/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17416 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891 RA = 187.935, Dec = 28.7917 tmin = 777859201, tmax = 778464001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='14048465', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-19 22:39:50.856505', time_epoch_executed='1760938790.86' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1231.7+2847' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='891' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=777859201.0 && nMetStart<778464001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=777859201.0 && nMetStart<778464001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=777859201.0 && nMetStart<778464001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits ra=187.935 dec=28.7917 rad=12.0 tmin=777859201.0 tmax=778464001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.94 user 6.09 sys 0.40 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.72 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1220 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ltcube_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits .....................! real 17.55 user 16.77 sys 0.34 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ltcube_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/expmap_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ltcube_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits .....................! real 67.15 user 62.23 sys 3.83 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 194 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1231.7+2847 @ 187.935 28.7917 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/cmap_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.935 yref=28.7917 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/cmap_HighResolution_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.935 yref=28.7917 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/Model_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits....................! real 41.58 user 39.68 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/expmap_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ltcube_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/14048465/Model_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1231.7+2847' 4FGL J1231.7+2847 Spectrum: PowerLaw 334 Prefactor: 7.388e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 335 Index: 1.998e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 336 Scale: 1.597e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ft2_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/expmap_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/ltcube_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/Model_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13730.4253445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13730.2814712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73164E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.2156 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 23.185 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 8.3847 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.5298 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 2.0598 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.9010 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.4570 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.1153 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .36002E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .49483E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 6.0490 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .90935E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .72100E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 3.3449 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .81068E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.5003 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 2.8594 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .54785E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 1.7998 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 7.0031 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .64768E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 12.817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 3.4739 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .38780E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' .98357 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' 1.1722 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6150E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13730.28 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 135 CALLS 1952 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .23870E-08 9.6525 -.14133E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 1.2158 1.0782 .22485E-07 .22162E-01 3 norm 23.181 2.0667 .75729E-08 .11332E-01 4 Prefactor 8.3908 4.4813 .24489E-06 .84247E-02 5 Prefactor 1.5437 3.0033 -.73051E-07 .46425E-02 6 norm 2.0596 1.5019 .14061E-09 .57794E-02 7 Prefactor 4.9026 2.1591 .29479E-06 -.12727E-02 8 Prefactor 1.4567 1.1619 .26427E-07 .18822E-01 9 Prefactor 2.1154 1.5454 .53688E-09 -.35569E-03 10 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.8073 -.20321E-08** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 .15401 .10933E-07** at limit ** 12 norm 6.0457 2.9926 .24420E-07 .79997E-02 13 Prefactor .22204E-08 4.7715 -.21972E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.9847 .64454E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 3.3442 4.5717 .83244E-06 .68552E-02 16 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.1619 .23268E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 1.4986 1.9468 .18296E-07 -.20338E-02 18 Prefactor 2.9682 2.7402 -.36394E-06 .25985E-01 19 norm .0000 .90976 -.18471E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.064 1.5265 -.28846E-07 .12363E-01 21 norm 1.7973 2.6986 .27816E-07 -.20062E-02 22 norm 6.9997 3.1177 .10673E-07 -.15443E-01 23 norm .90483E-08 1.8331 .57000E-10** at limit ** 24 norm 12.805 1.0017 -.21707E-08 .46203E-04 25 Prefactor 3.4671 2.3106 .29422E-07 .67414E-02 26 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.5471 .24190E-06** at limit ** 27 Normalizat .98345 .16122 -.92996E-06 .30148E-03 28 Prefactor 1.1722 .18141 -.18156E-05 .42538E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 1.21582 norm = 23.181 Prefactor = 8.39084 Prefactor = 1.54365 norm = 2.05958 Prefactor = 4.90258 Prefactor = 1.45665 