/nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/bin/miniconda2/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Waiting 31 seconds before starting... Proceeding. Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLxml version 01r04. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and 4FGL and assume you have v11r5p3 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/bin/miniconda2/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 73398 number of fields = 30 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71 RA = 78.953, Dec = 15.4614 tmin = 421027201, tmax = 423619201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository Job = True LAT data Source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='331467', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2021-10-14 05:21:16.601110', time_epoch_executed='1634214076.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='71' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /scratch/kocevski/331467 Creating custom pfile directory: /scratch/kocevski/331467/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: /afs/slac.stanford.edu/g/glast/ground/bin/datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=421027201.0 && nMetStart<423619201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: /afs/slac.stanford.edu/g/glast/ground/bin/datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=421027201.0 && nMetStart<423619201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: /afs/slac.stanford.edu/g/glast/ground/bin/datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=421027201.0 && nMetStart<423619201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits outfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits ra=78.953 dec=15.4614 rad=12.0 tmin=421027201.0 tmax=423619201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 34.85 user 33.72 sys 0.88 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.66 sys 0.21 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ltcube_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits .....................! real 110.33 user 109.60 sys 0.38 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ltcube_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits outfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/expmap_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /scratch/kocevski/331467/ltcube_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits .....................! real 194.17 user 188.25 sys 5.03 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_archive_v18/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 165 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0515.8+1527 @ 78.953 15.4614 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits outfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/cmap_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=78.953 yref=15.4614 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.64 sys 0.16 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits outfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/cmap_HighResolution_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=78.953 yref=15.4614 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.63 sys 0.17 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/scratch/kocevski/331467/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits....................! real 4652.09 user 4635.44 sys 7.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits', '/scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits', expMap='/scratch/kocevski/331467/expmap_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits', expCube='/scratch/kocevski/331467/ltcube_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/scratch/kocevski/331467/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Spacecraft file(s): /scratch/kocevski/331467/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Exposure map: /scratch/kocevski/331467/expmap_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits Exposure cube: /scratch/kocevski/331467/ltcube_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /scratch/kocevski/331467/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 214008.599209 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 214008.508056 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.9345 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Prefactor ' .10001E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 3 'Prefactor ' .18236 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'norm ' 1.4761 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'Prefactor ' 3.9202 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'Prefactor ' 3.1918 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 7 'Prefactor ' 2.9960 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'norm ' .90061 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' 4.4081 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'Prefactor ' 1.1809 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 11 'norm ' 4.3474 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 12 'Prefactor ' 1.9125 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'Prefactor ' 29.069 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'norm ' 3.8500 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 15 'Prefactor ' 6.1226 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 16 'norm ' .10662E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'norm ' .67619 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 