********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1983 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.8852 .57230E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 75.771 26.355 .11495E-03 -1.5534 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .27051E-06 2.8359 .51131E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 19.563 26.404 .23023E-03 -1.5620 6 Prefactor 34.738 33.733 .16621E-03 -1.5590 7 Prefactor 14.427 19.646 .26428E-03 -1.5632 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 300.57 .13209E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.6375 .32772E-03 -1.5647 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 .99223 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.2017 .34587E-03 -1.5650 12 Prefactor .66333 59.463 .65287E-03 -1.5692 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 15.361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 24.434 42.652 .21010E-03 -1.5609 15 norm .47444 .23279 .60208E-03 -1.5694 16 norm 9.9884 7.6695 .31702E-03 -1.5645 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0064 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5987 .53197E-03 -1.5670 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1695 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .24912 .68450E-01 -.75955 21 Prefactor .74378 .12823 .42976E-01 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.46916e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.88524 2 26.3547 3 0.000393323 4 0.00175171 5 26.4042 6 33.7332 7 19.6462 8 0.408343 9 6.63748 10 4.03432e-07 11 9.20171 12 12.561 13 0.00103103 14 42.6526 15 0.23279 16 7.66946 17 1.49555e-05 18 4.59869 19 4.29051e-05 20 0.249318 21 0.128277 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 7.45 user 6.73 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 59.88 user 55.49 sys 3.46 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 189 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1231.1-1412 @ 187.798 -14.2014 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58547675 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 4.034e-07 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.283e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.493e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.51259105198e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.87175281116e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442228/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.59015318 delta logL = -0.00467643449065 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547697 delta logL = -2.20738911594e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10056E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Index1 ' .63841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5655 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74382 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 194 TOTAL EDM= .28E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0116 .90712E-02** at limit ** 2 Index1 .64903 5.0280 .41575 -.53063E-04 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .23221 .68450E-01 .11717E-03 4 Prefactor .74378 .12567 .42982E-01 .19712E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 Index1 = 0.649034 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0159 .80498E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index1 .64903 5.0363 .50000 -1.0556 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .27215 .30280E-03 -.75955 4 Prefactor .74378 .14733 .22605E-03 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.89159e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.59771e-05 2 2.46382 3 0.272403 4 0.147411 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547629 delta logL = 4.5011529437e-07 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 1.598e-05 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.490e-01 2.464e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.474e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.724e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32442228/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.87e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.51e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 10:01:47.342824', job_id='32442228', GAL2='0.74', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.57', EG='1.57', time_epoch_completed='1784566907.34', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.74', dlogl='4.50e-07', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='0.63' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 10:01:48 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 20.76 user 19.23 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32442421/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1231.1-1412' 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 6.774e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.61735125 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58766655 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.1351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 75.690 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .16039E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .22528E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 18.879 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 36.206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 14.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .12893 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 9.3382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .10058E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 11 'Prefactor ' 8.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .64504 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .35137E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.666 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47424 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 9.9752 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .25940E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.6044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .30813E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.5673 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .74339 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 127 CALLS 1610 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.6581 .57235E-07 -.19740E-05 2 Prefactor 75.771 1.3489 .12504E-06 -.33759E-03 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.388 -.21373E-05** at limit ** 4 norm .27051E-06 6.9622 .46831E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 19.563 9.9879 -.25274E-05 .30033E-01 6 Prefactor 34.738 26.623 .58270E-05 -.11414 7 Prefactor 14.427 16.566 .90041E-05 .94689E-01 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 178.06 .24648E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.5763 .26646E-06 -.12573E-02 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0067 .78981E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.1901 .21144E-06 .13211E-02 12 Prefactor .66333 4.3905 -.23068E-05 .10621E-01 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 14.156 -.11621E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 24.434 38.162 .75815E-05 -.64441E-01 15 norm .47444 .23083 .38870E-07 -.75409E-02 16 norm 9.9884 7.6651 .13837E-06 .38889E-03 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0087 .10215E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5791 -.46182E-06 .29519E-03 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1603 .56252E-06** at limit ** 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .27904 .90366E-05 -.15704E-04 21 Prefactor .74378 .15046 -.95466E-05 -.40361E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.13883 Prefactor = 75.7708 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 norm = 2.70506e-07 Prefactor = 19.5635 Prefactor = 34.7376 Prefactor = 14.4272 Prefactor = 0.000138675 Prefactor = 9.34491 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 8.39263 Prefactor = 0.663327 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Prefactor = 24.4336 norm = 0.474442 norm = 9.98838 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.58635 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1983 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.8852 .57230E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 75.771 26.355 .11495E-03 -1.5534 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .27051E-06 2.8359 .51131E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 19.563 26.404 .23023E-03 -1.5620 6 Prefactor 34.738 33.733 .16621E-03 -1.5590 7 Prefactor 14.427 19.646 .26428E-03 -1.5632 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 300.57 .13209E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.6375 .32772E-03 -1.5647 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 .99223 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.2017 .34587E-03 -1.5650 12 Prefactor .66333 59.463 .65287E-03 -1.5692 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 15.361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 24.434 42.652 .21010E-03 -1.5609 15 norm .47444 .23279 .60208E-03 -1.5694 16 norm 9.9884 7.6695 .31702E-03 -1.5645 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0064 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5987 .53197E-03 -1.5670 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1695 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .24912 .68450E-01 -.75955 21 Prefactor .74378 .12823 .42976E-01 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.46916e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.88524 2 26.3547 3 0.000393323 4 0.00175171 5 26.4042 6 33.7332 7 19.6462 8 0.408343 9 6.63748 10 4.03432e-07 11 9.20171 12 12.561 13 0.00103103 14 42.6526 15 0.23279 16 7.66946 17 1.49555e-05 18 4.59869 19 4.29051e-05 20 0.249318 21 0.128277 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186 RA = 187.798, Dec = -14.2014 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32442645', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 10:00:47.606252', time_epoch_executed='1784566847.61' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits ra=187.798 dec=-14.2014 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.60 user 1.96 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.87 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 608 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58547675 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 4.034e-07 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.283e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.493e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.51259105198e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.87175281116e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.59015318 delta logL = -0.00467643449065 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547697 delta logL = -2.20738911594e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10056E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Index1 ' .63841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5655 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74382 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 194 TOTAL EDM= .28E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0116 .90712E-02** at limit ** 2 Index1 .64903 5.0280 .41575 -.53063E-04 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .23221 .68450E-01 .11717E-03 4 Prefactor .74378 .12567 .42982E-01 .19712E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 Index1 = 0.649034 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0159 .80498E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index1 .64903 5.0363 .50000 -1.0556 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .27215 .30280E-03 -.75955 4 Prefactor .74378 .14733 .22605E-03 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.89159e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.59771e-05 2 2.46382 3 0.272403 4 0.147411 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547629 delta logL = 4.5011529437e-07 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 1.598e-05 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.490e-01 2.464e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.474e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.724e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32442421/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.87e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.51e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 10:03:22.101631', job_id='32442421', GAL2='0.74', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.57', EG='1.57', time_epoch_completed='1784567002.1', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.74', dlogl='4.50e-07', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='0.63' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 10:03:22 PDT 2026 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186 RA = 187.798, Dec = -14.2014 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32442841', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 10:01:43.979314', time_epoch_executed='1784566903.98' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits ra=187.798 dec=-14.2014 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.53 user 1.86 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.84 user 0.17 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 608 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 9.00 user 8.18 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 69.79 user 64.84 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 189 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1231.1-1412 @ 187.798 -14.2014 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 8.22 user 7.45 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 67.22 user 61.88 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 189 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1231.1-1412 @ 187.798 -14.2014 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=187.798 yref=-14.2014 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 24.68 user 22.77 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32442645/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1231.1-1412' 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 6.774e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.61735125 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58766655 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.1351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 75.690 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .16039E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .22528E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 18.879 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 36.206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 14.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .12893 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 9.3382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .10058E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 11 'Prefactor ' 8.