number of points = 7429 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173 RA = 190.984, Dec = -2.3082 tmin = 802569601, tmax = 802828801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31391610', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 18:30:10.740157', time_epoch_executed='1783819810.74' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2173' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits ra=190.984 dec=-2.3082 rad=12.0 tmin=802569601.0 tmax=802828801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.19 user 2.59 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.68 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 571 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97294106 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.441e-07 3.413e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.008e+00 1.726e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 8.869e-01 2.561e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.112215098e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00846605149813 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391385/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.99981462 delta logL = -0.0268735688815 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780531 delta logL = 0.715135745644 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9200 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77916 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6111.258 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .36416 4.9214 .90104E-03 .16843E-02 2 Index 3.9174 2.2404 .86346E-01 .10009E-03 3 Normalizat .77947 .52574E-01 .83903E-01 -.69316E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .38463E-01 .39733E-01 -.14764E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.364163 Index = 3.91736 Normalizat = 0.779471 Prefactor = 1.05298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.258 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 282 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .36416 13.783 .40834E-05 -1.5696 2 Index 3.9174 4.0825 .43883E-02 -.21826 3 Normalizat .77947 .24075 .37154E-03 -1.0083 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .17361 .23613E-03 -.90984 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.38378e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.4807 2 4.83544 3 0.241081 4 0.173703 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780214 delta logL = 0.71513891769 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.642e-01 4.481e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 3.917e+00 4.835e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.053e+00 1.737e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 7.795e-01 2.411e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.55 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.92 +/- 4.84 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.94e-08 +/- 8.83e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.51e-05 +/- 1.87e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31391385/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.47e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.51e-05', dlogl='7.15e-01', photon_flux2='9.94e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-11 18:32:14.818431', photon_index_error2='4.84', photon_index2='3.92', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.87e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1783819934.82', return_code='0', job_id='31391385', GAL2='1.05', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.83e-08', ts2='1.55', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 18:32:15 PDT 2026 number of points = 7429 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173 RA = 190.984, Dec = -2.3082 tmin = 802569601, tmax = 802828801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31391727', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 18:31:13.096215', time_epoch_executed='1783819873.1' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2173' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits ra=190.984 dec=-2.3082 rad=12.0 tmin=802569601.0 tmax=802828801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.14 user 2.54 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 571 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 8.39 user 7.69 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 67.90 user 63.15 sys 4.01 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 184 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1243.9-0218 @ 190.984 -2.3082 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 22.34 user 20.66 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31391533/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31391533/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1243.9-0218' 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.163e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.99516916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97575433 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.7994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.4431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .86059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 11.380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25296E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .74907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 7.2748 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .16591E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .24277E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .15829E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 6.8241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 21.360 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 28.072 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .29239E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 50.434 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .35523E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 62.502 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 13.493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .17717E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 40.966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .88659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0081 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 **********number of points = 7429 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173 RA = 190.984, Dec = -2.3082 tmin = 802569601, tmax = 802828801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31391843', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 18:32:10.973526', time_epoch_executed='1783819930.97' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2173' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits ra=190.984 dec=-2.3082 rad=12.0 tmin=802569601.0 tmax=802828801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.63 user 2.89 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.90 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 571 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6111.973 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 208 CALLS 2917 TOTAL EDM= .92E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.4543 .14757E-07 .22085E-02 2 Prefactor 10.333 