Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049634 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.422e+01 8.803e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.628e-01 4.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.504e+00 1.847e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 6.35e-08 +/- 3.93e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.91e-05 +/- 1.80e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.35974823248e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0103518105342 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33439241/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1342558 delta logL = 4.77070756897 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.120541 delta logL = 4.7844223428 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6522 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3235 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98877 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 27553.12 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 60 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .51E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 4.7072 .84620E-03 .28980E-01 2 Index 3.6524 .99987 .92774E-01 .86032E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .57600E-01 .12024 .80279E-04 4 Prefactor .98877 .14425E-01 .34894E-01 -.12718E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.57576 Index = 3.65244 Normalizat = 1.32353 Prefactor = 0.988769 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27553.12 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 7.1723 .61588E-05 -1.5683 2 Index 3.6524 1.7177 .34323E-02 -.27289 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .20167 .53333E-03 -.82867 4 Prefactor .98877 .50210E-01 .15419E-03 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.57343e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.72364 2 1.7564 3 0.201795 4 0.0502123 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1205387 delta logL = 4.78442462095 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.576e+00 6.724e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 3.652e+00 1.756e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 5.021e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.324e+00 2.018e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 14.01 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.65 +/- 1.76 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.10e-07 +/- 6.99e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-05 +/- 1.42e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33439241/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='6.35e-08', energy_flux2='3.36e-05', photon_flux_error='3.93e-08', dlogl='4.78e+00', energy_flux='2.91e-05', photon_flux2='2.10e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 10:34:11.119784', photon_index_error2='1.76', photon_index2='3.65', ts='3.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.36e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.42e-05', EG='1.50', time_epoch_completed='1785260051.12', return_code='0', job_id='33439241', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='1.80e-05', photon_flux_error2='6.99e-08', ts2='14.01', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 10:34:11 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049634 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.422e+01 8.803e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.628e-01 4.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.504e+00 1.847e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 6.35e-08 +/- 3.93e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.91e-05 +/- 1.80e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.35974823248e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0103518105342 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440134/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1342558 delta logL = 4.77070756897 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.120541 delta logL = 4.7844223428 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6522 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3235 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98877 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 27553.12 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 60 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .51E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 4.7072 .84620E-03 .28980E-01 2 Index 3.6524 .99987 .92774E-01 .86032E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .57600E-01 .12024 .80279E-04 4 Prefactor .98877 .14425E-01 .34894E-01 -.12718E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.57576 Index = 3.65244 Normalizat = 1.32353 Prefactor = 0.988769 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049634 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.422e+01 8.803e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.628e-01 4.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.504e+00 1.847e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 6.35e-08 +/- 3.93e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.91e-05 +/- 1.80e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.35974823248e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0103518105342 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440062/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1342558 delta logL = 4.77070756897 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.120541 delta logL = 4.7844223428 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6522 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3235 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98877 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 27553.12 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 60 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .51E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 4.7072 .84620E-03 .28980E-01 2 Index 3.6524 .99987 .92774E-01 .86032E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .57600E-01 .12024 .80279E-04 4 Prefactor .98877 .14425E-01 .34894E-01 -.12718E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.57576 Index = 3.65244 Normalizat = 1.32353 Prefactor = 0.988769 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27553.12 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 7.1723 .61588E-05 -1.5683 2 Index 3.6524 1.7177 .34323E-02 -.27289 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .20167 .53333E-03 -.82867 4 Prefactor .98877 .50210E-01 .15419E-03 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.57343e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.72364 2 1.7564 3 0.201795 4 0.0502123 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049634 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.422e+01 8.803e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.628e-01 4.