number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181 RA = 102.19, Dec = 15.2808 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31141566', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 12:19:09.528883', time_epoch_executed='1783624749.53' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits ra=102.19 dec=15.2808 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.37 user 2.78 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2377 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" out/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). file=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.76 user 7.98 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 73.37 user 68.26 sys 4.24 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Monoceros in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Rosette in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/Rosette.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 164 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0648.7+1516 @ 102.19 15.2808 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.36 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.05 user 7.43 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 64.71 user 60.18 sys 3.75 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Monoceros in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Rosette in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/Rosette.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 164 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0648.7+1516 @ 102.19 15.2808 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.99 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linnumber of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181 RA = 102.19, Dec = 15.2808 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31141704', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 12:20:04.532031', time_epoch_executed='1783624804.53' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits ra=102.19 dec=15.2808 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.57 user 3.08 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.75 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2377 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.57 user 7.81 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 73.11 user 67.67 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Monoceros in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Rosette in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/Rosette.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 164 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0648.7+1516 @ 102.19 15.2808 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 9.45 user 8.52 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 71.04 user 65.93 sys 4.25 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Monoceros in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Rosette in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/Rosette.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 164 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0648.7+1516 @ 102.19 15.2808 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=102.19 yref=15.2808 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source Monoceros adding source Rosette adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 215.66 user 212.43 sys 1.22 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31141456/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0648.7+1516' 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 5.724e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.6829013 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.470797 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.2261 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39514E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .45567E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 30.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10842E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.0849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .71279E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.7497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Normalizat' 1.4960 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 10 'Prefactor ' .98841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 23105.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 82 CALLS 485 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 9.1920 -.55690E-06 -.47682E-01 2 norm .0000 4.3397 -.10452E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 62.464 -.78837E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 30.410 15.438 -.79344E-06 .50851E-01 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 61.144 -.69187E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.093 -.22078E-05 -.31287E-02 7 norm 1.3359 25.398 -.69191E-06 .27572E-03 8 norm 1.7525 1.5143 .16168E-06 .22144E-03 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .28162 .22571E-04 .31558E-04 10 Prefactor .98878 .49026E-01 -.62899E-05 .12576E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.10713 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.70974e-08 norm = 30.4098 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 7.86455 norm = 1.33594 norm = 1.75254 Normalizat = 1.49058 Prefactor = 0.988779 ked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source Monoceros adding source Rosette adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 205.42 user 202.03 sys 1.44 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31141541/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0648.7+1516' 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 5.724e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.6829013 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.470797 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.2261 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39514E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .45567E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 30.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10842E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.0849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .71279E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.7497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Normalizat' 1.4960 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 10 'Prefactor ' .98841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 23105.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 82 CALLS 485 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 9.1920 -.55690E-06 -.47682E-01 2 norm .0000 4.3397 -.10452E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 62.464 -.78837E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 30.410 15.438 -.79344E-06 .50851E-01 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 61.144 -.69187E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.093 -.22078E-05 -.31287E-02 7 norm 1.3359 25.398 -.69191E-06 .27572E-03 8 norm 1.7525 1.5143 .16168E-06 .22144E-03 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .28162 .22571E-04 .31558E-04 10 Prefactor .98878 .49026E-01 -.62899E-05 .12576E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.10713 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.70974e-08 norm = 30.4098 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 7.86455 norm = 1.33594 norm = 1.75254 Normalizat = 1.49058 Prefactor = 0.988779 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23105.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 122 CALLS 607 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 18.821 .32971E-03 -1.5648 2 norm .0000 4.3349 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 60.099 .15722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 30.410 17.538 .18070E-03 -1.5598 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 60.947 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.046 .35237E-03 -1.5652 7 norm 1.3359 5.3164 .14776E-01 -1.5685 8 norm 1.7525 1.5250 .79237E-03 -1.5681 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .27160 .17847 -.78043 10 Prefactor .98878 .46668E-01 .46122E-01 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.15415e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 18.8209 2 2.16875e-07 3 0.00202884 4 17.5383 5 0.000316282 6 13.0456 7 5.31641 8 1.52504 9 0.271863 10 0.0466704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23105.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 122 CALLS 607 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 18.821 .32971E-03 -1.5648 2 norm .0000 4.3349 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 60.099 .15722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 30.410 17.538 .18070E-03 -1.5598 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 60.947 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.046 .35237E-03 -1.5652 7 norm 1.3359 5.3164 .14776E-01 -1.5685 8 norm 1.7525 1.5250 .79237E-03 -1.5681 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .27160 .17847 -.78043 10 Prefactor .98878 .46668E-01 .46122E-01 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.15415e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 18.8209 2 2.16875e-07 3 0.00202884 4 17.5383 5 0.000316282 6 13.0456 7 5.31641 8 1.52504 9 0.271863 10 0.0466704 ked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source Monoceros adding source Rosette adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 207.93 user 205.23 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31141566/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0648.7+1516' 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 5.724e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.6829013 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.470797 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.2261 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39514E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .45567E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 30.