 **********
 **   18 **HESSE 
 **********

 FCN=   4429.710     FROM HESSE     STATUS=OK           231 CALLS     1338 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .12E-06    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 

  EXT PARAMETER                                INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  Prefactor      .0000        7.6103        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   2  Prefactor     21.871        22.395        .21388E-03   -1.5614    
   3  Prefactor     .11102E-09    15.436        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   4  Prefactor     .11102E-09    16.291        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   5  Prefactor     22.011        30.235        .21298E-03   -1.5614    
   6  Prefactor     13.525        18.654        .27130E-03   -1.5634    
   7  norm          24.917        11.895        .20036E-03   -1.5608    
   8  norm           .0000        1.3934        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   9  norm           .0000        .24872        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  10  norm           .0000        1.2073        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  11  norm           .0000        4.0225        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  12  Prefactor     15.535        61.439        .24119E-03   -1.5629    
  13  Prefactor     .55511E-10    25.527        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  14  Prefactor     5.7301        9.5261        .42056E-03   -1.5660    
  15  Normalizat    1.5054        .24347        .57379E-01   -.77628    
  16  Prefactor     .68922        .15569        .42260E-01   -1.0395    
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Minuit fit quality: 3   estimated distance: 1.16843e-07
Minuit parameter uncertainties:
  1  1.97463e-06
  2  22.3948
  3  8.9569e-05
  4  8.44179e-05
  5  30.2349
  6  18.6544
  7  11.8948
  8  2.05561e-06
  9  6.43559e-07
  10  2.11105e-07
  11  1.3619e-06
  12  61.4418
  13  8.27749e-05
  14  9.52613
  15  0.243659
  16  0.155791
/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits
  PyFITSDeprecationWarning)  # noqa

Likelihood Analysis Tool
Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov)

Importing modules...
This is make3FGLxml version 01r0.
The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher.
This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09.
The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations.

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead.
  warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1)

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0
logL (Fixed Index) = 4429.71004936

Extracting fit parameters...

4FGL J0953.0-0840
   Spectrum: LogParabola
241         norm:  0.000e+00  2.111e-07  0.000e+00  1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12)
242        alpha:  1.803e+00  0.000e+00  0.000e+00  5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
243         beta:  4.647e-02  0.000e+00 -5.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
244           Eb:  1.364e+03  0.000e+00  3.000e+01  5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

GAL_V02
   Spectrum: PowerLaw
532    Prefactor:  6.892e-01  1.558e-01  0.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)
533        Index:  0.000e+00  0.000e+00 -1.000e+00  1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
534        Scale:  1.000e+02  0.000e+00  5.000e+01  2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

EG_v02
   Spectrum: FileFunction
531   Normalization:  1.505e+00  2.437e-01  1.000e-02  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)


TS (Fixed Index): 0.00
Ra Dec: 148.263 -8.669
Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.941883809e-08 ph cm-2 s-1
Energy Flux Upper Limit: None

Saving results to:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982317/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.txt

Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit...

Freezing all point sources, except source of interest...

Done.

Freeing candidate source...
Done.

Fit tolerance = 1

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102
logL (Free Index) = 4429.71018128
delta logL = -0.000131913488076

Fit tolerance = 0.0001

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102
logL (Free Index) = 4429.71005467
delta logL = -5.30920442543e-06

Fit tolerance = 1e-08

Performing likelihood fit...
 **********
 **   14 **SET NOWARN 
 **********

 PARAMETER DEFINITIONS:
    NO.   NAME         VALUE      STEP SIZE      LIMITS
     1 'norm      '    .81158E-04   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     2 'alpha     '    2.9284       1.0000          .0000       5.0000    
     3 'Normalizat'    1.5052       1.0000         .10000E-01   10.000    
     4 'Prefactor '    .68926       1.0000          .0000       10.000    
 **********
 **   15 **SET ERR    .5000    
 **********
 **********
 **   16 **SET GRAD    1.000    
 **********
 **********
 **   17 **MINIMIZE    .5350E+05   .2000E-04
 **********

 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.

 MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX.

