-03 -7.8540 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.7022 1.7477 -.12510E-04 -24921. 3 Normalizat .81510 1.1424 .64629E-04 -14.713 4 Prefactor 1.0235 1.1753 .55146E-04 -7.2027 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.48864e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.09892e-06 2 0.683103 3 1.17899 4 1.20698 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6540.18627698 delta logL = -1.85536919162e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 8.268e-01 6.831e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.023e+00 1.207e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 8.151e-01 1.179e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39543737/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.28e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.40e-08', time_completed='2026-09-30 12:53:44.157946', job_id='39543737', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.82', EG='0.82', time_epoch_completed='1790798024.16', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.86e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 12:53:44 PDT 2026