/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935 RA = 138.986, Dec = 29.553 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31074546', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 19:36:52.132044', time_epoch_executed='1783564612.13' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0915.9+2933' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits ra=138.986 dec=29.553 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 8.41 user 7.38 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.42 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1054 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" onumber of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935 RA = 138.986, Dec = 29.553 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31074557', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 19:37:55.726593', time_epoch_executed='1783564675.73' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0915.9+2933' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits ra=138.986 dec=29.553 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 8.66 user 7.06 sys 0.35 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.30 user 0.28 sys 0.16 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1054 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 22.40 user 20.83 sys 0.28 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 82.47 user 75.27 sys 4.74 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 169 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0915.9+2933 @ 138.986 29.553 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=138.986 yref=29.553 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.99 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=138.986 yref=29.553 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.31 user 0.26 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 21.31 user 20.14 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 79.49 user 73.81 sys 4.49 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 169 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0915.9+2933 @ 138.986 29.553 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=138.986 yref=29.553 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.43 user 0.32 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=138.986 yref=29.553 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.20 user 0.32 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 47.76 user 44.60 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31074546/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0915.9+2933' 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 1.063e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.750e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3583782 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3177966 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .11102E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.6016 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .92378E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .69562E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 8.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .15319E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10348E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .23315E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .33890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.7839 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 8.9144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.3885 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .37699E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .71162E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4713 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .81543E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 1.0092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.2765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .71088 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5350E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12128.32 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 136 CALLS 1169 TOTAL EDM= .38E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .28123 -.34694E-08** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 9.5972 6.2705 .31664E-08 .42764E-01 3 norm .92396E-01 .20989 -.32477E-08** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1173 -.10473E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 8.5207 1.1422 -.29680E-08 .66936E-02 6 norm .27756E-09 15.013 -.62185E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 11.038 -.71513E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 .86885 -.29233E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .33822 .91468 .27308E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 3.7592 6.0448 -.36686E-07 .27335E-01 11 norm 8.9109 4.7152 -.10679E-07 -.45783E-01 12 Prefactor 4.3864 2.8827 -.40614E-07 -.63039E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6272 .27663E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .18319E-08 5.4666 .98321E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.4246 5.2159 .31182E-08 -.45268E-02 16 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.8964 .16659E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .98211 1.4708 -.17973E-07 -.82172E-03 18 Normalizat 1.2768 .13866 -.30403E-06 -.23722E-03 19 Prefactor .71088 .12895 -.46870E-06 -.18613E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.59719 norm = 0.0923963 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.5207 norm = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.338224 Prefactor = 3.75917 norm = 8.91094 Prefactor = 4.38642 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.83187e-09 Prefactor = 6.42456 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 0.982113 Normalizat = 1.27682 Prefactor = 0.710876 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12128.32 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 306 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .83E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .27922 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 9.5972 7.1788 .32316E-03 -1.5646 3 norm .92396E-01 .23220 .14139E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1148 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 8.5207 11.629 .34293E-03 -1.5650 6 norm .27756E-09 14.994 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 11.048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 .86706 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .33822 .92663 .96937E-03 -1.5696 10 Prefactor 3.7592 9.1699 .51871E-03 -1.5669 11 norm 8.9109 5.8694 .33546E-03 -1.5648 12 Prefactor 4.3864 2.8961 .48053E-03 -1.5666 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6091 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .18319E-08 5.5202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.4246 5.2238 .39429E-03 -1.5657 16 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.8783 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .98211 1.4911 .44091E-03 -1.5688 18 Normalizat 1.2768 .11988 .48839E-01 -.84261 19 Prefactor .71088 .11055 .42546E-01 -1.0310 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.30122e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.06196e-07 