/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191 RA = 39.6209, Dec = -31.2828 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34137979', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 02:09:25.099687', time_epoch_executed='1785834565.1' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits ra=39.6209 dec=-31.2828 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.22 user 1.68 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.78 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 674 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" onumber of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191 RA = 39.6209, Dec = -31.2828 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34138003', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 02:10:05.656627', time_epoch_executed='1785834605.66' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits ra=39.6209 dec=-31.2828 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.15 user 1.68 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.17 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 674 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 48.98 user 47.54 sys 0.80 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34137906/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70918077 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731537 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .76605E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.6176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.7680 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.3442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 22.226 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .23814E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14988E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .15523E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 22.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .26867E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .25924E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .45441E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.2385 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 79.128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2563 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .76894 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 124 CALLS 1469 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.637 -.58494E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2615 .63934E-06 .93431E-02 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9659 .63808E-06 .16007E-02 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4421 .32319E-07 .80238E-04 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3685 -.12561E-06 -.78056E-04 6 Prefactor 22.221 2.7369 .22987E-06 -.32455E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .83560 .45595E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0870 -.10135E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 179.69 .25482E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 22.110 7.1566 -.66727E-06 .10808 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9227 -.83986E-06** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 1.0297 -.42268E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .13561E-06 7.7447 .13700E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.487 .15254E-05 .25204E-01 15 Prefactor 79.154 3.5983 -.16823E-06 .98702E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .16303 -.77714E-05 .11308E-04 17 Prefactor .76896 .18385 .11986E-04 .17678E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 7.61776 Prefactor = 4.7666 Prefactor = 2.79145 Prefactor = 4.35041 Prefactor = 22.221 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.39333e-08 Prefactor = 1.69864e-08 Prefactor = 22.11 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 0 norm = 1.35614e-07 Prefactor = 7.24009 Prefactor = 79.1535 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768964 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 259 CALLS 1728 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.663 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2738 .36311E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9792 .46053E-03 -1.5664 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4622 .60861E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3882 .48304E-03 -1.5666 6 Prefactor 22.221 28.699 .21217E-03 -1.5614 7 norm .55511E-10 .82963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 177.32 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 22.110 47.285 .21300E-03 -1.5614 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9129 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 1.0114 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .13561E-06 1.0611 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.699 .37258E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor 79.154 43.827 .11242E-03 -1.5530 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .14244 .33637E-01 -.84880 17 Prefactor .76896 .15999 .64065E-01 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.6385e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000305592 2 9.27378 3 7.97925 4 3.46216 5 5.38824 6 28.6989 7 1.04016e-05 8 0.000532917 9 0.0034699 10 47.2855 11 8.14647e-05 12 9.90029e-06 13 0.000758721 14 17.6996 15 43.8276 16 0.142485 17 0.160087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731096 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 8.146e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.601e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.425e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24576591619e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00239609788012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70929989 delta logL = -0.00198893653305 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731119 delta logL = -2.32911588682e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78382E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4387 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2562 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76908 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9065 1.1814 .66286E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 .14839E-03 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 .13905E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90649 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768965 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38253 1.6672 .66286E-05 -.66709 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 -.84880 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.5717e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.06232e-06 2 1.19995 3 1.11046 4 1.15399 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731096 delta logL = 2.19188223127e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.062e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.906e+00 1.200e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.154e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34137906/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.40e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.25e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 02:11:38.145665', job_id='34137906', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1785834698.15', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='2.19e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 02:11:38 PDT 2026 ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 57.17 user 55.39 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34137903/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70918077 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731537 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .76605E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.6176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.7680 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.3442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 22.226 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .23814E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14988E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .15523E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 22.