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.504e+00 1.847e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 6.35e-08 +/- 3.93e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.91e-05 +/- 1.80e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.35974823248e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0103518105342 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440061/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1342558 delta logL = 4.77070756897 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.120541 delta logL = 4.7844223428 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6522 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3235 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98877 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 27553.12 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 60 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .51E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 4.7072 .84620E-03 .28980E-01 2 Index 3.6524 .99987 .92774E-01 .86032E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .57600E-01 .12024 .80279E-04 4 Prefactor .98877 .14425E-01 .34894E-01 -.12718E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.57576 Index = 3.65244 Normalizat = 1.32353 Prefactor = 0.988769 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1205387 delta logL = 4.78442462095 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.576e+00 6.724e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 3.652e+00 1.756e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 5.021e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.324e+00 2.018e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 14.01 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.65 +/- 1.76 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.10e-07 +/- 6.99e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-05 +/- 1.42e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33440134/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='6.35e-08', energy_flux2='3.36e-05', photon_flux_error='3.93e-08', dlogl='4.78e+00', energy_flux='2.91e-05', photon_flux2='2.10e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 10:34:58.387495', photon_index_error2='1.76', photon_index2='3.65', ts='3.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.36e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.42e-05', EG='1.50', time_epoch_completed='1785260098.39', return_code='0', job_id='33440134', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='1.80e-05', photon_flux_error2='6.99e-08', ts2='14.01', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 10:34:58 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27553.12 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 7.1723 .61588E-05 -1.5683 2 Index 3.6524 1.7177 .34323E-02 -.27289 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .20167 .53333E-03 -.82867 4 Prefactor .98877 .50210E-01 .15419E-03 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.57343e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.72364 2 1.7564 3 0.201795 4 0.0502123 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27553.12 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 7.1723 .61588E-05 -1.5683 2 Index 3.6524 1.7177 .34323E-02 -.27289 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .20167 .53333E-03 -.82867 4 Prefactor .98877 .50210E-01 .15419E-03 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.57343e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.72364 2 1.7564 3 0.201795 4 0.0502123 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1205387 delta logL = 4.78442462095 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.576e+00 6.724e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 3.652e+00 1.756e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 5.021e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.324e+00 2.018e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 14.01 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.65 +/- 1.76 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.10e-07 +/- 6.99e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-05 +/- 1.42e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33440062/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='6.35e-08', energy_flux2='3.36e-05', photon_flux_error='3.93e-08', dlogl='4.78e+00', energy_flux='2.91e-05', photon_flux2='2.10e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 10:35:03.866976', photon_index_error2='1.76', photon_index2='3.65', ts='3.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.36e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.42e-05', EG='1.50', time_epoch_completed='1785260103.87', return_code='0', job_id='33440062', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='1.80e-05', photon_flux_error2='6.99e-08', ts2='14.01', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 10:35:04 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1205387 delta logL = 4.78442462095 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.576e+00 6.724e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 3.652e+00 1.756e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 5.021e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.324e+00 2.018e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 14.01 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.65 +/- 1.76 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.10e-07 +/- 6.99e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-05 +/- 1.42e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33440061/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='6.35e-08', energy_flux2='3.36e-05', photon_flux_error='3.93e-08', dlogl='4.78e+00', energy_flux='2.91e-05', photon_flux2='2.10e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 10:35:08.018607', photon_index_error2='1.76', photon_index2='3.65', ts='3.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.36e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.42e-05', EG='1.50', time_epoch_completed='1785260108.02', return_code='0', job_id='33440061', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='1.80e-05', photon_flux_error2='6.99e-08', ts2='14.01', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 10:35:08 PDT 2026 number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938 RA = 189.545, Dec = -45.6861 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33440469', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 10:34:07.431955', time_epoch_executed='1785260047.43' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits ra=189.545 dec=-45.6861 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.04 user 4.37 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2715 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 16.04 user 15.35 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 59.74 user 55.67 sys 3.38 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source G296.5+10.0 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FGES J1213.3-6240 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1109.4-6115 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1303-631 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source HESS J1356-645 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FGES J1409.1-6121 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source HESS J1420-607 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 286 point sources and 8 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1238.1-4541 @ 189.545 -45.6861 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.545 yref=-45.6861 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=189.545 yref=-45.6861 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/Model_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source FGES J1109.4-6115 adding source FGES J1213.3-6240 adding source FGES J1409.1-6121 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HESS J1303-631 adding source HESS J1356-645 adding source HESS J1420-607 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 186.68 user 184.29 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33440469/Model_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1238.1-4541' 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.519e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ft2_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/Model_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9127369 