********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.503 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 485 CALLS 2745 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16931E-07 5.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 12.881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .11102E-09 14.527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .29421E-08 2.4386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 21.517 12.817 .21563E-03 -1.5615 6 Prefactor 1.7709 5.1133 .78456E-03 -1.5681 7 Prefactor 2.2881 4.0065 .68160E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .88461 2.0884 .47226E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.4724 .74483E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm .11102E-09 2.1399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 36.814 41.269 .16521E-03 -1.5587 12 Prefactor 11.306 18.010 .29825E-03 -1.5641 13 Prefactor 2.7938 3.5644 .60823E-03 -1.5675 14 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.1498 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 116.67 94.771 .92637E-04 -1.5492 16 norm 1.4322 .32044 .44639E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .11657E-07 5.6300 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .31086E-08 9.8090 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 27.895 66.914 .19338E-03 -1.5602 20 norm 10.660 9.1864 .30656E-03 -1.5643 21 Prefactor .13378E-07 5.9713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .53291E-08 78.821 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 9.1377 3.3172 .33135E-03 -1.5648 24 Normalizat 1.0145 .15163 .44329E-01 -.92546 25 Prefactor .67865 .18450 .69254E-01 -1.0437 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.09601e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000588706 2 0.000268806 3 7.93206e-05 4 0.000169191 5 12.817 6 5.11334 7 4.00652 8 2.08842 9 7.7043e-05 10 3.18063e-05 11 41.2697 12 18.0103 13 3.56437 14 0.000145224 15 94.7718 16 0.320444 17 0.00051255 18 0.000347745 19 66.9154 20 9.18639 21 0.00056555 22 0.00129623 23 3.31717 24 0.151692 25 0.184663 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.5030785 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.794e+00 3.564e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.786e-01 1.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.014e+00 1.517e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.96768514383e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0061619119844 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31254083/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36352799 delta logL = 0.139550509741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714459739 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.0288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.9022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0037 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68749 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6810E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5832.361 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 45 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 52.393 .72605E-03 .28289E-02 2 Index 2.9022 6.4338 .22341 -.29504E-05 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .39140E-01 .46213E-01 .27964E-05 4 Prefactor .68750 .49662E-01 .68844E-01 .27852E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.02877 Index = 2.90215 Normalizat = 1.00369 Prefactor = 0.687497 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.361 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 268 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 3.5725 .11381E-04 -1.5679 2 Index 2.9022 1.1047 .80179E-02 -.43297 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .17172 .20262E-03 -.92907 4 Prefactor .68750 .21520 .30465E-03 -1.0402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.961e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.57254 2 1.11592 3 0.171818 4 0.215461 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714464231 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.029e+00 3.573e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.902e+00 1.116e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.875e-01 2.155e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.004e+00 1.718e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.08 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.90 +/- 1.12 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.84e-08 +/- 3.16e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.97e-06 +/- 7.09e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31254083/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.16e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='5.97e-06', dlogl='1.42e-01', photon_flux2='2.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-10 13:51:51.333198', photon_index_error2='1.12', photon_index2='2.90', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.68', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.97e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.09e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1783716711.33', return_code='0', job_id='31254083', GAL2='0.69', EG2='1.00', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.16e-08', ts2='1.08', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1033.1+4115' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jul 10 13:51:51 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 8.95 user 8.37 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 70.71 user 65.84 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 215 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1033.1+4115 @ 158.275 41.262 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=158.275 yref=41.262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=158.275 yref=41.262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 number of points = 7429 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173 RA = 158.275, Dec = 41.262 tmin = 802569601, tmax = 802828801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31254626', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-10 13:51:39.405695', time_epoch_executed='1783716699.41' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1033.1+4115' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2173' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802569601.0 && nMetStart<802828801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits ra=158.275 dec=41.262 rad=12.0 tmin=802569601.0 tmax=802828801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.30 user 2.68 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.78 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 546 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfWorking on... /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 