/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 74156 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205 RA = 157.909, Dec = 60.3178 tmin = 768355201, tmax = 770947201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='5888842', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-06-07 06:16:08.829441', time_epoch_executed='1749302168.83' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1031.6+6019' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='205' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits ra=157.909 dec=60.3178 rad=12.0 tmin=768355201.0 tmax=770947201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 19.89 user 17.72 sys 0.87 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.72 user 0.39 sys 0.19 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 8091 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits .....................! real 79.64 user 78.15 sys 0.38 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits .....................! real 67.90 user 62.56 sys 3.98 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 246 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1031.6+6019 @ 157.909 60.3178 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/cmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=157.909 yref=60.3178 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 3.24 user 0.36 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/cmap_HighResolution_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=157.909 yref=60.3178 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 3.07 user 0.36 sys 0.16 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/Model_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits.....................! real 267.75 user 262.82 sys 0.67 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/5888842/Model_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1031.6+6019' 4FGL J1031.6+6019 Spectrum: PowerLaw 418 Prefactor: 9.245e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 419 Index: 2.613e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 420 Scale: 9.651e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ft2_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/Model_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 86795.2738597 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 86790.1554166 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .80930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .47351E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .51254 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .41767 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .92537E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .34484E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .43207E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.3327 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .55561E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .57938 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.2977 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.6359 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .81372 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .49039E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .39411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.7766 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .59282E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.1910 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .71108 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 15.776 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' 2.4265 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .20834E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 10.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .88381 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 9.4119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .45232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.7258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'norm ' 1.8093 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .13822E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 1.7335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 12.554 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.1118 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .94269 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 86790.16 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 180 CALLS 1944 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .80915 .19469 .35662E-08 .74208E-01 2 Prefactor .0000 .72720 -.21772E-08** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .51289 .67751 .29093E-08 .18340E-02 4 Prefactor .41742 1.0662 .50200E-08 .14634E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 .69452 .19348E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .55511E-10 .51302 -.18567E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .22204E-08 7.5245 .12376E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 1.3329 .15094 -.97630E-09 -.49254E-01 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 1.3974 .28675E-07** at limit ** 10 norm .57935 .14346 .64397E-10 .35335E-01 11 norm 4.2974 .74745 .49149E-08 .34026E-01 12 Prefactor 4.6114 7.7105 -.46310E-07 .20793E-02 13 norm .81400 1.5012 .71600E-08 .38760E-02 14 Prefactor .27756E-09 1.4279 -.78753E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .39389 .27956 -.56944E-08 -.14221E-01 16 norm 1.7766 .39303 .28537E-08 -.89909E-02 17 Prefactor .60119E-07 171.97 -.23921E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 3.1910 .26599 .38373E-08 .94065E-01 19 norm .71090 .51324 -.12403E-07 .47047E-03 20 Prefactor 16.075 17.744 -.48869E-07 -.96981E-03 21 norm 2.4250 .57349 -.11372E-07 -.74565E-02 22 Prefactor .16653E-08 7.8493 -.11146E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 10.037 2.4061 .12789E-06 .10194E-01 24 Prefactor .88306 1.4871 -.90138E-07 .47523E-02 25 Prefactor 9.4054 5.5230 .37968E-06 .58798E-03 26 Prefactor .44964 2.5507 -.29544E-07 -.21058E-02 27 Prefactor 2.7258 .96456 .23940E-08 .82434E-02 28 norm 1.8077 1.4975 .16626E-07 .12487E-01 29 norm .55511E-10 1.0755 .44286E-07** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 1.7343 1.3154 .56555E-07 -.74109E-02 31 Prefactor 12.554 5.0962 -.46211E-06 .90733E-02 32 Normalizat 1.1118 .49830E-01 -.24978E-06 .30100E-02 33 Prefactor .94267 .53521E-01 .38757E-06 .29596E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.809154 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.512892 Prefactor = 0.417422 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.22045e-09 norm = 1.33287 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.579352 norm = 4.29737 Prefactor = 4.61143 norm = 0.814 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.393891 norm = 1.77659 Prefactor = 6.01186e-08 norm = 3.19099 norm = 0.710903 Prefactor = 16.0754 norm = 2.42498 Prefactor = 1.66533e-09 Prefactor = 10.0372 Prefactor = 0.883057 Prefactor = 9.40538 Prefactor = 0.449642 Prefactor = 2.72578 norm = 1.80768 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.73432 Prefactor = 12.5536 Normalizat = 1.11182 Prefactor = 0.942674 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 86790.16 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 787 CALLS 2731 TOTAL EDM= .36E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .80915 .19656 .52244E-03 -1.5690 2 Prefactor .0000 .72532 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .51289 .68850 .77457E-03 -1.5694 4 Prefactor .41742 1.0908 .87468E-03 -1.5695 5 Prefactor .0000 .68827 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .55511E-10 .51174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .22204E-08 7.5512 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 1.3329 .15170 .83710E-03 -1.5685 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 .24631 .56285E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm .57935 .14509 .71096E-03 -1.5693 11 norm 4.2974 .74923 .48572E-03 -1.5667 12 Prefactor 4.6114 7.7313 .46720E-03 -1.5665 13 norm .81400 1.5150 .51918E-03 -1.5690 14 Prefactor .27756E-09 1.4274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .39389 .32511 .30207E-02 -1.5695 16 norm 1.7766 .39362 .78508E-03 -1.5681 17 Prefactor .60119E-07 172.89 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 3.1910 .26878 .56699E-03 -1.5672 19 norm .71090 .52268 .59814E-03 -1.5691 20 Prefactor 16.075 17.780 .25190E-03 -1.5628 21 norm 2.4250 .58497 .65672E-03 -1.5677 22 Prefactor .16653E-08 7.9031 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 10.037 5.2641 .31604E-03 -1.5645 24 Prefactor .88306 1.5196 .46886E-03 -1.5689 25 Prefactor 9.4054 5.5967 .32642E-03 -1.5647 26 Prefactor .44964 2.5656 .83659E-03 -1.5695 27 Prefactor 2.7258 .96493 .61654E-03 -1.5675 28 norm 1.8077 1.5065 .77649E-03 -1.5681 29 norm .55511E-10 .16775 .63494E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 1.7343 1.3580 .79688E-03 -1.5682 31 Prefactor 12.554 5.5290 .28247E-03 -1.5637 32 Normalizat 1.1118 .45530E-01 .37540E-01 -.89373 33 Prefactor .94267 .47798E-01 .45547E-01 -.94666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.59652e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.196559 2 4.00909e-06 3 0.688498 4 1.09075 5 5.31186e-06 6 1.16573e-05 7 0.000257919 8 0.151697 9 1.64677e-05 10 0.145087 11 0.749234 12 7.73131 13 1.51495 14 4.15556e-05 15 0.325107 16 0.393624 17 0.00644834 18 0.268777 19 0.522677 20 17.7803 21 0.584965 22 0.000228174 23 5.26406 24 1.51964 25 5.59674 26 2.14812 27 0.964933 28 1.50652 29 5.12537e-06 30 1.35795 31 5.52898 32 0.0455315 33 0.0478004 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 86790.1552219 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1031.6+6019 Spectrum: PowerLaw 418 Prefactor: 2.776e-10 4.156e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 419 Index: 2.613e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 420 Scale: 9.651e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 784 Prefactor: 9.427e-01 4.780e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 785 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 786 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 783 Normalization: 1.112e+00 4.553e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 157.909 60.318 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.06876355169e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.000837094984375 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/likelihoodResults_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 86790.1562999 delta logL = -0.00107795854274 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 86790.1552223 delta logL = -4.16810507886e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10620E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8976 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1118 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94269 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7870E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 86790.16 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .61062E-09 .27330E-01 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.2798 8.0174 .50000 .10914E-08 3 Normalizat 1.1118 .11269E-03 .37540E-01 -.68274E-03 4 Prefactor .94267 .12547E-03 .45547E-01 -.74118E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Index = 2.2798 Normalizat = 1.11182 Prefactor = 0.942672 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 86790.16 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 292 TOTAL EDM= .23E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .61062E-09 .15525 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.2798 7.6337 .50000 -.57524 3 Normalizat 1.1118 .26727E-03 .22936E-03 -.89373 4 Prefactor .94267 .29747E-03 .27347E-03 -.94666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.2822e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.91383e-05 2 4740.11 3 0.000267268 4 0.000297471 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 86790.1552219 delta logL = 3.49245965481e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1031.6+6019 Spectrum: PowerLaw 418 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 1.914e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 419 Index: 2.280e+00 4.740e+03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 420 Scale: 9.651e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 784 Prefactor: 9.427e-01 2.975e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 785 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 786 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 783 Normalization: 1.112e+00 2.673e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 157.909 60.318 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/5888842/cmap_HighResolution_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1031.6+6019_monthly_bin205.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.37e-04', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.07e-08', time_completed='2025-06-07 08:01:03.499174', job_id='5888842', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.11', EG='1.11', time_epoch_completed='1749308463.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='3.49e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.61' WHERE bin_id='205' AND source_name='4FGL J1031.6+6019' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jun 7 08:01:03 PDT 2025