2 7.17886 3 0.232198 4 1.20891e-05 5 11.629 6 0.000130649 7 0.000172403 8 5.54758e-06 9 0.926628 10 9.16988 11 5.86942 12 2.89612 13 6.58339e-06 14 0.000201453 15 5.22378 16 8.90425e-05 17 1.4911 18 0.119903 19 0.110579 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 43.57 user 41.30 sys 1.31 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31074557/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0915.9+2933' 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 1.063e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.750e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ft2_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/Model_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3583782 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3177966 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .11102E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 9.6016 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .92378E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .69562E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 8.5329 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .15319E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10348E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .23315E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .33890 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.7839 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 8.9144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.3885 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .37699E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .71162E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4713 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .81543E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 1.0092 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.2765 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .71088 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5350E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12128.32 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 136 CALLS 1169 TOTAL EDM= .38E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .28123 -.34694E-08** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 9.5972 6.2705 .31664E-08 .42764E-01 3 norm .92396E-01 .20989 -.32477E-08** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1173 -.10473E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 8.5207 1.1422 -.29680E-08 .66936E-02 6 norm .27756E-09 15.013 -.62185E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 11.038 -.71513E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .0000 .86885 -.29233E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .33822 .91468 .27308E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 3.7592 6.0448 -.36686E-07 .27335E-01 11 norm 8.9109 4.7152 -.10679E-07 -.45783E-01 12 Prefactor 4.3864 2.8827 -.40614E-07 -.63039E-03 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6272 .27663E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .18319E-08 5.4666 .98321E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.4246 5.2159 .31182E-08 -.45268E-02 16 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.8964 .16659E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .98211 1.4708 -.17973E-07 -.82172E-03 18 Normalizat 1.2768 .13866 -.30403E-06 -.23722E-03 19 Prefactor .71088 .12895 -.46870E-06 -.18613E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.59719 norm = 0.0923963 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.5207 norm = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0.338224 Prefactor = 3.75917 norm = 8.91094 Prefactor = 4.38642 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.83187e-09 Prefactor = 6.42456 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 0.982113 Normalizat = 1.27682 Prefactor = 0.710876 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3174507 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 3.382e-01 9.266e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.750e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 532 Prefactor: 7.109e-01 1.106e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 533 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 534 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 531 Normalization: 1.277e+00 1.199e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.16 Ra Dec: 138.986 29.553 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.78587657835e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.20184057143e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020489 delta logL = 0.0154017600016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020137 delta logL = 0.0154370214532 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .33561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.5260 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2779 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71025 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5350E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 12128.30 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 94 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .26E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33430 .84714 .15818E-04 .56059E-03 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1071 .44513E-01 -.32252E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13529 .21583E-03 -.16961E-04 4 Prefactor .71026 .12840 .26464E-03 -.12888E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12128.30 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 67 CALLS 311 TOTAL EDM= .18E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33430 .84714 .83483E-05 -1.5696 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1071 .19084E-02 -.40103 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13529 .81884E-04 -.84229 4 Prefactor .71026 .12840 .16038E-03 -1.0313 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12128.30 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 30 CALLS 341 TOTAL EDM= .10E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33430 .86330 .63273E-06 .52008E-03 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1283 .89027E-02 .63594E-06 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13541 .86331E-05 -.16856E-04 4 Prefactor .71026 .12852 .10585E-04 -.12888E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.334301 alpha = 1.52409 Normalizat = 1.2779 Prefactor = 0.710264 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12128.30 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 366 TOTAL EDM= .14E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33430 .86926 .37423E-06 -1.5696 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1354 .35611E-03 -.40103 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13543 .17266E-05 -.84229 4 Prefactor .71026 .12854 .21171E-05 -1.0313 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.39742e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.869261 2 1.18738 3 0.135469 4 0.128596 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020117 delta logL = 0.0154389540276 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 3.343e-01 8.693e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.524e+00 1.187e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 