ts sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 32.54 user 30.85 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31035448/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.44080878 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4402338 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.508 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.7166 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20689E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .39628E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.2432 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .20654 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .24181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 54.718 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .16512E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14852E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.2993 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .57098E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.4762 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.105 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 46.314 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .47224 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.2636 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 3663.437 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 103 CALLS 1197 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 51.580 2.0725 .45110E-07 -.18653 2 Prefactor 2.7116 1.8090 -.88441E-07 -.20636E-01 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.218 -.14967E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7559 -.53052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.2009 .38165E-06 -.81689E-02 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.547 .59966E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2948 -.16570E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 54.742 1.1347 -.39155E-09 -.16639E-01 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.699 .11545E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.348 .13284E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0811 -.38242E-06 -.19237E-02 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9432 -.42526E-07** at limit ** 13 norm 2.4764 2.4002 .27346E-07 -.63729E-03 14 Prefactor 22.102 3.1462 .18050E-06 -.12636 15 Prefactor 46.441 1.4684 .12222E-07 -.63080E-01 16 Normalizat .47266 .21715 .45225E-05 -.53424E-03 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .25766 .20242E-04 -.73148E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 51.5802 Prefactor = 2.71164 Prefactor = 7.07767e-08 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 4.188 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 54.7417 Prefactor = 7.39964e-08 Prefactor = 6.63913e-08 Prefactor = 4.29912 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.47643 Prefactor = 22.1023 Prefactor = 46.4413 Normalizat = 0.472656 Prefactor = 1.2634 s sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 32.17 user 30.51 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31035363/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.44080878 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4402338 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.508 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.7166 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20689E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .39628E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.2432 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .20654 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .24181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 54.718 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .16512E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14852E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.2993 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .57098E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.4762 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.105 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 46.314 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .47224 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.2636 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 3663.437 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 103 CALLS 1197 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 51.580 2.0725 .45110E-07 -.18653 2 Prefactor 2.7116 1.8090 -.88441E-07 -.20636E-01 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.218 -.14967E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7559 -.53052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.2009 .38165E-06 -.81689E-02 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.547 .59966E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2948 -.16570E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 54.742 1.1347 -.39155E-09 -.16639E-01 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.699 .11545E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.348 .13284E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0811 -.38242E-06 -.19237E-02 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9432 -.42526E-07** at limit ** 13 norm 2.4764 2.4002 .27346E-07 -.63729E-03 14 Prefactor 22.102 3.1462 .18050E-06 -.12636 15 Prefactor 46.441 1.4684 .12222E-07 -.63080E-01 16 Normalizat .47266 .21715 .45225E-05 -.53424E-03 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .25766 .20242E-04 -.73148E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 51.5802 Prefactor = 2.71164 Prefactor = 7.07767e-08 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 4.188 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 54.7417 Prefactor = 7.39964e-08 Prefactor = 6.63913e-08 Prefactor = 4.29912 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.47643 Prefactor = 22.1023 Prefactor = 46.4413 Normalizat = 0.472656 Prefactor = 1.2634 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.437 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 253 CALLS 1450 TOTAL EDM= .36E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 51.580 65.463 .13935E-03 -1.5564 2 Prefactor 2.7116 11.041 .61766E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.331 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7337 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.3301 .48892E-03 -1.5667 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.775 .11661E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 54.742 30.126 .13520E-03 -1.5560 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.822 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0794 .48562E-03 -1.5666 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9051 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 2.4764 2.3921 .64947E-03 -1.5676 14 Prefactor 22.102 22.727 .21275E-03 -1.5614 15 Prefactor 46.441 47.382 .14695E-03 -1.5572 16 Normalizat .47266 .19061 .61222E-01 -1.1370 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .22262 .33277E-01 -.84402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.55484e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 65.4638 2 10.9435 3 0.00179124 4 0.000178823 5 9.33014 6 0.00046086 7 4.62033e-07 8 30.1256 9 0.00187041 10 0.00423517 11 5.07943 12 1.56287e-05 13 2.39213 14 22.7274 15 47.382 16 0.190869 17 0.222786 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.437 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 253 CALLS 1450 TOTAL EDM= .36E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 51.580 65.463 .13935E-03 -1.5564 2 Prefactor 2.7116 11.041 .61766E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.331 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7337 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.3301 .48892E-03 -1.5667 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.775 .11661E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 54.742 30.126 .13520E-03 -1.5560 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.822 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0794 .48562E-03 -1.5666 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9051 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 2.4764 2.3921 .64947E-03 -1.5676 14 Prefactor 22.102 22.727 .21275E-03 -1.5614 15 Prefactor 46.441 47.382 .14695E-03 -1.5572 16 Normalizat .47266 .19061 .61222E-01 -1.1370 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .22262 .33277E-01 -.84402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.55484e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 65.4638 2 10.9435 3 0.00179124 4 0.000178823 5 9.33014 6 0.00046086 7 4.62033e-07 8 30.1256 9 0.00187041 10 0.00423517 11 5.07943 12 1.56287e-05 13 2.39213 14 22.7274 15 47.382 16 0.190869 17 0.222786 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4372991 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.299e+00 5.079e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.228e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.727e-01 1.909e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.82 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.57e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.46e-05 +/- 2.90e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.53559134634e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00630116676885 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43636696 delta logL = 0.000932138411372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595208 delta logL = 0.00134702002424 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.4676 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7857 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .47326 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2631 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 3663.436 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 227.45 .47614E-03 .35367E-02 2 Index 1.7851 5.4059 .12998 .11720E-03 3 Normalizat .47323 .81154E-01 .61185E-01 .13768E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .84251E-01 .33286E-01 .79597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.47135 Index = 1.78514 Normalizat = 0.473232 Prefactor = 1.26313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.436 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 6.3841 .14510E-04 -1.5666 2 Index 1.7851 .69218 .72274E-02 -.69837 3 Normalizat .47323 .21375 .27075E-03 -1.1367 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .25741 .20493E-03 -.84410 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37918e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.3841 2 0.696002 3 0.214125 4 0.257669 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4372991 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.299e+00 5.079e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.228e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.727e-01 1.909e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.82 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.57e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.46e-05 +/- 2.90e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.53559134634e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00630116676885 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43636696 delta logL = 0.000932138411372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595208 delta logL = 0.00134702002424 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.4676 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7857 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .47326 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2631 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 3663.436 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 227.45 .47614E-03 .35367E-02 2 Index 1.7851 5.4059 .12998 .11720E-03 3 Normalizat .47323 .81154E-01 .61185E-01 .13768E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .84251E-01 .33286E-01 .79597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.47135 Index = 1.78514 Normalizat = 0.473232 Prefactor = 1.26313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.436 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 6.3841 .14510E-04 -1.5666 2 Index 1.7851 .69218 .72274E-02 -.69837 3 Normalizat .47323 .21375 .27075E-03 -1.1367 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .25741 .20493E-03 -.84410 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37918e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.3841 2 0.696002 3 0.214125 4 0.257669 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595166 delta logL = 0.00134743662738 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.471e+00 6.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.785e+00 6.960e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.577e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.732e-01 2.141e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.79 +/- 0.70 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.11e-08 +/- 2.82e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.64e-05 +/- 4.98e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31035448/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.30e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.18e-08', energy_flux2='2.64e-05', photon_flux_error='2.57e-08', dlogl='1.35e-03', energy_flux='2.46e-05', photon_flux2='2.11e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-08 08:27:32.665581', photon_index_error2='0.70', photon_index2='1.79', ts='1.07', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.26', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.54e-08', energy_flux_error2='4.98e-05', EG='0.47', time_epoch_completed='1783524452.67', return_code='0', job_id='31035448', GAL2='1.26', EG2='0.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.90e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.82e-08', ts2='1.07', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 08:27:32 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595166 delta logL = 0.00134743662738 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.471e+00 6.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.785e+00 6.960e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.577e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.732e-01 2.141e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.79 +/- 0.70 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.11e-08 +/- 2.82e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.64e-05 +/- 4.98e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31035363/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.30e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.18e-08', energy_flux2='2.64e-05', photon_flux_error='2.57e-08', dlogl='1.35e-03', energy_flux='2.46e-05', photon_flux2='2.11e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-08 08:27:33.528342', photon_index_error2='0.70', photon_index2='1.79', ts='1.07', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.26', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.54e-08', energy_flux_error2='4.98e-05', EG='0.47', time_epoch_completed='1783524453.53', return_code='0', job_id='31035363', GAL2='1.26', EG2='0.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.90e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.82e-08', ts2='1.07', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 08:27:33 PDT 2026 number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181 RA = 39.6209, Dec = -31.2828 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31035602', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-08 08:27:18.320439', time_epoch_executed='1783524438.32' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits ra=39.6209 dec=-31.2828 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.23 user 2.90 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.47 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 315 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.65 user 8.21 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 75.20 user 70.30 sys 4.28 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Fornax A in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/FornaxA.