/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits.....................! real 32.90 user 30.68 sys 1.20 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31082906/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31082906/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.4-1254' 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 2.972e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07161492 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07365164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22763E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.6930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.6663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .43016E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.8907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .26231E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 14.007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.7505 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.7239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14869E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 7.7757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.1471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 28.539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1934 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .80531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 1125 TOTAL EDM= .93E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 37.861 -.13993E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7383 -.12712E-06 -.20443E-02 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.274 .12598E-06 -.65794E-02 4 norm .0000 11.956 -.81306E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5688 .16101E-06 .87763E-03 6 norm .0000 1.6478 .98815E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 14.013 2.5408 -.59438E-08 -.90971E-01 8 Prefactor 7.7589 1.9903 .45791E-08 -.37753E-01 9 Prefactor 8.7574 1.5219 .51563E-09 .63678E-01 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.561 -.28697E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 7.9875 44.095 .26460E-06 -.32095E-01 12 norm 1.1461 .28562 -.73550E-09 .27318E-02 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 68.787 -.96501E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 28.450 19.562 -.69668E-07 -.95589E-01 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .26674 .28936E-05 .10110E-03 16 Prefactor .80505 .16045 .42204E-06 .11283E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.69177 Prefactor = 4.37506 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.88683 norm = 0 norm = 14.0128 Prefactor = 7.75888 Prefactor = 8.7574 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 7.98752 norm = 1.14612 Prefactor = 2.73115e-08 Prefactor = 28.4496 Normalizat = 1.1947 Prefactor = 0.805051 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 10.23 user 8.60 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 74.14 user 68.55 sys 4.20 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0438.4-1254 @ 69.6099 -12.9053 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/cmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sour WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1364 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 36.840 .16861E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7431 .62056E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.470 .46564E-03 -1.5666 4 norm .0000 11.958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5772 .59746E-03 -1.5674 6 norm .0000 1.6469 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 14.013 15.818 .26737E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 7.7589 14.430 .35995E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 8.7574 16.848 .33913E-03 -1.5649 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.530 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 7.9875 73.869 .35937E-03 -1.5651 12 norm 1.1461 .28739 .40172E-03 -1.5687 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 67.802 .11955E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 28.450 33.233 .18722E-03 -1.5601 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .24189 .63715E-01 -.86767 16 Prefactor .80505 .13760 .43786E-01 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02386e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.40831e-05 2 2.74309 3 10.4704 4 5.92904e-06 5 3.57718 6 1.12898e-05 7 15.8185 8 14.4302 9 16.8478 10 0.000316664 11 48.582 12 0.287391 13 0.00272205 14 33.2331 15 0.242115 16 0.137656 rce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits.....................! real 33.33 user 31.06 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31082918/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31082918/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.4-1254' 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 2.972e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07161492 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07365164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22763E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.6930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.6663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .43016E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.8907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .26231E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 14.007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.7505 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.7239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14869E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 7.7757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.1471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 28.539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1934 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .80531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 1125 TOTAL EDM= .93E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 37.861 -.13993E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7383 -.12712E-06 -.20443E-02 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.274 .12598E-06 -.65794E-02 4 norm .0000 11.956 -.81306E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5688 .16101E-06 .87763E-03 6 norm .0000 1.6478 .98815E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 14.013 2.5408 -.59438E-08 -.90971E-01 8 Prefactor 7.7589 1.9903 .45791E-08 -.37753E-01 9 Prefactor 8.7574 1.5219 .51563E-09 .63678E-01 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.561 -.28697E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 7.9875 44.095 .26460E-06 -.32095E-01 12 norm 1.1461 .28562 -.73550E-09 .27318E-02 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 68.787 -.96501E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 28.450 19.562 -.69668E-07 -.95589E-01 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .26674 .28936E-05 .10110E-03 16 Prefactor .80505 .16045 .42204E-06 .11283E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.69177 Prefactor = 4.37506 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.88683 norm = 0 norm = 14.0128 Prefactor = 7.75888 Prefactor = 8.7574 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 7.98752 norm = 1.14612 Prefactor = 2.73115e-08 