532 Prefactor: 7.103e-01 1.286e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 533 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 534 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 531 Normalization: 1.278e+00 1.355e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.16 Ra Dec: 138.986 29.553 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31074546/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.20e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.79e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 19:48:35.568261', job_id='31074546', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.28', EG='1.28', time_epoch_completed='1783565315.57', return_code2='0', ts='0.16', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='1.54e-02', ts2='0.19', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.75' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J0915.9+2933' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 19:48:36 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12128.32 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 306 CALLS 1475 TOTAL EDM= .83E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .27922 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 9.5972 7.1788 .32316E-03 -1.5646 3 norm .92396E-01 .23220 .14139E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1148 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 8.5207 11.629 .34293E-03 -1.5650 6 norm .27756E-09 14.994 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .66613E-09 11.048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .0000 .86706 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .33822 .92663 .96937E-03 -1.5696 10 Prefactor 3.7592 9.1699 .51871E-03 -1.5669 11 norm 8.9109 5.8694 .33546E-03 -1.5648 12 Prefactor 4.3864 2.8961 .48053E-03 -1.5666 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6091 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .18319E-08 5.5202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.4246 5.2238 .39429E-03 -1.5657 16 Prefactor .38858E-09 4.8783 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .98211 1.4911 .44091E-03 -1.5688 18 Normalizat 1.2768 .11988 .48839E-01 -.84261 19 Prefactor .71088 .11055 .42546E-01 -1.0310 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.30122e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.06196e-07 2 7.17886 3 0.232198 4 1.20891e-05 5 11.629 6 0.000130649 7 0.000172403 8 5.54758e-06 9 0.926628 10 9.16988 11 5.86942 12 2.89612 13 6.58339e-06 14 0.000201453 15 5.22378 16 8.90425e-05 17 1.4911 18 0.119903 19 0.110579 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 12128.3174507 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 3.382e-01 9.266e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.750e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 532 Prefactor: 7.109e-01 1.106e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 533 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 534 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 531 Normalization: 1.277e+00 1.199e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.16 Ra Dec: 138.986 29.553 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.78587657835e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.20184057143e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020489 delta logL = 0.0154017600016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020137 delta logL = 0.0154370214532 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .33561 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.5260 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2779 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .71025 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5350E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 12128.30 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 94 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .26E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33430 .84714 .15818E-04 .56059E-03 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1071 .44513E-01 -.32252E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13529 .21583E-03 -.16961E-04 4 Prefactor .71026 .12840 .26464E-03 -.12888E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 12128.30 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 67 CALLS 311 TOTAL EDM= .18E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33430 .84714 .83483E-05 -1.5696 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1071 .19084E-02 -.40103 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13529 .81884E-04 -.84229 4 Prefactor .71026 .12840 .16038E-03 -1.0313 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 12128.30 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 30 CALLS 341 TOTAL EDM= .10E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .33430 .86330 .63273E-06 .52008E-03 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1283 .89027E-02 .63594E-06 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13541 .86331E-05 -.16856E-04 4 Prefactor .71026 .12852 .10585E-04 -.12888E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.334301 alpha = 1.52409 Normalizat = 1.2779 Prefactor = 0.710264 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 12128.30 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 366 TOTAL EDM= .14E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .33430 .86926 .37423E-06 -1.5696 2 alpha 1.5241 1.1354 .35611E-03 -.40103 3 Normalizat 1.2779 .13543 .17266E-05 -.84229 4 Prefactor .71026 .12854 .21171E-05 -1.0313 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.39742e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.869261 2 1.18738 3 0.135469 4 0.128596 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 12128.3020117 delta logL = 0.0154389540276 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0915.9+2933 Spectrum: LogParabola 270 norm: 3.343e-01 8.693e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 271 alpha: 1.524e+00 1.187e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 272 beta: 7.920e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 273 Eb: 1.366e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 532 Prefactor: 7.103e-01 1.286e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 533 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 534 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 531 Normalization: 1.278e+00 1.355e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.16 Ra Dec: 138.986 29.553 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31074557/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J0915.9+2933_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.20e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.79e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 19:49:40.098037', job_id='31074557', GAL2='0.71', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.28', EG='1.28', time_epoch_completed='1783565380.1', return_code2='0', ts='0.16', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.71', dlogl='1.54e-02', ts2='0.19', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.75' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J0915.9+2933' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 19:49:40 PDT 2026