 FCN=   4429.710     FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=CONVERGED     77 CALLS      296 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .76E-13    STRATEGY= 1      ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF

  EXT PARAMETER                APPROXIMATE        STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  norm          .38858E-09    .46136E-03    .29851E-02** at limit **
   2  alpha         2.6261        3.3293        .41942       -.29816E-09
   3  Normalizat    1.5054        .17122E-03    .57379E-01    .34393E-03
   4  Prefactor     .68922        .11256E-03    .42258E-01    .46010E-03
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Final values: 
  norm       = 3.88578e-10
  alpha      = 2.6261
  Normalizat = 1.50536
  Prefactor  = 0.689223
 **********
 **   18 **HESSE 
 **********

 FCN=   4429.710     FROM HESSE     STATUS=NOT POSDEF    31 CALLS      327 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .19E-10    STRATEGY= 1      ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF

  EXT PARAMETER                APPROXIMATE     INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  norm          .38858E-09    .32686        .10139E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   2  alpha         2.6261        3.5967        .50000        .50460E-01
   3  Normalizat    1.5054        .18129E-02    .25372E-03   -.77628    
   4  Prefactor     .68922        .11917E-02    .23467E-03   -1.0395    
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Minuit fit quality: 2   estimated distance: 1.89989e-11
Minuit parameter uncertainties:
  1  2.19666e-05
  2  12803.9
  3  0.00181288
  4  0.00119168
shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102
logL (Free Index) = 4429.71004936
delta logL = -1.80989445653e-10

Extracting fit parameters...

4FGL J0953.0-0840
   Spectrum: LogParabola
241         norm:  3.886e-10  2.197e-05  0.000e+00  1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12)
242        alpha:  2.626e+00  1.280e+04  0.000e+00  5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00)
243         beta:  4.647e-02  0.000e+00 -5.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
244           Eb:  1.364e+03  0.000e+00  3.000e+01  5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

GAL_V02
   Spectrum: PowerLaw
532    Prefactor:  6.892e-01  1.192e-03  0.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)
533        Index:  0.000e+00  0.000e+00 -1.000e+00  1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
534        Scale:  1.000e+02  0.000e+00  5.000e+01  2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

EG_v02
   Spectrum: FileFunction
531   Normalization:  1.505e+00  1.813e-03  1.000e-02  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)


TS (Free Index): 0.00
Ra Dec: 148.263 -8.669

Creating a high resolution counts map...
INFO: Auto-setting vmin to  0.000e+00 [aplpy.core]
INFO: Auto-setting vmax to  0.000e+00 [aplpy.core]
Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38982317/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.png

Cleaning up...

** Nuclear option initiated! **

Updating database...

UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.94e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 07:20:10.903988', job_id='38982317', GAL2='0.69', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.51', EG='1.51', time_epoch_completed='1790259610.9', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='-1.81e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.80' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J0953.0-0840' AND cadence='daily';

Database successfully updated.


Analysis Complete.


Thu Sep 24 07:20:10 PDT 2026

number of points = 7370
number of fields = 31
RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified.
Done.


Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208
RA = 148.263, Dec = -8.6695
tmin = 811641601, tmax = 811900801
emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0
irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2
ROI = 12
zmax = 90

Fitting strategies:
Fix sources to their catalog values = True
Leave variable source normalizations free = True
Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False
Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True
Remove all catalog sources = False
Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False
Freeze Galactic component = False

Likelihood fit parameters:
Statistic: UNBINNED
Optimizer: MINUIT

Catalog: 4FGL

Repository job = True

LAT data source:
Data catalog

Updating database...

UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38982530', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-24 07:20:04.331612', time_epoch_executed='1790259604.33' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0953.0-0840' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2208'

Database successfully updated.
Done.

Creating custom output directory:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530

Creating custom pfile directory:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/pfiles/

Retrieving the FT1 file...

Issuing command:
datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305

Issuing command:
datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA

Retrieving 46 files...
Done.


Merging files...

Checksum keywords updated successfully.

Merged file saved to:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits


Retrieving the FT1 file...

Issuing command:
datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA

Retrieving 47 files...
Done.


Merging files...