Prefactor = 28.4496 Normalizat = 1.1947 Prefactor = 0.805051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1364 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 36.840 .16861E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7431 .62056E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.470 .46564E-03 -1.5666 4 norm .0000 11.958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5772 .59746E-03 -1.5674 6 norm .0000 1.6469 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 14.013 15.818 .26737E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 7.7589 14.430 .35995E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 8.7574 16.848 .33913E-03 -1.5649 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.530 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 7.9875 73.869 .35937E-03 -1.5651 12 norm 1.1461 .28739 .40172E-03 -1.5687 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 67.802 .11955E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 28.450 33.233 .18722E-03 -1.5601 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .24189 .63715E-01 -.86767 16 Prefactor .80505 .13760 .43786E-01 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02386e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.40831e-05 2 2.74309 3 10.4704 4 5.92904e-06 5 3.57718 6 1.12898e-05 7 15.8185 8 14.4302 9 16.8478 10 0.000316664 11 48.582 12 0.287391 13 0.00272205 14 33.2331 15 0.242115 16 0.137656 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.071179 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 1.221e-09 3.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.377e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.421e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.15204001538e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00892151859239 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/likelihoodResults_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.09477269 delta logL = -0.0235936862773 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 4904.07118133 delta logL = -2.33310584008e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18014E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .80506 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 3010.1 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6257 6.1786 .37076 -.61327E-11 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .16272 .63716E-01 -.18668E-03 4 Prefactor .80506 .89488E-01 .43783E-01 .51895E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Index = 3.62569 Normalizat = 1.19469 Prefactor = 0.805058 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 260 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 15.266 .16847E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6257 6.7240 .50000 -.27845 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .24900 .28184E-03 -.86767 4 Prefactor .80506 .15709 .21078E-03 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.87024e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000138769 2 4.92764 3 0.249247 4 0.157175 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.071179 delta logL = -9.05856722966e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 3.331e-10 1.388e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 3.626e+00 4.928e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.492e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31082906/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.92e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-07', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:38:12.267623', job_id='31082906', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1783575492.27', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-9.06e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2178' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:38:12 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.071179 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 1.221e-09 3.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.377e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.421e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.15204001538e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00892151859239 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/likelihoodResults_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.09477269 delta logL = -0.0235936862773 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 4904.07118133 delta logL = -2.33310584008e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18014E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .80506 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 3010.1 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6257 6.1786 .37076 -.61327E-11 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .16272 .63716E-01 -.18668E-03 4 Prefactor .80506 .89488E-01 .43783E-01 .51895E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Index = 3.62569 Normalizat = 1.19469 Prefactor = 0.805058 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 260 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 15.266 .16847E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6257 6.7240 .50000 -.27845 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .24900 .28184E-03 -.86767 4 Prefactor .80506 .15709 .21078E-03 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.87024e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000138769 2 4.92764 3 0.249247 4 0.157175 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.071179 delta logL = -9.05856722966e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 3.331e-10 1.388e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 3.626e+00 4.928e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.492e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31082918/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.92e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-07', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:38:21.517318', job_id='31082918', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1783575501.52', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-9.06e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2178' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:38:21 PDT 2026 number of points = 7456 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178 RA = 69.6099, Dec = -12.9053 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804124801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31083026', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 22:36:59.604489', time_epoch_executed='1783575419.