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Added 173 point sources and 1 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.4-3116 @ 39.6209 -31.2828 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.24 sys 0.10 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.6209 yref=-31.2828 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source Fornax A adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 32.35 user 30.85 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31035602/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.4-3116' 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 1.261e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ft2_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/Model_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.44080878 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4402338 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.508 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2.7166 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20689E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .39628E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 4.2432 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .20654 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .24181E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 54.718 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .16512E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .14852E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 4.2993 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .57098E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.4762 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 22.105 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 46.314 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .47224 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.2636 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 3663.437 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 103 CALLS 1197 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 51.580 2.0725 .45110E-07 -.18653 2 Prefactor 2.7116 1.8090 -.88441E-07 -.20636E-01 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.218 -.14967E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7559 -.53052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.2009 .38165E-06 -.81689E-02 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.547 .59966E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 1.2948 -.16570E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 54.742 1.1347 -.39155E-09 -.16639E-01 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.699 .11545E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.348 .13284E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0811 -.38242E-06 -.19237E-02 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9432 -.42526E-07** at limit ** 13 norm 2.4764 2.4002 .27346E-07 -.63729E-03 14 Prefactor 22.102 3.1462 .18050E-06 -.12636 15 Prefactor 46.441 1.4684 .12222E-07 -.63080E-01 16 Normalizat .47266 .21715 .45225E-05 -.53424E-03 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .25766 .20242E-04 -.73148E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 51.5802 Prefactor = 2.71164 Prefactor = 7.07767e-08 Prefactor = 1.05471e-09 Prefactor = 4.188 Prefactor = 1.27676e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 54.7417 Prefactor = 7.39964e-08 Prefactor = 6.63913e-08 Prefactor = 4.29912 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.47643 Prefactor = 22.1023 Prefactor = 46.4413 Normalizat = 0.472656 Prefactor = 1.2634 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.437 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 253 CALLS 1450 TOTAL EDM= .36E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 51.580 65.463 .13935E-03 -1.5564 2 Prefactor 2.7116 11.041 .61766E-03 -1.5675 3 Prefactor .70777E-07 11.331 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .10547E-08 7.7337 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 4.1880 9.3301 .48892E-03 -1.5667 6 Prefactor .12768E-08 41.775 .11661E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 1.2958 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 54.742 30.126 .13520E-03 -1.5560 9 Prefactor .73996E-07 11.822 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .66391E-07 67.529 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 4.2991 5.0794 .48562E-03 -1.5666 12 norm .55511E-10 1.9051 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 2.4764 2.3921 .64947E-03 -1.5676 14 Prefactor 22.102 22.727 .21275E-03 -1.5614 15 Prefactor 46.441 47.382 .14695E-03 -1.5572 16 Normalizat .47266 .19061 .61222E-01 -1.1370 17 Prefactor 1.2634 .22262 .33277E-01 -.84402 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.55484e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 65.4638 2 10.9435 3 0.00179124 4 0.000178823 5 9.33014 6 0.00046086 7 4.62033e-07 8 30.1256 9 0.00187041 10 0.00423517 11 5.07943 12 1.56287e-05 13 2.39213 14 22.7274 15 47.382 16 0.190869 17 0.222786 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3663.4372991 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.299e+00 5.079e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.820e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.228e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.727e-01 1.909e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.82 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.18e-08 +/- 2.57e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.46e-05 +/- 2.90e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.53559134634e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00630116676885 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/likelihoodResults_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43636696 delta logL = 0.000932138411372 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595208 delta logL = 0.00134702002424 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.4676 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7857 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .47326 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2631 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5500E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 3663.436 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 213 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 227.45 .47614E-03 .35367E-02 2 Index 1.7851 5.4059 .12998 .11720E-03 3 Normalizat .47323 .81154E-01 .61185E-01 .13768E-03 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .84251E-01 .33286E-01 .79597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.47135 Index = 1.78514 Normalizat = 0.473232 Prefactor = 1.26313 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3663.436 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4714 6.3841 .14510E-04 -1.5666 2 Index 1.7851 .69218 .72274E-02 -.69837 3 Normalizat .47323 .21375 .27075E-03 -1.1367 4 Prefactor 1.2631 .25741 .20493E-03 -.84410 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37918e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.3841 2 0.696002 3 0.214125 4 0.257669 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 3663.43595166 delta logL = 0.00134743662738 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.4-3116 Spectrum: PowerLaw 285 Prefactor: 4.471e+00 6.384e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 286 Index: 1.785e+00 6.960e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 287 Scale: 2.751e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 547 Prefactor: 1.263e+00 2.577e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 548 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 549 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 543 Normalization: 4.732e-01 2.141e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.07 Ra Dec: 39.621 -31.283 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.79 +/- 0.70 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.11e-08 +/- 2.82e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.64e-05 +/- 4.98e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31035602/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J0238.4-3116_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.30e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.18e-08', energy_flux2='2.64e-05', photon_flux_error='2.57e-08', dlogl='1.35e-03', energy_flux='2.46e-05', photon_flux2='2.11e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-08 08:31:09.101853', photon_index_error2='0.70', photon_index2='1.79', ts='1.07', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.26', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.54e-08', energy_flux_error2='4.98e-05', EG='0.47', time_epoch_completed='1783524669.1', return_code='0', job_id='31035602', GAL2='1.26', EG2='0.47', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.90e-05', photon_flux_error2='2.82e-08', ts2='1.07', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.4-3116' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 8 08:31:09 PDT 2026