14.522 -.15126E-06 -.51070E-01 3 Prefactor 7.4062 3.8389 .88205E-08 -.45683E-03 4 Prefactor .50938 375.99 -.74067E-06 .78872E-02 5 Prefactor 11.361 10.602 .74371E-07 -.10738 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 1186.8 -.14881E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5099 -.12548E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .74791 1.2425 .23176E-07 .90868E-03 9 norm 7.2962 4.7935 -.10165E-06 -.49679E-02 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.850 -.44569E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .78604E-07 17.719 -.52456E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.099 .12458E-06** at limit ** 13 norm 6.8221 1.0391 .89963E-08 -.15578E-02 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.862 -.39556E-07 -.61631E-02 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.287 .90741E-09 -.48133E-01 16 norm 1.4561 1.4974 -.69834E-08 -.14628E-02 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 19.993 .11238E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.942 -.40269E-06** at limit ** 19 norm 50.605 36.961 -.13877E-06 -.70640E-02 20 norm .35529E-01 .18746 .33408E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 61.902 54.587 -.14239E-06 -.22202E-01 22 norm 13.479 11.529 .55029E-07 -.59442E-02 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8931 .44502E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 40.954 24.464 .58075E-07 -.39273E-01 25 Normalizat .88691 .29117 .24919E-05 -.94086E-04 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .19978 -.32981E-05 -.18176E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.79476 Prefactor = 10.3331 Prefactor = 7.4062 Prefactor = 0.50938 Prefactor = 11.3606 Prefactor = 1.83034e-05 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.74791 norm = 7.29617 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 7.86038e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.82209 Prefactor = 21.3646 Prefactor = 28.0045 norm = 1.45608 Prefactor = 1.44051e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 norm = 50.6047 norm = 0.0355293 Prefactor = 61.9025 norm = 13.4789 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 40.9539 Normalizat = 0.88691 Prefactor = 1.00832 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.973 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 528 CALLS 3445 TOTAL EDM= .72E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.5238 .33766E-03 -1.5649 2 Prefactor 10.333 15.541 .31098E-03 -1.5644 3 Prefactor 7.4062 54.895 .36738E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .50938 677.93 .48523E-03 -1.5694 5 Prefactor 11.361 19.054 .29672E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 25.655 .13689E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .74791 1.2596 .56811E-03 -1.5691 9 norm 7.2962 5.0919 .37164E-03 -1.5654 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.674 .17272E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .78604E-07 17.867 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.552 .17328E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 6.8221 1.0366 .38384E-03 -1.5656 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.873 .21643E-03 -1.5616 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.740 .18877E-03 -1.5602 16 norm 1.4561 1.5249 .89151E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 20.216 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.543 .13353E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm 50.605 37.629 .14082E-03 -1.5566 20 norm .35529E-01 .13804 .99861E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 61.902 87.511 .12650E-03 -1.5551 22 norm 13.479 11.834 .27243E-03 -1.5635 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8959 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 40.954 25.593 .15625E-03 -1.5580 25 Normalizat .88691 .25579 .79334E-01 -.96922 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .17253 .43627E-01 -.92453 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.23912e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.52382 2 15.5412 3 40.3275 4 37.17 5 19.054 6 0.0433398 7 1.16596e-05 8 1.25958 9 5.09187 10 0.000200135 11 0.00236992 12 4.15679e-05 13 1.03664 14 11.873 15 15.7396 16 1.52495 17 0.00341302 18 0.000232476 19 37.6296 20 0.138036 21 87.5133 22 11.8344 23 6.41122e-05 24 25.5928 25 0.256142 26 0.17262 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 8.22 user 7.58 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 70.51 user 65.92 sys 3.77 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 184 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1243.9-0218 @ 190.984 -2.3082 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97294106 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.441e-07 3.413e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.008e+00 1.726e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 8.869e-01 2.561e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.112215098e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00846605149813 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.99981462 delta logL = -0.0268735688815 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780531 delta logL = 0.715135745644 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9200 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77916 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6111.258 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .36416 4.9214 .90104E-03 .16843E-02 2 Index 3.9174 2.2404 .86346E-01 .10009E-03 3 Normalizat .77947 .52574E-01 .83903E-01 -.69316E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .38463E-01 .39733E-01 -.14764E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.364163 Index = 3.91736 Normalizat = 0.779471 Prefactor = 1.05298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.258 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 282 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .36416 13.783 .40834E-05 -1.5696 2 Index 3.9174 4.0825 .43883E-02 -.21826 3 Normalizat .77947 .24075 .37154E-03 -1.0083 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .17361 .23613E-03 -.90984 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.38378e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.4807 2 4.83544 3 0.241081 4 0.173703 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780214 delta logL = 0.71513891769 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.642e-01 4.481e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 3.917e+00 4.835e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.053e+00 1.737e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 7.795e-01 2.411e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.55 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.92 +/- 4.84 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.94e-08 +/- 8.83e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.51e-05 +/- 1.87e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31391533/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.47e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.51e-05', dlogl='7.15e-01', photon_flux2='9.94e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-11 