********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.62 user 8.01 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 67.09 user 62.53 sys 3.91 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.64 user 7.95 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 67.41 user 62.81 sys 3.85 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GADone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452161/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) number of points = 7643 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.97 user 8.24 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 68.77 user 63.87 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GADone. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 803347201, tmax = 803606401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31452648', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 10:25:22.690845', time_epoch_executed='1783877122.69' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2176' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=803347201.0 tmax=803606401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.06 user 1.58 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.62 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1132 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oshell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452161/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:27:19.615438', job_id='31452161', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877239.62', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:27:19 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7643 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 803347201, tmax = 803606401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31452659', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 10:25:23.311965', time_epoch_executed='1783877123.31' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2176' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=803347201.0 tmax=803606401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.20 user 1.55 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1132 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 34.71 user 33.05 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452390/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452390/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10AL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 41.46 user 40.15 sys 0.73 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452346/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452346/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .1utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.87 user 8.23 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 69.29 user 64.32 sys 4.14 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452220/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452220/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:28:27.392185', job_id='31452220', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877307.39', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:28:27 PDT 2026 0000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 35.17 user 33.70 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452400/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452400/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 34.87 user 33.10 sys 1.21 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452450/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452450/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.60 user 7.91 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 67.79 user 63.10 sys 3.80 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.64 user 8.07 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 69.15 user 64.44 sys 4.07 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 number of points = 7643 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176 RA = 213.899, Dec = 48.5142 tmin = 803347201, tmax = 803606401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31452782', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-12 10:27:23.145687', time_epoch_executed='1783877243.15' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2176' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits ra=213.899 dec=48.5142 rad=12.0 tmin=803347201.0 tmax=803606401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.10 user 1.57 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.65 user 0.18 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1132 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" o000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 34.95 user 33.25 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452471/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 36.00 user 34.27 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452464/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 35.03 user 33.39 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452468/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452390/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:30:26.327853', job_id='31452390', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877426.33', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:30:26 PDT 2026 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452346/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:31:03.600504', job_id='31452346', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877463.6', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:31:03 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 35.58 user 33.90 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452582/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.60 user 8.07 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 68.38 user 63.49 sys 4.03 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 205 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1415.5+4830 @ 213.899 48.5142 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=213.899 yref=48.5142 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452450/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:31:37.527614', job_id='31452450', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877497.53', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:31:37 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452400/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:31:37.649353', job_id='31452400', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877497.65', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:31:38 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 35.03 user 33.24 sys 1.24 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452648/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 37.48 user 35.77 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452659/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452471/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:32:31.497165', job_id='31452471', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877551.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:32:31 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452464/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:32:45.517084', job_id='31452464', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877565.52', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:32:45 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452468/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:32:46.396447', job_id='31452468', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877566.4', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:32:46 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452582/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:33:35.195467', job_id='31452582', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877615.2', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:33:35 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 35.07 user 33.50 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31452782/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1415.5+4830' 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 1.339e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ft2_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/Model_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.3659753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2284062 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .25475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 151.77 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .99200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .58287E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13739E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.2974 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74072E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .59253E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.3570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 23.560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .74130E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.4041 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 21.668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .14361E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .43801E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .40299E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 32.899 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .27496E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 8.1698 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .32630E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.1684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 2.1872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 5.1056 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .20702E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 2.0027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .29637E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98635 1.0000 .10Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452648/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:34:27.907308', job_id='31452648', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877667.91', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:34:28 PDT 2026 000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.0256 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12218.