22.20 user 20.60 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31254379/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1033.1+4115' 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 3.495e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.50556602 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.50387661 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .16716E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .25372E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .53448E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .27606E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 21.519 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.7785 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 2.2686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .87896 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19455E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .94982E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 36.645 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 11.264 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.7956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .94626E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 116.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4318 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .36615E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .40167E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 26.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 10.664 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48295E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .17903E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 9.1356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.0145 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .67901 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6810E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5832.503 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2260 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16931E-07 3.7403 -.15978E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 12.883 .23075E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .11102E-09 14.505 -.17972E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .29421E-08 2.4286 -.25552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 21.517 10.200 .15539E-05 -.17386E-01 6 Prefactor 1.7709 5.0681 -.32362E-06 .29939E-03 7 Prefactor 2.2881 3.4057 .50561E-07 -.14600E-03 8 norm .88461 2.0730 -.81830E-07 .12538E-02 9 Prefactor .61062E-09 27.113 .68060E-07** at limit ** 10 norm .11102E-09 2.1349 .42200E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 36.814 1.7785 .76146E-07 -.19096E-01 12 Prefactor 11.306 1.3741 -.15247E-06 .45899E-02 13 Prefactor 2.7938 3.5481 .47618E-07 -.76376E-02 14 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.0696 -.68566E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 116.67 8.0689 .16095E-06 -.78421E-01 16 norm 1.4322 .32038 .10702E-07 .37662E-01 17 Prefactor .11657E-07 4.1609 .10319E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .31086E-08 9.7843 -.61424E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 27.895 66.927 .10725E-05 .46758E-02 20 norm 10.660 9.1785 .67931E-07 .82848E-03 21 Prefactor .13378E-07 5.5663 .79084E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .53291E-08 78.662 .13847E-06** at limit ** 23 norm 9.1377 3.3074 .41695E-08 -.27749E-02 24 Normalizat 1.0145 .17634 -.46989E-05 -.48020E-04 25 Prefactor .67865 .21543 .28170E-05 -.33060E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 1.38778e-09 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.94209e-09 norm = 21.5167 Prefactor = 1.77091 Prefactor = 2.28808 norm = 0.884613 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.8138 Prefactor = 11.3061 Prefactor = 2.79378 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 116.674 norm = 1.43219 Prefactor = 1.16573e-08 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 Prefactor = 27.8946 norm = 10.6596 Prefactor = 1.33782e-08 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 norm = 9.13769 Normalizat = 1.0145 Prefactor = 0.678648 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.503 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 485 CALLS 2745 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16931E-07 5.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 12.881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .11102E-09 14.527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .29421E-08 2.4386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 21.517 12.817 .21563E-03 -1.5615 6 Prefactor 1.7709 5.1133 .78456E-03 -1.5681 7 Prefactor 2.2881 4.0065 .68160E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .88461 2.0884 .47226E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.4724 .74483E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm .11102E-09 2.1399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 36.814 41.269 .16521E-03 -1.5587 12 Prefactor 11.306 18.010 .29825E-03 -1.5641 13 Prefactor 2.7938 3.5644 .60823E-03 -1.5675 14 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.1498 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 116.67 94.771 .92637E-04 -1.5492 16 norm 1.4322 .32044 .44639E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .11657E-07 5.6300 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .31086E-08 9.8090 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 27.895 66.914 .19338E-03 -1.5602 20 norm 10.660 9.1864 .30656E-03 -1.5643 21 Prefactor .13378E-07 5.9713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .53291E-08 78.821 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 9.1377 3.3172 .33135E-03 -1.5648 24 Normalizat 1.0145 .15163 .44329E-01 -.92546 25 Prefactor .67865 .18450 .69254E-01 -1.0437 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.09601e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000588706 2 0.000268806 3 7.93206e-05 4 0.000169191 5 12.817 6 5.11334 7 4.00652 8 2.08842 9 7.7043e-05 10 3.18063e-05 11 41.2697 12 18.0103 13 3.56437 14 0.000145224 15 94.7718 16 0.320444 17 0.00051255 18 0.000347745 19 66.9154 20 9.18639 21 0.00056555 22 0.00129623 23 3.31717 24 0.151692 25 0.184663 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.5030785 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.794e+00 3.564e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.786e-01 1.