********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443291/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443291/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:37:27.570903', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141047.57', return_code='0', job_id='27443291', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:37:27 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443309/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443309/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:37:36.048305', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141056.05', return_code='0', job_id='27443309', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:37:36 PDT 2026 number of points = 7437 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169 RA = 78.953, Dec = 15.4614 tmin = 801532801, tmax = 801792001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27443822', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-30 04:36:27.071252', time_epoch_executed='1780140987.07' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2169' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits ra=78.953 dec=15.4614 rad=12.0 tmin=801532801.0 tmax=801792001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.39 user 1.87 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.61 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2551 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443274/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443274/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:38:00.141207', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141080.14', return_code='0', job_id='27443274', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:38:00 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443374/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443374/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:38:10.708729', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141090.71', return_code='0', job_id='27443374', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:38:10 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits .....................! real 8.04 user 7.40 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits .....................! real 62.99 user 58.85 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source S 147 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/S147.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source IC 443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 165 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0515.8+1527 @ 78.953 15.4614 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/cmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=78.953 yref=15.4614 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=78.953 yref=15.4614 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.54 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 221.02 user 218.40 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443509/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 ki/27443614/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 202.53 user 199.84 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443614/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 ki/27443583/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 200.08 user 197.62 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443583/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 ki/27443576/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 202.53 user 199.92 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443576/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ki/27443631/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 197.54 user 195.42 sys 0.84 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443631/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ki/27443531/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 222.26 user 219.54 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443531/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 i/27443597/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 223.63 user 220.59 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443597/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 110.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 0.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443614/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:43:57.703563', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141437.7', return_code='0', job_id='27443614', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:43:57 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443509/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:44:12.718163', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141452.72', return_code='0', job_id='27443509', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:44:12 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443583/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:44:17.159664', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141457.16', return_code='0', job_id='27443583', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:44:17 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443576/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:44:19.916367', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141459.92', return_code='0', job_id='27443576', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:44:20 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443631/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:44:26.864815', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141466.86', return_code='0', job_id='27443631', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:44:27 PDT 2026 ki/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source IC 443 adding source S 147 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 199.87 user 197.50 sys 0.84 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27443822/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0515.8+1527' 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 1.467e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ft2_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/Model_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 25202.7902041 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.446989 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 22.853 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 2.8088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.0396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .38796E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.9362 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .63411 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.1552 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .11358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33469E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 687.86 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 14.632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.1788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 1.3012 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 17 'Prefactor ' 2.3738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10557E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .27059E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .71942E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Normalizat' 1.9285 1.0000 .10000E-01 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443531/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:45:05.821115', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141505.82', return_code='0', job_id='27443531', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:45:05 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443597/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:45:10.057386', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141510.06', return_code='0', job_id='27443597', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:45:10 PDT 2026 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91814 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25201.