18:34:45.450272', photon_index_error2='4.84', photon_index2='3.92', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.87e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1783820085.45', return_code='0', job_id='31391533', GAL2='1.05', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.83e-08', ts2='1.55', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 18:34:45 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 21.64 user 20.05 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31391610/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1243.9-0218' 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.163e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.99516916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97575433 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.7994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.4431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .86059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 11.380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25296E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .74907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 7.2748 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .16591E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .24277E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .15829E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 6.8241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 21.360 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 28.072 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .29239E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 50.434 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .35523E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 62.502 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 13.493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .17717E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 40.966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .88659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0081 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6111.973 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 208 CALLS 2917 TOTAL EDM= .92E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.4543 .14757E-07 .22085E-02 2 Prefactor 10.333 14.522 -.15126E-06 -.51070E-01 3 Prefactor 7.4062 3.8389 .88205E-08 -.45683E-03 4 Prefactor .50938 375.99 -.74067E-06 .78872E-02 5 Prefactor 11.361 10.602 .74371E-07 -.10738 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 1186.8 -.14881E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5099 -.12548E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .74791 1.2425 .23176E-07 .90868E-03 9 norm 7.2962 4.7935 -.10165E-06 -.49679E-02 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.850 -.44569E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .78604E-07 17.719 -.52456E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.099 .12458E-06** at limit ** 13 norm 6.8221 1.0391 .89963E-08 -.15578E-02 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.862 -.39556E-07 -.61631E-02 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.287 .90741E-09 -.48133E-01 16 norm 1.4561 1.4974 -.69834E-08 -.14628E-02 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 19.993 .11238E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.942 -.40269E-06** at limit ** 19 norm 50.605 36.961 -.13877E-06 -.70640E-02 20 norm .35529E-01 .18746 .33408E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 61.902 54.587 -.14239E-06 -.22202E-01 22 norm 13.479 11.529 .55029E-07 -.59442E-02 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8931 .44502E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 40.954 24.464 .58075E-07 -.39273E-01 25 Normalizat .88691 .29117 .24919E-05 -.94086E-04 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .19978 -.32981E-05 -.18176E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.79476 Prefactor = 10.3331 Prefactor = 7.4062 Prefactor = 0.50938 Prefactor = 11.3606 Prefactor = 1.83034e-05 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.74791 norm = 7.29617 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 7.86038e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.82209 Prefactor = 21.3646 Prefactor = 28.0045 norm = 1.45608 Prefactor = 1.44051e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 norm = 50.6047 norm = 0.0355293 Prefactor = 61.9025 norm = 13.4789 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 40.9539 Normalizat = 0.88691 Prefactor = 1.00832 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 9.54 user 8.76 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 78.09 user 73.35 sys 3.89 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 184 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1243.9-0218 @ 190.984 -2.3082 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=190.984 yref=-2.3082 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.973 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 528 CALLS 3445 TOTAL EDM= .72E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.5238 .33766E-03 -1.5649 2 Prefactor 10.333 15.541 .31098E-03 -1.5644 3 Prefactor 7.4062 54.895 .36738E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .50938 677.93 .48523E-03 -1.5694 5 Prefactor 11.361 19.054 .29672E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 25.655 .13689E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .74791 1.2596 .56811E-03 -1.5691 9 norm 7.2962 5.0919 .37164E-03 -1.5654 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.674 .17272E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .78604E-07 17.867 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.552 .17328E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 6.8221 1.0366 .38384E-03 -1.5656 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.873 .21643E-03 -1.5616 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.740 .18877E-03 -1.5602 16 norm 1.4561 1.5249 .89151E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 20.216 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.543 .13353E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm 50.605 37.629 .14082E-03 -1.5566 20 norm .35529E-01 .13804 .99861E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 61.902 87.511 .12650E-03 -1.5551 22 norm 13.479 11.834 .27243E-03 -1.5635 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8959 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 40.954 25.593 .15625E-03 -1.5580 25 Normalizat .88691 .25579 .79334E-01 -.96922 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .17253 .43627E-01 -.92453 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.23912e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.52382 2 15.5412 3 40.3275 4 37.17 5 19.054 6 0.0433398 7 1.16596e-05 8 1.25958 9 5.09187 10 0.000200135 11 0.00236992 12 4.15679e-05 13 1.03664 14 11.873 15 15.7396 16 1.52495 17 0.00341302 18 0.000232476 19 37.6296 20 0.138036 21 87.5133 22 11.8344 23 6.41122e-05 24 25.5928 25 0.256142 26 0.17262 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97294106 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.441e-07 3.413e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.008e+00 1.726e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 8.869e-01 2.561e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.112215098e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00846605149813 