********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225081/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:38:04.688161', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712684.69', return_code='0', job_id='37225081', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:38:04 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225089/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:38:04.977244', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712684.98', return_code='0', job_id='37225089', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:38:05 PDT 2026 number of points = 7418 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202 RA = 189.594, Dec = -19.9945 tmin = 810086401, tmax = 810345601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37225268', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-06 09:37:08.104517', time_epoch_executed='1788712628.1' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2202' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits ra=189.594 dec=-19.9945 rad=12.0 tmin=810086401.0 tmax=810345601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.93 user 2.02 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.73 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 798 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ooutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.75 user 8.04 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 70.96 user 65.82 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 7.62 user 7.04 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 63.55 user 59.65 sys 3.34 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.22 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.11 user 28.45 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225137/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225137/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 number of points = 7418 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202 RA = 189.594, Dec = -19.9945 tmin = 810086401, tmax = 810345601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37225282', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-06 09:37:28.352389', time_epoch_executed='1788712648.35' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2202' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits ra=189.594 dec=-19.9945 rad=12.0 tmin=810086401.0 tmax=810345601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.66 user 2.01 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.66 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 798 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.86 user 8.17 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 73.09 user 67.72 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.25 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.51 user 27.93 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225146/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225146/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.57 user 28.15 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225155/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225155/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225125/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 number of points = 7418 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202 RA = 189.594, Dec = -19.9945 tmin = 810086401, tmax = 810345601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37225308', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-06 09:37:45.986124', time_epoch_executed='1788712665.99' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2202' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits ra=189.594 dec=-19.9945 rad=12.0 tmin=810086401.0 tmax=810345601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.61 user 2.03 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.90 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 798 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225124/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225125/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:38:42.339538', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712722.34', return_code='0', job_id='37225125', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:38:42 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225124/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:38:44.475833', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712724.48', return_code='0', job_id='37225124', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:38:44 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 number of points = 7418 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202 RA = 189.594, Dec = -19.9945 tmin = 810086401, tmax = 810345601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37225331', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-06 09:38:04.120180', time_epoch_executed='1788712684.12' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2202' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits ra=189.594 dec=-19.9945 rad=12.0 tmin=810086401.0 tmax=810345601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.08 user 1.70 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.50 user 0.16 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 798 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.62 user 8.12 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 71.91 user 67.12 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.21 user 28.44 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225158/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225158/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225137/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:39:09.305558', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712749.31', return_code='0', job_id='37225137', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:39:09 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 number of points = 7418 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202 RA = 189.594, Dec = -19.9945 tmin = 810086401, tmax = 810345601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37225337', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-06 09:38:20.873744', time_epoch_executed='1788712700.87' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2202' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810086401.0 && nMetStart<810345601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits ra=189.594 dec=-19.9945 rad=12.0 tmin=810086401.0 tmax=810345601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.53 user 2.02 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.64 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 798 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225146/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:39:23.081337', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712763.08', return_code='0', job_id='37225146', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:39:23 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.66 user 28.32 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225178/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225178/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225155/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:39:26.649148', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712766.65', return_code='0', job_id='37225155', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:39:26 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.97 user 8.37 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 73.41 user 68.31 sys 4.36 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.79 user 8.33 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 73.65 user 68.51 sys 4.34 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.64 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 28.64 user 27.48 sys 0.65 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225191/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225191/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.63 user 27.92 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225180/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.09 user 27.83 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225197/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225158/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:39:55.961135', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712795.96', return_code='0', job_id='37225158', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:39:56 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.85 user 8.12 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 73.62 user 67.48 sys 4.21 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcee GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.36 user 28.85 sys 0.92 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225188/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225178/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:40:12.558862', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712812.56', return_code='0', job_id='37225178', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:40:12 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.82 user 8.06 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 70.29 user 65.44 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.64 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225191/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:40:23.562128', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712823.56', return_code='0', job_id='37225191', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:40:23 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225180/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:40:25.856208', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712825.86', return_code='0', job_id='37225180', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:40:26 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.84 user 8.13 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 70.61 user 66.11 sys 3.75 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcshell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225197/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:40:32.934541', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712832.93', return_code='0', job_id='37225197', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:40:33 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.37 user 7.87 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 62.18 user 58.23 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.00 user 28.29 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225223/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225188/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:40:57.291930', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712857.29', return_code='0', job_id='37225188', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:40:57 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.18 user 28.70 sys 0.90 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225235/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.74 user 28.73 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225234/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 8.46 user 7.93 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits .....................! real 69.65 user 64.84 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.3-1959 @ 189.594 -19.9945 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/cmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.594 yref=-19.9945 