18 'Prefactor ' 1.2506 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 19 'norm ' 5.3540 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 1.7507 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Prefactor ' 2.6920 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 22 'Prefactor ' .10001E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 23 'Prefactor ' .10059E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 24 'Prefactor ' .16980 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 25 'Normalizat' 1.0944 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0310 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 214008.5 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 75 CALLS 2251 TOTAL EDM= .19E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.9347 1.1326 .92108E-06 .20440E-03 2 Prefactor .10000E-03 20.478 -.19729E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16873 .48806 -.53844E-06 .10459E-02 4 norm 1.4763 .63648 -.89201E-07 -.49867E-04 5 Prefactor 3.9226 1.0282 -.13198E-06 .11562E-02 6 Prefactor 3.1935 1.0549 -.44722E-06 .23404E-02 7 Prefactor 2.9959 2.4144 -.14403E-05 -.80613E-04 8 norm .90046 .19947 -.22707E-07 .70701E-03 9 norm 4.4080 1.0762 -.26892E-06 .12837E-04 10 Prefactor 1.1811 .94447 .33353E-07 .13699E-03 11 norm 4.3474 1.2597 .67116E-07 .78358E-04 12 Prefactor 1.9125 1.3116 -.10006E-05 -.54490E-05 13 Prefactor 29.068 1.0014 -.22766E-07 .72827E-03 14 norm 3.8500 .71602 -.96321E-08 .18525E-03 15 Prefactor 6.1226 1.0049 .65816E-07 -.21043E-03 16 norm .10000E-03 2.8920 -.22026E-07** at limit ** 17 norm .67622 .25551 -.65604E-07 .52625E-04 18 Prefactor 1.2507 .49285E-01 .74366E-08 -.98997E-03 19 norm 5.3538 1.1792 -.34520E-06 -.11337E-03 20 Prefactor 1.7506 .30564 -.83011E-07 -.19724E-03 21 Prefactor 2.6906 1.0203 .86331E-07 -.44389E-03 22 Prefactor .10000E-03 2.0286 .14706E-05** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .10000E-03 4.3986 .99650E-06** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .17100 2.1033 -.73810E-05 -.18023E-03 25 Normalizat 1.0944 .10425 .11828E-05 .22756E-04 26 Prefactor 1.0310 .16349E-01 .69724E-06 .23395E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.93473 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 0.16873 norm = 1.4763 Prefactor = 3.92259 Prefactor = 3.19352 Prefactor = 2.99589 norm = 0.900459 norm = 4.40802 Prefactor = 1.18106 norm = 4.34737 Prefactor = 1.91253 Prefactor = 29.0683 norm = 3.85005 Prefactor = 6.12264 norm = 0.0001 norm = 0.676219 Prefactor = 1.25066 norm = 5.35377 Prefactor = 1.75061 Prefactor = 2.69061 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 0.0001 Prefactor = 0.171002 Normalizat = 1.09443 Prefactor = 1.03101 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 214008.5 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2795 TOTAL EDM= .11E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9347 3.3781 .74644E-02 -1.5430 2 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.8608 .23925 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16873 .48569 .98968E-01 -1.5626 4 norm 1.4763 .64858 .88366E-02 -1.5465 5 Prefactor 3.9226 10.055 .50940E-02 -1.5312 6 Prefactor 3.1935 7.6451 .56702E-02 -1.5351 7 Prefactor 2.9959 2.4320 .58629E-02 -1.5362 8 norm .90046 .23613 .20858E-01 -1.5518 9 norm 4.4080 1.0804 .47954E-03 -1.5288 10 Prefactor 1.1811 .95997 .10516E-01 -1.5491 11 norm 4.3474 1.2635 .48296E-02 -1.5291 12 Prefactor 1.9125 1.3324 .75145E-02 -1.5431 13 Prefactor 29.068 14.195 .18577E-02 -1.4629 14 norm 3.8500 .71737 .51418E-02 -1.5316 15 Prefactor 6.1226 4.7645 .40563E-02 -1.5213 16 norm .10000E-03 .23233 .90712E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .67622 .26323 .11970E-01 -1.5544 18 Prefactor 1.2507 .46026E-01 .27385E-02 -1.5484 19 norm 5.3538 1.1121 .43421E-02 -1.5245 20 Prefactor 1.7506 .30144 .79220E-02 -1.5443 21 Prefactor 2.6906 4.8962 .62078E-02 -1.5380 22 Prefactor .10000E-03 2.0205 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .10000E-03 4.3627 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .17100 .37552 .74447E-01 -1.5625 25 Normalizat 1.0944 .11241 .19045 -.89931 26 Prefactor 1.0310 .15858E-01 .41179E-01 -.91703 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.11941e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.37847 2 4.81023e-06 3 0.485702 4 0.648579 5 10.0596 6 7.64741 7 2.43213 8 0.236133 9 1.08039 10 0.959985 11 1.26347 12 1.33242 13 14.1965 14 0.717371 15 4.76481 16 3.95104e-06 17 0.263232 18 0.0460262 19 1.11211 20 0.301436 21 4.89697 22 6.39619e-07 23 6.38392e-05 24 0.375521 25 0.112432 26 0.0158578 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 214008.508027 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.913e+00 1.332e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.586e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.094e+00 1.124e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.65 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.94 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.56e-08 +/- 1.09e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.25e-05 +/- 8.74e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 2.65 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.63e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.71e-03 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /scratch/kocevski/331467/likelihoodResults_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 214007.905725 delta logL = 0.60230206151 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 