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2178' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits ra=69.6099 dec=-12.9053 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804124801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.28 user 1.51 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 428 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits.....................! real 31.54 user 29.48 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31082913/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.4-1254' 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 2.972e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07161492 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07365164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22763E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.6930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.6663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .43016E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.8907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .26231E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 14.007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.7505 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.7239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14869E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 7.7757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.1471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 28.539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1934 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .80531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 1125 TOTAL EDM= .93E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 37.861 -.13993E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7383 -.12712E-06 -.20443E-02 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.274 .12598E-06 -.65794E-02 4 norm .0000 11.956 -.81306E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5688 .16101E-06 .87763E-03 6 norm .0000 1.6478 .98815E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 14.013 2.5408 -.59438E-08 -.90971E-01 8 Prefactor 7.7589 1.9903 .45791E-08 -.37753E-01 9 Prefactor 8.7574 1.5219 .51563E-09 .63678E-01 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.561 -.28697E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 7.9875 44.095 .26460E-06 -.32095E-01 12 norm 1.1461 .28562 -.73550E-09 .27318E-02 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 68.787 -.96501E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 28.450 19.562 -.69668E-07 -.95589E-01 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .26674 .28936E-05 .10110E-03 16 Prefactor .80505 .16045 .42204E-06 .11283E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.69177 Prefactor = 4.37506 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.88683 norm = 0 norm = 14.0128 Prefactor = 7.75888 Prefactor = 8.7574 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 7.98752 norm = 1.14612 Prefactor = 2.73115e-08 Prefactor = 28.4496 Normalizat = 1.1947 Prefactor = 0.805051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1364 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 36.840 .16861E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7431 .62056E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.470 .46564E-03 -1.5666 4 norm .0000 11.958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5772 .59746E-03 -1.5674 6 norm .0000 1.6469 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 14.013 15.818 .26737E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 7.7589 14.430 .35995E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 8.7574 16.848 .33913E-03 -1.5649 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.530 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 7.9875 73.869 .35937E-03 -1.5651 12 norm 1.1461 .28739 .40172E-03 -1.5687 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 67.802 .11955E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 28.450 33.233 .18722E-03 -1.5601 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .24189 .63715E-01 -.86767 16 Prefactor .80505 .13760 .43786E-01 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02386e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.40831e-05 2 2.74309 3 10.4704 4 5.92904e-06 5 3.57718 6 1.12898e-05 7 15.8185 8 14.4302 9 16.8478 10 0.000316664 11 48.582 12 0.287391 13 0.00272205 14 33.2331 15 0.242115 16 0.137656 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.071179 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 1.221e-09 3.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.377e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.421e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.15204001538e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00892151859239 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/likelihoodResults_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.09477269 delta logL = -0.0235936862773 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 4904.07118133 delta logL = -2.33310584008e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18014E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .80506 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 3010.1 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6257 6.1786 .37076 -.61327E-11 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .16272 .63716E-01 -.18668E-03 4 Prefactor .80506 .89488E-01 .43783E-01 .51895E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Index = 3.62569 Normalizat = 1.19469 Prefactor = 0.805058 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 260 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 15.266 .16847E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6257 6.7240 .50000 -.27845 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .24900 .28184E-03 -.86767 4 Prefactor .80506 .15709 .21078E-03 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.87024e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000138769 2 4.92764 3 0.249247 4 0.157175 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.071179 delta logL = -9.05856722966e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 3.331e-10 1.388e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 3.626e+00 4.928e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.492e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31082913/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.92e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-07', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:39:04.050401', job_id='31082913', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1783575544.05', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-9.06e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2178' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:39:04 PDT 2026 number of points = 7456 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178 RA = 69.6099, Dec = -12.9053 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804124801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31083049', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 22:37:54.784518', time_epoch_executed='1783575474.78' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2178' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804124801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits ra=69.6099 dec=-12.9053 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804124801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.25 user 1.55 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.86 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 428 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 12.69 user 11.64 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 74.20 user 68.47 sys 4.29 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0438.4-1254 @ 69.6099 -12.9053 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/cmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.22 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding souroutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 9.68 user 8.83 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits .....................! real 74.02 user 68.64 sys 4.33 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0438.4-1254 @ 69.6099 -12.9053 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/cmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.10 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=69.6099 yref=-12.9053 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits.....................! real 33.32 user 30.32 sys 1.43 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083026/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.4-1254' 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 2.972e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07161492 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07365164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22763E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.6930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.6663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .43016E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.8907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .26231E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 14.007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.7505 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.7239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14869E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 7.7757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.1471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 28.539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1934 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .80531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 1125 TOTAL EDM= .93E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 37.861 -.13993E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7383 -.12712E-06 -.20443E-02 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.274 .12598E-06 -.65794E-02 4 norm .0000 11.956 -.81306E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5688 .16101E-06 .87763E-03 6 norm .0000 1.6478 .98815E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 14.013 2.5408 -.59438E-08 -.90971E-01 8 Prefactor 7.7589 1.9903 .45791E-08 -.37753E-01 9 Prefactor 8.7574 1.5219 .51563E-09 .63678E-01 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.561 -.28697E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 7.9875 44.095 .26460E-06 -.32095E-01 12 norm 1.1461 .28562 -.73550E-09 .27318E-02 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 68.787 -.96501E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 28.450 19.562 -.69668E-07 -.95589E-01 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .26674 .28936E-05 .10110E-03 16 Prefactor .80505 .16045 .42204E-06 .11283E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.69177 Prefactor = 4.37506 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.88683 norm = 0 norm = 14.0128 Prefactor = 7.75888 Prefactor = 8.7574 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 7.98752 norm = 1.14612 Prefactor = 2.73115e-08 Prefactor = 28.4496 Normalizat = 1.1947 Prefactor = 0.805051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1364 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 36.840 .16861E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7431 .62056E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.470 .46564E-03 -1.5666 4 norm .0000 11.958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5772 .59746E-03 -1.5674 6 norm .0000 1.6469 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 14.013 15.818 .26737E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 7.7589 14.430 .35995E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 8.7574 16.848 .33913E-03 -1.5649 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.530 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 7.9875 73.869 .35937E-03 -1.5651 12 norm 1.1461 .28739 .40172E-03 -1.5687 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 67.802 .11955E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 28.450 33.233 .18722E-03 -1.5601 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .24189 .63715E-01 -.86767 16 Prefactor .80505 .13760 .43786E-01 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02386e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.40831e-05 2 2.74309 3 10.4704 4 5.92904e-06 5 3.57718 6 1.12898e-05 7 15.8185 8 14.4302 9 16.8478 10 0.000316664 11 48.582 12 0.287391 13 0.00272205 14 33.2331 15 0.242115 16 0.137656 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.071179 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 1.221e-09 3.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.377e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.421e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.15204001538e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00892151859239 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/likelihoodResults_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.09477269 delta logL = -0.0235936862773 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 4904.07118133 delta logL = -2.33310584008e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18014E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .80506 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 3010.1 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6257 6.1786 .37076 -.61327E-11 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .16272 .63716E-01 -.18668E-03 4 Prefactor .80506 .89488E-01 .43783E-01 .51895E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Index = 3.62569 Normalizat = 1.19469 Prefactor = 0.805058 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 260 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 15.266 .16847E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6257 6.7240 .50000 -.27845 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .24900 .28184E-03 -.86767 4 Prefactor .80506 .15709 .21078E-03 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.87024e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000138769 2 4.92764 3 0.249247 4 0.157175 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.071179 delta logL = -9.05856722966e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 3.331e-10 1.388e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 3.626e+00 4.928e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.492e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083026/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.92e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-07', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:41:43.779064', job_id='31083026', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1783575703.78', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-9.06e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2178' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:41:43 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits.....................! real 31.56 user 29.49 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31083049/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0438.4-1254' 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 