********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6314.740 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 516 CALLS 2100 TOTAL EDM= .14E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 15.407 63.625 .24762E-03 -1.5629 2 norm .0000 18.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 2.5957 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 2.4723 1.6304 .64891E-03 -1.5677 5 norm 7.6452 9.3770 .37019E-03 -1.5653 6 Prefactor 2.6976 2.8540 .61982E-03 -1.5675 7 Prefactor .16376E-07 66.837 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .0000 1.6595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 21.614 19.054 .21544E-03 -1.5615 10 Prefactor .0000 3.8176 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 16.049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .59158E-02 1.0544 .29066E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .55511E-10 7.2088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .13411E-04 486.46 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.5682 4.7222 .39141E-03 -1.5657 16 norm 1.8168 1.5446 .77460E-03 -1.5681 17 Prefactor 27.362 19.181 .19058E-03 -1.5603 18 norm 1.1444 1.3067 .10845E-02 -1.5687 19 Prefactor 5.7857 7.2427 .41676E-03 -1.5660 20 norm 5.8775 7.1508 .40861E-03 -1.5659 21 norm .0000 2.6812 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 151.46 56.455 .81399E-04 -1.5462 23 Prefactor 27.480 49.428 .18914E-03 -1.5603 24 norm .0000 1.9092 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat 1.2016 .15710 .34852E-01 -.86554 26 Prefactor .66275 .18517 .72228E-01 -1.0501 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37224e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 62.6195 2 3.78839e-05 3 8.80437e-07 4 1.63043 5 9.37704 6 2.85403 7 0.00209104 8 6.73192e-06 9 19.0536 10 1.25481e-05 11 2.45579e-05 12 0.157957 13 2.93897e-05 14 0.161556 15 4.72225 16 1.54461 17 19.181 18 1.30674 19 7.24274 20 7.1508 21 4.61567e-07 22 56.4554 23 49.429 24 5.44312e-06 25 0.157165 26 0.18534 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6314.74031844 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1223.9+5000 Spectrum: LogParabola 357 norm: 5.551e-11 2.939e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 358 alpha: 2.419e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 359 beta: 2.247e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 360 Eb: 6.174e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 693 Prefactor: 6.627e-01 1.853e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 694 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 695 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 692 Normalization: 1.202e+00 1.572e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 185.988 50.009 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.13926138071e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.91935493674e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27653168/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6314.74031884 delta logL = -3.98092197429e-07 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6312.35308957 delta logL = 2.38722887652 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .70796 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0828 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74966 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6312.353 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .40E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .70721 2.1838 .60064E-03 -.22111E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.9970 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.0828 .15900 .38746E-01 -.14647E-03 4 Prefactor .74971 .18422 .68238E-01 -.26672E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.707211 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.08285 Prefactor = 0.74971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6312.353 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 301 TOTAL EDM= .19E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .70721 .39361 .34548E-05 -1.5691 2 alpha 5.0000 .82644 .43481E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.0828 .17994 .21023E-03 -.90304 4 Prefactor .74971 .21393 .30193E-03 -1.0161 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.91196e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.393607 2 3.32236e-06 3 0.180045 4 0.214162 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6312.35308428 delta logL = 2.38723416527 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1223.9+5000 Spectrum: LogParabola 357 norm: 7.072e-01 3.936e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 358 alpha: 5.000e+00 3.322e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 359 beta: 2.247e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 360 Eb: 6.174e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 693 Prefactor: 7.497e-01 2.142e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 694 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 695 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 692 Normalization: 1.083e+00 1.800e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 5.06 Ra Dec: 185.988 50.009 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.13e-08 +/- 5.06e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.28e-05 +/- 7.10e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27653168/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.28e-05', dlogl='2.39e+00', photon_flux2='9.13e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-02 11:41:08.870010', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.66', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.14e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.10e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1780425668.87', return_code='0', job_id='27653168', GAL2='0.75', EG2='1.08', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.06e-08', ts2='5.06', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J1223.9+5000' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 11:41:09 PDT 2026 number of points = 7412 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170 RA = 185.988, Dec = 50.0089 tmin = 801792001, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27653303', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 11:40:43.172797', time_epoch_executed='1780425643.17' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1223.9+5000' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2170' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits ra=185.988 dec=50.0089 rad=12.0 tmin=801792001.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.67 user 2.04 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.79 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 596 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 8.92 user 8.22 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 73.22 user 68.22 sys 4.25 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 218 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1223.9+5000 @ 185.988 50.0089 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/cmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=185.988 yref=50.0089 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=185.988 yref=50.0089 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/Model_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits.....................! real 24.59 user 22.95 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27653303/Model_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1223.9+5000' 4FGL J1223.9+5000 Spectrum: LogParabola 357 norm: 3.480e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 358 alpha: 2.419e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 359 beta: 2.247e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 360 Eb: 6.174e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ft2_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/Model_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 6319.85556317 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6314.74140378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39118E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .13291E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 2.4801 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 7.3315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.6990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .79714E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .17841E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 21.557 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .81435E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .31535E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .49784E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .10165E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .49095E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.5657 