/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 74358 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206 RA = 83.2677, Dec = -84.7783 tmin = 770947201, tmax = 773539201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='13857357', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-16 20:53:27.537494', time_epoch_executed='1760673207.54' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0533.0-8446' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='206' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits ra=83.2677 dec=-84.7783 rad=12.0 tmin=770947201.0 tmax=773539201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 23.53 user 21.34 sys 1.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.37 user 0.34 sys 0.17 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 12127 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits .....................! real 74.66 user 73.28 sys 0.36 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits .....................! real 68.81 user 64.07 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source SMC-Galaxy in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/SMC-Galaxy.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source LMC-FarWest in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/LMC-FarWest.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source LMC-Galaxy in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/LMC-Galaxy.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source LMC-30DorWest in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/LMC-30DorWest.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source LMC-North in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/LMC-North.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 165 point sources and 5 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0533.0-8446 @ 83.2677 -84.7783 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/cmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=83.2677 yref=-84.7783 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.94 user 0.32 sys 0.16 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=83.2677 yref=-84.7783 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.26 user 0.34 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source LMC-30DorWest adding source LMC-FarWest adding source LMC-Galaxy adding source LMC-North adding source SMC-Galaxy Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits.....................! real 38936.50 user 38750.23 sys 2.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/13852509/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0533.0-8446' 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 2.818e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.214e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.825214 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.301175 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0308 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .74485E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.2842 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .75212E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14174E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 18.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .27197E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.133 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.2686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.4232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3883 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.4296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 1.2117 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 23.290 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .63838E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.0303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97708 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 126241.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 1381 TOTAL EDM= .47E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.0364 9.9639 -.73275E-06 .24280E-01 2 Prefactor .69944E-08 1.8609 .49606E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.2865 4.7852 .12905E-07 -.58643E-02 4 Prefactor .10769E-07 1.1706 .16203E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.689 -.11031E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 18.452 5.4788 -.31416E-06 -.79932E-02 7 Prefactor .45452E-01 18.240 -.12340E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 3.5553 1.0807 .44051E-08 .95937E-03 9 Prefactor 2.0788 5.0962 -.83084E-06 -.46699E-02 10 norm 10.134 2.9659 .11039E-06 -.23348E-03 11 Prefactor 3.2670 5.5405 .63180E-06 .10582E-01 12 norm 1.4234 .81543 -.28490E-08 .43226E-02 13 Prefactor 1.3888 1.1450 .54876E-07 .67114E-03 14 Prefactor 5.4341 5.9767 -.11142E-06 .33152E-01 15 Prefactor 1.2120 .95618 -.71675E-07 -.45014E-02 16 norm 23.290 2.0692 -.19063E-07 .17684E-02 17 Prefactor .16098E-08 2.0232 .24393E-06** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.0303 .69391E-01 .20529E-07 .29835E-04 19 Prefactor .97706 .24912E-01 -.17007E-07 -.12412E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.03641 Prefactor = 6.99441e-09 Prefactor = 7.28646 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 18.4518 Prefactor = 0.0454521 norm = 3.55525 Prefactor = 2.07881 norm = 10.1338 Prefactor = 3.26701 norm = 1.4234 Prefactor = 1.38882 Prefactor = 5.43413 Prefactor = 1.21204 norm = 23.29 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Normalizat = 1.0303 Prefactor = 0.977064 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 126241.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 324 CALLS 1705 TOTAL EDM= .40E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.0364 11.297 .33328E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .69944E-08 2.