********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16747.01 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 520 CALLS 2321 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.2565 2.4438 .40108E-03 -1.5658 2 Prefactor 18.087 17.072 .23520E-03 -1.5623 3 norm .0000 2.0394 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 1.5290 1.9257 .86305E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .0000 32.375 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 3.6136 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.6640 6.2799 .52917E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .0000 11.681 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .26812E-07 48.982 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .98141 197.46 .87174E-03 -1.5688 11 Prefactor 18.532 14.743 .23219E-03 -1.5622 12 Prefactor .11113E-06 67.447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 2.3780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .97039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 3.8336 2.8669 .51932E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 5.1361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .74942E-05 21.736 .14857E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 3.2429 .51661 .56254E-03 -1.5672 19 Prefactor 2.5581 3.4784 .63766E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 8.2637 1.4105 .34847E-03 -1.5650 21 Prefactor .0000 1.1108 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 7.5874 15.461 .36367E-03 -1.5653 23 norm 13.219 10.787 .27605E-03 -1.5635 24 norm .44453 .12001 .50198E-03 -1.5695 25 Normalizat 1.2051 .14499 .68598E-01 -.86446 26 Prefactor 1.0219 .10499 .41963E-01 -.92002 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.81208e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44376 2 17.0724 3 7.71035e-07 4 1.92567 5 2.07195e-05 6 4.26136e-06 7 6.27995 8 2.32875e-06 9 0.00229164 10 27.8428 11 14.7435 12 0.00547607 13 2.26153e-06 14 8.53895e-08 15 2.86688 16 1.22958e-05 17 0.025526 18 0.516609 19 3.47837 20 1.41049 21 7.41179e-07 22 15.4614 23 10.7865 24 0.120013 25 0.145042 26 0.105013 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16747.0056545 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1218.0-0028 Spectrum: PowerLaw 325 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.262e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 326 Index: 2.321e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 327 Scale: 1.446e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 608 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.050e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 609 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 610 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.205e+00 1.450e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 184.514 -0.483 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.68957473217e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00283573775495 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34161961/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0061448 delta logL = -0.000490348873427 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0056577 delta logL = -3.21110201185e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17309E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1445 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2054 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0217 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16747.01 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 263 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1486 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.0018 1.6188 -.11989E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2051 1.1043 .61145E-06 -.11070E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0219 1.2345 .31615E-05 -.14887E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.00177 Normalizat = 1.20508 Prefactor = 1.02194 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16747.01 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.0186 2.1120 -.11989E-04 -.41113 3 Normalizat 1.2051 1.1043 .61145E-06 -.86446 4 Prefactor 1.0219 1.2345 .31615E-05 -.92002 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05097e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.91664e-06 2 1.6545 3 1.1269 4 1.27152 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0056545 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1218.0-0028 Spectrum: PowerLaw 325 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.917e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 326 Index: 3.002e+00 1.654e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 327 Scale: 1.446e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 608 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.272e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 609 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 610 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.205e+00 1.127e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 184.514 -0.483 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34161961/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.84e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.69e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 09:58:03.221431', job_id='34161961', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.21', EG='1.21', time_epoch_completed='1785862683.22', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.32' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1218.0-0028' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 09:58:03 PDT 2026 number of points = 17478 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939 RA = 184.514, Dec = -0.4832 tmin = 806889601, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34162610', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 09:56:59.690512', time_epoch_executed='1785862619.69' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1218.0-0028' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='939' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806889601.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits ra=184.514 dec=-0.4832 rad=12.0 tmin=806889601.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.84 user 3.11 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1555 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 16.53 user 15.75 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits .....................! real 59.93 user 55.37 sys 3.68 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 189 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1218.0-0028 @ 184.514 -0.4832 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/cmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=184.514 yref=-0.4832 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=184.514 yref=-0.4832 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/Model_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits.....................! real 43.10 user 41.21 sys 0.88 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34162610/Model_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1218.0-0028' 4FGL J1218.0-0028 Spectrum: PowerLaw 325 Prefactor: 2.373e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 326 Index: 2.321e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 327 Scale: 1.446e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ft2_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/expmap_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/ltcube_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/Model_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16747.0974969 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16747.0086349 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 6.2568 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.091 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .49252E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 1.5288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11412E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .17314E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.6412 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .23107E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .12832E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 1.5059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 18.563 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .23095E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .35276E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .49294E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.7753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .10004E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 