********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083155/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083155/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:47:36.007386', job_id='31083155', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576056.01', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:47:36 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181 RA = 69.7447, Dec = -45.3584 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31083477', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 22:46:10.696182', time_epoch_executed='1783575970.7' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits ra=69.7447 dec=-45.3584 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.20 user 2.94 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.64 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 689 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083170/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083170/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:48:14.094242', job_id='31083170', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576094.09', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:48:14 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083252/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083172/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083252/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:48:32.699634', job_id='31083252', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576112.7', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:48:32 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083172/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:48:35.478746', job_id='31083172', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576115.48', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:48:35 PDT 2026 ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 63.80 user 61.17 sys 1.24 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083351/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.9-4521' 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.468e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.66441372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51314985 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64257E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98310E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 38.399 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.5131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .33172 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .35901E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.2669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.1042 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .55364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .87825E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .52468E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 36.098 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 9.4375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .45652E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 5.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .24931E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .47050E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24506 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .24498E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .22228E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .35293E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.7686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181 RA = 69.7447, Dec = -45.3584 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31083514', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 22:47:53.779146', time_epoch_executed='1783576073.78' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits ra=69.7447 dec=-45.3584 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.43 user 2.80 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 689 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 65.79 user 62.78 sys 1.15 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083337/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.9-4521' 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.468e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.66441372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51314985 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64257E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98310E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 38.399 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.5131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .33172 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .35901E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.2669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.1042 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .55364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .87825E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .52468E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 36.098 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 9.4375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .45652E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 5.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .24931E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .47050E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24506 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .24498E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .22228E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .35293E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.7686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 9.51 user 8.37 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 74.84 user 68.50 sys 4.45 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Fornax A in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/FornaxA.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 187 point sources and 1 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0438.9-4521 @ 69.7447 -45.3584 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.7447 yref=-45.3584 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.11 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.7447 yref=-45.3584 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fitts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 67.13 user 64.91 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083363/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.9-4521' 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.468e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.66441372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51314985 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64257E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98310E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 38.399 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.5131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .33172 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .35901E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.2669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.1042 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .55364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .87825E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .52468E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 36.098 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 9.4375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .45652E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 5.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .24931E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .47050E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24506 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .24498E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .22228E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .35293E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.7686 1.0000 .0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083351/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:50:11.302689', job_id='31083351', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576211.3', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:50:11 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083337/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:50:27.272076', job_id='31083337', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576227.27', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:50:27 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.82 user 8.06 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 74.40 user 68.20 sys 4.33 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Fornax A in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/FornaxA.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 187 point sources and 1 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0438.9-4521 @ 69.7447 -45.3584 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.7447 yref=-45.3584 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.02 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.7447 yref=-45.3584 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fiDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083363/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:51:02.887677', job_id='31083363', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576262.89', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:51:03 PDT 2026 s sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 63.57 user 61.02 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083477/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.9-4521' 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.468e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.66441372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51314985 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64257E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98310E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 38.399 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.5131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .33172 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .35901E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.2669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.1042 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .55364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .87825E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .52468E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 36.098 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 9.4375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .45652E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 5.