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.99981462 delta logL = -0.0268735688815 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780531 delta logL = 0.715135745644 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9200 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77916 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6111.258 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .36416 4.9214 .90104E-03 .16843E-02 2 Index 3.9174 2.2404 .86346E-01 .10009E-03 3 Normalizat .77947 .52574E-01 .83903E-01 -.69316E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .38463E-01 .39733E-01 -.14764E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.364163 Index = 3.91736 Normalizat = 0.779471 Prefactor = 1.05298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.258 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 282 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .36416 13.783 .40834E-05 -1.5696 2 Index 3.9174 4.0825 .43883E-02 -.21826 3 Normalizat .77947 .24075 .37154E-03 -1.0083 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .17361 .23613E-03 -.90984 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.38378e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.4807 2 4.83544 3 0.241081 4 0.173703 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780214 delta logL = 0.71513891769 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.642e-01 4.481e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 3.917e+00 4.835e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.053e+00 1.737e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 7.795e-01 2.411e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.55 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.92 +/- 4.84 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.94e-08 +/- 8.83e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.51e-05 +/- 1.87e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31391610/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.47e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.51e-05', dlogl='7.15e-01', photon_flux2='9.94e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-11 18:36:28.117088', photon_index_error2='4.84', photon_index2='3.92', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.87e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1783820188.12', return_code='0', job_id='31391610', GAL2='1.05', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.83e-08', ts2='1.55', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 18:36:28 PDT 2026 V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 23.71 user 21.78 sys 1.24 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31391727/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1243.9-0218' 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.163e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.99516916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97575433 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.7994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.4431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .86059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 11.380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25296E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .74907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 7.2748 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .16591E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .24277E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .15829E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 6.8241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 21.360 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 28.072 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .29239E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 50.434 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .35523E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 62.502 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 13.493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .17717E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 40.966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .88659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0081 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6111.973 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 208 CALLS 2917 TOTAL EDM= .92E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.4543 .14757E-07 .22085E-02 2 Prefactor 10.333 14.522 -.15126E-06 -.51070E-01 3 Prefactor 7.4062 3.8389 .88205E-08 -.45683E-03 4 Prefactor .50938 375.99 -.74067E-06 .78872E-02 5 Prefactor 11.361 10.602 .74371E-07 -.10738 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 1186.8 -.14881E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5099 -.12548E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .74791 1.2425 .23176E-07 .90868E-03 9 norm 7.2962 4.7935 -.10165E-06 -.49679E-02 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.850 -.44569E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .78604E-07 17.719 -.52456E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.099 .12458E-06** at limit ** 13 norm 6.8221 1.0391 .89963E-08 -.15578E-02 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.862 -.39556E-07 -.61631E-02 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.287 .90741E-09 -.48133E-01 16 norm 1.4561 1.4974 -.69834E-08 -.14628E-02 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 19.993 .11238E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.942 -.40269E-06** at limit ** 19 norm 50.605 36.961 -.13877E-06 -.70640E-02 20 norm .35529E-01 .18746 .33408E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 61.902 54.587 -.14239E-06 -.22202E-01 22 norm 13.479 11.529 .55029E-07 -.59442E-02 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8931 .44502E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 40.954 24.464 .58075E-07 -.39273E-01 25 Normalizat .88691 .29117 .24919E-05 -.94086E-04 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .19978 -.32981E-05 -.18176E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.79476 Prefactor = 10.3331 Prefactor = 7.4062 Prefactor = 0.50938 Prefactor = 11.3606 Prefactor = 1.83034e-05 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.74791 norm = 7.29617 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 7.86038e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.82209 Prefactor = 21.3646 Prefactor = 28.0045 norm = 1.45608 Prefactor = 1.44051e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 norm = 50.6047 norm = 0.0355293 Prefactor = 61.9025 norm = 13.4789 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 40.9539 Normalizat = 0.88691 Prefactor = 1.00832 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.973 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 528 CALLS 3445 TOTAL EDM= .72E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.5238 .33766E-03 -1.5649 2 Prefactor 10.333 15.541 .31098E-03 -1.5644 3 Prefactor 7.4062 54.895 .36738E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .50938 677.93 .48523E-03 -1.5694 5 Prefactor 11.361 19.054 .29672E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 25.655 .13689E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .74791 