00E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 number of points = 7443 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 809049601, tmax = 809308801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='35808204', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-25 10:54:44.260770', time_epoch_executed='1787680484.26' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2198' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=809049601.0 tmax=809308801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.77 user 2.23 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 554 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 8.85 user 8.12 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 71.60 user 66.46 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 9.19 user 8.54 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 68.08 user 63.54 sys 3.87 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35807823/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 number of points = 7443 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 809049601, tmax = 809308801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='35808244', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-25 10:55:33.875272', time_epoch_executed='1787680533.88' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2198' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809049601.0 && nMetStart<809308801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=809049601.0 tmax=809308801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.10 user 2.25 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.72 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 554 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oushell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35807823/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:56:13.689914', job_id='35807823', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680573.69', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:56:13 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 10.22 user 8.38 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 68.86 user 63.84 sys 4.07 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 23.44 user 21.30 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35807960/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35807960/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .100tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 10.71 user 9.41 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 75.99 user 70.01 sys 4.32 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA00E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 9.46 user 8.62 sys 0.19 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 76.70 user 70.75 sys 4.36 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 22.57 user 20.94 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808063/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35807960/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:57:39.271107', job_id='35807960', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680659.27', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:57:39 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 9.55 user 8.54 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits .....................! real 75.96 user 70.26 sys 4.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/cmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.05 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.31 user 0.26 sys 0.19 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 22.44 user 20.29 sys 1.22 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808086/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .100L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 23.13 user 20.72 sys 1.23 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808155/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .1000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 19.51 user 17.94 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808154/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808063/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:58:34.821538', job_id='35808063', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680714.82', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:58:34 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 24.34 user 22.22 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808204/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .100shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808155/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:59:17.302569', job_id='35808155', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680757.3', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:59:17 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808086/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:59:20.445411', job_id='35808086', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680760.45', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:59:20 PDT 2026 00E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808154/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 10:59:32.586508', job_id='35808154', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680772.59', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 10:59:32 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits.....................! real 23.44 user 21.88 sys 0.73 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35808244/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/expmap_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/ltcube_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.38291779 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.23494138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .69695E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 107.61 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 16.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .46219E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39489E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .39413E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .70777E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 28.591 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19143E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .18671E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .80047E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .83616E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12969E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .98512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 10.820 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .14397E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 37.327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22260E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 74.802 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 12.