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .64504 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .35137E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.666 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47424 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 9.9752 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .25940E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.6044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .30813E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.5673 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .74339 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 127 CALLS 1610 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.6581 .57235E-07 -.19740E-05 2 Prefactor 75.771 1.3489 .12504E-06 -.33759E-03 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.388 -.21373E-05** at limit ** 4 norm .27051E-06 6.9622 .46831E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 19.563 9.9879 -.25274E-05 .30033E-01 6 Prefactor 34.738 26.623 .58270E-05 -.11414 7 Prefactor 14.427 16.566 .90041E-05 .94689E-01 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 178.06 .24648E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.5763 .26646E-06 -.12573E-02 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0067 .78981E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.1901 .21144E-06 .13211E-02 12 Prefactor .66333 4.3905 -.23068E-05 .10621E-01 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 14.156 -.11621E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 24.434 38.162 .75815E-05 -.64441E-01 15 norm .47444 .23083 .38870E-07 -.75409E-02 16 norm 9.9884 7.6651 .13837E-06 .38889E-03 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0087 .10215E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5791 -.46182E-06 .29519E-03 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1603 .56252E-06** at limit ** 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .27904 .90366E-05 -.15704E-04 21 Prefactor .74378 .15046 -.95466E-05 -.40361E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.13883 Prefactor = 75.7708 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 norm = 2.70506e-07 Prefactor = 19.5635 Prefactor = 34.7376 Prefactor = 14.4272 Prefactor = 0.000138675 Prefactor = 9.34491 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 8.39263 Prefactor = 0.663327 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Prefactor = 24.4336 norm = 0.474442 norm = 9.98838 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.58635 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1983 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.8852 .57230E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 75.771 26.355 .11495E-03 -1.5534 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .27051E-06 2.8359 .51131E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 19.563 26.404 .23023E-03 -1.5620 6 Prefactor 34.738 33.733 .16621E-03 -1.5590 7 Prefactor 14.427 19.646 .26428E-03 -1.5632 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 300.57 .13209E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.6375 .32772E-03 -1.5647 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 .99223 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.2017 .34587E-03 -1.5650 12 Prefactor .66333 59.463 .65287E-03 -1.5692 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 15.361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 24.434 42.652 .21010E-03 -1.5609 15 norm .47444 .23279 .60208E-03 -1.5694 16 norm 9.9884 7.6695 .31702E-03 -1.5645 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0064 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5987 .53197E-03 -1.5670 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1695 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .24912 .68450E-01 -.75955 21 Prefactor .74378 .12823 .42976E-01 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.46916e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.88524 2 26.3547 3 0.000393323 4 0.00175171 5 26.4042 6 33.7332 7 19.6462 8 0.408343 9 6.63748 10 4.03432e-07 11 9.20171 12 12.561 13 0.00103103 14 42.6526 15 0.23279 16 7.66946 17 1.49555e-05 18 4.59869 19 4.29051e-05 20 0.249318 21 0.128277 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58547675 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 4.034e-07 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.283e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.493e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.51259105198e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.87175281116e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.59015318 delta logL = -0.00467643449065 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547697 delta logL = -2.20738911594e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10056E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Index1 ' .63841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5655 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74382 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 194 TOTAL EDM= .28E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0116 .90712E-02** at limit ** 2 Index1 .64903 5.0280 .41575 -.53063E-04 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .23221 .68450E-01 .11717E-03 4 Prefactor .74378 .12567 .42982E-01 .19712E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 Index1 = 0.649034 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0159 .80498E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index1 .64903 5.0363 .50000 -1.0556 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .27215 .30280E-03 -.75955 4 Prefactor .74378 .14733 .22605E-03 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.89159e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.59771e-05 2 2.46382 3 0.272403 4 0.147411 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547629 delta logL = 4.5011529437e-07 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 1.598e-05 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.490e-01 2.464e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.474e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.724e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32442645/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.87e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.51e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 10:06:59.894143', job_id='32442645', GAL2='0.74', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.57', EG='1.57', time_epoch_completed='1784567219.89', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.74', dlogl='4.50e-07', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='0.63' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 10:07:00 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 23.01 user 21.39 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32442841/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1231.1-1412' 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 6.774e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ft2_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/Model_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.61735125 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58766655 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.1351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 75.690 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .16039E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .22528E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 18.879 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 36.206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 14.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .12893 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 9.3382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .10058E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 11 'Prefactor ' 8.