1.2596 .56811E-03 -1.5691 9 norm 7.2962 5.0919 .37164E-03 -1.5654 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.674 .17272E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .78604E-07 17.867 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.552 .17328E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 6.8221 1.0366 .38384E-03 -1.5656 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.873 .21643E-03 -1.5616 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.740 .18877E-03 -1.5602 16 norm 1.4561 1.5249 .89151E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 20.216 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.543 .13353E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm 50.605 37.629 .14082E-03 -1.5566 20 norm .35529E-01 .13804 .99861E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 61.902 87.511 .12650E-03 -1.5551 22 norm 13.479 11.834 .27243E-03 -1.5635 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8959 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 40.954 25.593 .15625E-03 -1.5580 25 Normalizat .88691 .25579 .79334E-01 -.96922 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .17253 .43627E-01 -.92453 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.23912e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.52382 2 15.5412 3 40.3275 4 37.17 5 19.054 6 0.0433398 7 1.16596e-05 8 1.25958 9 5.09187 10 0.000200135 11 0.00236992 12 4.15679e-05 13 1.03664 14 11.873 15 15.7396 16 1.52495 17 0.00341302 18 0.000232476 19 37.6296 20 0.138036 21 87.5133 22 11.8344 23 6.41122e-05 24 25.5928 25 0.256142 26 0.17262 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97294106 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.441e-07 3.413e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.008e+00 1.726e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 8.869e-01 2.561e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.112215098e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00846605149813 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.99981462 delta logL = -0.0268735688815 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780531 delta logL = 0.715135745644 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9200 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77916 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6111.258 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .36416 4.9214 .90104E-03 .16843E-02 2 Index 3.9174 2.2404 .86346E-01 .10009E-03 3 Normalizat .77947 .52574E-01 .83903E-01 -.69316E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .38463E-01 .39733E-01 -.14764E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.364163 Index = 3.91736 Normalizat = 0.779471 Prefactor = 1.05298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.258 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 282 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .36416 13.783 .40834E-05 -1.5696 2 Index 3.9174 4.0825 .43883E-02 -.21826 3 Normalizat .77947 .24075 .37154E-03 -1.0083 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .17361 .23613E-03 -.90984 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.38378e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.4807 2 4.83544 3 0.241081 4 0.173703 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780214 delta logL = 0.71513891769 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.642e-01 4.481e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 3.917e+00 4.835e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.053e+00 1.737e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 7.795e-01 2.411e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.55 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.92 +/- 4.84 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.94e-08 +/- 8.83e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.51e-05 +/- 1.87e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31391727/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.47e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.51e-05', dlogl='7.15e-01', photon_flux2='9.94e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-11 18:37:41.398965', photon_index_error2='4.84', photon_index2='3.92', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.87e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1783820261.4', return_code='0', job_id='31391727', GAL2='1.05', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.83e-08', ts2='1.55', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 18:37:41 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 25.47 user 23.21 sys 1.18 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31391843/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1243.9-0218' 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.163e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ft2_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/Model_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.99516916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97575433 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.7994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 10.365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.4431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .86059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 11.380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25296E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .74907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 7.2748 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .16591E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .24277E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .15829E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 6.8241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 21.360 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 28.072 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4569 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .29239E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .12281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 50.434 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .35523E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 62.502 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 13.493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .17717E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 40.966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' .88659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0081 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6111.973 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 208 CALLS 2917 TOTAL EDM= .92E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.4543 .14757E-07 .22085E-02 2 Prefactor 10.333 14.522 -.15126E-06 -.51070E-01 3 Prefactor 7.4062 3.8389 .88205E-08 -.45683E-03 4 Prefactor .50938 375.99 -.74067E-06 .78872E-02 5 Prefactor 11.361 10.602 .74371E-07 -.10738 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 1186.8 -.14881E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5099 -.12548E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .74791 1.2425 .23176E-07 .90868E-03 9 norm 7.2962 4.7935 -.10165E-06 -.49679E-02 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.850 -.44569E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .78604E-07 