/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 19.36 user 19.17 sys 2.13 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 78.13 user 72.45 sys 6.17 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 173 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0257.9-1215 @ 44.492 -12.2637 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=44.492 yref=-12.2637 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.64 user 0.94 sys 3.35 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=44.492 yref=-12.2637 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 1.00 sys 3.34 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17278 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930 RA = 44.492, Dec = -12.2637 tmin = 801446401, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27612696', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 02:43:09.929575', time_epoch_executed='1780393389.93' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0257.9-1215' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='930' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits ra=44.492 dec=-12.2637 rad=12.0 tmin=801446401.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.28 user 4.44 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.73 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1437 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA"e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 67.21 user 60.99 sys 2.30 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27612299/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0257.9-1215' 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 2.140e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.648e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.4434841 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.3818128 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.5714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 41.235 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .19451E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 3.9493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13797E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .22859E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14932E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .75843E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95629E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .12097 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30233E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.8159 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .30047E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .18250E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .76177 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1647 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5460E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15791.38 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 1030 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14531E-05 31.818 .14825E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 4.5463 4.1818 .13026E-06 -.24721E-02 3 norm 41.598 4.3103 -.94634E-07 .71017E-01 4 Prefactor .15377E-07 8.1358 -.57873E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 3.9655 5.8583 .16835E-06 -.47701E-03 6 Prefactor .13045E-07 9.2965 .54290E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .18727 .12882E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .22760E-08 1.3344 -.12963E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .11208E-04 8.8365 -.81243E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .38858E-08 3.2930 -.24557E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .12023 14.546 .15110E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .83489E-07 80.963 .12404E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 2.8159 1.7772 .21197E-06 -.10230E-02 14 Prefactor .75495E-08 3.8615 -.48888E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .71054E-08 25.963 -.38171E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .76163 .11183 -.52843E-05 .19954E-03 17 Prefactor 1.1646 .98709E-01 -.60468E-06 .10497E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.45312e-06 Prefactor = 4.54631 norm = 41.5982 Prefactor = 1.53766e-08 Prefactor = 3.96549 Prefactor = 1.30451e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.27596e-09 norm = 1.12083e-05 Prefactor = 3.88578e-09 Prefactor = 0.120235 Prefactor = 8.34888e-08 Prefactor = 2.81589 Prefactor = 7.54952e-09 Prefactor = 7.10543e-09 Normalizat = 0.761633 Prefactor = 1.16462 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15791.38 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1299 TOTAL EDM= .24E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14531E-05 3.7536 .73249E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 4.5463 4.9514 .47057E-03 -1.5665 3 norm 41.598 31.591 .15574E-03 -1.5579 4 Prefactor .15377E-07 8.2280 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 3.9655 5.8411 .50735E-03 -1.5668 6 Prefactor .13045E-07 9.4318 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .18645 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .22760E-08 1.3368 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .11208E-04 .95037 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-08 3.3206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .12023 .74600 .82220E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .83489E-07 81.636 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 2.8159 1.7756 .60588E-03 -1.5674 14 Prefactor .75495E-08 3.9667 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .71054E-08 25.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .76163 .10032 .43109E-01 -1.0151 17 Prefactor 1.1646 .87303E-01 .35525E-01 -.87427 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.40159e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00467097 2 4.9514 3 31.5906 4 0.000711052 5 5.84108 6 0.000701323 7 1.34486e-06 8 0.000110262 9 0.00652749 10 0.000227976 11 0.598982 12 0.00522211 13 1.77559 14 0.000346383 15 0.000850421 16 0.100348 17 0.0873138 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.3814112 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 2.276e-09 1.103e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.648e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 543 Prefactor: 1.165e+00 8.731e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 544 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 545 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 542 Normalization: 7.616e-01 1.003e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 44.492 -12.264 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.65381284541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00208282657774 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3817644 delta logL = -0.000353264669684 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3814125 delta logL = -1.38042560138e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9252 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .76180 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1645 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5460E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15791.38 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.4189 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5942 1.1369 -.95529E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .76163 1.1011 -.19090E-04 -.11560E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1646 1.1159 .10157E-04 -.24406E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.59415 Normalizat = 0.761632 Prefactor = 1.16462 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15791.38 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.4189 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .76056 1.9159 -.95529E-04 -.50199 3 Normalizat .76163 1.1011 -.19090E-04 -1.0151 4 Prefactor 1.1646 1.1159 .10157E-04 -.87427 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.11724e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.1477e-07 2 1.15004 3 1.13599 4 1.13969 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3814112 delta logL = 8.5674400907e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.148e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.594e+00 1.150e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 543 Prefactor: 1.165e+00 1.140e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 544 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 545 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 542 Normalization: 7.616e-01 1.136e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 44.492 -12.264 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27612299/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.08e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.65e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 02:47:15.949341', job_id='27612299', GAL2='1.16', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.76', EG='0.76', time_epoch_completed='1780393635.95', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.16', dlogl='8.57e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.65' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J0257.9-1215' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 02:47:16 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 19.31 user 18.55 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 73.44 user 67.82 sys 4.