2.972e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ft2_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/expmap_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/ltcube_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/Model_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07161492 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.07365164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22763E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.6930 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.6663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .43016E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.8907 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .26231E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 14.007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.7505 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 8.7239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14869E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 7.7757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 1.1471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 28.539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1934 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .80531 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 1125 TOTAL EDM= .93E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 37.861 -.13993E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7383 -.12712E-06 -.20443E-02 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.274 .12598E-06 -.65794E-02 4 norm .0000 11.956 -.81306E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5688 .16101E-06 .87763E-03 6 norm .0000 1.6478 .98815E-07** at limit ** 7 norm 14.013 2.5408 -.59438E-08 -.90971E-01 8 Prefactor 7.7589 1.9903 .45791E-08 -.37753E-01 9 Prefactor 8.7574 1.5219 .51563E-09 .63678E-01 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.561 -.28697E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 7.9875 44.095 .26460E-06 -.32095E-01 12 norm 1.1461 .28562 -.73550E-09 .27318E-02 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 68.787 -.96501E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 28.450 19.562 -.69668E-07 -.95589E-01 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .26674 .28936E-05 .10110E-03 16 Prefactor .80505 .16045 .42204E-06 .11283E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.69177 Prefactor = 4.37506 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.88683 norm = 0 norm = 14.0128 Prefactor = 7.75888 Prefactor = 8.7574 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 7.98752 norm = 1.14612 Prefactor = 2.73115e-08 Prefactor = 28.4496 Normalizat = 1.1947 Prefactor = 0.805051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 239 CALLS 1364 TOTAL EDM= .10E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 36.840 .16861E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 2.6918 2.7431 .62056E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor 4.3751 10.470 .46564E-03 -1.5666 4 norm .0000 11.958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 2.8868 3.5772 .59746E-03 -1.5674 6 norm .0000 1.6469 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 14.013 15.818 .26737E-03 -1.5633 8 Prefactor 7.7589 14.430 .35995E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 8.7574 16.848 .33913E-03 -1.5649 10 Prefactor .12212E-08 20.530 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 7.9875 73.869 .35937E-03 -1.5651 12 norm 1.1461 .28739 .40172E-03 -1.5687 13 Prefactor .27311E-07 67.802 .11955E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 28.450 33.233 .18722E-03 -1.5601 15 Normalizat 1.1947 .24189 .63715E-01 -.86767 16 Prefactor .80505 .13760 .43786E-01 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.02386e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.40831e-05 2 2.74309 3 10.4704 4 5.92904e-06 5 3.57718 6 1.12898e-05 7 15.8185 8 14.4302 9 16.8478 10 0.000316664 11 48.582 12 0.287391 13 0.00272205 14 33.2331 15 0.242115 16 0.137656 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 4904.071179 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 1.221e-09 3.167e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 2.433e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.377e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.421e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.15204001538e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00892151859239 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/likelihoodResults_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.09477269 delta logL = -0.0235936862773 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 4904.07118133 delta logL = -2.33310584008e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18014E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1141 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1949 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .80506 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 4904.071 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 73 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 3010.1 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.6257 6.1786 .37076 -.61327E-11 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .16272 .63716E-01 -.18668E-03 4 Prefactor .80506 .89488E-01 .43783E-01 .51895E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Index = 3.62569 Normalizat = 1.19469 Prefactor = 0.805058 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 4904.071 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 260 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .33307E-09 15.266 .16847E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.6257 6.7240 .50000 -.27845 3 Normalizat 1.1947 .24900 .28184E-03 -.86767 4 Prefactor .80506 .15709 .21078E-03 -.99542 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.87024e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000138769 2 4.92764 3 0.249247 4 0.157175 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 4904.071179 delta logL = -9.05856722966e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0438.4-1254 Spectrum: PowerLaw 249 Prefactor: 3.331e-10 1.388e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 250 Index: 3.626e+00 4.928e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 251 Scale: 1.026e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 493 Prefactor: 8.051e-01 1.572e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 494 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 495 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 492 Normalization: 1.195e+00 2.492e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 69.610 -12.905 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31083049/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804124801_4FGL_J0438.4-1254_daily_bin2178.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.92e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.15e-07', time_completed='2026-07-08 22:42:15.586804', job_id='31083049', GAL2='0.81', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1783575735.59', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.81', dlogl='-9.06e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2178' AND source_name='4FGL J0438.4-1254' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 22:42:15 PDT 2026