Merged file saved to:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits


Selecting the photons:
time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits ra=148.263 dec=-8.6695 rad=12.0 tmin=811641601.0 tmax=811900801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

Done.
real 2.30
user 1.96
sys 0.20

Adding sun position to ft2 file:
/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits

Selecting the good time intervals:
time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

This is gtmktime version HEAD
Applying GTI filter:
IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))
real 0.43
user 0.20
sys 0.11

Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 379

Generating the livetime cube:
time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
.....................!
real 7.54
user 7.06
sys 0.22

Generating the exposure map:
time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant
to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only.
Do not use them for binned analyses.
Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
.....................!
real 63.30
user 59.24
sys 3.57

Generating the xml model:
radLim = 0.001
maxRad = 12
normsOnly = True
freeVariableSources = True
Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources
Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL
Added 165 point sources and 0 extended sources

Setting source of interest to:
4FGL J0953.0-0840 @ 148.263 -8.6695

Creating the counts map:
time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/cmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=148.263 yref=-8.6695 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

This is gtbin version HEAD
real 0.64
user 0.20
sys 0.13

Creating the high resolution counts map:
time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=148.263 yref=-8.6695 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

This is gtbin version HEAD
real 0.49
user 0.23
sys 0.14

Computing the diffuse response:
time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/Model_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql"

WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41).

adding source EG_v02
adding source GAL_V02
Working on...
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits......................!
real 19.67
user 18.31
sys 0.96

Creating the likelihood object...
obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2')
like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/Model_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT')

Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0953.0-0840'

4FGL J0953.0-0840
   Spectrum: LogParabola
241         norm:  1.258e+00  0.000e+00  0.000e+00  1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12)
242        alpha:  1.803e+00  0.000e+00  0.000e+00  5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
243         beta:  4.647e-02  0.000e+00 -5.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
244           Eb:  1.364e+03  0.000e+00  3.000e+01  5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed


Likelihood Fit Parameters:
Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ft2_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.fits
IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2
Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/Model_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.xml
Optimizer: MINUIT
Statistic: UNBINNED

Performing an iterative likelihood fit...

Fit tolerance = 1

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0
logL (Fixed Index) = 4303.01736462

Fit tolerance = 0.0001

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0
logL (Fixed Index) = 4303.00948035

Fit tolerance = 1e-08

Performing likelihood fit...
 **********
 **   14 **SET NOWARN 
 **********

 PARAMETER DEFINITIONS:
    NO.   NAME         VALUE      STEP SIZE      LIMITS
     1 'Prefactor '    .76140E-04   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     2 'Prefactor '    22.437       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     3 'Prefactor '    .51227E-02   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     4 'Prefactor '    .23708E-03   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     5 'Prefactor '    25.605       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     6 'Prefactor '    16.841       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     7 'norm      '    20.249       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     8 'norm      '    .44409E-09   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     9 'norm      '    .33862E-08   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    10 'norm      '    .30032E-07   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    11 'norm      '    .15544E-05   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    12 'Prefactor '    14.281       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    13 'Prefactor '    .11445E-01   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    14 'Prefactor '    5.7109       1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
    15 'Normalizat'    1.3787       1.0000         .10000E-01   10.000    
    16 'Prefactor '    .69132       1.0000          .0000       10.000    
 **********
 **   15 **SET ERR    .5000    
 **********
 **********
 **   16 **SET GRAD    1.000    
 **********
 **********
 **   17 **MINIMIZE    .5350E+05   .2000E-04
 **********

 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.

 MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX.

 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.

 FCN=   4303.008     FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=CONVERGED    351 CALLS     1342 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .51E-10  STRATEGY=1  ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=   .3%