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10842E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.0849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .71279E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.7497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Normalizat' 1.4960 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 10 'Prefactor ' .98841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 23105.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 82 CALLS 485 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 9.1920 -.55690E-06 -.47682E-01 2 norm .0000 4.3397 -.10452E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 62.464 -.78837E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 30.410 15.438 -.79344E-06 .50851E-01 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 61.144 -.69187E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.093 -.22078E-05 -.31287E-02 7 norm 1.3359 25.398 -.69191E-06 .27572E-03 8 norm 1.7525 1.5143 .16168E-06 .22144E-03 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .28162 .22571E-04 .31558E-04 10 Prefactor .98878 .49026E-01 -.62899E-05 .12576E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.10713 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.70974e-08 norm = 30.4098 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 7.86455 norm = 1.33594 norm = 1.75254 Normalizat = 1.49058 Prefactor = 0.988779 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23105.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 122 CALLS 607 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 18.821 .32971E-03 -1.5648 2 norm .0000 4.3349 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 60.099 .15722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 30.410 17.538 .18070E-03 -1.5598 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 60.947 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.046 .35237E-03 -1.5652 7 norm 1.3359 5.3164 .14776E-01 -1.5685 8 norm 1.7525 1.5250 .79237E-03 -1.5681 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .27160 .17847 -.78043 10 Prefactor .98878 .46668E-01 .46122E-01 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.15415e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 18.8209 2 2.16875e-07 3 0.00202884 4 17.5383 5 0.000316282 6 13.0456 7 5.31641 8 1.52504 9 0.271863 10 0.0466704 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.4641219 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.710e-08 2.029e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 4.667e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.491e+00 2.719e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.17407088047e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00597304207659 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23105.4722299 delta logL = -0.00810791621916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637506 delta logL = 0.800371359172 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10524 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9329 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3868 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99444 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 23104.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10708 .62478 .88216E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.9281 .96404 .81004E-01 .85013E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .52931E-01 .18309 .65424E-04 4 Prefactor .99439 .98576E-02 .46198E-01 -.21029E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.107075 Index = 3.92815 Normalizat = 1.38758 Prefactor = 0.994392 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.4641219 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.710e-08 2.029e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 4.667e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.491e+00 2.719e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.17407088047e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00597304207659 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23105.4722299 delta logL = -0.00810791621916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637506 delta logL = 0.800371359172 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10524 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9329 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3868 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99444 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 23104.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10708 .62478 .88216E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.9281 .96404 .81004E-01 .85013E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .52931E-01 .18309 .65424E-04 4 Prefactor .99439 .98576E-02 .46198E-01 -.21029E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.107075 Index = 3.92815 Normalizat = 1.38758 Prefactor = 0.994392 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23104.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .52E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10708 3.5310 .39049E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.9281 3.0206 .49082E-02 -.21605 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .23443 .81585E-03 -.80989 4 Prefactor .99439 .42399E-01 .17490E-03 -.92917 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 5.1685e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.22977 2 3.25668 3 0.234608 4 0.0424 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23104.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .52E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10708 3.5310 .39049E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.9281 3.0206 .49082E-02 -.21605 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .23443 .81585E-03 -.80989 4 Prefactor .99439 .42399E-01 .17490E-03 -.92917 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 5.1685e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.22977 2 3.25668 3 0.234608 4 0.0424 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637385 delta logL = 0.800383484959 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.071e-01 1.230e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 3.928e+00 3.257e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.944e-01 4.240e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.388e+00 2.346e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.78 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.93 +/- 3.26 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.68e-07 +/- 1.35e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.54e-05 +/- 2.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31141456/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.97e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.54e-05', dlogl='8.00e-01', photon_flux2='1.68e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-09 12:26:52.529066', photon_index_error2='3.26', photon_index2='3.93', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.17e-08', energy_flux_error2='2.29e-05', EG='1.49', time_epoch_completed='1783625212.53', return_code='0', job_id='31141456', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.39', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.35e-07', ts2='1.78', photon_index='1.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 12:26:52 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637385 delta logL = 0.800383484959 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.071e-01 1.230e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 3.928e+00 3.257e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.944e-01 4.240e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.388e+00 2.346e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.78 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.93 +/- 3.26 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.68e-07 +/- 1.35e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.54e-05 +/- 2.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31141541/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.97e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.54e-05', dlogl='8.00e-01', photon_flux2='1.68e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-09 12:26:53.265298', photon_index_error2='3.26', photon_index2='3.93', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.17e-08', energy_flux_error2='2.29e-05', EG='1.49', time_epoch_completed='1783625213.27', return_code='0', job_id='31141541', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.39', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.35e-07', ts2='1.78', photon_index='1.