********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9436.615 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 558 CALLS 1998 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 7.3217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 1.1821 2.4270 .37427E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .73013 1.5807 .59078E-03 -1.5691 4 Prefactor 83.793 25.860 .10891E-03 -1.5525 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 5.0966 .13378E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.0732 .61429 .11691E-02 -1.5687 7 norm .19956E-06 7.3741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 22.382 23.336 .20534E-03 -1.5613 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.253 .22022E-03 -1.5610 11 norm 4.7732 3.0217 .46016E-03 -1.5664 12 norm 3.6103 4.3578 .53163E-03 -1.5670 13 Prefactor .0000 53.669 .16400E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.2997 .48345E-03 -1.5666 15 norm 6.3339 1.2506 .39864E-04 -1.5658 16 norm 2.4192 2.1578 .65762E-03 -1.5677 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1625 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.3372 .38779E-03 -1.5656 21 Prefactor 28.743 29.422 .18683E-03 -1.5601 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1253 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 14.618 5.3418 .26162E-03 -1.5631 24 norm 2.7305 2.5348 .61636E-03 -1.5675 25 Prefactor 5.6216 17.205 .42376E-03 -1.5661 26 Normalizat .82948 .15176 .67182E-01 -.98984 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .13579 .54361E-01 -.89218 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.98302e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00201237 2 2.42697 3 1.5807 4 25.8602 5 0.0180939 6 0.614287 7 0.00242623 8 23.3357 9 0.000262571 10 53.2545 11 3.02174 12 4.35778 13 1.12526e-05 14 6.29974 15 1.25063 16 2.15775 17 0.00145757 18 0.00225227 19 1.39749e-07 20 9.33726 21 29.4223 22 1.92428e-05 23 5.34179 24 2.53483 25 17.2054 26 0.151837 27 0.135835 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61510562 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 4.351e+00 6.300e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.108e+00 1.358e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.295e-01 1.518e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.20656820646e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00921595626123 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530494/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9436.48232035 delta logL = 0.132785270378 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9435.59239319 delta logL = 1.02271243156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14088E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.4323 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .74707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1656 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 388 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .97008 .61910 -.15666E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 .19734E-05 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.24918E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.970078 Normalizat = 0.834311 Prefactor = 1.11765 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 397 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9278 1.8685 -.15666E-04 -8.4874 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 -.98808 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.88905 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.09492e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.86285e-06 2 0.623702 3 1.17962 4 1.11852 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9437.02773637 delta logL = -0.412630754292 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.863e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 9.701e-01 6.237e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.118e+00 1.119e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.343e-01 1.180e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39530494/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='9.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.21e-07', time_completed='2026-09-30 08:21:04.604999', job_id='39530494', GAL2='1.12', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.83', EG='0.83', time_epoch_completed='1790781664.63', return_code2='101', ts='0.78', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='-4.13e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.23' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 08:21:04 PDT 2026 number of points = 7666 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210 RA = 161.939, Dec = 72.642 tmin = 812160001, tmax = 812419201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39530797', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-30 08:19:35.031794', time_epoch_executed='1790781575.03' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2210' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits ra=161.939 dec=72.642 rad=12.0 tmin=812160001.0 tmax=812419201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.80 user 2.20 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 902 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfWorking on... /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 37.60 user 36.27 sys 0.80 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39530618/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39530618/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1047.7+7238' 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 1.026e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9437.61439864 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61790427 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61376E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .72027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 84.320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .18194E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.0733 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .65803E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 23.728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .33362E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 20.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.7755 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 3.6088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30954E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 4.3371 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 6.