Prefactor = 2.11543 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 norm = 6.04567 Prefactor = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 3.34422 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 1.49858 Prefactor = 2.96822 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.0639 norm = 1.79725 norm = 6.99965 norm = 9.04832e-09 norm = 12.8047 Prefactor = 3.46712 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Normalizat = 0.983445 Prefactor = 1.17215 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13730.28 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 589 CALLS 2541 TOTAL EDM= .14E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .23870E-08 9.6669 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 1.2158 1.0854 .10242E-02 -1.5686 3 norm 23.181 2.0681 .20773E-03 -1.5612 4 Prefactor 8.3908 4.5314 .34597E-03 -1.5650 5 Prefactor 1.5437 3.0594 .86266E-03 -1.5683 6 norm 2.0596 1.5014 .71976E-03 -1.5679 7 Prefactor 4.9026 4.9453 .45410E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor 1.4567 1.1583 .89145E-03 -1.5684 9 Prefactor 2.1154 1.5567 .70895E-03 -1.5679 10 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.7975 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 .71709E-01 .10648E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 6.0457 2.9988 .40800E-03 -1.5659 13 Prefactor .22204E-08 5.3479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.9862 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 3.3442 4.9360 .55314E-03 -1.5671 16 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.1656 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 1.4986 2.0244 .87393E-03 -1.5683 18 Prefactor 2.9682 27.547 .60094E-03 -1.5674 19 norm .0000 .91161 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.064 9.7211 .31600E-03 -1.5645 21 norm 1.7973 2.7852 .77894E-03 -1.5681 22 norm 6.9997 3.2663 .37885E-03 -1.5655 23 norm .90483E-08 5.7994 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 12.805 11.796 .27954E-03 -1.5636 25 Prefactor 3.4671 2.3245 .54230E-03 -1.5671 26 Prefactor .33307E-09 5.8292 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Normalizat .98345 .13852 .45961E-01 -.93587 28 Prefactor 1.1722 .15344 .68420E-01 -.87193 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.40694e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000304518 2 1.08543 3 2.06805 4 4.53139 5 3.05943 6 1.50145 7 4.94532 8 1.15825 9 1.55671 10 1.55147e-05 11 2.47769e-06 12 2.99878 13 0.000216738 14 4.71329e-05 15 4.93597 16 3.00649e-05 17 2.02443 18 18.0849 19 5.73121e-06 20 9.72113 21 2.78524 22 3.26633 23 0.000458822 24 11.796 25 2.32451 26 8.49003e-05 27 0.138574 28 0.153496 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13730.2811308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.7+2847 Spectrum: PowerLaw 334 Prefactor: 2.220e-09 2.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 335 Index: 1.998e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 336 Scale: 1.597e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 612 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.535e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 613 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 614 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 611 Normalization: 9.834e-01 1.386e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.935 28.792 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.80012168056e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00284956370363 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/likelihoodResults_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13730.2876263 delta logL = -0.00649548766887 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13729.8325462 delta logL = 0.448584578564 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .27923 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.8721 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .93307 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2047 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6150E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13729.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 316 TOTAL EDM= .14E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .27932 3.2159 .10508E-02 .57464E-01 2 Index 3.8724 1.9278 .11834 .21568E-03 3 Normalizat .93313 .22888E-01 .66676E-01 .23673E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2047 .26125E-01 .67613E-01 .14279E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.279324 Index = 3.87237 Normalizat = 0.933133 Prefactor = 1.20467 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13729.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 349 TOTAL EDM= .25E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .27932 14.961 .62808E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.8724 6.9273 .71258E-02 -.22748 3 Normalizat .93313 .12691 .29494E-03 -.95305 4 Prefactor 1.2047 .14218 .29910E-03 -.86188 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.54957e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.08847 2 6.13305 3 0.126954 4 0.142222 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13729.8325456 delta logL = 0.448585234342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.7+2847 Spectrum: PowerLaw 334 Prefactor: 2.793e-01 4.088e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 335 Index: 3.872e+00 6.133e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 336 Scale: 1.597e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 612 Prefactor: 1.205e+00 1.422e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 613 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 614 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 611 Normalization: 9.331e-01 1.270e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.935 28.792 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/14048465/cmap_HighResolution_777859201_778464001_4FGL_J1231.7+2847_weekly_bin891.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.85e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.80e-08', time_completed='2025-10-19 22:52:07.466156', job_id='14048465', GAL2='1.20', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.93', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1760939527.47', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='4.49e-01', ts2='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.00' WHERE bin_id='891' AND source_name='4FGL J1231.7+2847' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Oct 19 22:52:07 PDT 2025