  EXT PARAMETER                                   STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  Prefactor      .0000        7.7242        .86146E-09** at limit **
   2  Prefactor     22.542        22.175        .24211E-07   -.27873E-04
   3  Prefactor      .0000        16.055       -.30779E-09** at limit **
   4  Prefactor      .0000        19.064        .48102E-08** at limit **
   5  Prefactor     25.865        32.904       -.44774E-07   -.13310E-02
   6  Prefactor     16.867        19.735        .16893E-07    .83694E-04
   7  norm          20.299        11.583        .18568E-07    .18014E-03
   8  norm           .0000        1.4280        .89743E-09** at limit **
   9  norm           .0000        .22993        .12394E-08** at limit **
  10  norm           .0000        1.0220        .14051E-08** at limit **
  11  norm           .0000        3.9593        .18988E-08** at limit **
  12  Prefactor     17.081        59.238       -.14587E-06   -.14024E-04
  13  Prefactor      .0000        24.707        .12055E-08** at limit **
  14  Prefactor     5.6499        9.1934        .44774E-06   -.53293E-03
  15  Normalizat    1.3763        .23761       -.12625E-05    .27624E-04
  16  Prefactor     .69174        .15198        .46998E-06   -.53543E-04
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Final values: 
  Prefactor  = 0
  Prefactor  = 22.5423
  Prefactor  = 0
  Prefactor  = 0
  Prefactor  = 25.8646
  Prefactor  = 16.8668
  norm       = 20.2987
  norm       = 0
  norm       = 0
  norm       = 0
  norm       = 0
  Prefactor  = 17.081
  Prefactor  = 0
  Prefactor  = 5.64992
  Normalizat = 1.37629
  Prefactor  = 0.691743
 **********
 **   18 **HESSE 
 **********

 FCN=   4303.008     FROM HESSE     STATUS=OK           201 CALLS     1543 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .11E-09    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 

  EXT PARAMETER                                INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  Prefactor      .0000        7.7369        .84235E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   2  Prefactor     22.542        22.268        .84467E-05   -1.5613    
   3  Prefactor      .0000        16.057        .84235E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   4  Prefactor      .0000        19.068        .84235E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   5  Prefactor     25.865        32.894        .39532E-04   -1.5606    
   6  Prefactor     16.867        19.743        .97515E-05   -1.5626    
   7  norm          20.299        11.587        .88918E-05   -1.5618    
   8  norm           .0000        1.4287        .76554E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   9  norm           .0000        .23233        .30711E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  10  norm           .0000        1.0250        .64761E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  11  norm           .0000        3.9604        .84235E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  12  Prefactor     17.081        59.469        .10591E-04   -1.5625    
  13  Prefactor      .0000        24.710        .84235E-04   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
  14  Prefactor     5.6499        9.1993        .84016E-04   -1.5660    
  15  Normalizat    1.3763        .27784        .25156E-03   -.81317    
  16  Prefactor     .69174        .17715        .22493E-03   -1.0385    
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Minuit fit quality: 3   estimated distance: 1.14601e-10
Minuit parameter uncertainties:
  1  2.26807e-06
  2  22.2678
  3  4.91598e-06
  4  2.40482e-05
  5  32.8944
  6  19.743
  7  11.5866
  8  2.65075e-07
  9  1.89709e-07
  10  3.14069e-07
  11  3.88057e-07
  12  59.471
  13  3.34899e-05
  14  9.19935
  15  0.278142
  16  0.177298
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0
logL (Fixed Index) = 4303.0079167

Extracting fit parameters...

4FGL J0953.0-0840
   Spectrum: LogParabola
241         norm:  0.000e+00  3.141e-07  0.000e+00  1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12)
242        alpha:  1.803e+00  0.000e+00  0.000e+00  5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
243         beta:  4.647e-02  0.000e+00 -5.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
244           Eb:  1.364e+03  0.000e+00  3.000e+01  5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

GAL_V02
   Spectrum: PowerLaw
532    Prefactor:  6.917e-01  1.773e-01  0.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)
533        Index:  0.000e+00  0.000e+00 -1.000e+00  1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
534        Scale:  1.000e+02  0.000e+00  5.000e+01  2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

EG_v02
   Spectrum: FileFunction
531   Normalization:  1.376e+00  2.781e-01  1.000e-02  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)


TS (Fixed Index): 0.00
Ra Dec: 148.263 -8.669
Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.47782561155e-08 ph cm-2 s-1
Energy Flux Upper Limit: None

Saving results to:
/lscratch/kocevski/38982530/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.txt

Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit...

Freezing all point sources, except source of interest...

Done.

Freeing candidate source...
Done.