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25735E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31142E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .55511E-10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 6.6874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 28.660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .10529E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 14.628 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 2.7273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.6137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' .82833 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' 1.1084 1.0000 .0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61510562 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 4.351e+00 6.300e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.108e+00 1.358e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.295e-01 1.518e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.20656820646e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00921595626123 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530500/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9436.48232035 delta logL = 0.132785270378 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9435.59239319 delta logL = 1.02271243156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14088E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.4323 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .74707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1656 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 388 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .97008 .61910 -.15666E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 .19734E-05 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.24918E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.970078 Normalizat = 0.834311 Prefactor = 1.11765 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 397 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9278 1.8685 -.15666E-04 -8.4874 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 -.98808 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.88905 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.09492e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.86285e-06 2 0.623702 3 1.17962 4 1.11852 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9436.615 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 162 CALLS 1440 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 3.7901 -.30899E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 1.1821 1.8507 -.87815E-07 .84172E-05 3 norm .73013 1.5368 -.23637E-06 .31344E-05 4 Prefactor 83.793 24.652 .46378E-06 -.40532E-01 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 7.4055 .10796E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.0732 .61600 .21679E-07 .10474E-02 7 norm .19956E-06 3.6626 -.45343E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 22.382 20.045 -.19321E-05 .13530 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5223 -.24182E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.456 .52634E-05 .52170E-01 11 norm 4.7732 3.0232 -.93404E-07 -.15675E-03 12 norm 3.6103 4.3115 -.10119E-05 .14700E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 53.712 .10089E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.0500 .13893E-06 -.53655E-02 15 norm 6.3339 1.2314 .27741E-07 .46100E-02 16 norm 2.4192 2.1452 -.10114E-06 .31017E-03 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.413 -.13245E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.449 -.21535E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1642 .22364E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.2341 -.55740E-06 .12924E-02 21 Prefactor 28.743 3.2019 -.92292E-07 .15442E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1296 .67284E-06** at limit ** 23 norm 14.618 5.3424 -.18416E-06 .16182E-02 24 norm 2.7305 2.5169 .46317E-07 .86361E-03 25 Prefactor 5.6216 1.0206 .28064E-08 -.23420E-02 26 Normalizat .82948 .17345 .35032E-05 .85077E-04 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .15647 -.16251E-05 .87477E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.38278e-07 Prefactor = 1.18212 norm = 0.730126 Prefactor = 83.7929 Prefactor = 1.60592e-05 norm = 1.07316 norm = 1.99563e-07 Prefactor = 22.3817 Prefactor = 2.66454e-09 Prefactor = 23.9989 norm = 4.77319 norm = 3.61027 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.35069 norm = 6.33393 norm = 2.41923 Prefactor = 3.43059e-08 Prefactor = 6.4837e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.63919 Prefactor = 28.7434 Prefactor = 0 norm = 14.6178 norm = 2.73054 Prefactor = 5.62164 Normalizat = 0.829481 Prefactor = 1.10778 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9437.02773637 delta logL = -0.412630754292 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.863e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 9.701e-01 6.237e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.118e+00 1.119e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.343e-01 1.180e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39530500/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='9.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.21e-07', time_completed='2026-09-30 08:21:25.150523', job_id='39530500', GAL2='1.12', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.83', EG='0.83', time_epoch_completed='1790781685.15', return_code2='101', ts='0.78', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='-4.13e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.23' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 08:21:25 PDT 2026 number of points = 7666 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210 RA = 161.939, Dec = 72.642 tmin = 812160001, tmax = 812419201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39530843', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-30 08:20:17.791790', time_epoch_executed='1790781617.79' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2210' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812160001.0 && nMetStart<812419201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits ra=161.939 dec=72.642 rad=12.0 tmin=812160001.0 tmax=812419201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.75 user 2.21 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 902 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outf ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9436.615 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 558 CALLS 1998 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 7.3217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 1.1821 2.4270 .37427E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .73013 1.5807 .59078E-03 -1.5691 4 Prefactor 83.793 25.860 .10891E-03 -1.5525 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 5.0966 .13378E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.0732 .61429 .11691E-02 -1.5687 7 norm .19956E-06 7.3741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 22.382 23.336 .20534E-03 -1.5613 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.253 .22022E-03 -1.5610 11 norm 4.7732 3.0217 .46016E-03 -1.5664 12 norm 3.6103 4.3578 .53163E-03 -1.5670 13 Prefactor .0000 53.669 .16400E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.2997 .48345E-03 -1.5666 15 norm 6.3339 1.2506 .39864E-04 -1.5658 16 norm 2.4192 2.1578 .65762E-03 -1.5677 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1625 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.3372 .38779E-03 -1.5656 21 Prefactor 28.743 29.422 .18683E-03 -1.5601 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1253 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 14.618 5.3418 .26162E-03 -1.5631 24 norm 2.7305 2.5348 .61636E-03 -1.5675 25 Prefactor 5.6216 17.205 .42376E-03 -1.5661 26 Normalizat .82948 .15176 .67182E-01 -.98984 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .13579 .54361E-01 -.89218 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.98302e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00201237 2 2.42697 3 1.5807 4 25.8602 5 0.0180939 6 0.614287 7 0.00242623 8 23.3357 9 0.000262571 10 53.2545 11 3.02174 12 4.35778 13 1.12526e-05 14 6.29974 15 1.25063 16 2.15775 17 0.00145757 18 0.00225227 19 