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 169 CALLS 1120 TOTAL EDM= .66E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3761 -.22358E-05 -.30082E-03 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.843 -.17276E-05 -.34553E-04 3 norm 2.8153 2.2228 -.87662E-07 -.36855E-02 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.972 .62041E-05 .26837E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7818 .98306E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0603 -.77580E-06 .32686E-03 7 norm .63492 .48495 -.42356E-08 -.55341E-03 8 norm 3.1579 3.0736 .78436E-07 .15674E-02 9 Prefactor .16276 15.397 -.18494E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 10.771 6.4044 -.33471E-06 .38057E-03 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.1168 -.91714E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.75 .42325E-06 -.62029E-03 13 norm 14.620 3.7159 -.83779E-07 -.16225E-02 14 norm 13.103 7.3626 -.38951E-06 -.21017E-03 15 norm 3.1819 1.1446 -.32236E-07 .10507E-02 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12764 .51935E-08 -.13797E-02 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0279 .10613E-07 -.78703E-02 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6630 -.17798E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4416 .43928E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 3.0071 -.46428E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .35779 .26209E-05 -.18612E-05 22 Prefactor .91828 .51931E-01 .93934E-06 .15899E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.03559 Prefactor = 23.264 norm = 2.81531 Prefactor = 7.25212 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.81439 norm = 0.634918 norm = 3.15785 Prefactor = 0.162756 norm = 10.7707 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 699.002 norm = 14.6204 norm = 13.1028 norm = 3.18191 Prefactor = 1.30118 Prefactor = 2.37164 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.92376 Prefactor = 0.918278 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25201.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 402 CALLS 1522 TOTAL EDM= .69E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0356 8.3981 .58511E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor 23.264 24.818 .20923E-03 -1.5611 3 norm 2.8153 2.2270 .60670E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 7.2521 23.836 .37786E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .0000 8.7795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.8144 8.0679 .38070E-03 -1.5656 7 norm .63492 .48848 .66227E-03 -1.5692 8 norm 3.1579 3.0872 .57037E-03 -1.5672 9 Prefactor .16276 .98646 .92515E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 10.771 6.4073 .30386E-03 -1.5642 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 5.0934 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 699.00 116.74 .38142E-04 -1.5179 13 norm 14.620 3.7146 .26158E-03 -1.5631 14 norm 13.103 7.3692 .27558E-03 -1.5636 15 norm 3.1819 1.1454 .56813E-03 -1.5672 16 Prefactor 1.3012 .12514 .30343E-02 -1.5480 17 Prefactor 2.3716 1.0141 .66470E-03 -1.5677 18 Prefactor .0000 8.6529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 7.4370 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 2.9951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat 1.9238 .32439 .16948 -.66475 22 Prefactor .91828 .46373E-01 .45236E-01 -.95505 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.85255e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.39815 2 24.818 3 2.22701 4 23.8363 5 1.51346e-05 6 8.06795 7 0.488478 8 3.08717 9 0.801378 10 6.40731 11 3.00172e-05 12 116.744 13 3.71463 14 7.36924 15 1.14543 16 0.125138 17 1.01406 18 2.40447e-05 19 1.8786e-05 20 2.10431e-06 21 0.324756 22 0.0463755 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25201.4417283 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.002e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 1.942e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.183e-01 4.638e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.924e+00 3.248e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.9175425869e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00740160030977 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25201.5442101 delta logL = -0.102481738373 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.6809752 delta logL = 0.760753157232 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49523 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.8263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .92319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5710E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25200.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .21E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49503 5.1933 .79191E-03 .70502E-01 2 Index 3.2141 1.5809 .92655E-01 .80354E-03 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .72693E-01 .17250 .45333E-04 4 Prefactor .92320 .11419E-01 .45300E-01 -.14748E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.495028 Index = 3.21413 Normalizat = 1.82644 Prefactor = 0.923197 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25200.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .68E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49503 17.132 .89977E-05 -1.5694 2 Index 3.2141 3.5376 .68154E-02 -.36524 3 Normalizat 1.8264 .29006 .76735E-03 -.68976 4 Prefactor .92320 .45115E-01 .16157E-03 -.95335 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.75767e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.82446 2 4.01382 3 0.290338 4 0.0451167 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 25200.680975 delta logL = 0.760753350303 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0515.8+1527 Spectrum: PowerLaw 237 Prefactor: 4.950e-01 5.824e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 238 Index: 3.214e+00 4.014e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 239 Scale: 3.068e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 9.232e-01 4.512e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.826e+00 2.903e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.59 Ra Dec: 78.953 15.461 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 4.01 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.35e-07 +/- 1.14e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.45e-05 +/- 3.76e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27443822/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J0515.8+1527_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.40e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.45e-05', dlogl='7.61e-01', photon_flux2='1.35e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-05-30 04:47:38.438966', photon_index_error2='4.01', photon_index2='3.21', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='3.76e-05', EG='1.92', time_epoch_completed='1780141658.44', return_code='0', job_id='27443822', GAL2='0.92', EG2='1.83', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.14e-07', ts2='1.59', photon_index='1.94' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J0515.8+1527' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 04:47:38 PDT 2026