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.2865 4.8015 .37140E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .10769E-07 1.7918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.518 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 18.452 8.4715 .23287E-03 -1.5622 7 Prefactor .45452E-01 .29310 .11713E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 3.5553 1.0901 .53579E-03 -1.5670 9 Prefactor 2.0788 8.8454 .71472E-03 -1.5679 10 norm 10.134 3.0126 .31454E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 3.2670 5.6692 .55987E-03 -1.5672 12 norm 1.4234 .82233 .90612E-03 -1.5684 13 Prefactor 1.3888 1.1585 .92230E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 5.4341 9.7822 .43101E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor 1.2120 .97618 .10271E-02 -1.5686 16 norm 23.290 2.0738 .20726E-03 -1.5611 17 Prefactor .16098E-08 2.1439 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.0303 .62279E-01 .90978E-01 -.92022 19 Prefactor .97706 .21928E-01 .33918E-01 -.93498 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95168e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.2973 2 0.000249606 3 4.80151 4 0.000277507 5 6.16402e-05 6 8.4715 7 0.230844 8 1.0901 9 8.57625 10 3.01256 11 5.66919 12 0.82233 13 1.1585 14 9.78225 15 0.976175 16 2.0738 17 0.000117224 18 0.0622837 19 0.0219287 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.301134 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 6.164e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.214e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 536 Prefactor: 9.771e-01 2.193e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 537 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 538 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 535 Normalization: 1.030e+00 6.228e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 83.268 -84.778 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.5118081851e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00115301310539 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/likelihoodResults_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 126241.334291 delta logL = -0.0331571643474 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 126240.39835 delta logL = 0.902783799902 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21178E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 8.6527 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0068 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98220 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 126241.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 121 CALLS 595 TOTAL EDM= .67E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .77716E-09 23.403 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.2892 7.3908 114.48 -.11955E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .59220E-01 .90989E-01 .94060E-03 4 Prefactor .97706 .21621E-01 .33918E-01 .10333E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.77156e-10 Index = 2.28916 Normalizat = 1.0303 Prefactor = 0.977064 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 126241.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 37 CALLS 632 TOTAL EDM= .86E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .77716E-09 1.2698 .20065E-01 -42080. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.2892 7.4033 114.48 -.24007E+09 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .67246E-01 .40294E-03 -2966.6 4 Prefactor .97706 .24517E-01 .30444E-03 -6384.7 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.6393e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.22146e-05 2 4.2246 3 0.0672514 4 0.0245169 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 126241.301134 delta logL = -2.91038304567e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 6.221e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.289e+00 4.225e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 536 Prefactor: 9.771e-01 2.452e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 537 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 538 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 535 Normalization: 1.030e+00 6.725e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 83.268 -84.778 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/13852509/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.51e-08', time_completed='2025-10-17 05:14:17.794992', job_id='13852509', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1760703257.8', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-2.91e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='206' AND source_name='4FGL J0533.0-8446' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 17 05:14:17 PDT 2025 39201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=83.2677 yref=-84.7783 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.06 user 0.33 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source LMC-30DorWest adding source LMC-FarWest adding source LMC-Galaxy adding source LMC-North adding source SMC-Galaxy Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits.....................! real 39262.96 user 39021.59 sys 4.48 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/13857357/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0533.0-8446' 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 2.818e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.214e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ft2_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/Model_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.825214 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.301175 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0308 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .74485E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 7.2842 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .75212E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14174E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 18.454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .27197E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.133 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.2686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.4232 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3883 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.4296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 1.2117 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 23.290 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .63838E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.0303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .97708 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 126241.