Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32449790/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32449790/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:26:26.962979', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784571986.96', return_code='0', job_id='32449790', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:26:27 PDT 2026 gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.94 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 256.29 user 252.51 sys 1.52 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450086/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 232.31 user 229.33 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450161/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 249.67 user 246.56 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450120/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450067/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450067/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:27:08.682270', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572028.68', return_code='0', job_id='32450067', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:27:09 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450063/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450063/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:27:19.212373', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572039.21', return_code='0', job_id='32450063', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:27:19 PDT 2026 gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.00 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 226.68 user 223.77 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450167/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 225.87 user 223.24 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450245/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186 RA = 211.919, Dec = -43.0234 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32451133', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 11:26:06.537920', time_epoch_executed='1784571966.54' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits ra=211.919 dec=-43.0234 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.63 user 1.85 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.80 user 0.18 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1365 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.19 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 228.38 user 225.29 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450359/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.00 user 0.21 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 250.86 user 247.78 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450292/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186 RA = 211.919, Dec = -43.0234 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32451141', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 11:26:43.682689', time_epoch_executed='1784572003.68' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits ra=211.919 dec=-43.0234 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.67 user 1.83 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.81 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1365 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450161/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:29:35.482792', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572175.48', return_code='0', job_id='32450161', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:29:35 PDT 2026 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 8.32 user 7.26 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 63.59 user 58.85 sys 3.84 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HESS J1356-645 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1409.1-6121 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1420-607 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source RCW 86 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/RCW86.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J1501.0-6310 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source HESS J1507-622 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source MSH 15-52 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1534-571 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source MSH 15-56 PWN in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/MSH15-56_PWN.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source MSH 15-56 SNR in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/MSH15-56_SNRmask.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FGES J1553.8-5325 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 293 point sources and 12 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1407.6-4301 @ 211.919 -43.0234 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This isDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450086/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:29:59.895534', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572199.9', return_code='0', job_id='32450086', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:30:00 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450120/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:30:09.680104', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572209.68', return_code='0', job_id='32450120', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:30:10 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450167/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:30:23.584913', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572223.58', return_code='0', job_id='32450167', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:30:23 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450245/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:30:26.567959', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572226.57', return_code='0', job_id='32450245', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:30:27 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 8.19 user 7.40 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 64.90 user 60.02 sys 3.86 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HESS J1356-645 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1409.1-6121 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1420-607 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source RCW 86 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/RCW86.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J1501.0-6310 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source HESS J1507-622 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source MSH 15-52 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1534-571 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source MSH 15-56 PWN in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/MSH15-56_PWN.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source MSH 15-56 SNR in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/MSH15-56_SNRmask.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FGES J1553.8-5325 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 293 point sources and 12 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1407.6-4301 @ 211.919 -43.0234 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This isDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450359/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:31:45.443470', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572305.44', return_code='0', job_id='32450359', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:31:45 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450292/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:32:32.340460', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572352.34', return_code='0', job_id='32450292', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:32:32 PDT 2026 gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 250.34 user 246.22 sys 1.52 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450691/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 267.04 user 263.02 sys 1.66 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32450743/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450691/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:35:57.027416', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572557.03', return_code='0', job_id='32450691', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:35:57 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32450743/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:36:58.509019', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572618.51', return_code='0', job_id='32450743', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:36:58 PDT 2026 gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.05 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 243.27 user 240.38 sys 0.92 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32451133/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=211.919 yref=-43.0234 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source FGES J1553.8-5325 adding source FHES J1501.0-6310 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 adding source HESS J1507-622 adding source HESS J1534-571 adding source MSH 15-52 adding source MSH 15-56 