214007.9006 delta logL = 0.607427059935 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.3414 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'Index ' 2.3309 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0830 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0315 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 214007.9 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 92 CALLS 326 TOTAL EDM= .21E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.3427 1.5515 .28951E-03 -.70495E-03 2 Index 2.3305 .49324 .82881E-02 .38249E-02 3 Normalizat 1.0830 .96331E-01 .85229E-03 -.90065E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0315 .15994E-01 .14433E-03 -.64580E-02 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 214007.9 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 73 CALLS 399 TOTAL EDM= .14E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.3427 1.5515 .40721E-04 -1.5476 2 Index 2.3305 .49324 .38484E-03 -.56322 3 Normalizat 1.0830 .96331E-01 .14328E-03 -.90299 4 Prefactor 1.0315 .15994E-01 .17250E-04 -.91688 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 214007.9 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 431 TOTAL EDM= .78E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.3427 1.1810 .11580E-04 .15707E-03 2 Index 2.3305 .37581 .16576E-02 -.15363E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0830 .95981E-01 .34092E-04 .42685E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0315 .15964E-01 .28865E-04 .15124E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.34269 Index = 2.33046 Normalizat = 1.08303 Prefactor = 1.03146 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 214007.9 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 454 TOTAL EDM= .10E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.3427 1.1404 .23161E-05 -1.5476 2 Index 2.3305 .36277 .66305E-04 -.56322 3 Normalizat 1.0830 .95945E-01 .68183E-05 -.90299 4 Prefactor 1.0315 .15962E-01 .57730E-05 -.91688 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.03755e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.14042 2 0.363215 3 0.0959603 4 0.0159618 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory rmdir: failed to remove `/scratch/kocevski/331467': No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 214007.900599 delta logL = 0.607428154093 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.343e+00 1.140e+00 1.000e-04 1.000e+04 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 2.330e+00 3.632e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.596e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.083e+00 9.596e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.88 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.33 +/- 0.36 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.95e-08 +/- 1.92e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.06e-05 +/- 6.37e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -3.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 3.330e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /scratch/kocevski/331467/cmap_HighResolution_421027201_423619201_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** rmdir /scratch/kocevski/331467 Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.71e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.56e-08', energy_flux2='1.06e-05', photon_flux_error='1.09e-08', dlogl='6.07e-01', energy_flux='1.25e-05', photon_flux2='2.95e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2021-10-14 10:09:36.927618', photon_index_error2='0.36', photon_index2='2.33', ts='2.65', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.03', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.63e-08', energy_flux_error2='6.37e-06', EG='1.09', time_epoch_completed='1634231376.93', return_code='0', job_id='331467', GAL2='1.03', EG2='1.08', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='8.74e-06', photon_flux_error2='1.92e-08', ts2='3.88', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='71' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 14 10:09:36 PDT 2021 ------------------------------------------------------------ Sender: LSF System Subject: Job 331467: <4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71> in cluster Done Job <4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71> was submitted from host by user in cluster at Thu Oct 14 05:20:31 2021 Job was executed on host(s) , in queue , as user in cluster at Thu Oct 14 05:20:32 2021 was used as the home directory. was used as the working directory. Started at Thu Oct 14 05:20:32 2021 Terminated at Thu Oct 14 10:09:38 2021 Results reported at Thu Oct 14 10:09:38 2021 Your job looked like: ------------------------------------------------------------ # LSBATCH: User input /nfs/farm/g/glast/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/Scripts/LikelihoodAnalysis.py 4FGL_J0515.8+1527_monthly_bin71 78.953 15.4614 421027201 423619201 irfs=P8R3_SOURCE_V2 zmax=90 ROI=12 association=4FGL_J0515.8+1527 fixedModel=True performFreeIndexFit=True freeVariableSources=True nuke=True repositoryJob=True verbose=False ------------------------------------------------------------ Successfully completed. Resource usage summary: CPU time : 17212.00 sec. Max Memory : 654 MB Average Memory : 600.75 MB Total Requested Memory : - Delta Memory : - Max Swap : - Max Processes : 5 Max Threads : 21 Run time : 17345 sec. Turnaround time : 17347 sec. The output (if any) is above this job summary.