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .26867E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .25924E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .45441E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.2385 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 79.128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2563 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .76894 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 124 CALLS 1469 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.637 -.58494E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2615 .63934E-06 .93431E-02 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9659 .63808E-06 .16007E-02 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4421 .32319E-07 .80238E-04 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3685 -.12561E-06 -.78056E-04 6 Prefactor 22.221 2.7369 .22987E-06 -.32455E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .83560 .45595E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0870 -.10135E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 179.69 .25482E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 22.110 7.1566 -.66727E-06 .10808 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9227 -.83986E-06** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 1.0297 -.42268E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .13561E-06 7.7447 .13700E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.487 .15254E-05 .25204E-01 15 Prefactor 79.154 3.5983 -.16823E-06 .98702E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .16303 -.77714E-05 .11308E-04 17 Prefactor .76896 .18385 .11986E-04 .17678E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 7.61776 Prefactor = 4.7666 Prefactor = 2.79145 Prefactor = 4.35041 Prefactor = 22.221 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.39333e-08 Prefactor = 1.69864e-08 Prefactor = 22.11 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 0 norm = 1.35614e-07 Prefactor = 7.24009 Prefactor = 79.1535 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768964 s sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 57.00 user 55.21 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34137905/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70918077 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731537 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .76605E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.6176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.7680 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.3442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 22.226 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .23814E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14988E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .15523E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 22.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .26867E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .25924E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .45441E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.2385 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 79.128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2563 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .76894 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 124 CALLS 1469 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.637 -.58494E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2615 .63934E-06 .93431E-02 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9659 .63808E-06 .16007E-02 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4421 .32319E-07 .80238E-04 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3685 -.12561E-06 -.78056E-04 6 Prefactor 22.221 2.7369 .22987E-06 -.32455E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .83560 .45595E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0870 -.10135E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 179.69 .25482E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 22.110 7.1566 -.66727E-06 .10808 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9227 -.83986E-06** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 1.0297 -.42268E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .13561E-06 7.7447 .13700E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.487 .15254E-05 .25204E-01 15 Prefactor 79.154 3.5983 -.16823E-06 .98702E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .16303 -.77714E-05 .11308E-04 17 Prefactor .76896 .18385 .11986E-04 .17678E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 7.61776 Prefactor = 4.7666 Prefactor = 2.79145 Prefactor = 4.35041 Prefactor = 22.221 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.39333e-08 Prefactor = 1.69864e-08 Prefactor = 22.11 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 0 norm = 1.35614e-07 Prefactor = 7.24009 Prefactor = 79.1535 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768964 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.99 user 8.18 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 69.77 user 64.75 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Fornax A in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/FornaxA.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 173 point sources and 1 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.4-3116 @ 39.6209 -31.2828 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fit ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 259 CALLS 1728 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.663 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2738 .36311E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9792 .46053E-03 -1.5664 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4622 .60861E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3882 .48304E-03 -1.5666 6 Prefactor 22.221 28.699 .21217E-03 -1.5614 7 norm .55511E-10 .82963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 177.32 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 22.110 47.285 .21300E-03 -1.5614 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9129 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 1.0114 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .13561E-06 1.0611 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.699 .37258E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor 79.154 43.827 .11242E-03 -1.5530 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .14244 .33637E-01 -.84880 17 Prefactor .76896 .15999 .64065E-01 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.6385e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000305592 2 9.27378 3 7.97925 4 3.46216 5 5.38824 6 28.6989 7 1.04016e-05 8 0.000532917 9 0.0034699 10 47.2855 11 8.14647e-05 12 9.90029e-06 13 0.000758721 14 17.6996 15 43.8276 16 0.142485 17 0.160087 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 259 CALLS 1728 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.663 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2738 .36311E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9792 .46053E-03 -1.5664 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4622 .60861E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3882 .48304E-03 -1.5666 6 Prefactor 22.221 28.699 .21217E-03 -1.5614 7 norm .55511E-10 .82963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 177.32 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 22.110 47.285 .21300E-03 -1.5614 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9129 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 1.0114 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .13561E-06 1.0611 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.699 .37258E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor 79.154 43.827 .11242E-03 -1.5530 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .14244 .33637E-01 -.84880 17 Prefactor .76896 .15999 .64065E-01 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.6385e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000305592 2 9.27378 3 7.97925 4 3.46216 5 5.38824 6 28.6989 7 1.04016e-05 8 0.000532917 9 0.0034699 10 47.2855 11 8.14647e-05 12 9.90029e-06 13 0.000758721 14 17.6996 15 43.8276 16 0.142485 17 0.160087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731096 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 8.146e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.601e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.425e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24576591619e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00239609788012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70929989 delta logL = -0.00198893653305 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731119 delta logL = -2.32911588682e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78382E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4387 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2562 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76908 