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 2085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .25808 2.5119 .47799E-07 .69228E-03 2 Prefactor 151.15 30.285 .32999E-07 -.12574 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 4.4224 -.20476E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .0000 .47282 -.34110E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 3.1373 .30733E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.2981 1.0675 .16428E-07 -.10409E-02 7 norm .62733E-06 10.752 .27049E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .21649E-08 2.9910 -.22209E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 1.3393 20.968 -.97691E-06 .11973E-01 10 Prefactor 23.830 19.148 .52406E-06 -.11272 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8508 -.40102E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.4115 2.8219 -.16391E-06 -.13413E-01 13 Prefactor 21.477 10.007 .62496E-06 .14683 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 2.1283 -.81454E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 .79681 -.14851E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .20221E-04 325.20 -.61500E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 32.873 4.7909 .52266E-07 .23107E-01 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 6.8055 .15257E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 8.1666 1.0548 .21024E-07 .28094E-02 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3321 .11264E-06** at limit ** 21 norm 2.1679 1.0307 -.12824E-08 -.77780E-03 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3175 .56709E-06 .14308E-02 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0876 .60241E-07 .59922E-03 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.6339 .20932E-06** at limit ** 25 norm 2.0020 1.9901 -.41470E-07 -.20379E-02 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 13.520 -.14615E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98682 .13717 .10760E-05 .94696E-04 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .16071 .15256E-05 .83149E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.25808 Prefactor = 151.146 Prefactor = 2.1616e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.79443e-07 norm = 2.29806 norm = 6.27332e-07 norm = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 1.33928 Prefactor = 23.8298 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 9.41146 Prefactor = 21.4774 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 norm = 2.02209e-05 Prefactor = 32.8727 Prefactor = 6.03406e-07 Prefactor = 8.16657 Prefactor = 5.93969e-09 norm = 2.16791 Prefactor = 2.19835 Prefactor = 5.10348 Prefactor = 8.471e-08 norm = 2.00205 Prefactor = 2.226e-08 Normalizat = 0.98682 Prefactor = 1.02534 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452659/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:34:49.206611', job_id='31452659', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877689.21', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:34:49 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 591 CALLS 2676 TOTAL EDM= .85E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .25808 2.4803 .10873E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor 151.15 32.711 .81178E-04 -1.5462 3 Prefactor .21616E-06 7.0023 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .0000 .47565 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27944E-06 7.3772 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.2981 1.0717 .67684E-04 -1.5678 7 norm .62733E-06 .92275 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .21649E-08 3.0230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 1.3393 21.469 .93778E-03 -1.5685 10 Prefactor 23.830 24.105 .20607E-03 -1.5610 11 Prefactor .99920E-09 1.8561 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.4115 13.818 .32656E-03 -1.5647 13 Prefactor 21.477 14.479 .21489E-03 -1.5615 14 Prefactor .94369E-09 .48631 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .31086E-08 11.782 .91646E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .20221E-04 4.9999 .86930E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 32.873 18.182 .17437E-03 -1.5593 18 Prefactor .60341E-06 8.0392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 8.1666 9.8257 .35052E-03 -1.5651 20 Prefactor .59397E-08 4.3595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm 2.1679 1.0317 .69907E-04 -1.5679 22 Prefactor 2.1983 6.3445 .69569E-03 -1.5678 23 Prefactor 5.1035 3.0997 .44472E-03 -1.5663 24 Prefactor .84710E-07 5.9003 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 2.0020 1.9930 .73149E-03 -1.5680 26 Prefactor .22260E-07 14.025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98682 .12033 .45996E-01 -.93473 28 Prefactor 1.0253 .13641 .61641E-01 -.91890 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.52961e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60014 2 32.7112 3 0.00246062 4 2.08572e-06 5 0.00287149 6 1.0717 7 0.00152167 8 0.000162817 9 10.7245 10 24.1055 11 8.58689e-05 12 13.8182 13 14.4786 14 4.23069e-05 15 0.00038139 16 0.0201101 17 18.1816 18 0.00440497 19 9.82576 20 0.000321533 21 1.03165 22 6.34455 23 3.09969 24 0.00141412 25 1.99299 26 0.00111693 27 0.12036 28 0.136456 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12218.2275183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 9.992e-10 8.587e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 1.944e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.025e+00 1.365e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.868e-01 1.204e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.84982157636e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00212731247115 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2288021 delta logL = -0.00128389006568 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.2275207 delta logL = -2.48246578849e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .84349 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .98692 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0253 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6530E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12218.13 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 165 CALLS 353 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .17642 .53063E-05** at limit ** 2 Index 5.0973 7.2989 .14350E-01 .98078E-04 3 Normalizat .96999 .61649E-01 .23289E-03 -.14449E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .73497E-01 .27121E-03 -.44601E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000794246 Index = 5.0973 Normalizat = 0.969994 Prefactor = 1.03741 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12218.13 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 27 CALLS 380 TOTAL EDM= .62E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .79425E-03 .20858 .21225E-06 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.0973 7.0454 .57400E-03 .19461E-01 3 Normalizat .96999 .13350 .93157E-05 -.94043 4 Prefactor 1.0374 .15714 .10848E-04 -.91493 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.21445e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0257424 2 11.1775 3 0.133544 4 0.157208 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12218.1296456 delta logL = 0.0978726527374 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1415.5+4830 Spectrum: PowerLaw 322 Prefactor: 7.942e-04 2.574e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 323 Index: 5.097e+00 1.118e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 324 Scale: 2.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 650 Prefactor: 1.037e+00 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 651 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 652 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 649 Normalization: 9.700e-01 1.335e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 213.899 48.514 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31452782/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1415.5+4830_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.13e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-08', time_completed='2026-07-12 10:36:43.831770', job_id='31452782', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1783877803.83', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='9.79e-02', ts2='0.21', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1415.5+4830' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Jul 12 10:36:44 PDT 2026