1.2661 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.2391 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.5610 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 8.2653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .13883E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 7.5942 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 13.142 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .44468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.2050 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0218 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16747.01 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1801 TOTAL EDM= .11E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 6.2565 2.4392 .54114E-08 -.16358E-03 2 Prefactor 18.087 1.3539 .13558E-08 -.29821E-01 3 norm .0000 2.0470 .17869E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 1.5290 1.9086 -.31051E-07 -.97141E-04 5 Prefactor .0000 32.232 -.19382E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 3.6077 -.74401E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.6640 6.0144 .16647E-06 -.62223E-03 8 Prefactor .0000 11.739 .27313E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .26812E-07 48.380 .97286E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .98141 5.4156 -.28569E-07 .31063E-02 11 Prefactor 18.532 14.327 .17486E-07 .14710E-01 12 Prefactor .11113E-06 58.262 .41353E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 2.3754 .18246E-07** at limit ** 14 norm .0000 .99837 -.13104E-07** at limit ** 15 norm 3.8336 2.6091 .42552E-07 -.55204E-04 16 Prefactor .0000 5.1156 -.35669E-07** at limit ** 17 norm .74942E-05 59.801 .38450E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 3.2429 .50960 .56288E-08 -.89812E-03 19 Prefactor 2.5581 3.4691 .14488E-07 -.51424E-04 20 norm 8.2637 1.4082 .14429E-08 -.78012E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 1.1104 -.30716E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 7.5874 4.1947 .11559E-07 -.30778E-01 23 norm 13.219 10.779 .21342E-07 .12821E-02 24 norm .44453 .11766 .56034E-08 .79552E-03 25 Normalizat 1.2051 .16602 -.28995E-05 -.56592E-05 26 Prefactor 1.0219 .12187 .64507E-06 -.17557E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.25655 Prefactor = 18.0873 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.52901 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.66404 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 0.981406 Prefactor = 18.532 Prefactor = 1.11133e-07 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 3.83356 Prefactor = 0 norm = 7.49423e-06 norm = 3.24285 Prefactor = 2.55812 norm = 8.26374 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.58735 norm = 13.2187 norm = 0.444535 Normalizat = 1.20508 Prefactor = 1.02194 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16747.01 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 520 CALLS 2321 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.2565 2.4438 .40108E-03 -1.5658 2 Prefactor 18.087 17.072 .23520E-03 -1.5623 3 norm .0000 2.0394 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 1.5290 1.9257 .86305E-03 -1.5683 5 Prefactor .0000 32.375 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 3.6136 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.6640 6.2799 .52917E-03 -1.5670 8 Prefactor .0000 11.681 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .26812E-07 48.982 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .98141 197.46 .87174E-03 -1.5688 11 Prefactor 18.532 14.743 .23219E-03 -1.5622 12 Prefactor .11113E-06 67.447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 2.3780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .0000 .97039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 3.8336 2.8669 .51932E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 5.1361 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .74942E-05 21.736 .14857E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 3.2429 .51661 .56254E-03 -1.5672 19 Prefactor 2.5581 3.4784 .63766E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 8.2637 1.4105 .34847E-03 -1.5650 21 Prefactor .0000 1.1108 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 7.5874 15.461 .36367E-03 -1.5653 23 norm 13.219 10.787 .27605E-03 -1.5635 24 norm .44453 .12001 .50198E-03 -1.5695 25 Normalizat 1.2051 .14499 .68598E-01 -.86446 26 Prefactor 1.0219 .10499 .41963E-01 -.92002 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.81208e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44376 2 17.0724 3 7.71035e-07 4 1.92567 5 2.07195e-05 6 4.26136e-06 7 6.27995 8 2.32875e-06 9 0.00229164 10 27.8428 11 14.7435 12 0.00547607 13 2.26153e-06 14 8.53895e-08 15 2.86688 16 1.22958e-05 17 0.025526 18 0.516609 19 3.47837 20 1.41049 21 7.41179e-07 22 15.4614 23 10.7865 24 0.120013 25 0.145042 26 0.105013 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16747.0056545 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1218.0-0028 Spectrum: PowerLaw 325 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.262e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 326 Index: 2.321e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 327 Scale: 1.446e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 608 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.050e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 609 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 610 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.205e+00 1.450e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 184.514 -0.483 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.68957473217e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00283573775495 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/likelihoodResults_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0061448 delta logL = -0.000490348873427 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0056577 delta logL = -3.21110201185e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .17309E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1445 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2054 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0217 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16747.01 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 263 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1486 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.0018 1.6188 -.11989E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2051 1.1043 .61145E-06 -.11070E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0219 1.2345 .31615E-05 -.14887E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.00177 Normalizat = 1.20508 Prefactor = 1.02194 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 16747.01 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 272 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.0186 2.1120 -.11989E-04 -.41113 3 Normalizat 1.2051 1.1043 .61145E-06 -.86446 4 Prefactor 1.0219 1.2345 .31615E-05 -.92002 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05097e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.91664e-06 2 1.6545 3 1.1269 4 1.27152 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 16747.0056545 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1218.0-0028 Spectrum: PowerLaw 325 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.917e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 326 Index: 3.002e+00 1.654e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 327 Scale: 1.446e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 608 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.272e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 609 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 610 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.205e+00 1.127e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 184.514 -0.483 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34162610/cmap_HighResolution_806889601_807494401_4FGL_J1218.0-0028_weekly_bin939.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.84e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.69e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 10:08:08.055566', job_id='34162610', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.21', EG='1.21', time_epoch_completed='1785863288.06', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.32' WHERE bin_id='939' AND source_name='4FGL J1218.0-0028' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 10:08:08 PDT 2026