********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562336/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:37:13.122664', job_id='36562336', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201433.12', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:37:13 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 31.56 user 29.51 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36562352/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36562352/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.98781397 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86795435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23262E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .31142E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .98019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 3.4771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .61188E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.6407 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.1009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .26534E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .41467E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.207 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.8888 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .41636E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20684E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .10608E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .41468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .44297E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 8.3533 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 5.7457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .43552E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 3.6895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1421 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.1832 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 181 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.413 .22007E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.045 .22739E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .98746 .50369 .24267E-08 .92805E-03 4 norm 3.4755 2.0821 -.24739E-07 -.24214E-02 5 norm .35204E-04 27.801 -.49765E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.4217 165.22 .11400E-05 -.19139E-01 7 norm 5.1027 .98117 -.92380E-08 -.24261E-04 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6933 .65839E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9804 -.31150E-07** at limit ** 10 norm 16.207 3.1840 .17241E-07 .40033E-02 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9205 -.12298E-07 -.14700E-03 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 28.730 .29004E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .99920E-09 58.715 .21998E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 1.1559 -.33531E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.615 -.16220E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9893 .41894E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 8.3340 10.017 -.68500E-07 .71021E-02 18 Prefactor 5.6725 2.8932 -.11064E-07 .13247E-02 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.282 -.13694E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 3.6890 1.7095 .13489E-07 .25124E-02 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .26840 .11382E-05 .52617E-04 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .18973 -.42340E-06 .51931E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.31477e-08 Prefactor = 3.65818e-08 Prefactor = 0.987463 norm = 3.47553 norm = 3.52044e-05 norm = 2.42169 norm = 5.10269 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 16.2067 Prefactor = 4.88603 Prefactor = 2.30738e-06 norm = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 2.77556e-09 norm = 8.33402 Prefactor = 5.67251 Prefactor = 3.57603e-07 norm = 3.68902 Normalizat = 1.14232 Prefactor = 1.18315 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562356/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562356/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:37:37.563185', job_id='36562356', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201457.56', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:37:37 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 406 CALLS 1881 TOTAL EDM= .50E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .98746 19.592 .43063E-03 -1.5688 4 norm 3.4755 2.2902 .54204E-03 -1.5671 5 norm .35204E-04 5.4386 .51111E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.4217 336.56 .62717E-03 -1.5677 7 norm 5.1027 1.0228 .44493E-03 -1.5663 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6887 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9832 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 16.207 3.1882 .24852E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9727 .45468E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 30.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .99920E-09 11.535 .16992E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .72397E-01 .15019E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.468 .15898E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 8.3340 10.012 .34662E-03 -1.5650 18 Prefactor 5.6725 19.526 .41879E-03 -1.5660 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 3.6890 1.7104 .52556E-03 -1.5670 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .22783 .77538E-01 -.88404 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .15741 .55036E-01 -.86851 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.03874e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00308028 2 0.00144031 3 8.797 4 2.29016 5 0.0276741 6 57.1012 7 1.02277 8 0.000143971 9 3.39742e-05 10 3.18822 11 6.97274 12 0.0168795 13 0.000214284 14 2.21872e-08 15 0.000242375 16 0.000235589 17 10.0124 18 19.5264 19 0.0052787 20 1.71036 21 0.228032 22 0.157468 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 9.27 user 8.32 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 74.96 user 69.60 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.00 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562352/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:38:22.540014', job_id='36562352', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201502.54', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:38:22 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 30.31 user 28.01 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36562409/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36562409/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.98781397 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86795435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23262E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .31142E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .98019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 3.4771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .61188E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.6407 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.1009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .26534E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .41467E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.207 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.8888 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .41636E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20684E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .10608E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .41468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .44297E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 8.3533 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 5.7457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .43552E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 3.6895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1421 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.1832 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 181 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.413 .22007E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.045 .22739E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .98746 .50369 .24267E-08 .92805E-03 4 norm 3.4755 2.0821 -.24739E-07 -.24214E-02 5 norm .35204E-04 27.801 -.49765E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.4217 165.22 .11400E-05 -.19139E-01 7 norm 5.1027 .98117 -.92380E-08 -.24261E-04 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6933 .65839E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9804 -.31150E-07** at limit ** 10 norm 16.207 3.1840 .17241E-07 .40033E-02 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9205 -.12298E-07 -.14700E-03 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 28.730 .29004E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .99920E-09 58.715 .21998E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 1.1559 -.33531E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.615 -.16220E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9893 .41894E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 8.3340 10.017 -.68500E-07 .71021E-02 18 Prefactor 5.6725 2.8932 -.11064E-07 .13247E-02 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.282 -.13694E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 3.6890 1.7095 .13489E-07 .25124E-02 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .26840 .11382E-05 .52617E-04 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .18973 -.42340E-06 .51931E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.31477e-08 Prefactor = 3.65818e-08 Prefactor = 0.987463 norm = 3.47553 norm = 3.52044e-05 norm = 2.42169 norm = 5.10269 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 16.2067 Prefactor = 4.88603 Prefactor = 2.30738e-06 norm = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 2.77556e-09 norm = 8.33402 Prefactor = 5.67251 Prefactor = 3.57603e-07 norm = 3.68902 Normalizat = 1.14232 Prefactor = 1.18315 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 406 CALLS 1881 TOTAL EDM= .50E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .98746 19.592 .43063E-03 -1.5688 4 norm 3.4755 2.2902 .54204E-03 -1.5671 5 norm .35204E-04 5.4386 .51111E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.4217 336.56 .62717E-03 -1.5677 7 norm 5.1027 1.0228 .44493E-03 -1.5663 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6887 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9832 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 16.207 3.1882 .24852E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9727 .45468E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 30.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .99920E-09 11.535 .16992E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .72397E-01 .15019E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.468 .15898E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 8.3340 10.012 .34662E-03 -1.5650 18 Prefactor 5.6725 19.526 .41879E-03 -1.5660 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 3.6890 1.7104 .52556E-03 -1.5670 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .22783 .77538E-01 -.88404 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .15741 .55036E-01 -.86851 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.03874e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00308028 2 0.00144031 3 8.797 4 2.29016 5 0.0276741 6 57.1012 7 1.02277 8 0.000143971 9 3.39742e-05 10 3.18822 11 6.97274 12 0.0168795 13 0.000214284 14 2.21872e-08 15 0.000242375 16 0.000235589 17 10.0124 18 19.5264 19 0.0052787 20 1.71036 21 0.228032 22 0.157468 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 8.53 user 7.66 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 69.55 user 64.59 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALnumber of points = 7527 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200 RA = 192.836, Dec = -2.0271 tmin = 809568001, tmax = 809827201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36562590', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-31 11:37:34.981566', time_epoch_executed='1788201454.98' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2200' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits ra=192.836 dec=-2.0271 rad=12.0 tmin=809568001.0 tmax=809827201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.04 user 3.25 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.31 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 724 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562409/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:39:33.775777', job_id='36562409', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201573.78', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:39:33 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 28.99 user 26.74 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36562472/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.98781397 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86795435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23262E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .31142E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .98019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 3.4771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .61188E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.6407 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.1009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .26534E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .41467E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.207 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.8888 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .41636E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20684E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .10608E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .41468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .44297E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 8.3533 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 5.7457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .43552E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 3.6895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1421 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.1832 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 181 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.413 .22007E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.045 .22739E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .98746 .50369 .24267E-08 .92805E-03 4 norm 3.4755 2.0821 -.24739E-07 -.24214E-02 5 norm .35204E-04 27.801 -.49765E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.4217 165.22 .11400E-05 -.19139E-01 7 norm 5.1027 .98117 -.92380E-08 -.24261E-04 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6933 .65839E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9804 -.31150E-07** at limit ** 10 norm 16.207 3.1840 .17241E-07 .40033E-02 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9205 -.12298E-07 -.14700E-03 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 28.730 .29004E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .99920E-09 58.715 .21998E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 1.1559 -.33531E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.615 -.16220E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9893 .41894E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 8.3340 10.017 -.68500E-07 .71021E-02 18 Prefactor 5.6725 2.8932 -.11064E-07 .13247E-02 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.282 -.13694E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 3.6890 1.7095 .13489E-07 .25124E-02 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .26840 .11382E-05 .52617E-04 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .18973 -.42340E-06 .51931E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.31477e-08 Prefactor = 3.65818e-08 Prefactor = 0.987463 norm = 3.47553 norm = 3.52044e-05 norm = 2.42169 norm = 5.10269 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 16.2067 Prefactor = 4.88603 Prefactor = 2.30738e-06 norm = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 2.77556e-09 norm = 8.33402 Prefactor = 5.67251 Prefactor = 3.57603e-07 norm = 3.68902 Normalizat = 1.14232 Prefactor = 1.18315 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 406 CALLS 1881 TOTAL EDM= .50E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .98746 19.592 .43063E-03 -1.5688 4 norm 3.4755 2.2902 .54204E-03 -1.5671 5 norm .35204E-04 5.4386 .51111E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.4217 336.56 .62717E-03 -1.5677 7 norm 5.1027 1.0228 .44493E-03 -1.5663 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6887 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9832 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 16.207 3.1882 .24852E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9727 .45468E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 30.