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.014e+00 1.517e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.96768514383e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0061619119844 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36352799 delta logL = 0.139550509741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714459739 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.0288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.9022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0037 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68749 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6810E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5832.361 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 45 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 52.393 .72605E-03 .28289E-02 2 Index 2.9022 6.4338 .22341 -.29504E-05 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .39140E-01 .46213E-01 .27964E-05 4 Prefactor .68750 .49662E-01 .68844E-01 .27852E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.02877 Index = 2.90215 Normalizat = 1.00369 Prefactor = 0.687497 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.361 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 268 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 3.5725 .11381E-04 -1.5679 2 Index 2.9022 1.1047 .80179E-02 -.43297 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .17172 .20262E-03 -.92907 4 Prefactor .68750 .21520 .30465E-03 -1.0402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.961e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.57254 2 1.11592 3 0.171818 4 0.215461 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714464231 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.029e+00 3.573e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.902e+00 1.116e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.875e-01 2.155e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.004e+00 1.718e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.08 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.90 +/- 1.12 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.84e-08 +/- 3.16e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.97e-06 +/- 7.09e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31254379/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.16e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='5.97e-06', dlogl='1.42e-01', photon_flux2='2.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-10 13:55:21.569611', photon_index_error2='1.12', photon_index2='2.90', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.68', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.97e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.09e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1783716921.57', return_code='0', job_id='31254379', GAL2='0.69', EG2='1.00', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.16e-08', ts2='1.08', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1033.1+4115' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jul 10 13:55:21 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 9.58 user 8.05 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits .....................! real 73.43 user 66.13 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 215 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1033.1+4115 @ 158.275 41.262 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/cmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=158.275 yref=41.262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.25 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=158.275 yref=41.262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.24 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits.....................! real 23.47 user 20.53 sys 1.43 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31254626/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1033.1+4115' 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 3.495e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ft2_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/expmap_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/ltcube_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/Model_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.50556602 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.50387661 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .16716E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .25372E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .53448E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .27606E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 21.519 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.7785 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 2.2686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .87896 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19455E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .94982E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 36.645 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 11.264 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.7956 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .94626E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 116.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.4318 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .36615E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .40167E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 26.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 10.664 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48295E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .17903E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 9.1356 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Normalizat' 1.0145 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 25 'Prefactor ' .67901 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6810E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5832.503 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2260 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .16931E-07 3.7403 -.15978E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 12.883 .23075E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .11102E-09 14.505 -.17972E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .29421E-08 2.4286 -.25552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 21.517 10.200 .15539E-05 -.17386E-01 6 Prefactor 1.7709 5.0681 -.32362E-06 .29939E-03 7 Prefactor 2.2881 3.4057 .50561E-07 -.14600E-03 8 norm .88461 2.0730 -.81830E-07 .12538E-02 9 Prefactor .61062E-09 27.113 .68060E-07** at limit ** 10 norm .11102E-09 2.1349 .42200E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 36.814 1.7785 .76146E-07 -.19096E-01 12 Prefactor 11.306 1.3741 -.15247E-06 .45899E-02 13 Prefactor 2.7938 3.5481 .47618E-07 -.76376E-02 14 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.0696 -.68566E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 116.67 8.0689 .16095E-06 -.78421E-01 16 norm 1.4322 .32038 .10702E-07 .37662E-01 17 Prefactor .11657E-07 4.1609 .10319E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .31086E-08 9.7843 -.61424E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 