Fit tolerance = 1

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0
logL (Free Index) = 4303.00805778
delta logL = -0.00014107239258

Fit tolerance = 0.0001

Performing likelihood fit...
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102
logL (Free Index) = 4303.00791801
delta logL = -1.30291027745e-06

Fit tolerance = 1e-08

Performing likelihood fit...
 **********
 **   14 **SET NOWARN 
 **********

 PARAMETER DEFINITIONS:
    NO.   NAME         VALUE      STEP SIZE      LIMITS
     1 'norm      '    .12768E-08   1.0000          .0000       .10000E+07
     2 'alpha     '    2.4602       1.0000          .0000       5.0000    
     3 'Normalizat'    1.3763       1.0000         .10000E-01   10.000    
     4 'Prefactor '    .69190       1.0000          .0000       10.000    
 **********
 **   15 **SET ERR    .5000    
 **********
 **********
 **   16 **SET GRAD    1.000    
 **********
 **********
 **   17 **MINIMIZE    .5350E+05   .2000E-04
 **********

 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.

 FCN=   4303.008     FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=CONVERGED     28 CALLS      228 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .15E-09  STRATEGY=1  ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=  2.2%

  EXT PARAMETER                                   STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  norm           .0000        1.0362        .11356E-06** at limit **
   2  alpha         1.8184        .89375        .39399E-04     .0000    
   3  Normalizat    1.3763        .26702       -.25423E-04   -.32104E-03
   4  Prefactor     .69175        .17639        .17391E-04   -.16794E-03
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Final values: 
  norm       = 0
  alpha      = 1.8184
  Normalizat = 1.37629
  Prefactor  = 0.691746
 **********
 **   18 **HESSE 
 **********
  MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. 

 FCN=   4303.008     FROM HESSE     STATUS=FAILED        11 CALLS      239 TOTAL
                     EDM=   .15E-09  STRATEGY=1  ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0%

  EXT PARAMETER                APPROXIMATE     INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME        VALUE          ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  norm           .0000        1.0320        .42118E-03   -1.5708    
                                 WARNING -   - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
   2  alpha         .73093        1.1444        .39399E-04   -.27614    
   3  Normalizat    1.3763        1.0655       -.25423E-04   -.81317    
   4  Prefactor     .69175        1.0415        .17391E-04   -1.0385    
                               ERR DEF=  .500    
Minuit fit quality: 1   estimated distance: 1.53878e-10
Minuit parameter uncertainties:
  1  4.73172e-06
  2  0.989976
  3  1.0834
  4  1.0732
shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory
Done.

MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101
logL (Free Index) = 4303.0079167
delta logL = -1.1277734302e-10

Extracting fit parameters...

4FGL J0953.0-0840
   Spectrum: LogParabola
241         norm:  0.000e+00  4.732e-06  0.000e+00  1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12)
242        alpha:  1.818e+00  9.900e-01  0.000e+00  5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00)
243         beta:  4.647e-02  0.000e+00 -5.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
244           Eb:  1.364e+03  0.000e+00  3.000e+01  5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

GAL_V02
   Spectrum: PowerLaw
532    Prefactor:  6.917e-01  1.073e+00  0.000e+00  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)
533        Index:  0.000e+00  0.000e+00 -1.000e+00  1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed
534        Scale:  1.000e+02  0.000e+00  5.000e+01  2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed

EG_v02
   Spectrum: FileFunction
531   Normalization:  1.376e+00  1.083e+00  1.000e-02  1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00)


TS (Free Index): 0.00
Ra Dec: 148.263 -8.669

Creating a high resolution counts map...
INFO: Auto-setting vmin to  0.000e+00 [aplpy.core]
INFO: Auto-setting vmax to  0.000e+00 [aplpy.core]
Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38982530/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J0953.0-0840_daily_bin2208.png

Cleaning up...

** Nuclear option initiated! **

Updating database...

UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_status='DONE', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.48e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 07:22:59.693962', job_id='38982530', GAL2='0.69', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.38', EG='1.38', time_epoch_completed='1790259779.69', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='-1.13e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.80' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J0953.0-0840' AND cadence='daily';

Database successfully updated.


Analysis Complete.


Thu Sep 24 07:22:59 PDT 2026