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .24931E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .47050E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24506 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .24498E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .22228E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .35293E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.7686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 63.01 user 61.08 sys 1.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083514/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.9-4521' 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.468e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ft2_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/Model_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.66441372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51314985 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .64257E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98310E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 38.399 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.5131 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .33172 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .35901E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.2669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.1042 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .55364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .87825E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .52468E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 36.098 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 9.4375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .45652E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 5.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .24931E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .47050E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .24506 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .24498E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .22228E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .35293E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.7686 1.0000 .0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.3583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 15.285 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Normalizat' 1.1374 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0176 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7289.511 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 188 CALLS 1860 TOTAL EDM= .20E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 21.580 .85617E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 .13083 .75551E-08** at limit ** 3 norm 38.477 11.582 -.71968E-06 -.10263 4 Prefactor 7.5599 1.5830 -.10160E-06 .11664E-02 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 1032.3 -.72548E-04** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 1.6149 -.40170E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 5.2647 3.6570 .56244E-07 -.18322E-02 8 Prefactor 3.0032 8.8489 .11020E-05 .52114E-02 9 norm .55550 .41807 .31507E-07 .19308E-01 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 142.82 -.18968E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5868 -.73248E-06** at limit ** 12 norm 36.055 7.2981 -.30187E-07 .17904 13 norm 9.4368 2.5103 -.12856E-06 -.14711E-01 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2799 .12022E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.724 .11796E-05 .12735E-01 16 norm .13284E-06 7.3543 -.68021E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.614 .23913E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 31.505 -.30775E-05** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7907 .67246E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.4056 .72944E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3605 .29697E-06** at limit ** 22 norm 3.7681 3.0748 -.12735E-06 -.44249E-02 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2242 .46195E-06 .14595E-03 24 norm 15.284 1.9887 .48070E-07 -.12054E-01 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .22677 -.26654E-04 -.13564E-03 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .22882 .68641E-05 -.11411E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.42886e-07 norm = 0 norm = 38.4775 Prefactor = 7.55989 Prefactor = 1.86487e-05 Prefactor = 1.23457e-07 norm = 5.26471 Prefactor = 3.00318 norm = 0.555503 Prefactor = 2.71611e-06 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 norm = 36.0552 norm = 9.43681 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.28384 norm = 1.32838e-07 Prefactor = 7.71605e-09 Prefactor = 3.01605e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 3.11973e-08 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 3.76806 Prefactor = 3.32839 norm = 15.2838 Normalizat = 1.13726 Prefactor = 1.01791 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083477/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:53:34.848789', job_id='31083477', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576414.85', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:53:35 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.511 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 532 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .47E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14289E-06 22.072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 .12978 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 38.477 12.428 .16139E-03 -1.5584 4 Prefactor 7.5599 11.091 .36565E-03 -1.5653 5 Prefactor .18649E-04 23.071 .13539E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .12346E-06 7.2825 .11979E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 5.2647 3.6883 .43773E-03 -1.5662 8 Prefactor 3.0032 9.1407 .57530E-03 -1.5673 9 norm .55550 .41773 .73488E-03 -1.5693 10 Prefactor .27161E-05 180.31 .14268E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .10547E-08 2.5804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 36.055 13.764 .16646E-03 -1.5588 13 norm 9.4368 2.5550 .32598E-03 -1.5647 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.2704 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 5.2838 14.773 .44869E-03 -1.5662 16 norm .13284E-06 7.9105 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .77161E-08 55.725 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .30160E-04 137.36 .11023E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .44409E-09 3.7062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .31197E-07 6.3726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .16653E-09 3.3495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.7681 3.0818 .51980E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor 3.3284 7.2360 .55198E-03 -1.5671 24 norm 15.284 1.9908 .25592E-03 -1.5630 25 Normalizat 1.1373 .18937 .62480E-01 -.88564 26 Prefactor 1.0179 .19017 .67922E-01 -.92135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.65606e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00355205 2 1.48989e-07 3 12.428 4 11.0913 5 0.0414846 6 0.00189642 7 3.68832 8 9.14071 9 0.417725 10 0.0442611 11 0.00010298 12 13.7642 13 2.55495 14 2.13036e-05 15 14.7728 16 0.0020501 17 0.0013115 18 0.128733 19 7.88302e-05 20 0.00089161 21 4.41372e-05 22 3.08178 23 7.236 24 1.99075 25 0.189487 26 0.190298 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7289.51131157 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.055e-09 1.030e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 2.417e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.018e+00 1.903e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.137e+00 1.895e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.5202662956e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00659139105417 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.51666034 delta logL = -0.00534877518294 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245966 delta logL = 0.398851904747 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12532 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.4061 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0752 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0574 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6090E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7289.112 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 310 TOTAL EDM= .27E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12553 1.9935 .75909E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.4053 2.9123 .12960 .16856E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .34258E-01 .63916E-01 .12461E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .35685E-01 .66754E-01 .11696E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.125527 Index = 4.40529 Normalizat = 1.07499 Prefactor = 1.05753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7289.112 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .13E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12553 8.3652 .33983E-05 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.4053 7.1326 .75445E-02 -.11922 3 Normalizat 1.0750 .18792 .28272E-03 -.90559 4 Prefactor 1.0575 .19156 .29529E-03 -.90836 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.28177e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.04945 2 8.38397 3 0.188035 4 0.191682 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7289.11245924 delta logL = 0.398852322282 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.9-4521 Spectrum: PowerLaw 294 Prefactor: 1.255e-01 2.049e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 295 Index: 4.405e+00 8.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 296 Scale: 8.800e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 606 Prefactor: 1.058e+00 1.917e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 607 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 608 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 602 Normalization: 1.075e+00 1.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.745 -45.358 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083514/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0438.9-4521_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.59e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.52e-08', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:54:41.077277', job_id='31083514', GAL2='1.06', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.07', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1783576481.08', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.02', dlogl='3.99e-01', ts2='0.86', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.42' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.9-4521' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:54:41 PDT 2026