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9065 1.1814 .66286E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 .14839E-03 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 .13905E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90649 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768965 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38253 1.6672 .66286E-05 -.66709 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 -.84880 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.5717e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.06232e-06 2 1.19995 3 1.11046 4 1.15399 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731096 delta logL = 2.19188223127e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.062e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.906e+00 1.200e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.154e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34137903/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.40e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.25e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 02:12:14.808385', job_id='34137903', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1785834734.81', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='2.19e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 02:12:14 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731096 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 8.146e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.601e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.425e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24576591619e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00239609788012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70929989 delta logL = -0.00198893653305 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731119 delta logL = -2.32911588682e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78382E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4387 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2562 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76908 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9065 1.1814 .66286E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 .14839E-03 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 .13905E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90649 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768965 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38253 1.6672 .66286E-05 -.66709 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 -.84880 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.5717e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.06232e-06 2 1.19995 3 1.11046 4 1.15399 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731096 delta logL = 2.19188223127e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.062e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.906e+00 1.200e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.154e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34137905/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.40e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.25e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 02:12:18.194161', job_id='34137905', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1785834738.19', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='2.19e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 02:12:18 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.76 user 8.11 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 68.50 user 63.48 sys 4.15 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Fornax A in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/FornaxA.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 173 point sources and 1 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.4-3116 @ 39.6209 -31.2828 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fis sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 55.85 user 54.04 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34137979/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70918077 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731537 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .76605E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.6176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.7680 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.3442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 22.226 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .23814E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14988E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .15523E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 22.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .26867E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .25924E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .45441E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.2385 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 79.128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2563 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .76894 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 124 CALLS 1469 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.637 -.58494E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2615 .63934E-06 .93431E-02 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9659 .63808E-06 .16007E-02 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4421 .32319E-07 .80238E-04 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3685 -.12561E-06 -.78056E-04 6 Prefactor 22.221 2.7369 .22987E-06 -.32455E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .83560 .45595E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0870 -.10135E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 179.69 .25482E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 22.110 7.1566 -.66727E-06 .10808 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9227 -.83986E-06** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 1.0297 -.42268E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .13561E-06 7.7447 .13700E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.487 .15254E-05 .25204E-01 15 Prefactor 79.154 3.5983 -.16823E-06 .98702E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .16303 -.77714E-05 .11308E-04 17 Prefactor .76896 .18385 .11986E-04 .17678E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 7.61776 Prefactor = 4.7666 Prefactor = 2.79145 Prefactor = 4.35041 Prefactor = 22.221 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.39333e-08 Prefactor = 1.69864e-08 Prefactor = 22.11 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 0 norm = 1.35614e-07 Prefactor = 7.24009 Prefactor = 79.1535 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768964 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 259 CALLS 1728 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.663 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2738 .36311E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9792 .46053E-03 -1.5664 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4622 .60861E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3882 .48304E-03 -1.5666 6 Prefactor 22.221 28.699 .21217E-03 -1.5614 7 norm .55511E-10 .82963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 177.32 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 22.110 47.285 .21300E-03 -1.5614 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9129 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 1.0114 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .13561E-06 1.0611 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.699 .37258E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor 79.154 43.827 .11242E-03 -1.5530 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .14244 .33637E-01 -.84880 17 Prefactor .76896 .15999 .64065E-01 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.6385e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000305592 2 9.27378 3 7.97925 4 3.46216 5 5.38824 6 28.6989 7 1.04016e-05 8 0.000532917 9 0.0034699 10 47.2855 11 8.14647e-05 12 9.90029e-06 13 0.000758721 14 17.6996 15 43.8276 16 0.142485 17 0.160087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731096 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 8.146e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.601e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.425e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24576591619e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00239609788012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70929989 delta logL = -0.00198893653305 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731119 delta logL = -2.32911588682e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78382E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4387 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2562 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76908 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9065 1.1814 .66286E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 .14839E-03 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 .13905E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90649 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768965 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38253 1.6672 .66286E-05 -.66709 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 -.84880 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.5717e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.06232e-06 2 1.19995 3 1.11046 4 1.15399 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731096 delta logL = 2.19188223127e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.062e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.906e+00 1.200e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.154e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34137979/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.40e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.25e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 02:14:36.868612', job_id='34137979', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1785834876.87', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='2.19e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 02:14:37 PDT 2026 ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 57.17 user 55.46 sys 0.85 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34138003/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70918077 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731537 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .76605E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.6176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 4.7680 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7924 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.3442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 22.226 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .23814E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14988E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .15523E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 22.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .26867E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .25924E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .45441E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 7.2385 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 79.128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.2563 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' .76894 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 124 CALLS 1469 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 3.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.637 -.58494E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2615 .63934E-06 .93431E-02 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9659 .63808E-06 .16007E-02 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4421 .32319E-07 .80238E-04 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3685 -.12561E-06 -.78056E-04 6 Prefactor 22.221 2.7369 .22987E-06 -.32455E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .83560 .45595E-07** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0870 -.10135E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 179.69 .25482E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 22.110 7.1566 -.66727E-06 .10808 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9227 -.83986E-06** at limit ** 12 norm .0000 1.0297 -.42268E-06** at limit ** 13 norm .13561E-06 7.7447 .13700E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.487 .15254E-05 .25204E-01 15 Prefactor 79.154 3.5983 -.16823E-06 .98702E-01 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .16303 -.77714E-05 .11308E-04 17 Prefactor .76896 .18385 .11986E-04 .17678E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.16493e-09 Prefactor = 7.61776 Prefactor = 4.7666 Prefactor = 2.79145 Prefactor = 4.35041 Prefactor = 22.221 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.39333e-08 Prefactor = 1.69864e-08 Prefactor = 22.11 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 norm = 0 norm = 1.35614e-07 Prefactor = 7.24009 Prefactor = 79.1535 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768964 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 259 CALLS 1728 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .21649E-08 10.663 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.6178 9.2738 .36311E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 4.7666 7.9792 .46053E-03 -1.5664 4 Prefactor 2.7914 3.4622 .60861E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor 4.3504 5.3882 .48304E-03 -1.5666 6 Prefactor 22.221 28.699 .21217E-03 -1.5614 7 norm .55511E-10 .82963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .13933E-07 5.0899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .16986E-07 177.32 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 22.110 47.285 .21300E-03 -1.5614 11 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.9129 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .0000 1.0114 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .13561E-06 1.0611 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 7.2401 17.699 .37258E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor 79.154 43.827 .11242E-03 -1.5530 16 Normalizat 1.2563 .14244 .33637E-01 -.84880 17 Prefactor .76896 .15999 .64065E-01 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.6385e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000305592 2 9.27378 3 7.97925 4 3.46216 5 5.38824 6 28.6989 7 1.04016e-05 8 0.000532917 9 0.0034699 10 47.2855 11 8.14647e-05 12 9.90029e-06 13 0.000758721 14 17.6996 15 43.8276 16 0.142485 17 0.160087 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7323.70731096 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 8.146e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.601e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.425e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.24576591619e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00239609788012 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70929989 delta logL = -0.00198893653305 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731119 delta logL = -2.32911588682e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78382E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4387 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2562 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76908 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 229 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9065 1.1814 .66286E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 .14839E-03 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 .13905E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90649 Normalizat = 1.25631 Prefactor = 0.768965 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 7323.707 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .16E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.9716 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .38253 1.6672 .66286E-05 -.66709 3 Normalizat 1.2563 1.0896 -.12258E-04 -.84880 4 Prefactor .76896 1.1182 .23171E-04 -1.0088 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.5717e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.06232e-06 2 1.19995 3 1.11046 4 1.15399 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 7323.70731096 delta logL = 2.19188223127e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 7.062e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.906e+00 1.200e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 7.690e-01 1.154e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 1.256e+00 1.110e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34138003/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.40e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.25e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 02:15:16.819611', job_id='34138003', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.26', time_epoch_completed='1785834916.82', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='2.19e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 02:15:17 PDT 2026