********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31343601/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:07:22.941227', job_id='31343601', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789642.94', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:07:23 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 7.74 user 7.32 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 61.60 user 57.89 sys 3.29 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source G296.5+10.0 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 194 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1154.1-3243 @ 178.542 -32.7189 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" sc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 7.74 user 7.34 sys 0.18 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 62.06 user 58.10 sys 3.51 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source G296.5+10.0 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 194 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1154.1-3243 @ 178.542 -32.7189 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.55 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 80.86 user 79.25 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31343919/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31343521/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31343521/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:08:16.020134', job_id='31343521', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789696.02', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:08:16 PDT 2026 number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181 RA = 178.542, Dec = -32.7189 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31344938', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 10:07:32.175978', time_epoch_executed='1783789652.18' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits ra=178.542 dec=-32.7189 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.27 user 2.82 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.50 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1184 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA"file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 80.21 user 78.52 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344061/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 84.94 user 83.33 sys 0.73 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344107/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 *******file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 85.59 user 83.37 sys 1.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344104/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 *******file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 85.13 user 83.61 sys 0.72 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344108/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 *******Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31343919/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:09:20.406867', job_id='31343919', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789760.41', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:09:20 PDT 2026 *** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 *** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 *** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 9.82 user 9.35 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 71.89 user 67.62 sys 3.74 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source G296.5+10.0 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source CenA Lobes in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CenALobes.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 194 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1154.1-3243 @ 178.542 -32.7189 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.542 yref=-32.7189 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.55 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scile=/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 88.23 user 86.31 sys 0.78 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344316/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344061/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:10:29.892415', job_id='31344061', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789829.89', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:10:29 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 73.41 user 71.72 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344465/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 *******file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 73.97 user 72.27 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344419/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 *** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344107/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:10:48.536963', job_id='31344107', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789848.54', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:10:48 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344104/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:10:52.123908', job_id='31344104', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789852.12', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:10:52 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344108/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:10:52.252848', job_id='31344108', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789852.25', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:10:52 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344316/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:11:35.941272', job_id='31344316', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789895.94', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:11:36 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344465/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:11:50.740062', job_id='31344465', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789910.74', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:11:50 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344419/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:11:51.212827', job_id='31344419', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783789911.21', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:11:51 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CenA Lobes adding source EG_v02 adding source G296.5+10.0 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 86.57 user 84.42 sys 1.41 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31344938/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1154.1-3243' 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 8.428e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ft2_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/Model_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.767595 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7590885 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4177 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13815E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 15.757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .39893E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .60265E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .14837E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.0350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76988E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73843E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .17689E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .81588E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 22.028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2685 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .84984 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 93 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .17E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6892 -.34879E-08 .54347E-03 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7673 -.24311E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.624 1.0463 -.49121E-08 .19468E-02 4 norm 15.772 5.6499 .37600E-07 .12706E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7614 -.22178E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 2.1559 .85661E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .21705E-07 2.9331 -.85156E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.4488 1.2792 -.18037E-08 .95328E-02 9 norm 1.0391 2.3035 .94738E-07 -.31193E-03 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 8.3981 -.17148E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9774 .16254E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.8762 53.374 -.13377E-05 .47688E-02 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 2.7671 -.13862E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 2.7610 -.12434E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 22.018 5.6388 .93151E-07 .65842E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .19714 -.25333E-05 .57237E-05 17 Prefactor .84992 .87704E-01 .43971E-06 .34199E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.40777 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 12.6243 norm = 15.7718 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.92446e-07 norm = 2.17049e-08 Prefactor = 9.44884 norm = 1.03915 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 1.87625 Prefactor = 1.27676e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 22.0182 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 267 CALLS 1439 TOTAL EDM= .72E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4078 5.6903 .36801E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor .33307E-09 3.7763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.624 13.218 .28165E-03 -1.5637 4 norm 15.772 5.7354 .25205E-03 -1.5629 5 Prefactor .0000 3.7380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .69245E-06 8.4016 .11213E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21705E-07 8.2568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.4488 12.105 .32552E-03 -1.5646 9 norm 1.0391 3.2512 .12394E-02 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .10547E-08 1.3344 .68512E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.9779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.8762 60.101 .78827E-03 -1.5681 13 Prefactor .12768E-07 7.9208 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .44964E-08 8.0409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 22.018 17.836 .21312E-03 -1.5614 16 Normalizat 1.2683 .16856 .71183E-01 -.84518 17 Prefactor .84992 .73243E-01 .44362E-01 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.20642e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.69032 2 7.32215e-05 3 13.2177 4 5.73537 5 1.74965e-05 6 0.00482405 7 0.000846766 8 12.1053 9 3.25118 10 7.56385e-05 11 0.000102623 12 21.2384 13 0.000636292 14 0.000381135 15 17.8365 16 0.168629 17 0.0732512 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12268.7586115 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 2.170e-08 8.468e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 1.934e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 7.325e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.686e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.34976781086e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.450244862e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586174 delta logL = -5.87599424762e-06 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 12268.758622 delta logL = -1.04379432742e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .49269E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.1959 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2677 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85010 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6400E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12268.76 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 6.4530 .23568E-06** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.6166 3.7898 -.32228E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2683 .19577 -.41360E-06 .50284E-04 4 Prefactor .84992 .87472E-01 .15747E-05 .10681E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.61664 Normalizat = 1.26828 Prefactor = 0.849923 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 12268.76 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 6.4315 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.3827 1.2520 -.32228E-04 .46673E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2683 1.0869 -.41360E-06 -.84518 4 Prefactor .84992 1.1970 .15747E-05 -.97914 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.06509e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.23192e-05 2 1.31151 3 1.10743 4 1.23723 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 12268.7586115 delta logL = 1.31149135996e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1154.1-3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 300 norm: 0.000e+00 1.232e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 alpha: 2.617e+00 1.312e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 302 beta: 1.201e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 303 Eb: 1.266e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 637 Prefactor: 8.499e-01 1.237e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 638 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 639 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 633 Normalization: 1.268e+00 1.107e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 178.542 -32.719 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31344938/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J1154.1-3243_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.45e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 10:14:55.005865', job_id='31344938', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.27', EG='1.27', time_epoch_completed='1783790095.01', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='1.31e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.93' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J1154.1-3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 10:14:55 PDT 2026