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 1381 TOTAL EDM= .47E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.0364 9.9639 -.73275E-06 .24280E-01 2 Prefactor .69944E-08 1.8609 .49606E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 7.2865 4.7852 .12905E-07 -.58643E-02 4 Prefactor .10769E-07 1.1706 .16203E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.689 -.11031E-05** at limit ** 6 norm 18.452 5.4788 -.31416E-06 -.79932E-02 7 Prefactor .45452E-01 18.240 -.12340E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 3.5553 1.0807 .44051E-08 .95937E-03 9 Prefactor 2.0788 5.0962 -.83084E-06 -.46699E-02 10 norm 10.134 2.9659 .11039E-06 -.23348E-03 11 Prefactor 3.2670 5.5405 .63180E-06 .10582E-01 12 norm 1.4234 .81543 -.28490E-08 .43226E-02 13 Prefactor 1.3888 1.1450 .54876E-07 .67114E-03 14 Prefactor 5.4341 5.9767 -.11142E-06 .33152E-01 15 Prefactor 1.2120 .95618 -.71675E-07 -.45014E-02 16 norm 23.290 2.0692 -.19063E-07 .17684E-02 17 Prefactor .16098E-08 2.0232 .24393E-06** at limit ** 18 Normalizat 1.0303 .69391E-01 .20529E-07 .29835E-04 19 Prefactor .97706 .24912E-01 -.17007E-07 -.12412E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.03641 Prefactor = 6.99441e-09 Prefactor = 7.28646 Prefactor = 1.07692e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 18.4518 Prefactor = 0.0454521 norm = 3.55525 Prefactor = 2.07881 norm = 10.1338 Prefactor = 3.26701 norm = 1.4234 Prefactor = 1.38882 Prefactor = 5.43413 Prefactor = 1.21204 norm = 23.29 Prefactor = 1.60982e-09 Normalizat = 1.0303 Prefactor = 0.977064 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 126241.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 324 CALLS 1705 TOTAL EDM= .40E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.0364 11.297 .33328E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .69944E-08 2.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 7.2865 4.8015 .37140E-03 -1.5654 4 Prefactor .10769E-07 1.7918 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.518 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 18.452 8.4715 .23287E-03 -1.5622 7 Prefactor .45452E-01 .29310 .11713E-01 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 3.5553 1.0901 .53579E-03 -1.5670 9 Prefactor 2.0788 8.8454 .71472E-03 -1.5679 10 norm 10.134 3.0126 .31454E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 3.2670 5.6692 .55987E-03 -1.5672 12 norm 1.4234 .82233 .90612E-03 -1.5684 13 Prefactor 1.3888 1.1585 .92230E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 5.4341 9.7822 .43101E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor 1.2120 .97618 .10271E-02 -1.5686 16 norm 23.290 2.0738 .20726E-03 -1.5611 17 Prefactor .16098E-08 2.1439 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Normalizat 1.0303 .62279E-01 .90978E-01 -.92022 19 Prefactor .97706 .21928E-01 .33918E-01 -.93498 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95168e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.2973 2 0.000249606 3 4.80151 4 0.000277507 5 6.16402e-05 6 8.4715 7 0.230844 8 1.0901 9 8.57625 10 3.01256 11 5.66919 12 0.82233 13 1.1585 14 9.78225 15 0.976175 16 2.0738 17 0.000117224 18 0.0622837 19 0.0219287 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 126241.301134 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 6.164e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.214e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 536 Prefactor: 9.771e-01 2.193e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 537 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 538 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 535 Normalization: 1.030e+00 6.228e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 83.268 -84.778 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.5118081851e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00115301310539 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/likelihoodResults_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 126241.334291 delta logL = -0.0331571643474 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 126240.39835 delta logL = 0.902783799902 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21178E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 8.6527 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0068 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98220 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 126241.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 121 CALLS 595 TOTAL EDM= .67E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .77716E-09 23.403 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.2892 7.3908 114.48 -.11955E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .59220E-01 .90989E-01 .94060E-03 4 Prefactor .97706 .21621E-01 .33918E-01 .10333E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.77156e-10 Index = 2.28916 Normalizat = 1.0303 Prefactor = 0.977064 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 126241.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 37 CALLS 632 TOTAL EDM= .86E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .77716E-09 1.2698 .20065E-01 -42080. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.2892 7.4033 114.48 -.24007E+09 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .67246E-01 .40294E-03 -2966.6 4 Prefactor .97706 .24517E-01 .30444E-03 -6384.7 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.6393e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.22146e-05 2 4.2246 3 0.0672514 4 0.0245169 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 126241.301134 delta logL = -2.91038304567e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0533.0-8446 Spectrum: PowerLaw 171 Prefactor: 7.772e-10 6.221e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 172 Index: 2.289e+00 4.225e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 173 Scale: 2.307e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 536 Prefactor: 9.771e-01 2.452e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 537 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 538 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 535 Normalization: 1.030e+00 6.725e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 83.268 -84.778 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/13857357/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0533.0-8446_monthly_bin206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.51e-08', time_completed='2025-10-17 08:44:17.821022', job_id='13857357', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1760715857.82', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-2.91e-11', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.21' WHERE bin_id='206' AND source_name='4FGL J0533.0-8446' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 17 08:44:17 PDT 2025