********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343105/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343105/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:52:22.927087', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564742.93', return_code='0', job_id='40343105', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:52:23 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.22 user 8.67 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 78.06 user 72.61 sys 4.31 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343125/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343135/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343125/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:52:38.128585', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564758.13', return_code='0', job_id='40343125', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:52:38 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343135/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:52:40.163530', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564760.16', return_code='0', job_id='40343135', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:52:40 PDT 2026 number of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213 RA = 192.836, Dec = -2.0271 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40343376', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 09:51:55.046242', time_epoch_executed='1791564715.05' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits ra=192.836 dec=-2.0271 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.99 user 2.48 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 529 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ounumber of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213 RA = 192.836, Dec = -2.0271 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40343364', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 09:51:57.643025', time_epoch_executed='1791564717.64' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits ra=192.836 dec=-2.0271 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.83 user 2.42 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 529 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.20 user 8.43 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 73.15 user 68.22 sys 4.21 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALnumber of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213 RA = 192.836, Dec = -2.0271 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40343393', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 09:52:30.939181', time_epoch_executed='1791564750.94' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits ra=192.836 dec=-2.0271 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.94 user 2.49 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.54 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 529 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ounumber of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213 RA = 192.836, Dec = -2.0271 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40343388', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 09:52:30.884048', time_epoch_executed='1791564750.88' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits ra=192.836 dec=-2.0271 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.91 user 2.42 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.19 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 529 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.52 user 8.90 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 75.57 user 70.51 sys 4.47 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.64 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 24.70 user 23.17 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343221/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343221/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:54:36.757076', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564876.76', return_code='0', job_id='40343221', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:54:36 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.01 user 8.45 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 75.15 user 70.25 sys 4.21 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.50 user 8.98 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 73.21 user 68.31 sys 4.25 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 24.02 user 22.17 sys 1.47 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343284/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.20 user 8.63 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 73.21 user 68.43 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 24.28 user 22.65 sys 1.24 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343308/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343284/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:55:25.016934', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564925.02', return_code='0', job_id='40343284', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:55:25 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.19 user 8.74 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 75.83 user 70.76 sys 4.34 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343308/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:55:57.675692', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791564957.68', return_code='0', job_id='40343308', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:55:57 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 23.98 user 22.37 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343376/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 24.10 user 22.09 sys 1.36 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343364/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 23.70 user 21.90 sys 1.35 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343393/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343376/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:56:47.966429', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791565007.97', return_code='0', job_id='40343376', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:56:48 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343364/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:56:50.424885', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791565010.42', return_code='0', job_id='40343364', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:56:50 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 24.45 user 22.92 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40343388/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.3984438 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.11374119 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 29.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11696E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.8872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .15764E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 6.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .35630E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.7015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .57365E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.6569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .10282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 334.88 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .91684E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .28599E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .13356E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 22.585 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .30264E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31341E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 7.3544 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.8134 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2952 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.2435 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5911.093 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 1835 TOTAL EDM= .10E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.188 .60881E-07 .18285E-02 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.168 .68814E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.934 -.68196E-07 -.66432E-02 4 norm .0000 1.7006 .30285E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 6.4501 5.1830 -.15675E-07 -.71255E-03 6 norm .49960E-09 22.187 .17196E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 2.7057 .99211 .12154E-09 -.39206E-02 8 Prefactor 14.852 3.9035 -.13200E-07 .11733 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.5727 .59552E-08** at limit ** 10 norm 9.6758 3.0463 -.55284E-08 -.19985E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.9460 .70788E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 356.20 104.05 -.19408E-06 -.76319E-01 13 norm .49960E-09 15.294 -.51935E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .49121 .24527E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 23.761 .35700E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 22.488 1.4847 -.19717E-08 .15206E-01 17 norm .74607E-07 9.8431 .15077E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.282 .70432E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7035 .18261E-07 .15419E-02 20 norm 2.8261 1.9881 .15325E-07 .38155E-02 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .35107 -.65281E-06 -.36615E-04 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .24757 .78748E-06 -.99337E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 28.8624 Prefactor = 1.71529e-08 Prefactor = 7.87114 norm = 0 norm = 6.45011 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.70567 Prefactor = 14.8517 Prefactor = 3.21965e-08 norm = 9.67577 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 356.199 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.00160922 norm = 22.4878 norm = 7.4607e-08 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 Prefactor = 7.3864 norm = 2.82606 Normalizat = 1.29331 Prefactor = 1.23836 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5911.093 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 2227 TOTAL EDM= .38E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 28.862 35.149 .18337E-03 -1.5601 2 Prefactor .17153E-07 40.163 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.8711 11.965 .35679E-03 -1.5652 4 norm .0000 1.6951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 6.4501 5.1815 .39586E-03 -1.5657 6 norm .49960E-09 22.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 2.7057 .99572 .61951E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor 14.852 14.290 .25995E-03 -1.5631 9 Prefactor .32196E-07 9.7421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.6758 3.0445 .32223E-03 -1.5646 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 7.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 356.20 111.21 .54655E-04 -1.5330 13 norm .49960E-09 15.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .23461 .11266E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .16092E-02 467.39 .42118E-03 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 22.488 16.739 .21048E-03 -1.5613 17 norm .74607E-07 10.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .12768E-08 11.289 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 7.3864 7.7026 .36961E-03 -1.5654 20 norm 2.8261 1.9870 .60617E-03 -1.5674 21 Normalizat 1.2933 .29262 .82367E-01 -.83766 22 Prefactor 1.2384 .20696 .61103E-01 -.85159 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.83399e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.1488 2 0.00166094 3 11.9654 4 1.232e-05 5 5.1815 6 0.000210618 7 0.995718 8 14.2902 9 0.00112021 10 3.04455 11 9.53241e-05 12 111.207 13 0.000175912 14 3.85451e-06 15 1.73465 16 16.739 17 0.0017499 18 0.000240531 19 7.70256 20 1.98703 21 0.292992 22 0.207098 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343393/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:57:17.683719', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791565037.68', return_code='0', job_id='40343393', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:57:17 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5911.0925716 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.996e-10 1.759e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 2.071e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.293e+00 2.930e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.42459745541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.43787273666e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5911.12383654 delta logL = -0.0312649374346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718924 delta logL = 1.44538236699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .27795E-07 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2604 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2556 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5909.647 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .20E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3937 3.1722 .66197E-03 -.65109E-03 2 alpha .21731E-09 .61290 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .28033 .83191E-01 .17784E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .20505 .60741E-01 .53541E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.39373 alpha = 2.17312e-10 Normalizat = 1.26034 Prefactor = 1.25561 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5909.647 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .25E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3937 2.6595 .12806E-04 -1.5677 2 alpha .21731E-09 .84859 .44679E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.2603 .33476 .36831E-03 -.84758 4 Prefactor 1.2556 .24521 .26862E-03 -.84637 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.47872e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.65947 2 2.79931e-05 3 0.335336 4 0.245431 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5909.64718887 delta logL = 1.44538273504 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 2.394e+00 2.659e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.173e-10 2.799e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.256e+00 2.454e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.260e+00 3.353e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.90 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 4.80e-09 +/- 5.33e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.25e-04 +/- 1.39e-04 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40343388/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.44e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.25e-04', dlogl='1.45e+00', photon_flux2='4.80e-09', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 09:57:28.554785', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='0.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.24', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.42e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.39e-04', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1791565048.55', return_code='0', job_id='40343388', GAL2='1.26', EG2='1.26', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.33e-09', ts2='2.90', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 09:57:28 PDT 2026