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 173 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0257.9-1215 @ 44.492 -12.2637 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=44.492 yref=-12.2637 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=44.492 yref=-12.2637 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 62.11 user 60.13 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27612696/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0257.9-1215' 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 2.140e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.648e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ft2_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/Model_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.4434841 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.3818128 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 4.5714 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 41.235 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .19451E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 3.9493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .13797E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .22859E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14932E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .75843E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95629E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .12097 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30233E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.8159 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .30047E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .18250E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .76177 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1647 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5460E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15791.38 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 1030 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .14531E-05 31.818 .14825E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 4.5463 4.1818 .13026E-06 -.24721E-02 3 norm 41.598 4.3103 -.94634E-07 .71017E-01 4 Prefactor .15377E-07 8.1358 -.57873E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 3.9655 5.8583 .16835E-06 -.47701E-03 6 Prefactor .13045E-07 9.2965 .54290E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .18727 .12882E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .22760E-08 1.3344 -.12963E-07** at limit ** 9 norm .11208E-04 8.8365 -.81243E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .38858E-08 3.2930 -.24557E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .12023 14.546 .15110E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .83489E-07 80.963 .12404E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 2.8159 1.7772 .21197E-06 -.10230E-02 14 Prefactor .75495E-08 3.8615 -.48888E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .71054E-08 25.963 -.38171E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .76163 .11183 -.52843E-05 .19954E-03 17 Prefactor 1.1646 .98709E-01 -.60468E-06 .10497E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.45312e-06 Prefactor = 4.54631 norm = 41.5982 Prefactor = 1.53766e-08 Prefactor = 3.96549 Prefactor = 1.30451e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.27596e-09 norm = 1.12083e-05 Prefactor = 3.88578e-09 Prefactor = 0.120235 Prefactor = 8.34888e-08 Prefactor = 2.81589 Prefactor = 7.54952e-09 Prefactor = 7.10543e-09 Normalizat = 0.761633 Prefactor = 1.16462 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15791.38 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1299 TOTAL EDM= .24E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .14531E-05 3.7536 .73249E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 4.5463 4.9514 .47057E-03 -1.5665 3 norm 41.598 31.591 .15574E-03 -1.5579 4 Prefactor .15377E-07 8.2280 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 3.9655 5.8411 .50735E-03 -1.5668 6 Prefactor .13045E-07 9.4318 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .18645 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .22760E-08 1.3368 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .11208E-04 .95037 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-08 3.3206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .12023 .74600 .82220E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .83489E-07 81.636 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 2.8159 1.7756 .60588E-03 -1.5674 14 Prefactor .75495E-08 3.9667 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .71054E-08 25.478 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .76163 .10032 .43109E-01 -1.0151 17 Prefactor 1.1646 .87303E-01 .35525E-01 -.87427 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.40159e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00467097 2 4.9514 3 31.5906 4 0.000711052 5 5.84108 6 0.000701323 7 1.34486e-06 8 0.000110262 9 0.00652749 10 0.000227976 11 0.598982 12 0.00522211 13 1.77559 14 0.000346383 15 0.000850421 16 0.100348 17 0.0873138 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15791.3814112 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 2.276e-09 1.103e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.648e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 543 Prefactor: 1.165e+00 8.731e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 544 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 545 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 542 Normalization: 7.616e-01 1.003e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 44.492 -12.264 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.65381284541e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00208282657774 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3817644 delta logL = -0.000353264669684 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3814125 delta logL = -1.38042560138e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.9252 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .76180 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1645 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5460E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15791.38 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.4189 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5942 1.1369 -.95529E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .76163 1.1011 -.19090E-04 -.11560E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1646 1.1159 .10157E-04 -.24406E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.59415 Normalizat = 0.761632 Prefactor = 1.16462 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15791.38 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.4189 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .76056 1.9159 -.95529E-04 -.50199 3 Normalizat .76163 1.1011 -.19090E-04 -1.0151 4 Prefactor 1.1646 1.1159 .10157E-04 -.87427 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.11724e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.1477e-07 2 1.15004 3 1.13599 4 1.13969 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15791.3814112 delta logL = 8.5674400907e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0257.9-1215 Spectrum: PowerLaw 264 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.148e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 265 Index: 2.594e+00 1.150e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 266 Scale: 5.205e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 543 Prefactor: 1.165e+00 1.140e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 544 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 545 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 542 Normalization: 7.616e-01 1.136e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 44.492 -12.264 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27612696/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J0257.9-1215_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.08e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.65e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 02:51:42.620535', job_id='27612696', GAL2='1.16', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.76', EG='0.76', time_epoch_completed='1780393902.62', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.16', dlogl='8.57e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.65' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J0257.9-1215' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 02:51:42 PDT 2026