17.719 -.52456E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 12.099 .12458E-06** at limit ** 13 norm 6.8221 1.0391 .89963E-08 -.15578E-02 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.862 -.39556E-07 -.61631E-02 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.287 .90741E-09 -.48133E-01 16 norm 1.4561 1.4974 -.69834E-08 -.14628E-02 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 19.993 .11238E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.942 -.40269E-06** at limit ** 19 norm 50.605 36.961 -.13877E-06 -.70640E-02 20 norm .35529E-01 .18746 .33408E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 61.902 54.587 -.14239E-06 -.22202E-01 22 norm 13.479 11.529 .55029E-07 -.59442E-02 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8931 .44502E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor 40.954 24.464 .58075E-07 -.39273E-01 25 Normalizat .88691 .29117 .24919E-05 -.94086E-04 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .19978 -.32981E-05 -.18176E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.79476 Prefactor = 10.3331 Prefactor = 7.4062 Prefactor = 0.50938 Prefactor = 11.3606 Prefactor = 1.83034e-05 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.74791 norm = 7.29617 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 7.86038e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.82209 Prefactor = 21.3646 Prefactor = 28.0045 norm = 1.45608 Prefactor = 1.44051e-07 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 norm = 50.6047 norm = 0.0355293 Prefactor = 61.9025 norm = 13.4789 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 40.9539 Normalizat = 0.88691 Prefactor = 1.00832 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.973 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 528 CALLS 3445 TOTAL EDM= .72E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.7948 8.5238 .33766E-03 -1.5649 2 Prefactor 10.333 15.541 .31098E-03 -1.5644 3 Prefactor 7.4062 54.895 .36738E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .50938 677.93 .48523E-03 -1.5694 5 Prefactor 11.361 19.054 .29672E-03 -1.5641 6 Prefactor .18303E-04 25.655 .13689E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 3.5201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .74791 1.2596 .56811E-03 -1.5691 9 norm 7.2962 5.0919 .37164E-03 -1.5654 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.674 .17272E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .78604E-07 17.867 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.552 .17328E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 6.8221 1.0366 .38384E-03 -1.5656 14 Prefactor 21.365 11.873 .21643E-03 -1.5616 15 Prefactor 28.005 15.740 .18877E-03 -1.5602 16 norm 1.4561 1.5249 .89151E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .14405E-06 20.216 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .33307E-09 42.543 .13353E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm 50.605 37.629 .14082E-03 -1.5566 20 norm .35529E-01 .13804 .99861E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 61.902 87.511 .12650E-03 -1.5551 22 norm 13.479 11.834 .27243E-03 -1.5635 23 norm .16653E-09 6.8959 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor 40.954 25.593 .15625E-03 -1.5580 25 Normalizat .88691 .25579 .79334E-01 -.96922 26 Prefactor 1.0083 .17253 .43627E-01 -.92453 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.23912e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.52382 2 15.5412 3 40.3275 4 37.17 5 19.054 6 0.0433398 7 1.16596e-05 8 1.25958 9 5.09187 10 0.000200135 11 0.00236992 12 4.15679e-05 13 1.03664 14 11.873 15 15.7396 16 1.52495 17 0.00341302 18 0.000232476 19 37.6296 20 0.138036 21 87.5133 22 11.8344 23 6.41122e-05 24 25.5928 25 0.256142 26 0.17262 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6111.97294106 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.441e-07 3.413e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.187e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.008e+00 1.726e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 8.869e-01 2.561e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.112215098e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00846605149813 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.99981462 delta logL = -0.0268735688815 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780531 delta logL = 0.715135745644 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36174 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9200 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77916 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6000E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6111.258 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .36416 4.9214 .90104E-03 .16843E-02 2 Index 3.9174 2.2404 .86346E-01 .10009E-03 3 Normalizat .77947 .52574E-01 .83903E-01 -.69316E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .38463E-01 .39733E-01 -.14764E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.364163 Index = 3.91736 Normalizat = 0.779471 Prefactor = 1.05298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6111.258 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 282 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .36416 13.783 .40834E-05 -1.5696 2 Index 3.9174 4.0825 .43883E-02 -.21826 3 Normalizat .77947 .24075 .37154E-03 -1.0083 4 Prefactor 1.0530 .17361 .23613E-03 -.90984 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.38378e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.4807 2 4.83544 3 0.241081 4 0.173703 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6111.25780214 delta logL = 0.71513891769 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1243.9-0218 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.642e-01 4.481e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 3.917e+00 4.835e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.781e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 597 Prefactor: 1.053e+00 1.737e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 598 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 599 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 596 Normalization: 7.795e-01 2.411e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.55 Ra Dec: 190.984 -2.308 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.92 +/- 4.84 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.94e-08 +/- 8.83e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.51e-05 +/- 1.87e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31391843/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1243.9-0218_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.47e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.51e-05', dlogl='7.15e-01', photon_flux2='9.94e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-11 18:39:13.062781', photon_index_error2='4.84', photon_index2='3.92', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.87e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1783820353.06', return_code='0', job_id='31391843', GAL2='1.05', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.83e-08', ts2='1.55', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1243.9-0218' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 18:39:13 PDT 2026