/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7432 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190 RA = 189.625, Dec = -12.028 tmin = 806976001, tmax = 807235201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33904818', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-01 11:29:24.994134', time_epoch_executed='1785608964.99' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.5-1201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2190' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits ra=189.625 dec=-12.028 rad=12.0 tmin=806976001.0 tmax=807235201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.23 user 1.38 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.04 user 0.15 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 693 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits .....................! real 8.03 user 6.99 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits .....................! real 59.99 user 55.32 sys 3.61 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.5-1201 @ 189.625 -12.028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/cmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.625 yref=-12.028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.25 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/cmap_HighResolution_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.625 yref=-12.028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.17 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALnumber of points = 7432 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190 RA = 189.625, Dec = -12.028 tmin = 806976001, tmax = 807235201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33905047', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-01 11:31:34.331076', time_epoch_executed='1785609094.33' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.5-1201' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2190' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806976001.0 && nMetStart<807235201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits ra=189.625 dec=-12.028 rad=12.0 tmin=806976001.0 tmax=807235201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.55 user 1.60 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.14 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 693 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits.....................! real 22.33 user 20.71 sys 0.61 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33904818/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.5-1201' 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 4.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 2.660e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7489.0172357 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7488.93451747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.1953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.387 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14158E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .81537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .12629E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.4432 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.9195 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' .15286E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 12.601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .31528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14700E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .13517E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .12850 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .12232E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .12136E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 9.2469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .23063E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .52543E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .11888E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 2.3941 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .16632E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.4482 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' .81203 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6130E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7488.933 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 1566 TOTAL EDM= .40E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.0731 5.2226 -.20451E-07 .11218E-03 2 Prefactor 32.779 1.6981 -.69560E-09 -.35542E-02 3 Prefactor .29571E-06 8.6852 .32660E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 10.174 -.79054E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 .79730 .50736E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 1.4312 4.5306 -.15382E-07 .77382E-04 7 Prefactor 4.9210 2.1292 -.16562E-06 .25613E-04 8 Prefactor .0000 2.2783 -.39738E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 12.605 9.1988 .14883E-07 .18542E-02 10 Prefactor .37041 44.806 -.20355E-06 -.16768E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.6361 .41215E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .42744E-08 28.464 .43749E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .66907E-01 .98317 .10106E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .23287E-06 11.339 .66175E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .33856 .16199 -.69283E-08 .12575E-02 16 norm .11713E-07 14.507 -.21393E-06** at limit ** 17 norm 9.2948 5.5545 .20601E-08 -.79896E-04 18 Prefactor .38858E-09 67.274 .66916E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 2.3462 -.58821E-07** at limit ** 20 norm .0000 4.6666 .74193E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 2.4002 8.2860 -.23470E-07 -.71903E-04 22 Prefactor .0000 3.2865 -.86239E-08** at limit ** 23 Normalizat 1.4484 .24820 -.71089E-06 .87883E-05 24 Prefactor .81185 .14449 .14850E-06 .10470E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.07309 Prefactor = 32.7789 Prefactor = 2.95708e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.43124 Prefactor = 4.92099 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.6054 Prefactor = 0.370415 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.27436e-09 norm = 0.0669073 Prefactor = 2.32869e-07 norm = 0.33856 norm = 1.17129e-08 norm = 9.29477 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.4002 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.44841 Prefactor = 0.811846 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7488.933 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 447 CALLS 2013 TOTAL EDM= .22E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.0731 5.3141 .34997E-03 -1.5651 2 Prefactor 32.779 21.780 .17574E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor .29571E-06 18.575 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 10.183 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 .79847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.4312 4.6060 .89734E-03 -1.5684 7 Prefactor 4.9210 2.1417 .45334E-02 -1.5264 8 Prefactor .0000 2.2796 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 12.605 9.2187 .28193E-03 -1.5637 10 Prefactor .37041 4.5876 .10004E-01 -1.5696 11 Prefactor .0000 1.6386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .42744E-08 28.653 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .66907E-01 8.4406 .13219E-01 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .23287E-06 19.472 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .33856 .16205 .52244E-03 -1.5696 16 norm .11713E-07 14.691 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 9.2948 5.5532 .32934E-03 -1.5647 18 Prefactor .38858E-09 67.148 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 2.3484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm .0000 4.6653 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 2.4002 8.3067 .66159E-03 -1.5677 22 Prefactor .0000 3.2870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Normalizat 1.4484 .21030 .64516E-01 -.79238 24 Prefactor .81185 .12167 .43874E-01 -.99293 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.19619e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31414 2 21.7798 3 0.00468755 4 4.16285e-05 5 7.39641e-07 6 4.60603 7 2.14174 8 2.11845e-07 9 9.21871 10 2.60715 11 2.96619e-08 12 0.000698971 13 1.50299 14 0.00425898 15 0.162049 16 0.000829147 17 5.55318 18 0.000311882 19 5.11428e-07 20 2.58681e-06 21 8.30677 22 2.06224e-08 23 0.210428 24 0.12171 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7488.9332858 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 3.704e-01 2.607e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 2.660e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 610 Prefactor: 8.118e-01 1.217e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 611 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 612 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 609 Normalization: 1.448e+00 2.104e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 189.625 -12.028 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04619433309e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00821703563601 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/likelihoodResults_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7488.89959058 delta logL = 0.0336952243269 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7488.82564266 delta logL = 0.107643146129 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10235E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9999 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4267 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82090 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6130E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7488.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 419 TOTAL EDM= .66E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.1973 .11242E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.5719 .19306E-01 .70366E-07 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.4500 .24182 -.15560E-05 .21109E-04 4 Prefactor .81166 .14269 -.31810E-05 -.37921E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.57188 Normalizat = 1.44999 Prefactor = 0.811658 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7488.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 430 TOTAL EDM= .66E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.1757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.7850 2.0382 .70366E-07 -2.3861 3 Normalizat 1.4500 1.0655 -.15560E-05 -.79194 4 Prefactor .81166 1.1629 -.31810E-05 4.1346 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 6.60821e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66955e-06 2 1.16761 3 1.08258 4 1.20128 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits .....................! real 9.61 user 8.29 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits .....................! real 69.59 user 64.37 sys 4.04 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.5-1201 @ 189.625 -12.028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/cmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.625 yref=-12.028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.07 user 0.20 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/cmap_HighResolution_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.625 yref=-12.028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.14 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7488.93431053 delta logL = -0.00102472392427 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.670e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 1.572e+00 1.168e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 610 Prefactor: 8.117e-01 1.201e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 611 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 612 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 609 Normalization: 1.450e+00 1.083e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 189.625 -12.028 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33904818/cmap_HighResolution_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.05e-07', time_completed='2026-08-01 11:37:38.460508', job_id='33904818', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.45', EG='1.45', time_epoch_completed='1785609458.46', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-1.02e-03', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='2190' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.5-1201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Aug 1 11:37:39 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits.....................! real 26.60 user 24.27 sys 1.38 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33905047/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.5-1201' 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 4.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 2.660e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ft2_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/expmap_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/ltcube_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/Model_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7489.0172357 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7488.93451747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.1953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.387 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14158E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .81537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .12629E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.4432 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.9195 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' .15286E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 12.601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .31528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14700E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .13517E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .12850 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .12232E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .12136E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 9.2469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .23063E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .52543E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .11888E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 2.3941 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .16632E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.4482 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' .81203 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6130E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7488.933 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 1566 TOTAL EDM= .40E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.0731 5.2226 -.20451E-07 .11218E-03 2 Prefactor 32.779 1.6981 -.69560E-09 -.35542E-02 3 Prefactor .29571E-06 8.6852 .32660E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 10.174 -.79054E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 .79730 .50736E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 1.4312 4.5306 -.15382E-07 .77382E-04 7 Prefactor 4.9210 2.1292 -.16562E-06 .25613E-04 8 Prefactor .0000 2.2783 -.39738E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 12.605 9.1988 .14883E-07 .18542E-02 10 Prefactor .37041 44.806 -.20355E-06 -.16768E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.6361 .41215E-08** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .42744E-08 28.464 .43749E-07** at limit ** 13 norm .66907E-01 .98317 .10106E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .23287E-06 11.339 .66175E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .33856 .16199 -.69283E-08 .12575E-02 16 norm .11713E-07 14.507 -.21393E-06** at limit ** 17 norm 9.2948 5.5545 .20601E-08 -.79896E-04 18 Prefactor .38858E-09 67.274 .66916E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 2.3462 -.58821E-07** at limit ** 20 norm .0000 4.6666 .74193E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 2.4002 8.2860 -.23470E-07 -.71903E-04 22 Prefactor .0000 3.2865 -.86239E-08** at limit ** 23 Normalizat 1.4484 .24820 -.71089E-06 .87883E-05 24 Prefactor .81185 .14449 .14850E-06 .10470E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.07309 Prefactor = 32.7789 Prefactor = 2.95708e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.43124 Prefactor = 4.92099 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.6054 Prefactor = 0.370415 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.27436e-09 norm = 0.0669073 Prefactor = 2.32869e-07 norm = 0.33856 norm = 1.17129e-08 norm = 9.29477 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.4002 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.44841 Prefactor = 0.811846 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7488.933 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 447 CALLS 2013 TOTAL EDM= .22E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.0731 5.3141 .34997E-03 -1.5651 2 Prefactor 32.779 21.780 .17574E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor .29571E-06 18.575 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 10.183 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 .79847 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.4312 4.6060 .89734E-03 -1.5684 7 Prefactor 4.9210 2.1417 .45334E-02 -1.5264 8 Prefactor .0000 2.2796 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 12.605 9.2187 .28193E-03 -1.5637 10 Prefactor .37041 4.5876 .10004E-01 -1.5696 11 Prefactor .0000 1.6386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .42744E-08 28.653 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .66907E-01 8.4406 .13219E-01 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .23287E-06 19.472 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .33856 .16205 .52244E-03 -1.5696 16 norm .11713E-07 14.691 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 9.2948 5.5532 .32934E-03 -1.5647 18 Prefactor .38858E-09 67.148 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 2.3484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm .0000 4.6653 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 2.4002 8.3067 .66159E-03 -1.5677 22 Prefactor .0000 3.2870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Normalizat 1.4484 .21030 .64516E-01 -.79238 24 Prefactor .81185 .12167 .43874E-01 -.99293 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.19619e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31414 2 21.7798 3 0.00468755 4 4.16285e-05 5 7.39641e-07 6 4.60603 7 2.14174 8 2.11845e-07 9 9.21871 10 2.60715 11 2.96619e-08 12 0.000698971 13 1.50299 14 0.00425898 15 0.162049 16 0.000829147 17 5.55318 18 0.000311882 19 5.11428e-07 20 2.58681e-06 21 8.30677 22 2.06224e-08 23 0.210428 24 0.12171 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7488.9332858 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 3.704e-01 2.607e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 2.660e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 610 Prefactor: 8.118e-01 1.217e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 611 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 612 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 609 Normalization: 1.448e+00 2.104e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 189.625 -12.028 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04619433309e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00821703563601 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/likelihoodResults_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7488.89959058 delta logL = 0.0336952243269 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7488.82564266 delta logL = 0.107643146129 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10235E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9999 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4267 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82090 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6130E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7488.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 419 TOTAL EDM= .66E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.1973 .11242E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.5719 .19306E-01 .70366E-07 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.4500 .24182 -.15560E-05 .21109E-04 4 Prefactor .81166 .14269 -.31810E-05 -.37921E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.57188 Normalizat = 1.44999 Prefactor = 0.811658 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7488.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 430 TOTAL EDM= .66E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.1757 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.7850 2.0382 .70366E-07 -2.3861 3 Normalizat 1.4500 1.0655 -.15560E-05 -.79194 4 Prefactor .81166 1.1629 -.31810E-05 4.1346 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 6.60821e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66955e-06 2 1.16761 3 1.08258 4 1.20128 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7488.93431053 delta logL = -0.00102472392427 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.5-1201 Spectrum: PowerLaw 326 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.670e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 327 Index: 1.572e+00 1.168e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 328 Scale: 5.228e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 610 Prefactor: 8.117e-01 1.201e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 611 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 612 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 609 Normalization: 1.450e+00 1.083e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 189.625 -12.028 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33905047/cmap_HighResolution_806976001_807235201_4FGL_J1238.5-1201_daily_bin2190.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.05e-07', time_completed='2026-08-01 11:40:15.846802', job_id='33905047', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.45', EG='1.45', time_epoch_completed='1785609615.85', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-1.02e-03', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='2190' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.5-1201' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Aug 1 11:40:16 PDT 2026