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.8167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 27.542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 1.1443 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 5.8008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 6.0311 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .47112E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 150.95 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 27.962 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.2016 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' .66283 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6314.740 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 237 CALLS 1584 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 15.407 47.767 -.10168E-06 -.18545E-01 2 norm .0000 18.663 .17825E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 2.5911 -.79243E-08** at limit ** 4 norm 2.4723 1.6274 .30584E-08 .14479E-03 5 norm 7.6452 9.3545 -.25895E-08 -.13927E-04 6 Prefactor 2.6976 2.7351 -.34197E-08 -.24998E-03 7 Prefactor .16376E-07 66.812 .18114E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .0000 1.6521 .16422E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 21.614 9.7822 -.25685E-08 .15190E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 3.8141 .19256E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 16.028 -.87726E-08** at limit ** 12 norm .59158E-02 51.168 -.10057E-05** at limit ** 13 norm .55511E-10 7.1350 -.48388E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .13411E-04 484.90 -.39225E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.5682 4.7140 .85393E-08 .24739E-03 16 norm 1.8168 1.5471 .43895E-09 -.49391E-04 17 Prefactor 27.362 16.641 -.69827E-08 .32634E-02 18 norm 1.1444 1.2912 -.54537E-08 -.21899E-03 19 Prefactor 5.7857 7.2208 -.17304E-07 .19439E-03 20 norm 5.8775 7.0763 .29746E-07 -.84579E-04 21 norm .0000 2.6829 -.96039E-09** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 151.46 20.941 .16215E-07 .26858 23 Prefactor 27.480 32.113 -.44288E-07 .11014 24 norm .0000 1.9033 .21798E-08** at limit ** 25 Normalizat 1.2016 .17748 -.57522E-06 -.60157E-04 26 Prefactor .66275 .20994 .31282E-06 -.30127E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 15.407 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.47235 norm = 7.64517 Prefactor = 2.6976 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 21.6136 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.0059158 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.34113e-05 Prefactor = 6.56819 norm = 1.8168 Prefactor = 27.3616 norm = 1.14443 Prefactor = 5.78568 norm = 5.87748 norm = 0 Prefactor = 151.458 Prefactor = 27.4801 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.20158 Prefactor = 0.662747 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6314.740 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 516 CALLS 2100 TOTAL EDM= .14E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 15.407 63.625 .24762E-03 -1.5629 2 norm .0000 18.709 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 2.5957 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 2.4723 1.6304 .64891E-03 -1.5677 5 norm 7.6452 9.3770 .37019E-03 -1.5653 6 Prefactor 2.6976 2.8540 .61982E-03 -1.5675 7 Prefactor .16376E-07 66.837 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .0000 1.6595 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 21.614 19.054 .21544E-03 -1.5615 10 Prefactor .0000 3.8176 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 16.049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .59158E-02 1.0544 .29066E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .55511E-10 7.2088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .13411E-04 486.46 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.5682 4.7222 .39141E-03 -1.5657 16 norm 1.8168 1.5446 .77460E-03 -1.5681 17 Prefactor 27.362 19.181 .19058E-03 -1.5603 18 norm 1.1444 1.3067 .10845E-02 -1.5687 19 Prefactor 5.7857 7.2427 .41676E-03 -1.5660 20 norm 5.8775 7.1508 .40861E-03 -1.5659 21 norm .0000 2.6812 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 151.46 56.455 .81399E-04 -1.5462 23 Prefactor 27.480 49.428 .18914E-03 -1.5603 24 norm .0000 1.9092 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat 1.2016 .15710 .34852E-01 -.86554 26 Prefactor .66275 .18517 .72228E-01 -1.0501 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37224e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 62.6195 2 3.78839e-05 3 8.80437e-07 4 1.63043 5 9.37704 6 2.85403 7 0.00209104 8 6.73192e-06 9 19.0536 10 1.25481e-05 11 2.45579e-05 12 0.157957 13 2.93897e-05 14 0.161556 15 4.72225 16 1.54461 17 19.181 18 1.30674 19 7.24274 20 7.1508 21 4.61567e-07 22 56.4554 23 49.429 24 5.44312e-06 25 0.157165 26 0.18534 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6314.74031844 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1223.9+5000 Spectrum: LogParabola 357 norm: 5.551e-11 2.939e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 358 alpha: 2.419e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 359 beta: 2.247e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 360 Eb: 6.174e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 693 Prefactor: 6.627e-01 1.853e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 694 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 695 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 692 Normalization: 1.202e+00 1.572e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 185.988 50.009 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.13926138071e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.91935493674e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6314.74031884 delta logL = -3.98092197429e-07 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6312.35308957 delta logL = 2.38722887652 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .70796 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0828 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .74966 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6312.353 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .40E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .70721 2.1838 .60064E-03 -.22111E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.9970 .46267 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.0828 .15900 .38746E-01 -.14647E-03 4 Prefactor .74971 .18422 .68238E-01 -.26672E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.707211 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.08285 Prefactor = 0.74971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6312.353 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 301 TOTAL EDM= .19E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .70721 .39361 .34548E-05 -1.5691 2 alpha 5.0000 .82644 .43481E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.0828 .17994 .21023E-03 -.90304 4 Prefactor .74971 .21393 .30193E-03 -1.0161 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.91196e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.393607 2 3.32236e-06 3 0.180045 4 0.214162 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6312.35308428 delta logL = 2.38723416527 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1223.9+5000 Spectrum: LogParabola 357 norm: 7.072e-01 3.936e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 358 alpha: 5.000e+00 3.322e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 359 beta: 2.247e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 360 Eb: 6.174e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 693 Prefactor: 7.497e-01 2.142e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 694 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 695 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 692 Normalization: 1.083e+00 1.800e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 5.06 Ra Dec: 185.988 50.009 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 9.13e-08 +/- 5.06e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.28e-05 +/- 7.10e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27653303/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J1223.9+5000_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='1.28e-05', dlogl='2.39e+00', photon_flux2='9.13e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-02 11:46:46.154345', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.66', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.14e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.10e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1780426006.15', return_code='0', job_id='27653303', GAL2='0.75', EG2='1.08', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.06e-08', ts2='5.06', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J1223.9+5000' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 11:46:46 PDT 2026