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049645 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .13711E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .26645E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 21.421 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.0089 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'Prefactor ' 28.624 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 12.550 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 14.218 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.0452 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 13.288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 4.7608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .23259E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 12.932 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.774 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 37.842 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.5037 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .96272 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 27557.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1284 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 7.0412 .14378E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2459 -.26962E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 21.395 22.106 -.22446E-07 -.22236E-01 4 Prefactor 3.0112 2.5644 -.34618E-06 -.78046E-04 5 Prefactor 28.627 4.6926 -.46589E-08 .13561E-01 6 norm 12.549 2.3114 -.24263E-08 -.21290E-01 7 Prefactor 14.219 8.0799 -.96818E-08 .36339E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0453 4.4745 -.98298E-08 -.29021E-04 9 norm 13.287 2.9474 -.69397E-08 -.34226E-02 10 Prefactor 4.7609 3.8018 -.58480E-07 -.70132E-03 11 Prefactor .0000 2.9813 -.79115E-07** at limit ** 12 norm 12.932 4.8094 .21408E-07 .53347E-03 13 norm 14.773 4.1362 .19046E-07 .89569E-03 14 Prefactor 37.830 7.6686 -.84766E-08 .79168E-01 15 Normalizat 1.5035 .20976 -.79099E-07 .25707E-04 16 Prefactor .96276 .53124E-01 .36868E-06 .14606E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.395 Prefactor = 3.01124 Prefactor = 28.6265 norm = 12.5494 Prefactor = 14.2186 Prefactor = 3.04529 norm = 13.2873 Prefactor = 4.7609 Prefactor = 0 norm = 12.9323 norm = 14.7734 Prefactor = 37.8303 Normalizat = 1.50353 Prefactor = 0.962758 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27557.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1523 TOTAL EDM= .25E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 7.0244 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2441 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 21.395 22.779 .21612E-03 -1.5615 4 Prefactor 3.0112 2.6183 .58497E-02 -1.5361 5 Prefactor 28.627 34.613 .18694E-03 -1.5601 6 norm 12.549 8.1838 .28250E-03 -1.5637 7 Prefactor 14.219 8.8033 .26537E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 3.0453 4.4890 .58117E-03 -1.5673 9 norm 13.287 8.6914 .27453E-03 -1.5635 10 Prefactor 4.7609 3.8733 .46089E-03 -1.5664 11 Prefactor .0000 2.9671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 12.932 4.8047 .27828E-03 -1.5636 13 norm 14.773 4.1319 .26032E-03 -1.5631 14 Prefactor 37.830 119.10 .16258E-03 -1.5585 15 Normalizat 1.5035 .18457 .11424 -.77679 16 Prefactor .96276 .46697E-01 .45799E-01 -.93981 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.52579e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.8758e-05 2 4.24048e-06 3 22.7791 4 2.61836 5 34.6129 6 8.18383 7 8.80334 8 4.48902 9 8.69141 10 3.87329 11 2.58466e-06 12 4.80473 13 4.13187 14 119.103 15 0.184651 16 0.0466986 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 27557.9049634 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.422e+01 8.803e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.628e-01 4.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.504e+00 1.847e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.19 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 6.35e-08 +/- 3.93e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.91e-05 +/- 1.80e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 3.36 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.35974823248e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0103518105342 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1342558 delta logL = 4.77070756897 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.120541 delta logL = 4.7844223428 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.6522 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3235 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98877 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .1045E+06 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 27553.12 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 60 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .51E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 4.7072 .84620E-03 .28980E-01 2 Index 3.6524 .99987 .92774E-01 .86032E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .57600E-01 .12024 .80279E-04 4 Prefactor .98877 .14425E-01 .34894E-01 -.12718E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.57576 Index = 3.65244 Normalizat = 1.32353 Prefactor = 0.988769 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 27553.12 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5758 7.1723 .61588E-05 -1.5683 2 Index 3.6524 1.7177 .34323E-02 -.27289 3 Normalizat 1.3235 .20167 .53333E-03 -.82867 4 Prefactor .98877 .50210E-01 .15419E-03 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.57343e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.72364 2 1.7564 3 0.201795 4 0.0502123 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 27553.1205387 delta logL = 4.78442462095 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1238.1-4541 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 1.576e+00 6.724e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 505 Index: 3.652e+00 1.756e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 506 Scale: 1.757e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 1033 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 5.021e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 1034 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 1035 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 1018 Normalization: 1.324e+00 2.018e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 14.01 Ra Dec: 189.545 -45.686 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.65 +/- 1.76 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.10e-07 +/- 6.99e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-05 +/- 1.42e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33440469/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J1238.1-4541_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-02', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='6.35e-08', energy_flux2='3.36e-05', photon_flux_error='3.93e-08', dlogl='4.78e+00', energy_flux='2.91e-05', photon_flux2='2.10e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 10:51:49.500195', photon_index_error2='1.76', photon_index2='3.65', ts='3.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.36e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.42e-05', EG='1.50', time_epoch_completed='1785261109.5', return_code='0', job_id='33440469', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.32', return_code2='102', energy_flux_error='1.80e-05', photon_flux_error2='6.99e-08', ts2='14.01', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J1238.1-4541' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 10:51:50 PDT 2026