1.39749e-07 20 9.33726 21 29.4223 22 1.92428e-05 23 5.34179 24 2.53483 25 17.2054 26 0.151837 27 0.135835 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61510562 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 4.351e+00 6.300e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.108e+00 1.358e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.295e-01 1.518e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.20656820646e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00921595626123 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9436.48232035 delta logL = 0.132785270378 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9435.59239319 delta logL = 1.02271243156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14088E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.4323 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .74707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1656 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 388 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .97008 .61910 -.15666E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 .19734E-05 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.24918E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.970078 Normalizat = 0.834311 Prefactor = 1.11765 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 397 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9278 1.8685 -.15666E-04 -8.4874 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 -.98808 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.88905 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.09492e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.86285e-06 2 0.623702 3 1.17962 4 1.11852 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9437.02773637 delta logL = -0.412630754292 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.863e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 9.701e-01 6.237e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.118e+00 1.119e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.343e-01 1.180e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39530618/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='9.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.21e-07', time_completed='2026-09-30 08:22:54.356572', job_id='39530618', GAL2='1.12', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.83', EG='0.83', time_epoch_completed='1790781774.36', return_code2='101', ts='0.78', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='-4.13e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.23' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 08:22:54 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 8.96 user 8.34 sys 0.19 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 72.26 user 67.09 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1047.7+7238 @ 161.939 72.642 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/cmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=161.939 yref=72.642 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=161.939 yref=72.642 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.27 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 8.80 user 8.07 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits .....................! real 72.67 user 67.61 sys 4.29 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1047.7+7238 @ 161.939 72.642 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/cmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=161.939 yref=72.642 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=161.939 yref=72.642 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 45.34 user 43.47 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39530797/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1047.7+7238' 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 1.026e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9437.61439864 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61790427 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61376E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .72027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 84.320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .18194E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.0733 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .65803E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 23.728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .33362E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 20.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.7755 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 3.6088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30954E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 4.3371 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 6.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25735E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31142E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .55511E-10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 6.6874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 28.660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .10529E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 14.628 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 2.7273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.6137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' .82833 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' 1.1084 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9436.615 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 162 CALLS 1440 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 3.7901 -.30899E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 1.1821 1.8507 -.87815E-07 .84172E-05 3 norm .73013 1.5368 -.23637E-06 .31344E-05 4 Prefactor 83.793 24.652 .46378E-06 -.40532E-01 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 7.4055 .10796E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.0732 .61600 .21679E-07 .10474E-02 7 norm .19956E-06 3.6626 -.45343E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 22.382 20.045 -.19321E-05 .13530 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5223 -.24182E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.456 .52634E-05 .52170E-01 11 norm 4.7732 3.0232 -.93404E-07 -.15675E-03 12 norm 3.6103 4.3115 -.10119E-05 .14700E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 53.712 .10089E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.0500 .13893E-06 -.53655E-02 15 norm 6.3339 1.2314 .27741E-07 .46100E-02 16 norm 2.4192 2.1452 -.10114E-06 .31017E-03 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.413 -.13245E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.449 -.21535E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1642 .22364E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.2341 -.55740E-06 .12924E-02 21 Prefactor 28.743 3.2019 -.92292E-07 .15442E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1296 .67284E-06** at limit ** 23 norm 14.618 5.3424 -.18416E-06 .16182E-02 24 norm 2.7305 2.5169 .46317E-07 .86361E-03 25 Prefactor 5.6216 1.0206 .28064E-08 -.23420E-02 26 Normalizat .82948 .17345 .35032E-05 .85077E-04 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .15647 -.16251E-05 .87477E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.38278e-07 Prefactor = 1.18212 norm = 0.730126 Prefactor = 83.7929 Prefactor = 1.60592e-05 norm = 