1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340636/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340636/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:39:51.499434', job_id='31340636', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783787991.5', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:39:51 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7669 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180 RA = 178.35, Dec = 49.5169 tmin = 804384001, tmax = 804643201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31341274', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 09:38:49.177016', time_epoch_executed='1783787929.18' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2180' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits ra=178.35 dec=49.5169 rad=12.0 tmin=804384001.0 tmax=804643201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.86 user 1.50 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.57 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 724 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfnumber of points = 7669 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180 RA = 178.35, Dec = 49.5169 tmin = 804384001, tmax = 804643201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31341211', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 09:38:49.172561', time_epoch_executed='1783787929.17' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2180' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits ra=178.35 dec=49.5169 rad=12.0 tmin=804384001.0 tmax=804643201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.90 user 1.48 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.54 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 724 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outf ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 number of points = 7669 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180 RA = 178.35, Dec = 49.5169 tmin = 804384001, tmax = 804643201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31341304', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 09:39:05.714422', time_epoch_executed='1783787945.71' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2180' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits ra=178.35 dec=49.5169 rad=12.0 tmin=804384001.0 tmax=804643201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.85 user 1.49 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.49 user 0.18 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 724 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfWorking on... /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 23.69 user 22.57 sys 0.78 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31340829/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31340829/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 29.72 user 28.32 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31340814/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31340814/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-0Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340741/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340740/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340741/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:40:59.154177', job_id='31340741', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788059.15', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:40:59 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340740/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:41:00.573051', job_id='31340740', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788060.57', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:41:00 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 2 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 26.98 user 25.62 sys 0.90 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31340904/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31340904/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000EWorking on... /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 27.01 user 25.50 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31341026/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31341026/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-0number of points = 7669 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180 RA = 178.35, Dec = 49.5169 tmin = 804384001, tmax = 804643201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31341327', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-11 09:39:53.179731', time_epoch_executed='1783787993.18' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2180' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits ra=178.35 dec=49.5169 rad=12.0 tmin=804384001.0 tmax=804643201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.80 user 1.77 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.79 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 724 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outf-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 7.74 user 7.30 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 59.34 user 55.59 sys 3.29 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 220 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1153.4+4931 @ 178.35 49.5169 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/cmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 9.78 user 9.29 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 59.20 user 55.39 sys 3.36 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 220 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1153.4+4931 @ 178.35 49.5169 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/cmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.18 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340829/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:41:52.340064', job_id='31340829', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788112.34', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:41:52 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 7.34 user 6.92 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 59.36 user 55.58 sys 3.40 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 220 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1153.4+4931 @ 178.35 49.5169 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/cmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.55 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340814/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:42:29.433416', job_id='31340814', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788149.43', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:42:29 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31340904/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:42:36.972554', job_id='31340904', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788156.97', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:42:37 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31341026/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:42:40.676133', job_id='31341026', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788160.68', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:42:40 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 10.70 user 9.83 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 74.55 user 67.05 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 220 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1153.4+4931 @ 178.35 49.5169 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/cmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=178.35 yref=49.5169 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 23.95 user 22.59 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31341274/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-0Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 24.41 user 22.98 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31341211/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-0Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 23.42 user 22.36 sys 0.80 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31341304/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 1 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31341274/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:45:26.132899', job_id='31341274', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788326.13', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:45:26 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31341211/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:45:34.923999', job_id='31341211', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788334.92', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:45:35 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31341304/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:45:36.515426', job_id='31341304', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788336.52', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:45:36 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 28.96 user 27.31 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31341327/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1153.4+4931' 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 3.122e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ft2_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/Model_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94545639 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.94447425 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33306E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .36230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .85931E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .54069E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .11727E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 35.