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225223/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:41:29.775744', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712889.78', return_code='0', job_id='37225223', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:41:29 PDT 2026 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 30.20 user 28.56 sys 0.69 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225268/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.22 user 27.47 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225282/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225235/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:41:53.920167', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712913.92', return_code='0', job_id='37225235', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:41:54 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225234/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:42:00.058442', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712920.06', return_code='0', job_id='37225234', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:42:00 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 29.24 user 27.49 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225308/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 28.41 user 26.87 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225331/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225268/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:42:22.250230', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712942.25', return_code='0', job_id='37225268', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:42:22 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225282/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:42:37.693351', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712957.69', return_code='0', job_id='37225282', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:42:37 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits.....................! real 28.60 user 27.05 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37225337/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.3-1959' 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.073e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ft2_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/expmap_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/ltcube_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/Model_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.88205836 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85314218 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.7232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .91716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.7454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .47964 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10723E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10594E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 21.775 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .46310E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 5.5559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 8.9455 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 13.653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.3532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .11855E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .24081E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .96181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.2973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .96090E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.4644 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97489 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8575.853 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 161 CALLS 1502 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.827 .10651E-06 .23786E-02 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6382 .70858E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.5121 .84514E-07 .13695E-02 4 Prefactor .29751 54.191 -.17264E-05 -.37600E-01 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 11.969 -.55956E-08** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.109 .26916E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 21.864 2.6477 .45577E-07 .12051 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 333.57 -.42566E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.4261 -.12931E-05 -.15230E-02 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4893 .52950E-07 .11744E-02 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.262 .25540E-07 .77462E-02 12 norm 1.3531 .97356 -.39631E-07 -.64275E-02 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 51.479 .72049E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0342 -.10543E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .42411E-07 22.465 -.93676E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 1.2054 4.9598 .28042E-07 .32559E-03 17 norm .0000 .74500 .70967E-07** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .27254 -.35524E-05 -.16130E-03 19 Prefactor .97507 .13210 .93014E-06 -.23985E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.61584 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.74898 Prefactor = 0.297514 Prefactor = 1.2268e-08 Prefactor = 9.54792e-09 Prefactor = 21.8639 Prefactor = 0.000192615 Prefactor = 5.55467 Prefactor = 8.92081 Prefactor = 13.6393 norm = 1.3531 Prefactor = 1.22846e-07 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 4.24105e-08 Prefactor = 1.20536 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.46489 Prefactor = 0.975071 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225308/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:42:52.457197', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712972.46', return_code='0', job_id='37225308', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:42:52 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225331/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:42:54.039780', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788712974.04', return_code='0', job_id='37225331', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:42:54 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.853 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 322 CALLS 1824 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.6158 10.869 .46276E-03 -1.5665 2 norm .16653E-09 3.6829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 1.7490 4.8296 .79356E-03 -1.5682 4 Prefactor .29751 22.052 .11775E-01 -1.5697 5 Prefactor .12268E-07 12.041 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .95479E-08 12.503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 21.864 21.955 .21436E-03 -1.5614 8 Prefactor .19262E-03 6.8517 .58952E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 5.5547 2.5164 .42612E-02 -1.5237 10 Prefactor 8.9208 8.4711 .33487E-03 -1.5648 11 Prefactor 13.639 12.512 .27082E-03 -1.5634 12 norm 1.3531 .98652 .93972E-03 -1.5685 13 Prefactor .12285E-06 53.202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .16653E-09 5.0328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .42411E-07 22.230 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 1.2054 5.0791 .97045E-03 -1.5686 17 norm .0000 .75013 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.4649 .23110 .75578E-01 -.78770 19 Prefactor .97507 .11094 .45952E-01 -.93565 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.12577e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.869 2 4.70609e-05 3 4.82957 4 5.12288 5 0.000768274 6 0.000691322 7 21.9556 8 0.0726566 9 2.51649 10 8.47116 11 12.5123 12 0.986519 13 0.00511347 14 5.8106e-05 15 0.00194187 16 4.94862 17 8.33565e-06 18 0.231266 19 0.110962 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8575.85277102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 8.921e+00 8.471e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.151e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.751e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.465e+00 2.313e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.15 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.64e-08 +/- 2.50e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.30e-05 +/- 1.24e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.10 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.40070594855e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00713618497003 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/likelihoodResults_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82598866 delta logL = 0.0267823604281 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072951 delta logL = 0.0320415141832 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9846 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4694 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97416 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8575.821 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 79 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 10.097 .12729E-04 -.43568E-02 2 Index 1.9843 .66265 .90515E-02 -.16266E-03 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26514 .33403E-03 -.33276E-03 4 Prefactor .97417 .13083 .19626E-03 -.62101E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.90161 Index = 1.98428 Normalizat = 1.46932 Prefactor = 0.974172 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8575.821 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.9016 9.9722 .25457E-05 -1.5645 2 Index 1.9843 .65457 .36206E-03 -.64744 3 Normalizat 1.4693 .26532 .66807E-04 -.78644 4 Prefactor .97417 .13093 .39251E-04 -.93595 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.69419e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.97222 2 0.657546 3 0.26557 4 0.130975 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8575.82072934 delta logL = 0.0320416817412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.3-1959 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 9.902e+00 9.972e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 1.984e+00 6.575e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.503e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 600 Prefactor: 9.742e-01 1.310e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 601 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 602 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 599 Normalization: 1.469e+00 2.656e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.16 Ra Dec: 189.594 -19.994 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.98 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.80e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.56e-05 +/- 1.97e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37225337/cmap_HighResolution_810086401_810345601_4FGL_J1238.3-1959_daily_bin2202.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.14e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.64e-08', energy_flux2='1.56e-05', photon_flux_error='2.50e-08', dlogl='3.20e-02', energy_flux='1.30e-05', photon_flux2='2.18e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-06 09:43:30.240661', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='1.98', ts='3.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.97e-05', EG='1.46', time_epoch_completed='1788713010.24', return_code='0', job_id='37225337', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.80e-08', ts2='3.16', photon_index='2.15' WHERE bin_id='2202' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.3-1959' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 6 09:43:30 PDT 2026