1.07316 norm = 1.99563e-07 Prefactor = 22.3817 Prefactor = 2.66454e-09 Prefactor = 23.9989 norm = 4.77319 norm = 3.61027 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.35069 norm = 6.33393 norm = 2.41923 Prefactor = 3.43059e-08 Prefactor = 6.4837e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.63919 Prefactor = 28.7434 Prefactor = 0 norm = 14.6178 norm = 2.73054 Prefactor = 5.62164 Normalizat = 0.829481 Prefactor = 1.10778 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits.....................! real 44.90 user 43.43 sys 0.67 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39530843/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1047.7+7238' 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 1.026e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ft2_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/expmap_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/ltcube_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/Model_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9437.61439864 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61790427 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61376E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .72027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 84.320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .18194E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.0733 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .65803E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 23.728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .33362E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 20.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.7755 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 3.6088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30954E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 4.3371 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 6.3324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25735E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .31142E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .55511E-10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 6.6874 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 28.660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .10529E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 14.628 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 2.7273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.6137 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' .82833 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' 1.1084 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9436.615 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 162 CALLS 1440 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 3.7901 -.30899E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 1.1821 1.8507 -.87815E-07 .84172E-05 3 norm .73013 1.5368 -.23637E-06 .31344E-05 4 Prefactor 83.793 24.652 .46378E-06 -.40532E-01 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 7.4055 .10796E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 1.0732 .61600 .21679E-07 .10474E-02 7 norm .19956E-06 3.6626 -.45343E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 22.382 20.045 -.19321E-05 .13530 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5223 -.24182E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.456 .52634E-05 .52170E-01 11 norm 4.7732 3.0232 -.93404E-07 -.15675E-03 12 norm 3.6103 4.3115 -.10119E-05 .14700E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 53.712 .10089E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.0500 .13893E-06 -.53655E-02 15 norm 6.3339 1.2314 .27741E-07 .46100E-02 16 norm 2.4192 2.1452 -.10114E-06 .31017E-03 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.413 -.13245E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.449 -.21535E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1642 .22364E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.2341 -.55740E-06 .12924E-02 21 Prefactor 28.743 3.2019 -.92292E-07 .15442E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1296 .67284E-06** at limit ** 23 norm 14.618 5.3424 -.18416E-06 .16182E-02 24 norm 2.7305 2.5169 .46317E-07 .86361E-03 25 Prefactor 5.6216 1.0206 .28064E-08 -.23420E-02 26 Normalizat .82948 .17345 .35032E-05 .85077E-04 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .15647 -.16251E-05 .87477E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.38278e-07 Prefactor = 1.18212 norm = 0.730126 Prefactor = 83.7929 Prefactor = 1.60592e-05 norm = 1.07316 norm = 1.99563e-07 Prefactor = 22.3817 Prefactor = 2.66454e-09 Prefactor = 23.9989 norm = 4.77319 norm = 3.61027 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.35069 norm = 6.33393 norm = 2.41923 Prefactor = 3.43059e-08 Prefactor = 6.4837e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.63919 Prefactor = 28.7434 Prefactor = 0 norm = 14.6178 norm = 2.73054 Prefactor = 5.62164 Normalizat = 0.829481 Prefactor = 1.10778 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9436.615 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 558 CALLS 1998 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 7.3217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 1.1821 2.4270 .37427E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .73013 1.5807 .59078E-03 -1.5691 4 Prefactor 83.793 25.860 .10891E-03 -1.5525 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 5.0966 .13378E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.0732 .61429 .11691E-02 -1.5687 7 norm .19956E-06 7.3741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 22.382 23.336 .20534E-03 -1.5613 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.253 .22022E-03 -1.5610 11 norm 4.7732 3.0217 .46016E-03 -1.5664 12 norm 3.6103 4.3578 .53163E-03 -1.5670 13 Prefactor .0000 53.669 .16400E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.2997 .48345E-03 -1.5666 15 norm 6.3339 1.2506 .39864E-04 -1.5658 16 norm 2.4192 2.1578 .65762E-03 -1.5677 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1625 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.3372 .38779E-03 -1.5656 21 Prefactor 28.743 29.422 .18683E-03 -1.5601 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1253 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 14.618 5.3418 .26162E-03 -1.5631 24 norm 2.7305 2.5348 .61636E-03 -1.5675 25 Prefactor 5.6216 17.205 .42376E-03 -1.5661 26 Normalizat .82948 .15176 .67182E-01 -.98984 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .13579 .54361E-01 -.89218 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.98302e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00201237 2 2.42697 3 1.5807 4 25.8602 5 0.0180939 6 0.614287 7 0.00242623 8 23.3357 9 0.000262571 10 53.2545 11 3.02174 12 4.35778 13 1.12526e-05 14 6.29974 15 1.25063 16 2.15775 17 0.00145757 18 0.00225227 19 1.39749e-07 20 9.33726 21 29.4223 22 1.92428e-05 23 5.34179 24 2.53483 25 17.2054 26 0.151837 27 0.135835 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9436.615 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 558 CALLS 1998 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .13828E-06 7.3217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 1.1821 2.4270 .37427E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .73013 1.5807 .59078E-03 -1.5691 4 Prefactor 83.793 25.860 .10891E-03 -1.5525 5 Prefactor .16059E-04 5.0966 .13378E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.0732 .61429 .11691E-02 -1.5687 7 norm .19956E-06 7.3741 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 22.382 23.336 .20534E-03 -1.5613 9 Prefactor .26645E-08 6.5313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.999 53.253 .22022E-03 -1.5610 11 norm 4.7732 3.0217 .46016E-03 -1.5664 12 norm 3.6103 4.3578 .53163E-03 -1.5670 13 Prefactor .0000 53.669 .16400E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 4.3507 6.2997 .48345E-03 -1.5666 15 norm 6.3339 1.2506 .39864E-04 -1.5658 16 norm 2.4192 2.1578 .65762E-03 -1.5677 17 Prefactor .34306E-07 15.