PWN adding source MSH 15-56 SNR adding source RCW 86 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 247.51 user 244.46 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32451141/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1407.6-4301' 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 9.218e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ft2_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/Model_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.6104384 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5671977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .48664E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 18.934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .89857E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 79.000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .51456E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25773E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11319E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .36677E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 59.089 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .18418E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 1.1874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 148.52 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 18.921 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .30726E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 51.225 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.1439 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' 1.0670 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13518.57 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 147 CALLS 1435 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.266 .25109E-06 .82757E-03 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3318 .13005E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2756 .21318E-06 .33638E-02 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 57.614 -.67595E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 79.742 29.416 -.14944E-05 .19342 6 norm .88818E-07 7.7421 .15015E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 42.285 .45976E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 23.594 -.49193E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.26 -.90878E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 59.864 28.682 -.25075E-05 .16974 11 norm .10707E-04 14.928 -.76519E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.635 39.351 -.12062E-04 -.57370E-01 13 norm 1.1869 .22623 -.49642E-07 -.74791E-02 14 Prefactor 149.63 96.605 .10561E-04 -.15495 15 norm 18.896 12.452 .12490E-07 .49258E-03 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 16.929 .11309E-04** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 51.200 22.339 .55210E-05 -.14040E-02 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .34272 -.10519E-04 -.27393E-04 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .74835E-01 -.35921E-05 -.52190E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.6032 norm = 1.06415e-07 Prefactor = 18.7342 Prefactor = 1.79007e-05 Prefactor = 79.7421 norm = 8.88178e-08 Prefactor = 2.11869e-05 Prefactor = 1.08563e-06 Prefactor = 4.16278e-07 Prefactor = 59.8635 norm = 1.07073e-05 Prefactor = 16.635 norm = 1.1869 Prefactor = 149.63 norm = 18.8958 Prefactor = 6.05427e-06 Prefactor = 51.1996 Normalizat = 1.14368 Prefactor = 1.06695 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.57 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 302 CALLS 1737 TOTAL EDM= .70E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.603 15.275 .27003E-03 -1.5634 2 norm .10641E-06 7.3939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 18.734 8.2803 .22990E-03 -1.5621 4 Prefactor .17901E-04 79.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 79.742 59.356 .11252E-03 -1.5529 6 norm .88818E-07 7.8038 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .21187E-04 92.987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .10856E-05 24.302 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41628E-06 231.45 .16117E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 59.864 58.310 .13010E-03 -1.5553 11 norm .10707E-04 23.382 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.635 48.388 .25151E-03 -1.5626 13 norm 1.1869 .22762 .51391E-03 -1.5686 14 Prefactor 149.63 115.60 .82063E-04 -1.5463 15 norm 18.896 12.450 .22998E-03 -1.5621 16 Prefactor .60543E-05 21.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 51.200 29.319 .13973E-03 -1.5565 18 Normalizat 1.1437 .32160 .14838 -.88361 19 Prefactor 1.0670 .69305E-01 .39004E-01 -.90530 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.01625e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.2747 2 0.00177425 3 8.28031 4 0.0756595 5 59.3565 6 0.0016652 7 0.088773 8 0.0102729 9 0.0196327 10 58.3103 11 0.0316457 12 48.3887 13 0.227619 14 115.6 15 12.45 16 0.0225725 17 29.3186 18 0.322153 19 0.0693104 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32451133/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:40:23.192517', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572823.19', return_code='0', job_id='32451133', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:40:23 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13518.5656404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 5.986e+01 5.831e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.103e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 6.931e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.144e+00 3.222e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.10 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.78e-08 +/- 3.68e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.06e-05 +/- 2.01e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 2.85 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.34853322095e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0101986877728 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3696966 delta logL = 0.195943802759 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618416 delta logL = 0.203798747438 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.870 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1022 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0709 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1077E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13518.36 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 89 CALLS 320 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.867 71.838 .65882E-05 -.13577E-02 2 Index 2.6147 1.0492 .77950E-02 -.92629E-04 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34562 .66983E-03 -.13666E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75310E-01 .15087E-03 -.62678E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.8672 Index = 2.61474 Normalizat = 1.10145 Prefactor = 1.07107 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13518.36 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 345 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.867 52.097 .13176E-05 -1.5587 2 Index 2.6147 .76298 .31180E-03 -.49730 3 Normalizat 1.1015 .34121 .26793E-04 -.89705 4 Prefactor 1.0711 .75014E-01 .30173E-04 -.90396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.9319e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 52.0973 2 0.766871 3 0.341892 4 0.0750216 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13518.3618392 delta logL = 0.203801222262 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1407.6-4301 Spectrum: PowerLaw 442 Prefactor: 3.687e+01 5.210e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 443 Index: 2.615e+00 7.669e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 444 Scale: 2.249e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1048 Prefactor: 1.071e+00 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1049 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1050 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1035 Normalization: 1.101e+00 3.419e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.29 Ra Dec: 211.919 -43.023 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.61 +/- 0.77 Photon Flux (Free Index): 7.84e-08 +/- 8.53e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.03e-05 +/- 1.62e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32451141/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1407.6-4301_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.02e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.78e-08', energy_flux2='2.03e-05', photon_flux_error='3.68e-08', dlogl='2.04e-01', energy_flux='2.06e-05', photon_flux2='7.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-20 11:41:14.748216', photon_index_error2='0.77', photon_index2='2.61', ts='2.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.07', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.35e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.62e-05', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1784572874.75', return_code='0', job_id='32451141', GAL2='1.07', EG2='1.10', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.01e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.53e-08', ts2='3.29', photon_index='2.10' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1407.6-4301' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 11:41:14 PDT 2026