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .64504 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .35137E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.666 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .47424 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 9.9752 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .25940E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.6044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .30813E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.5673 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .74339 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 127 CALLS 1610 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.6581 .57235E-07 -.19740E-05 2 Prefactor 75.771 1.3489 .12504E-06 -.33759E-03 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.388 -.21373E-05** at limit ** 4 norm .27051E-06 6.9622 .46831E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 19.563 9.9879 -.25274E-05 .30033E-01 6 Prefactor 34.738 26.623 .58270E-05 -.11414 7 Prefactor 14.427 16.566 .90041E-05 .94689E-01 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 178.06 .24648E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.5763 .26646E-06 -.12573E-02 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0067 .78981E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.1901 .21144E-06 .13211E-02 12 Prefactor .66333 4.3905 -.23068E-05 .10621E-01 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 14.156 -.11621E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 24.434 38.162 .75815E-05 -.64441E-01 15 norm .47444 .23083 .38870E-07 -.75409E-02 16 norm 9.9884 7.6651 .13837E-06 .38889E-03 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0087 .10215E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5791 -.46182E-06 .29519E-03 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1603 .56252E-06** at limit ** 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .27904 .90366E-05 -.15704E-04 21 Prefactor .74378 .15046 -.95466E-05 -.40361E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.13883 Prefactor = 75.7708 Prefactor = 3.60822e-09 norm = 2.70506e-07 Prefactor = 19.5635 Prefactor = 34.7376 Prefactor = 14.4272 Prefactor = 0.000138675 Prefactor = 9.34491 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 8.39263 Prefactor = 0.663327 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Prefactor = 24.4336 norm = 0.474442 norm = 9.98838 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.58635 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1983 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.1388 4.8852 .57230E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 75.771 26.355 .11495E-03 -1.5534 3 Prefactor .36082E-08 10.676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .27051E-06 2.8359 .51131E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 19.563 26.404 .23023E-03 -1.5620 6 Prefactor 34.738 33.733 .16621E-03 -1.5590 7 Prefactor 14.427 19.646 .26428E-03 -1.5632 8 Prefactor .13867E-03 300.57 .13209E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 9.3449 6.6375 .32772E-03 -1.5647 10 Prefactor .10000E-03 .99223 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 8.3926 9.2017 .34587E-03 -1.5650 12 Prefactor .66333 59.463 .65287E-03 -1.5692 13 Prefactor .17319E-07 15.361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 24.434 42.652 .21010E-03 -1.5609 15 norm .47444 .23279 .60208E-03 -1.5694 16 norm 9.9884 7.6695 .31702E-03 -1.5645 17 norm .55511E-10 2.0064 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 3.5863 4.5987 .53197E-03 -1.5670 19 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.1695 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat 1.5655 .24912 .68450E-01 -.75955 21 Prefactor .74378 .12823 .42976E-01 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.46916e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.88524 2 26.3547 3 0.000393323 4 0.00175171 5 26.4042 6 33.7332 7 19.6462 8 0.408343 9 6.63748 10 4.03432e-07 11 9.20171 12 12.561 13 0.00103103 14 42.6526 15 0.23279 16 7.66946 17 1.49555e-05 18 4.59869 19 4.29051e-05 20 0.249318 21 0.128277 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6816.58547675 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 4.034e-07 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.283e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.283e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.493e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.51259105198e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.87175281116e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.59015318 delta logL = -0.00467643449065 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547697 delta logL = -2.20738911594e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10056E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Index1 ' .63841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5655 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74382 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6816.585 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 194 TOTAL EDM= .28E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0116 .90712E-02** at limit ** 2 Index1 .64903 5.0280 .41575 -.53063E-04 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .23221 .68450E-01 .11717E-03 4 Prefactor .74378 .12567 .42982E-01 .19712E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 Index1 = 0.649034 Normalizat = 1.56548 Prefactor = 0.743782 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6816.585 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.0159 .80498E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index1 .64903 5.0363 .50000 -1.0556 3 Normalizat 1.5655 .27215 .30280E-03 -.75955 4 Prefactor .74378 .14733 .22605E-03 -1.0184 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.89159e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.59771e-05 2 2.46382 3 0.272403 4 0.147411 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6816.58547629 delta logL = 4.5011529437e-07 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1231.1-1412 Spectrum: PLSuperExpCutoff2 335 Prefactor: 1.000e-04 1.598e-05 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-11) 336 Index1: 6.490e-01 2.464e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 337 Scale: 1.057e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 338 Expfactor: 1.283e+01 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+02 ( 1.000e-03) fixed 339 Index2: 6.667e-01 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 618 Prefactor: 7.438e-01 1.474e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 619 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 620 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 617 Normalization: 1.565e+00 2.724e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 187.798 -14.201 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32442841/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J1231.1-1412_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.87e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.51e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 10:07:56.656802', job_id='32442841', GAL2='0.74', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.57', EG='1.57', time_epoch_completed='1784567276.66', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.74', dlogl='4.50e-07', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='0.63' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J1231.1-1412' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 10:07:57 PDT 2026