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .64837E-07 19.568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.1625 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 6.6392 9.3372 .38779E-03 -1.5656 21 Prefactor 28.743 29.422 .18683E-03 -1.5601 22 Prefactor .0000 9.1253 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 14.618 5.3418 .26162E-03 -1.5631 24 norm 2.7305 2.5348 .61636E-03 -1.5675 25 Prefactor 5.6216 17.205 .42376E-03 -1.5661 26 Normalizat .82948 .15176 .67182E-01 -.98984 27 Prefactor 1.1078 .13579 .54361E-01 -.89218 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.98302e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00201237 2 2.42697 3 1.5807 4 25.8602 5 0.0180939 6 0.614287 7 0.00242623 8 23.3357 9 0.000262571 10 53.2545 11 3.02174 12 4.35778 13 1.12526e-05 14 6.29974 15 1.25063 16 2.15775 17 0.00145757 18 0.00225227 19 1.39749e-07 20 9.33726 21 29.4223 22 1.92428e-05 23 5.34179 24 2.53483 25 17.2054 26 0.151837 27 0.135835 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61510562 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 4.351e+00 6.300e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.108e+00 1.358e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.295e-01 1.518e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.20656820646e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00921595626123 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9436.48232035 delta logL = 0.132785270378 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9435.59239319 delta logL = 1.02271243156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14088E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.4323 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .74707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1656 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 388 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .97008 .61910 -.15666E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 .19734E-05 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.24918E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.970078 Normalizat = 0.834311 Prefactor = 1.11765 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 397 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9278 1.8685 -.15666E-04 -8.4874 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 -.98808 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.88905 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.09492e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.86285e-06 2 0.623702 3 1.17962 4 1.11852 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9437.02773637 delta logL = -0.412630754292 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.863e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 9.701e-01 6.237e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.118e+00 1.119e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.343e-01 1.180e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39530797/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='9.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.21e-07', time_completed='2026-09-30 08:27:32.047748', job_id='39530797', GAL2='1.12', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.83', EG='0.83', time_epoch_completed='1790782052.05', return_code2='101', ts='0.78', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='-4.13e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.23' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 08:27:32 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9436.61510562 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 4.351e+00 6.300e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 2.234e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.108e+00 1.358e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.295e-01 1.518e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.20656820646e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00921595626123 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/likelihoodResults_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9436.48232035 delta logL = 0.132785270378 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9435.59239319 delta logL = 1.02271243156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14088E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.4323 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .74707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1656 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7030E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 388 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .97008 .61910 -.15666E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 .19734E-05 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.24918E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.970078 Normalizat = 0.834311 Prefactor = 1.11765 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9437.028 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 397 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9278 1.8685 -.15666E-04 -8.4874 3 Normalizat .83431 1.1437 .45436E-05 -.98808 4 Prefactor 1.1176 1.0952 -.14831E-05 -.88905 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.09492e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.86285e-06 2 0.623702 3 1.17962 4 1.11852 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9437.02773637 delta logL = -0.412630754292 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1047.7+7238 Spectrum: PowerLaw 374 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.863e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 375 Index: 9.701e-01 6.237e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 376 Scale: 2.160e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 700 Prefactor: 1.118e+00 1.119e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 701 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 702 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 699 Normalization: 8.343e-01 1.180e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.78 Ra Dec: 161.939 72.642 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39530843/cmap_HighResolution_812160001_812419201_4FGL_J1047.7+7238_daily_bin2210.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='9.22e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.21e-07', time_completed='2026-09-30 08:27:58.047572', job_id='39530843', GAL2='1.12', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.83', EG='0.83', time_epoch_completed='1790782078.05', return_code2='101', ts='0.78', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='-4.13e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.23' WHERE bin_id='2210' AND source_name='4FGL J1047.7+7238' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 30 08:27:58 PDT 2026