/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17472 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913 RA = 192.244, Dec = 48.67 tmin = 791164801, tmax = 791769601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='20099834', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-02-03 00:48:52.248957', time_epoch_executed='1770108532.25' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1248.9+4840' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='913' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=791164801.0 && nMetStart<791769601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=791164801.0 && nMetStart<791769601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=791164801.0 && nMetStart<791769601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits ra=192.244 dec=48.67 rad=12.0 tmin=791164801.0 tmax=791769601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.93 user 4.21 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.27 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1405 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ltcube_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits .....................! real 26.05 user 25.24 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ltcube_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/expmap_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ltcube_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits .....................! real 65.86 user 61.32 sys 3.88 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 213 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1248.9+4840 @ 192.244 48.67 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/cmap_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.244 yref=48.67 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/cmap_HighResolution_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=192.244 yref=48.67 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.02 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/Model_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits.....................! real 44.27 user 42.44 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/expmap_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ltcube_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/20099834/Model_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1248.9+4840' 4FGL J1248.9+4840 Spectrum: PowerLaw 331 Prefactor: 3.227e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 332 Index: 2.450e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 333 Scale: 9.069e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ft2_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/expmap_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/ltcube_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/Model_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15423.3266472 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15423.3095776 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15454E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .57012E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.1400 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 2.8367 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24138E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.4911 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.6791 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .37189E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.2197 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .27328E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.7345 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 13.661 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 9.0702 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .13576E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 35.198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .12347E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 5.6072 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 31.381 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 4.6900 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.2594 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .67067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6790E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15423.31 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 135 CALLS 1382 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.0386 .90703E-08** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 4.4316 .50821E-06** at limit ** 3 norm 1.1425 1.0385 .10389E-06 .11508E-03 4 norm 2.8422 2.6468 -.25222E-06 .56424E-03 5 Prefactor .16653E-09 4.0256 .45184E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 1.4934 2.4782 -.22002E-06 -.15163E-04 7 norm 2.6804 1.2096 .36111E-07 -.94401E-03 8 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.0148 .38267E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .58836 10.334 .20545E-05 .58442E-02 10 norm 2.2221 1.0995 -.11224E-06 .50830E-03 11 Prefactor .0000 1.9746 -.38139E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.7487 3.9671 .33568E-06 .10929E-02 13 Prefactor 13.711 1.7771 -.41743E-07 .22060E-01 14 norm 9.0729 7.0402 .59014E-08 -.52930E-03 15 norm .0000 1.3228 .16140E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 36.200 20.823 .31271E-06 .40075E-01 17 Prefactor .92704E-08 20.504 -.11583E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 5.5935 2.5136 .28513E-07 -.11381E-02 19 Prefactor 31.698 9.8154 .27109E-06 -.86661E-01 20 norm 4.6860 1.1360 .74240E-07 -.62941E-03 21 Normalizat 1.2582 .12296 .77481E-06 .79121E-05 22 Prefactor .67133 .14402 -.24067E-05 .11490E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.14246 norm = 2.84218 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.49336 norm = 2.68044 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 0.588355 norm = 2.22209 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.74871 Prefactor = 13.7114 norm = 9.07294 norm = 0 Prefactor = 36.1999 Prefactor = 9.27036e-09 norm = 5.59355 Prefactor = 31.698 norm = 4.68601 Normalizat = 1.25822 Prefactor = 0.671329 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15423.31 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 392 CALLS 1774 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.0303 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 4.4334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.1425 1.0591 .10887E-02 -1.5687 4 norm 2.8422 2.6483 .60350E-03 -1.5674 5 Prefactor .16653E-09 4.0236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.4934 2.5194 .87755E-03 -1.5684 7 norm 2.6804 1.2138 .62230E-03 -1.5675 8 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.0066 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .58836 10.270 .70776E-03 -1.5693 10 norm 2.2221 1.1008 .68996E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor .0000 1.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.7487 3.9839 .61548E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor 13.711 12.854 .27074E-03 -1.5634 14 norm 9.0729 7.0418 .33255E-03 -1.5648 15 norm .0000 1.3022 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 36.200 22.109 .16858E-03 -1.5588 17 Prefactor .92704E-08 20.508 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 5.5935 2.5178 .42401E-03 -1.5661 19 Prefactor 31.698 26.458 .17854E-03 -1.5595 20 norm 4.6860 1.1365 .46443E-03 -1.5665 21 Normalizat 1.2582 .10720 .33574E-01 -.84822 22 Prefactor .67133 .12560 .73519E-01 -1.0466 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.98073e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39265e-07 2 6.04185e-05 3 1.05913 4 2.64833 5 4.81505e-05 6 2.5194 7 1.21378 8 7.81945e-05 9 4.91635 10 1.10082 11 5.0613e-06 12 3.98394 13 12.8543 14 7.04183 15 7.39201e-07 16 22.1088 17 0.000871216 18 2.51779 19 26.4576 20 1.13653 21 0.10722 22 0.125655 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15423.3084258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1248.9+4840 Spectrum: PowerLaw 331 Prefactor: 1.665e-10 7.819e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 332 Index: 2.450e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 333 Scale: 9.069e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 676 Prefactor: 6.713e-01 1.257e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 677 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 678 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 675 Normalization: 1.258e+00 1.072e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.244 48.670 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.99608263034e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00232282076434 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/likelihoodResults_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15423.3716875 delta logL = -0.063261653404 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15423.3084258 delta logL = -6.81575329509e-09 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .13656E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.6093 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2582 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .67131 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6790E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15423.31 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 40 CALLS 206 TOTAL EDM= .43E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.7939 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.7913 1.2685 .22475E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2582 1.0891 -.23000E-05 .42388E-04 4 Prefactor .67133 1.0208 -.11594E-05 -.19352E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.79128 Normalizat = 1.25822 Prefactor = 0.671329 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15423.31 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 215 TOTAL EDM= .43E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.7939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .88253 1.9989 .22475E-04 -.45754 3 Normalizat 1.2582 1.0891 -.23000E-05 -.84822 4 Prefactor .67133 1.0208 -.11594E-05 -1.0466 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.26601e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.35011e-06 2 1.28609 3 1.10984 4 1.05151 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15423.3084258 delta logL = 7.27595761418e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1248.9+4840 Spectrum: PowerLaw 331 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.350e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 332 Index: 2.791e+00 1.286e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 333 Scale: 9.069e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 676 Prefactor: 6.713e-01 1.052e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 677 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 678 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 675 Normalization: 1.258e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 192.244 48.670 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/20099834/cmap_HighResolution_791164801_791769601_4FGL_J1248.9+4840_weekly_bin913.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.32e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.00e-08', time_completed='2026-02-03 00:59:17.484621', job_id='20099834', GAL2='0.67', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1770109157.48', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.67', dlogl='7.28e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.45' WHERE bin_id='913' AND source_name='4FGL J1248.9+4840' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Feb 3 00:59:17 PST 2026