********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. ARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (vWARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43d linked library (v3.41d linked library (v).41 . /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34654614/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34654614/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:43:49.120123', job_id='34654614', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380229.12', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:43:49 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 9.47 user 8.47 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 73.29 user 68.20 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.16 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALnumber of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193 RA = 183.774, Dec = 16.9372 tmin = 807753601, tmax = 808012801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34655014', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-10 09:41:03.352659', time_epoch_executed='1786380063.35' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2193' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits ra=183.774 dec=16.9372 rad=12.0 tmin=807753601.0 tmax=808012801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.37 user 1.57 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.00 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 10.48 user 9.14 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 75.01 user 69.26 sys 4.33 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.26 user 0.27 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.04 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAnumber of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193 RA = 183.774, Dec = 16.9372 tmin = 807753601, tmax = 808012801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34655036', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-10 09:41:29.836430', time_epoch_executed='1786380089.84' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2193' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits ra=183.774 dec=16.9372 rad=12.0 tmin=807753601.0 tmax=808012801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.27 user 1.51 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.11 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 8.89 user 8.06 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 68.67 user 63.17 sys 4.26 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.00 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.08 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 26.55 user 24.62 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34654715/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 27.59 user 25.12 sys 1.18 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34654705/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 8.98 user 8.19 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 69.80 user 63.96 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 8.70 user 7.94 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 68.60 user 63.62 sys 3.96 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory number of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34654715/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:46:12.398439', job_id='34654715', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380372.4', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:46:13 PDT 2026 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193 RA = 183.774, Dec = 16.9372 tmin = 807753601, tmax = 808012801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34655109', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-10 09:43:20.700026', time_epoch_executed='1786380200.7' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2193' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits ra=183.774 dec=16.9372 rad=12.0 tmin=807753601.0 tmax=808012801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.32 user 1.54 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" out_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 24.65 user 22.69 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34654966/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34654705/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:46:30.133619', job_id='34654705', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380390.13', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:46:30 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 number of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193 RA = 183.774, Dec = 16.9372 tmin = 807753601, tmax = 808012801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34655237', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-10 09:43:45.430689', time_epoch_executed='1786380225.43' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2193' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits ra=183.774 dec=16.9372 rad=12.0 tmin=807753601.0 tmax=808012801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.22 user 1.54 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.01 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ounumber of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193 RA = 183.774, Dec = 16.9372 tmin = 807753601, tmax = 808012801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34655235', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-10 09:43:46.286639', time_epoch_executed='1786380226.29' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2193' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807753601.0 && nMetStart<808012801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits ra=183.774 dec=16.9372 rad=12.0 tmin=807753601.0 tmax=808012801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.42 user 1.58 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.03 user 0.21 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34654966/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:46:59.218853', job_id='34654966', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380419.22', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:46:59 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 24.46 user 22.55 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34655014/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 24.65 user 22.54 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34655036/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34655014/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:47:53.567739', job_id='34655014', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380473.57', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:47:53 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 8.82 user 8.06 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 68.15 user 63.11 sys 3.99 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.99 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.10 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34655036/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:48:16.829570', job_id='34655036', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380496.83', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:48:17 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 8.94 user 8.15 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 67.54 user 62.49 sys 3.95 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.05 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.06 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 9.11 user 8.19 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits .....................! real 68.60 user 62.51 sys 4.13 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1215.0+1656 @ 183.774 16.9372 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/cmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=183.774 yref=16.9372 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALV02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 24.02 user 22.10 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34655109/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 24.60 user 22.57 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34655237/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits.....................! real 25.11 user 22.92 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34655235/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1215.0+1656' 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 1.342e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ft2_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/expmap_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/ltcube_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/Model_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08936158 