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 12:26:53 PDT 2026 ked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.24 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source Monoceros adding source Rosette adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 219.55 user 216.61 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31141704/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0648.7+1516' 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 5.724e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ft2_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/Model_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.6829013 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.470797 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.2261 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .39514E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .45567E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 30.633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .10842E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.0849 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .71279E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.7497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Normalizat' 1.4960 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 10 'Prefactor ' .98841 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 23105.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 82 CALLS 485 TOTAL EDM= .21E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 9.1920 -.55690E-06 -.47682E-01 2 norm .0000 4.3397 -.10452E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 62.464 -.78837E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 30.410 15.438 -.79344E-06 .50851E-01 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 61.144 -.69187E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.093 -.22078E-05 -.31287E-02 7 norm 1.3359 25.398 -.69191E-06 .27572E-03 8 norm 1.7525 1.5143 .16168E-06 .22144E-03 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .28162 .22571E-04 .31558E-04 10 Prefactor .98878 .49026E-01 -.62899E-05 .12576E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.10713 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.70974e-08 norm = 30.4098 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 7.86455 norm = 1.33594 norm = 1.75254 Normalizat = 1.49058 Prefactor = 0.988779 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.4641219 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.710e-08 2.029e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 4.667e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.491e+00 2.719e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.17407088047e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00597304207659 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23105.4722299 delta logL = -0.00810791621916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637506 delta logL = 0.800371359172 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10524 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9329 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3868 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99444 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 23104.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10708 .62478 .88216E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.9281 .96404 .81004E-01 .85013E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .52931E-01 .18309 .65424E-04 4 Prefactor .99439 .98576E-02 .46198E-01 -.21029E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.107075 Index = 3.92815 Normalizat = 1.38758 Prefactor = 0.994392 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23104.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .52E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10708 3.5310 .39049E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.9281 3.0206 .49082E-02 -.21605 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .23443 .81585E-03 -.80989 4 Prefactor .99439 .42399E-01 .17490E-03 -.92917 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 5.1685e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.22977 2 3.25668 3 0.234608 4 0.0424 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637385 delta logL = 0.800383484959 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.071e-01 1.230e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 3.928e+00 3.257e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.944e-01 4.240e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.388e+00 2.346e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.78 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.93 +/- 3.26 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.68e-07 +/- 1.35e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.54e-05 +/- 2.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31141566/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.97e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.54e-05', dlogl='8.00e-01', photon_flux2='1.68e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-09 12:27:30.012858', photon_index_error2='3.26', photon_index2='3.93', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.17e-08', energy_flux_error2='2.29e-05', EG='1.49', time_epoch_completed='1783625250.01', return_code='0', job_id='31141566', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.39', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.35e-07', ts2='1.78', photon_index='1.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 12:27:30 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23105.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 122 CALLS 607 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1071 18.821 .32971E-03 -1.5648 2 norm .0000 4.3349 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .17097E-07 60.099 .15722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 30.410 17.538 .18070E-03 -1.5598 5 Prefactor .38858E-09 60.947 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 7.8645 13.046 .35237E-03 -1.5652 7 norm 1.3359 5.3164 .14776E-01 -1.5685 8 norm 1.7525 1.5250 .79237E-03 -1.5681 9 Normalizat 1.4906 .27160 .17847 -.78043 10 Prefactor .98878 .46668E-01 .46122E-01 -.93105 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.15415e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 18.8209 2 2.16875e-07 3 0.00202884 4 17.5383 5 0.000316282 6 13.0456 7 5.31641 8 1.52504 9 0.271863 10 0.0466704 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 23105.4641219 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.710e-08 2.029e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 1.714e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.888e-01 4.667e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.491e+00 2.719e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.17407088047e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00597304207659 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23105.4722299 delta logL = -0.00810791621916 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637506 delta logL = 0.800371359172 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10524 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.9329 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3868 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99444 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 23104.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10708 .62478 .88216E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.9281 .96404 .81004E-01 .85013E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .52931E-01 .18309 .65424E-04 4 Prefactor .99439 .98576E-02 .46198E-01 -.21029E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.107075 Index = 3.92815 Normalizat = 1.38758 Prefactor = 0.994392 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 23104.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .52E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10708 3.5310 .39049E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.9281 3.0206 .49082E-02 -.21605 3 Normalizat 1.3876 .23443 .81585E-03 -.80989 4 Prefactor .99439 .42399E-01 .17490E-03 -.92917 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 5.1685e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.22977 2 3.25668 3 0.234608 4 0.0424 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 23104.6637385 delta logL = 0.800383484959 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0648.7+1516 Spectrum: PowerLaw 297 Prefactor: 1.071e-01 1.230e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 298 Index: 3.928e+00 3.257e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 299 Scale: 4.960e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 557 Prefactor: 9.944e-01 4.240e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 558 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 559 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 556 Normalization: 1.388e+00 2.346e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.78 Ra Dec: 102.190 15.281 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.93 +/- 3.26 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.68e-07 +/- 1.35e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.54e-05 +/- 2.29e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31141704/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0648.7+1516_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.97e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.54e-05', dlogl='8.00e-01', photon_flux2='1.68e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-09 12:28:54.073265', photon_index_error2='3.26', photon_index2='3.93', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.17e-08', energy_flux_error2='2.29e-05', EG='1.49', time_epoch_completed='1783625334.07', return_code='0', job_id='31141704', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.39', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.35e-07', ts2='1.78', photon_index='1.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0648.7+1516' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 12:28:54 PDT 2026