/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17435 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927 RA = 178.35, Dec = 49.5169 tmin = 799632001, tmax = 800236801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='26506289', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-12 01:57:54.107522', time_epoch_executed='1778576274.11' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='927' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=799632001.0 && nMetStart<800236801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=799632001.0 && nMetStart<800236801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=799632001.0 && nMetStart<800236801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits ra=178.35 dec=49.5169 rad=12.0 tmin=799632001.0 tmax=800236801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.54 user 4.62 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.35 user 0.29 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2417 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ltcube_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits .....................! real 36.82 user 35.37 sys 0.28 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ltcube_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/expmap_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ltcube_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits .....................! real 77.89 user 72.03 sys 4.18 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 220 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1153.4+4931 @ 178.35 49.5169 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/cmap_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.44 user 0.30 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/cmap_HighResolution_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.74 user 0.31 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits.....................! real 83.92 user 80.09 sys 1.47 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/expmap_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ltcube_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/26506289/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/expmap_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/ltcube_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 26187.0596153 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 26187.003602 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 12.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 13.963 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .88131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 46.026 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .89838E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .34932E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 13.940 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .42584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 20.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 16.501 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 8.5345 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .54788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.6316 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 8.5653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 1.3669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .13914E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .69919 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 15.942 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .30605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .12840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .12859E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 9.5709 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .35475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 4.0743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .16897E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 2.0388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.1586 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .91180 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 26187.00 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 164 CALLS 2577 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 12.082 5.6541 -.14053E-05 .15346E-01 2 Prefactor 15.496 36.374 .31632E-05 -.75273E-03 3 norm .88175 .74982 .19762E-06 .12729E-02 4 Prefactor 46.548 17.124 -.21823E-05 .67089E-01 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.5183 -.52516E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 8.3963 .11927E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 13.934 1.8977 -.25675E-06 .18480E-01 8 Prefactor .42452 1.6987 -.28735E-06 -.24876E-02 9 Prefactor 20.871 11.359 .19793E-05 .25063E-02 10 norm 16.488 2.9062 .10669E-06 -.44944E-01 11 Prefactor 8.9780 19.841 -.61957E-05 -.25647E-01 12 norm .56167 1.9704 -.21970E-05 -.16424E-01 13 norm 2.6291 .61489 .11834E-06 -.57340E-01 14 norm 8.5652 4.0454 .89611E-07 -.91504E-02 15 Prefactor 1.3701 1.2240 -.24030E-06 .80727E-02 16 Prefactor .11102E-08 17.643 .11549E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .69201 2.1159 -.16987E-06 -.13297E-02 18 Prefactor 15.959 8.1469 .91488E-06 -.13831E-01 19 Prefactor .34161 7.4530 .54085E-06 -.19564E-02 20 norm .13038 .55032 .15652E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 .95482 -.58870E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 9.5844 7.9596 .48905E-06 .30846E-02 23 Prefactor .36191 2.8847 .65974E-07 .23386E-03 24 norm 4.0752 1.4543 -.42006E-07 .94792E-02 25 Prefactor .22204E-09 2.8954 -.14989E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 2.0403 .86533 .35350E-07 -.94290E-02 27 Normalizat 1.1579 .97676E-01 -.73684E-05 .10380E-04 28 Prefactor .91183 .11650 .62574E-05 -.21521E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 12.0816 Prefactor = 15.4963 norm = 0.881755 Prefactor = 46.5484 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 13.9341 Prefactor = 0.42452 Prefactor = 20.8707 norm = 16.4876 Prefactor = 8.97801 norm = 0.561667 norm = 2.62906 norm = 8.5652 Prefactor = 1.37008 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 norm = 