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .99920E-09 11.535 .16992E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .72397E-01 .15019E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.468 .15898E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 8.3340 10.012 .34662E-03 -1.5650 18 Prefactor 5.6725 19.526 .41879E-03 -1.5660 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 3.6890 1.7104 .52556E-03 -1.5670 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .22783 .77538E-01 -.88404 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .15741 .55036E-01 -.86851 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.03874e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00308028 2 0.00144031 3 8.797 4 2.29016 5 0.0276741 6 57.1012 7 1.02277 8 0.000143971 9 3.39742e-05 10 3.18822 11 6.97274 12 0.0168795 13 0.000214284 14 2.21872e-08 15 0.000242375 16 0.000235589 17 10.0124 18 19.5264 19 0.0052787 20 1.71036 21 0.228032 22 0.157468 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 26.26 user 24.57 sys 0.73 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36562513/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.98781397 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86795435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23262E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .31142E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .98019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 3.4771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .61188E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.6407 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.1009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .26534E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .41467E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.207 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.8888 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .41636E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20684E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .10608E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .41468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .44297E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 8.3533 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 5.7457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .43552E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 3.6895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1421 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.1832 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 181 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.413 .22007E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.045 .22739E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .98746 .50369 .24267E-08 .92805E-03 4 norm 3.4755 2.0821 -.24739E-07 -.24214E-02 5 norm .35204E-04 27.801 -.49765E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.4217 165.22 .11400E-05 -.19139E-01 7 norm 5.1027 .98117 -.92380E-08 -.24261E-04 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6933 .65839E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9804 -.31150E-07** at limit ** 10 norm 16.207 3.1840 .17241E-07 .40033E-02 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9205 -.12298E-07 -.14700E-03 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 28.730 .29004E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .99920E-09 58.715 .21998E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 1.1559 -.33531E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.615 -.16220E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9893 .41894E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 8.3340 10.017 -.68500E-07 .71021E-02 18 Prefactor 5.6725 2.8932 -.11064E-07 .13247E-02 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.282 -.13694E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 3.6890 1.7095 .13489E-07 .25124E-02 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .26840 .11382E-05 .52617E-04 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .18973 -.42340E-06 .51931E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.31477e-08 Prefactor = 3.65818e-08 Prefactor = 0.987463 norm = 3.47553 norm = 3.52044e-05 norm = 2.42169 norm = 5.10269 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 16.2067 Prefactor = 4.88603 Prefactor = 2.30738e-06 norm = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 2.77556e-09 norm = 8.33402 Prefactor = 5.67251 Prefactor = 3.57603e-07 norm = 3.68902 Normalizat = 1.14232 Prefactor = 1.18315 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 406 CALLS 1881 TOTAL EDM= .50E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .98746 19.592 .43063E-03 -1.5688 4 norm 3.4755 2.2902 .54204E-03 -1.5671 5 norm .35204E-04 5.4386 .51111E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.4217 336.56 .62717E-03 -1.5677 7 norm 5.1027 1.0228 .44493E-03 -1.5663 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6887 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9832 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 16.207 3.1882 .24852E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9727 .45468E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 30.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .99920E-09 11.535 .16992E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .72397E-01 .15019E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.468 .15898E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 8.3340 10.012 .34662E-03 -1.5650 18 Prefactor 5.6725 19.526 .41879E-03 -1.5660 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 3.6890 1.7104 .52556E-03 -1.5670 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .22783 .77538E-01 -.88404 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .15741 .55036E-01 -.86851 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.03874e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00308028 2 0.00144031 3 8.797 4 2.29016 5 0.0276741 6 57.1012 7 1.02277 8 0.000143971 9 3.39742e-05 10 3.18822 11 6.97274 12 0.0168795 13 0.000214284 14 2.21872e-08 15 0.000242375 16 0.000235589 17 10.0124 18 19.5264 19 0.0052787 20 1.71036 21 0.228032 22 0.157468 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562472/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:40:43.291973', job_id='36562472', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201643.29', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:40:43 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 9.17 user 8.38 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 74.65 user 69.00 sys 4.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 179 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1251.3-0201 @ 192.836 -2.0271 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.836 yref=-2.0271 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562513/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:41:16.506635', job_id='36562513', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201676.51', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:41:16 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 29.13 user 27.23 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36562590/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1251.3-0201' 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 5.916e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ft2_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/Model_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.98781397 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86795435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23262E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .31142E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .98019 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 3.4771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .61188E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.6407 