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .54246E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .19202E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .70388E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 9.3559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .34539E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .37116E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .71617 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.5954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .40407E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .72327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .17800E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 31.095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 6.8584 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.0358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 4.1540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 18.753 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.8675 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .14023E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .45245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Normalizat' 1.3989 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 28 'Prefactor ' .83979 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2678 TOTAL EDM= .80E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.469 .71154E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .0000 71.239 -.15101E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .0000 .86231 -.33538E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 665.38 .26438E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.491 -.89247E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 36.245 7.6487 -.63030E-06 .27498E-02 7 norm .0000 15.817 .38283E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2378 .36407E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9623 .10014E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 9.3964 4.1098 -.83411E-07 .52846E-03 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.087 -.35651E-05** at limit ** 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7412 -.37550E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .72065 .94462 -.58481E-08 .92833E-02 14 norm 5.6194 6.6873 .62747E-07 .24669E-02 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0372 -.74276E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 253.59 .36095E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 5.3311 -.12238E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 31.070 2.9428 -.24472E-06 .21352E-01 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3231 -.16002E-06 -.13368E-03 20 norm 1.0355 1.5351 -.26713E-07 .81783E-03 21 norm 4.1550 5.6291 .31137E-06 -.63074E-03 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.472 -.19519E-05 -.29927E-02 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8043 .18537E-07 .72148E-03 24 norm 1.8656 1.9724 -.58221E-07 -.63555E-03 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7251 -.77196E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .45168 1.1616 .12838E-06 .17964E-02 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .18715 .45136E-05 .20593E-03 28 Prefactor .83994 .22394 .24613E-05 .13667E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31482e-08 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.2453 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 9.39642 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0.720647 norm = 5.61942 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.58769e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 31.0703 Prefactor = 6.96463 norm = 1.03551 norm = 4.155 Prefactor = 18.7505 Prefactor = 8.22656 norm = 1.8656 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.451684 Normalizat = 1.3986 Prefactor = 0.839938 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 579 CALLS 3257 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 31.538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .0000 71.469 .93992E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .0000 .86009 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .23148E-07 649.69 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 20.533 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 36.245 101.21 .16671E-03 -1.5588 7 norm .0000 15.849 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 4.2348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 6.9750 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 9.3964 4.1205 .32740E-03 -1.5647 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 49.143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .55511E-10 4.7491 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .72065 .95938 .59405E-03 -1.5691 14 norm 5.6194 6.7061 .42446E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0401 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .35877E-06 258.84 .58839E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 5.2954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 31.070 20.852 .17936E-03 -1.5596 19 Prefactor 6.9646 8.3412 .38287E-03 -1.5655 20 norm 1.0355 1.7405 .29968E-02 -1.5688 21 norm 4.1550 5.6677 .49429E-03 -1.5667 22 Prefactor 18.751 16.684 .23100E-03 -1.5621 23 Prefactor 8.2266 5.8262 .34976E-03 -1.5651 24 norm 1.8656 1.9707 .76198E-03 -1.5681 25 Prefactor .0000 3.7325 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .45168 1.1916 .83645E-03 -1.5695 27 Normalizat 1.3986 .15973 .49979E-01 -.80669 28 Prefactor .83994 .19079 .75602E-01 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.66455e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.3331e-05 2 1.81997e-05 3 1.28467e-06 4 0.00775892 5 8.53271e-05 6 101.212 7 1.23492e-06 8 3.11062e-06 9 2.09644e-06 10 4.12053 11 0.000416865 12 3.837e-05 13 0.959378 14 6.70608 15 3.81302e-06 16 0.0192734 17 1.86383e-05 18 20.8522 19 8.34117 20 1.74048 21 5.66776 22 16.6838 23 5.82616 24 1.97069 25 2.78489e-06 26 1.19162 27 0.159787 28 0.190942 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7911.93997451 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.813e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 1.909e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 1.598e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.86204417407e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00376000713012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7911.94033868 delta logL = -0.000364170488865 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.9399778 delta logL = -3.29443264491e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .33790E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0663 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3982 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .84036 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7050E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7911.940 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 286 TOTAL EDM= .93E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .26620E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.1247 6.3700 .39036 .29123E-09 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .27853E-03 .49979E-01 -.95630E-03 4 Prefactor .83993 .33854E-03 .75602E-01 -.10274E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 3.1247 Normalizat = 1.39861 Prefactor = 0.839929 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7911.940 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 29 CALLS 315 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .12839E-01 .63211E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.1247 7.7315 .50000 -.38446 3 Normalizat 1.3986 .60986E-03 .22095E-03 -.80669 4 Prefactor .83993 .74003E-03 .33461E-03 -.98273 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.99092e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.6038e-06 2 7275.16 3 0.000609861 4 0.000740026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7911.93997451 delta logL = -1.13686837722e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1153.4+4931 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.604e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.125e+00 7.275e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 7.717e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 702 Prefactor: 8.399e-01 7.400e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 703 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 704 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 701 Normalization: 1.399e+00 6.099e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 178.350 49.517 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31341327/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J1153.4+4931_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.76e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.86e-08', time_completed='2026-07-11 09:47:55.432966', job_id='31341327', GAL2='0.84', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.40', EG='1.40', time_epoch_completed='1783788475.43', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='-1.14e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J1153.4+4931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jul 11 09:47:55 PDT 2026