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.08158873 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 28.943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.5732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.2137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .21302 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92717E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 11.890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .25775E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 8.4393 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .56228 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45631E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 59.305 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.2647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .26759E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22213E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .16098E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 5.1157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.8843 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.3491 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.1288 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' 1.0232 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1811 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 29.162 15.803 .13823E-07 .51182E-01 2 Prefactor 9.5820 7.9299 -.38396E-07 -.24978E-01 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.5407 .56910E-07 .45255E-02 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 33.135 .44856E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2157 -.22299E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 11.845 8.5419 .58699E-06 .41585E-01 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 197.18 -.62021E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2274 117.04 -.27078E-05 .97981E-04 9 Prefactor .56822 2.1896 .31430E-06 .43661E-02 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3411 .15739E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 59.621 30.253 .26530E-06 -.31858E-01 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5327 .35451E-07 .19939E-02 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.5664 .62805E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.6136 -.20627E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .11445 -.16181E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 5.1170 4.2615 .56055E-07 .20068E-02 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2671 .15119E-06 -.21422E-03 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6916 -.19566E-07 -.35023E-03 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.4599 -.15915E-06 .50904E-02 20 Prefactor 2.4772 7.5522 -.66217E-07 -.16102E-01 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .22510 .30854E-05 .33091E-03 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .21156 -.15151E-05 .23981E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 29.162 Prefactor = 9.58199 Prefactor = 4.21106 Prefactor = 5.45675e-08 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 11.8449 Prefactor = 0.0200976 Prefactor = 9.22737 Prefactor = 0.568224 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 59.6205 Prefactor = 2.26378 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.11704 Prefactor = 6.94601 Prefactor = 12.9388 Prefactor = 6.91492 Prefactor = 2.47722 Normalizat = 1.12887 Prefactor = 1.02229 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34655109/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:50:05.196987', job_id='34655109', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380605.2', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:50:05 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 404 CALLS 2215 TOTAL EDM= .20E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 29.162 35.224 .18591E-03 -1.5600 2 Prefactor 9.5820 10.602 .32364E-03 -1.5646 3 Prefactor 4.2111 2.6317 .49067E-03 -1.5667 4 Prefactor .54567E-07 35.751 .11549E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 6.2059 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 11.845 17.672 .29027E-03 -1.5639 7 Prefactor .20098E-01 1.7805 .96660E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2274 118.99 .34484E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .56822 2.2229 .72676E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .0000 2.3233 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 59.621 33.456 .12986E-03 -1.5554 12 Prefactor 2.2638 2.5490 .68226E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .18874E-08 9.6744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 8.5941 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .70603E-01 .11313E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 5.1170 4.2713 .44428E-03 -1.5663 17 Prefactor 6.9460 8.2975 .38214E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 12.939 6.6959 .27714E-03 -1.5636 19 Prefactor 6.9149 8.5700 .38399E-03 -1.5655 20 Prefactor 2.4772 11.386 .66856E-03 -1.5676 21 Normalizat 1.1289 .19502 .58971E-01 -.88830 22 Prefactor 1.0223 .18057 .41839E-01 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.99876e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.2246 2 10.6022 3 2.6317 4 0.00279365 5 7.20361e-05 6 17.6722 7 0.378332 8 66.2714 9 2.22288 10 1.59014e-05 11 33.4564 12 2.54901 13 0.000270535 14 8.16361e-05 15 4.55355e-08 16 4.27133 17 8.29752 18 6.69593 19 8.57003 20 10.6216 21 0.195142 22 0.180679 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34655237/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:50:35.686623', job_id='34655237', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380635.69', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:50:36 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6469.07784592 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.590e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 2.410e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.13348944717e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00551592181224 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/likelihoodResults_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07915004 delta logL = -0.00130412766066 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6469.0778462 delta logL = -2.81953361991e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .80214E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.2916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1290 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1499 1.4946 .63607E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.61705E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 .13199E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.14991 Normalizat = 1.12886 Prefactor = 1.0223 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6469.078 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.1177 2.1306 .63607E-05 -.37903 3 Normalizat 1.1289 1.1371 .19546E-04 -.88830 4 Prefactor 1.0223 1.2334 -.19264E-04 -.91990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.17771e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.66159e-06 2 1.52164 3 1.16335 4 1.27034 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6469.07784592 delta logL = -1.90993887372e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1215.0+1656 Spectrum: PowerLaw 262 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.662e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 263 Index: 3.150e+00 1.522e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 264 Scale: 8.538e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 584 Prefactor: 1.022e+00 1.270e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 585 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 586 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 583 Normalization: 1.129e+00 1.163e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 183.774 16.937 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34655235/cmap_HighResolution_807753601_808012801_4FGL_J1215.0+1656_daily_bin2193.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.13e-08', time_completed='2026-08-10 09:50:44.528734', job_id='34655235', GAL2='1.02', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.13', time_epoch_completed='1786380644.53', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='-1.91e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2193' AND source_name='4FGL J1215.0+1656' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 10 09:50:45 PDT 2026