0.692009 Prefactor = 15.9595 Prefactor = 0.341608 norm = 0.130382 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.58439 Prefactor = 0.361913 norm = 4.07523 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 2.04029 Normalizat = 1.15791 Prefactor = 0.911827 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 26187.00 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 603 CALLS 3180 TOTAL EDM= .17E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 12.082 37.874 .28639E-03 -1.5638 2 Prefactor 15.496 36.742 .26779E-03 -1.5629 3 norm .88175 .76464 .47061E-03 -1.5689 4 Prefactor 46.548 27.733 .14741E-03 -1.5572 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.5157 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 8.3871 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 13.934 12.761 .26801E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor .42452 1.7393 .86552E-03 -1.5695 9 Prefactor 20.871 11.594 .21919E-03 -1.5617 10 norm 16.488 2.9309 .24629E-03 -1.5627 11 Prefactor 8.9780 24.622 .34290E-03 -1.5648 12 norm .56167 9.8148 .74032E-03 -1.5693 13 norm 2.6291 .63211 .62834E-03 -1.5676 14 norm 8.5652 4.0403 .34228E-03 -1.5649 15 Prefactor 1.3701 1.2637 .93273E-03 -1.5685 16 Prefactor .11102E-08 17.632 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .69201 2.2673 .60774E-03 -1.5691 18 Prefactor 15.959 8.8348 .25058E-03 -1.5628 19 Prefactor .34161 1.9155 .64395E-02 -1.5696 20 norm .13038 .39087 .29829E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .95488 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 9.5844 7.9758 .32368E-03 -1.5646 23 Prefactor .36191 1.2634 .52661E-02 -1.5696 24 norm 4.0752 1.4832 .49925E-03 -1.5668 25 Prefactor .22204E-09 2.8924 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 2.0403 .86697 .72400E-03 -1.5679 27 Normalizat 1.1579 .85240E-01 .35996E-01 -.87914 28 Prefactor .91183 .10068 .69189E-01 -.95729 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.7256e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 37.8744 2 36.7429 3 0.764639 4 27.7326 5 1.90392e-05 6 4.79817e-05 7 12.7615 8 1.71858 9 11.5935 10 2.93088 11 24.6225 12 4.69582 13 0.632106 14 4.04028 15 1.26372 16 0.000280577 17 2.26729 18 8.83482 19 1.61784 20 0.390869 21 7.56483e-07 22 7.97577 23 1.26341 24 1.48315 25 5.34004e-05 26 0.866974 27 0.0852498 28 0.100705 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 26187.0022965 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 1.370e+00 1.264e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 9.118e-01 1.007e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.158e+00 8.525e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.14 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.41 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-08 +/- 1.24e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 4.33e-06 +/- 3.99e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 2.14 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.91265580458e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00302580832181 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/likelihoodResults_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 26187.0017394 delta logL = 0.000557180537726 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 26187.0016962 delta logL = 0.000600311090238 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.3801 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1582 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .91161 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 26187.00 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 210 TOTAL EDM= .17E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.3801 24.694 .92624E-03 .24697E-01 2 Index 2.3915 3.3968 .25032 .12714E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1582 .23450E-01 .36008E-01 -.21325E-04 4 Prefactor .91161 .27860E-01 .69196E-01 .10609E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.38007 Index = 2.39149 Normalizat = 1.15821 Prefactor = 0.911613 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 26187.00 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .52E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.3801 1.2532 .16048E-04 -1.5684 2 Index 2.3915 .59809 .14864E-01 -.54885 3 Normalizat 1.1582 .93431E-01 .22144E-03 -.87904 4 Prefactor .91161 .11595 .30612E-03 -.95736 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.21317e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.25317 2 0.600065 3 0.0934443 4 0.11598 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 26187.0016962 delta logL = 0.00060031794419 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 1.380e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.391e+00 6.001e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 9.116e-01 1.160e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.158e+00 9.344e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.14 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.39 +/- 0.60 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.32e-08 +/- 1.33e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.36e-06 +/- 3.97e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/26506289/cmap_HighResolution_799632001_800236801_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_weekly_bin927.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.03e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-08', energy_flux2='4.36e-06', photon_flux_error='1.24e-08', dlogl='6.00e-04', energy_flux='4.33e-06', photon_flux2='1.32e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-12 02:20:43.458138', photon_index_error2='0.60', photon_index2='2.39', ts='2.14', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.91e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.97e-06', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1778577643.46', return_code='0', job_id='26506289', GAL2='0.91', EG2='1.16', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.99e-06', photon_flux_error2='1.33e-08', ts2='2.14', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='927' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue May 12 02:20:43 PDT 2026