27.895 66.927 .10725E-05 .46758E-02 20 norm 10.660 9.1785 .67931E-07 .82848E-03 21 Prefactor .13378E-07 5.5663 .79084E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .53291E-08 78.662 .13847E-06** at limit ** 23 norm 9.1377 3.3074 .41695E-08 -.27749E-02 24 Normalizat 1.0145 .17634 -.46989E-05 -.48020E-04 25 Prefactor .67865 .21543 .28170E-05 -.33060E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.69309e-08 Prefactor = 1.38778e-09 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 2.94209e-09 norm = 21.5167 Prefactor = 1.77091 Prefactor = 2.28808 norm = 0.884613 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 36.8138 Prefactor = 11.3061 Prefactor = 2.79378 Prefactor = 9.99201e-10 Prefactor = 116.674 norm = 1.43219 Prefactor = 1.16573e-08 Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 Prefactor = 27.8946 norm = 10.6596 Prefactor = 1.33782e-08 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 norm = 9.13769 Normalizat = 1.0145 Prefactor = 0.678648 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.503 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 485 CALLS 2745 TOTAL EDM= .51E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .16931E-07 5.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 12.881 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .11102E-09 14.527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .29421E-08 2.4386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 21.517 12.817 .21563E-03 -1.5615 6 Prefactor 1.7709 5.1133 .78456E-03 -1.5681 7 Prefactor 2.2881 4.0065 .68160E-03 -1.5678 8 norm .88461 2.0884 .47226E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.4724 .74483E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm .11102E-09 2.1399 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 36.814 41.269 .16521E-03 -1.5587 12 Prefactor 11.306 18.010 .29825E-03 -1.5641 13 Prefactor 2.7938 3.5644 .60823E-03 -1.5675 14 Prefactor .99920E-09 5.1498 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 116.67 94.771 .92637E-04 -1.5492 16 norm 1.4322 .32044 .44639E-03 -1.5684 17 Prefactor .11657E-07 5.6300 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .31086E-08 9.8090 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 27.895 66.914 .19338E-03 -1.5602 20 norm 10.660 9.1864 .30656E-03 -1.5643 21 Prefactor .13378E-07 5.9713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .53291E-08 78.821 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 9.1377 3.3172 .33135E-03 -1.5648 24 Normalizat 1.0145 .15163 .44329E-01 -.92546 25 Prefactor .67865 .18450 .69254E-01 -1.0437 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.09601e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000588706 2 0.000268806 3 7.93206e-05 4 0.000169191 5 12.817 6 5.11334 7 4.00652 8 2.08842 9 7.7043e-05 10 3.18063e-05 11 41.2697 12 18.0103 13 3.56437 14 0.000145224 15 94.7718 16 0.320444 17 0.00051255 18 0.000347745 19 66.9154 20 9.18639 21 0.00056555 22 0.00129623 23 3.31717 24 0.151692 25 0.184663 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5832.5030785 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.794e+00 3.564e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.412e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.786e-01 1.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.014e+00 1.517e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.96768514383e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0061619119844 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/likelihoodResults_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36352799 delta logL = 0.139550509741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714459739 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.0288 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.9022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0037 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68749 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6810E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 5832.361 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 45 CALLS 235 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 52.393 .72605E-03 .28289E-02 2 Index 2.9022 6.4338 .22341 -.29504E-05 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .39140E-01 .46213E-01 .27964E-05 4 Prefactor .68750 .49662E-01 .68844E-01 .27852E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.02877 Index = 2.90215 Normalizat = 1.00369 Prefactor = 0.687497 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5832.361 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 268 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.0288 3.5725 .11381E-04 -1.5679 2 Index 2.9022 1.1047 .80179E-02 -.43297 3 Normalizat 1.0037 .17172 .20262E-03 -.92907 4 Prefactor .68750 .21520 .30465E-03 -1.0402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.961e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.57254 2 1.11592 3 0.171818 4 0.215461 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5832.36136404 delta logL = 0.141714464231 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1033.1+4115 Spectrum: PowerLaw 339 Prefactor: 2.029e+00 3.573e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 340 Index: 2.902e+00 1.116e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 341 Scale: 6.847e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 678 Prefactor: 6.875e-01 2.155e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 679 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 680 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 677 Normalization: 1.004e+00 1.718e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.08 Ra Dec: 158.275 41.262 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.90 +/- 1.12 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.84e-08 +/- 3.16e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 5.97e-06 +/- 7.09e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31254626/cmap_HighResolution_802569601_802828801_4FGL_J1033.1+4115_daily_bin2173.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.16e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='5.97e-06', dlogl='1.42e-01', photon_flux2='2.84e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-10 13:58:59.995597', photon_index_error2='1.12', photon_index2='2.90', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.68', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.97e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.09e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1783717140.0', return_code='0', job_id='31254626', GAL2='0.69', EG2='1.00', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='3.16e-08', ts2='1.08', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2173' AND source_name='4FGL J1033.1+4115' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jul 10 13:59:00 PDT 2026