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 3.0187 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .32895E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.8851 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .22863E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.0225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38296E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.0073 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .92644 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6104.226 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 195 CALLS 2567 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26388E-05 6.7640 .93857E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 113.54 52.265 .24802E-06 .26403E-01 3 Prefactor 13.153 28.524 -.11363E-05 .21044E-01 4 norm .0000 3.8378 -.43197E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.399 -.49897E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 .98858 -.33032E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2633 -.19631E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 28.489 6.6403 -.30528E-06 -.22672 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 39.947 -.27462E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 65.629 .34201E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 29.149 .19397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 43.353 .16793E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8128 -.74433E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .99507 2.0293 .48958E-07 -.47891E-03 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.724 .12604E-05 -.18562E-02 16 norm .68834E-08 11.442 -.61207E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 36.999 2.6599 -.73945E-07 -.97094E-02 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.469 .69601E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 75.273 6.7214 -.16584E-06 .50268E-01 20 Prefactor 12.265 1.2470 -.58774E-07 .33339E-03 21 norm 3.0195 1.9279 .18387E-07 -.43584E-03 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4303 -.52578E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3292 .22662E-06 -.11796E-02 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9663 .11329E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 3.0247 2.8619 -.12598E-06 -.60039E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2539 .29084E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .19821 -.11389E-04 -.48497E-04 28 Prefactor .92894 .23560 .37458E-06 -.42070E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.63883e-06 Prefactor = 113.544 Prefactor = 13.1526 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.86118e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0 norm = 28.4892 Prefactor = 9.0028e-07 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.90958e-07 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Prefactor = 0.995066 Prefactor = 10.896 norm = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 36.999 Prefactor = 6.77791e-08 Prefactor = 75.2729 Prefactor = 12.2652 norm = 3.01946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 8.88223 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.02467 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Normalizat = 1.00464 Prefactor = 0.928943 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808204/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 11:00:29.295426', job_id='35808204', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680829.3', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 11:00:29 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.226 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 585 CALLS 3152 TOTAL EDM= .65E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26388E-05 2.2024 .62141E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 113.54 55.806 .96404E-04 -1.5495 3 Prefactor 13.153 40.172 .25006E-03 -1.5635 4 norm .0000 3.8110 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .68612E-07 27.807 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 .98163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 28.489 16.881 .18705E-03 -1.5601 9 Prefactor .90028E-06 44.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .11102E-09 64.125 .17126E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 2.6357 .83287E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .19096E-06 56.263 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .16098E-08 7.8274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .99507 2.2302 .43238E-03 -1.5688 15 Prefactor 10.896 11.743 .30433E-03 -1.5642 16 norm .68834E-08 11.471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 36.999 25.649 .16370E-03 -1.5586 18 Prefactor .67779E-07 19.613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 75.273 40.528 .11563E-03 -1.5534 20 Prefactor 12.265 13.758 .28599E-03 -1.5638 21 norm 3.0195 1.9463 .58386E-03 -1.5673 22 Prefactor .27756E-08 8.4169 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 8.8822 6.3489 .33602E-03 -1.5648 24 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9707 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.0247 2.8630 .58347E-03 -1.5673 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.2577 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat 1.0046 .17150 .46259E-01 -.92875 28 Prefactor .92894 .20067 .45341E-01 -.95137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.45872e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00482157 2 55.8066 3 40.1731 4 2.03495e-05 5 0.00276205 6 4.91864e-07 7 1.33269e-06 8 16.8814 9 0.0126889 10 0.000187561 11 3.36241e-06 12 0.00655575 13 0.000223899 14 2.23021 15 11.743 16 0.000563089 17 25.6486 18 0.0023059 19 40.5278 20 13.7582 21 1.94632 22 0.000305547 23 6.34887 24 2.05516e-05 25 2.86304 26 4.42103e-05 27 0.171594 28 0.200825 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6104.226322 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.362e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.289e-01 2.008e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 1.005e+00 1.716e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.61580236777e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00419204013036 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/likelihoodResults_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6104.25830651 delta logL = -0.0319845040822 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869282 delta logL = 0.0676291796535 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.5777 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .99725 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92730 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6104.159 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 85 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .64528 3.9903 .16831E-04 .54037E-02 2 Index 2.5776 1.6029 .10370E-01 .11892E-03 3 Normalizat .99727 .19592 .23008E-03 .57534E-03 4 Prefactor .92729 .23226 .28183E-03 .43364E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.64528 Index = 2.57762 Normalizat = 0.997272 Prefactor = 0.927288 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6104.159 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 284 TOTAL EDM= .69E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .64528 2.4612 .67324E-06 -1.5692 2 Index 2.5776 1.2420 .41481E-03 -.50576 3 Normalizat .99727 .19609 .46016E-04 -.93122 4 Prefactor .92729 .23220 .56366E-04 -.95194 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.89011e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.46117 2 1.25931 3 0.196235 4 0.23245 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6104.15869281 delta logL = 0.0676291934233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 6.453e-01 2.461e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 2.578e+00 1.259e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 9.273e-01 2.324e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.973e-01 1.962e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35808244/cmap_HighResolution_809049601_809308801_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2198.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.62e-08', time_completed='2026-08-25 11:01:25.523123', job_id='35808244', GAL2='0.93', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.00', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1787680885.52', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.93', dlogl='6.76e-02', ts2='0.14', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2198' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 25 11:01:25 PDT 2026