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.1009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .26534E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .41467E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.207 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.8888 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .41636E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .20684E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .10608E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .41468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .44297E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 8.3533 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 5.7457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .43552E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 3.6895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1421 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.1832 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 181 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.413 .22007E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.045 .22739E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .98746 .50369 .24267E-08 .92805E-03 4 norm 3.4755 2.0821 -.24739E-07 -.24214E-02 5 norm .35204E-04 27.801 -.49765E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 2.4217 165.22 .11400E-05 -.19139E-01 7 norm 5.1027 .98117 -.92380E-08 -.24261E-04 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6933 .65839E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9804 -.31150E-07** at limit ** 10 norm 16.207 3.1840 .17241E-07 .40033E-02 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9205 -.12298E-07 -.14700E-03 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 28.730 .29004E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .99920E-09 58.715 .21998E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 1.1559 -.33531E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.615 -.16220E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9893 .41894E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 8.3340 10.017 -.68500E-07 .71021E-02 18 Prefactor 5.6725 2.8932 -.11064E-07 .13247E-02 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.282 -.13694E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 3.6890 1.7095 .13489E-07 .25124E-02 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .26840 .11382E-05 .52617E-04 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .18973 -.42340E-06 .51931E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.31477e-08 Prefactor = 3.65818e-08 Prefactor = 0.987463 norm = 3.47553 norm = 3.52044e-05 norm = 2.42169 norm = 5.10269 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 16.2067 Prefactor = 4.88603 Prefactor = 2.30738e-06 norm = 9.99201e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 2.77556e-09 norm = 8.33402 Prefactor = 5.67251 Prefactor = 3.57603e-07 norm = 3.68902 Normalizat = 1.14232 Prefactor = 1.18315 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 406 CALLS 1881 TOTAL EDM= .50E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .93148E-07 25.461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .36582E-07 14.186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .98746 19.592 .43063E-03 -1.5688 4 norm 3.4755 2.2902 .54204E-03 -1.5671 5 norm .35204E-04 5.4386 .51111E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 2.4217 336.56 .62717E-03 -1.5677 7 norm 5.1027 1.0228 .44493E-03 -1.5663 8 Prefactor .11102E-08 4.6887 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 3.9832 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 16.207 3.1882 .24852E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 4.8860 6.9727 .45468E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .23074E-05 30.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .99920E-09 11.535 .16992E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .72397E-01 .15019E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .38858E-09 40.468 .15898E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .27756E-08 4.9881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 8.3340 10.012 .34662E-03 -1.5650 18 Prefactor 5.6725 19.526 .41879E-03 -1.5660 19 Prefactor .35760E-06 19.481 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 3.6890 1.7104 .52556E-03 -1.5670 21 Normalizat 1.1423 .22783 .77538E-01 -.88404 22 Prefactor 1.1831 .15741 .55036E-01 -.86851 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.03874e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00308028 2 0.00144031 3 8.797 4 2.29016 5 0.0276741 6 57.1012 7 1.02277 8 0.000143971 9 3.39742e-05 10 3.18822 11 6.97274 12 0.0168795 13 0.000214284 14 2.21872e-08 15 0.000242375 16 0.000235589 17 10.0124 18 19.5264 19 0.0052787 20 1.71036 21 0.228032 22 0.157468 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7888.86699087 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 9.992e-10 2.143e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 1.951e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 2.280e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.00547627967e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.45759666185e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7888.87605633 delta logL = -0.00906546363785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86699193 delta logL = -1.06440165837e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73019E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2299 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1420 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1834 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5850E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7888.867 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 98 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .23E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45611E-01 39.423 .76251E-02** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6863 3.0299 .43623 .15895E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .91474E-02 .77540E-01 .39128E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .66144E-02 .55036E-01 .14926E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0456105 alpha = 2.68625 Normalizat = 1.14225 Prefactor = 1.18313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7888.867 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 37 CALLS 344 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45611E-01 78.235 .91072E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.6863 2.8122 .17449 .74569E-01 3 Normalizat 1.1423 .14753E-01 .34321E-03 -.88407 4 Prefactor 1.1831 .10678E-01 .24334E-03 -.86852 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.30004e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77807 2 70.2361 3 0.0147527 4 0.0106778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7888.86698476 delta logL = 6.1094888224e-06 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1251.3-0201 Spectrum: LogParabola 290 norm: 4.561e-02 3.778e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 291 alpha: 2.686e+00 7.024e+01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 292 beta: 1.558e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 293 Eb: 1.195e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 582 Prefactor: 1.183e+00 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 583 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 584 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.142e+00 1.475e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.836 -2.027 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36562590/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1251.3-0201_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.46e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.01e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 11:43:31.268643', job_id='36562590', GAL2='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.14', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1788201811.27', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.18', dlogl='6.11e-06', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.95' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1251.3-0201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 11:43:31 PDT 2026